On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with the smallest of declines. The benchmark index fell slightly to 8,731.2 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set for a poor start to the week following a mixed session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 57 points or 0.65% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.2%, the S&P 500 rose 0.15%, and the Nasdaq pushed 0.4% higher.

Oil prices drop

ASX 200 energy shares including Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a soft start to the week after oil prices pulled back on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 1.6% to US$100.30 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 0.9% to US$103.87 a barrel. This was driven by optimism over Saudi Arabian oil flows.

Buy Nickel Industries shares

Nickel Industries Ltd (ASX: NIC) shares could be worth a look according to Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating and $1.45 price target on the nickel producer’s shares. It said: “NIC is one of the world’s largest listed nickel producers and offers exposure across a range of nickel products and markets. It has a track record of maintaining margins through low nickel prices, benefitting from its diversified product suite and margin exposure across an integrated value chain. We retain our Buy recommendation and TP$1.45/sh.”

Gold price rises

It could be a positive start to the week for ASX 200 gold shares Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price rose on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 0.55% to US$4,424.9 an ounce. Easing oil prices gave the precious metal a boost.

New Hope shares downgraded

New Hope Corporation Ltd (ASX: NHC) shares are overvalued according to Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has downgraded the coal miner’s shares to a sell rating with a $5.00 price target. It said: “We have downgraded our NHC recommendation to Sell on recent share price appreciation. Our $5.00/sh Target Price already incorporates a 14% premium to our sum-of-the-parts valuation, reflecting NHC’s leverage to global energy security themes amplified by recent geopolitical tensions. We expect energy markets will normalise over the near-term. Beyond the ramp-up of New Acland Stage 3, NHC has a limited organic production growth pipeline, and we expect earnings will peak in FY27. We expect NHC may participate in further industry consolidation as an acquirer.”

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• ASX 200 healthcare shares lead a weaker market amid 82% chance of a rate hike
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
• Santos vs Woodside: Which ASX energy share is better value?
• Here’s the earnings forecast out to 2028 for Woodside shares
• ASX 200 slips into the red after a positive start. Here’s why

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Metcash vs Wesfarmers shares: which is better for income investors?

If you’re looking for steady, reliable income from shares, Metcash Ltd (ASX: MTS) and Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) will both be on your radar. Both companies are big names in the world of Aussie retail and distribution, famous for supporting some of our most familiar brands. But which is the better choice for income-focused investors when you cut through the headlines to the fundamentals? Let’s take a closer look at how Metcash vs Wesfarmers shares stack up.

The case for Metcash

Metcash is Australia’s leading wholesale distributor for independent food retailers (think IGA and Foodland supermarkets), as well as a major supplier for bottle shops (like The Bottle-O and Cellarbrations) and hardware stores (Mitre 10, Home Timber & Hardware, and Total Tools). According to its most recent public description, Metcash supports more than 1600 independent supermarkets and has a significant footprint in liquor and hardware too.

The standout attraction for income investors is Metcash’s dividend yield. The current yield is an attractive 6.34%, with dividends fully franked at 100%. This is backed by a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.23, making Metcash look relatively cheap vs. the broader market. The company’s year-to-date (YTD) return is -11.06%, showing its share price has come under some pressure, but for those focused on cash flow, the consistent dividends (see below) are arguably more important.

Metcash has a long track record of paying fully-franked dividends, with recent annual payouts split between interim and final dividends – all 100% franked.

The case for Wesfarmers

Wesfarmers is one of Australia’s largest conglomerates, with major retail brands under its belt. Its stable of businesses includes Bunnings Warehouse, Kmart, Officeworks, Priceline, and more. The company also has significant interests in chemicals, energy, and fertilisers, and recently entered the pharmacy sector through acquiring Australian Pharmaceutical Industries. What started as a farmers’ co-op in 1914 has become a juggernaut of Australian retail and industrial activity.

For income investors, Wesfarmers offers a current dividend yield of 3.07%, lower than Metcash, but with a much higher absolute dividend per share ($2.22 vs Metcash’s $0.19), reflecting its larger share price. Like Metcash, its dividends are fully franked (100%). Wesfarmers has a long history of paying reliable, fully-franked dividends, and often surprises with special dividends on top of regular payouts.

Wesfarmers carries a significantly higher market cap ($82.68 billion) than Metcash, offering scale, diversification and resilience. However, its P/E ratio is 28.53, much higher than Metcash, suggesting the market is pricing in more growth and possibly less underlying value for income-seekers right now.

Valuation comparison

Here’s how the core fundamentals for income investors compare:

	Metcash	Wesfarmers
Market Cap	$3.12 billion	$82.68 billion
P/E Ratio	11.23	28.53
Dividend Yield	6.34%	3.07%
Dividend per Share	$0.19	$2.22
Franking	100%	100%
Earnings per Share	$0.253	$2.534

Metcash trades at a much lower P/E ratio and delivers a notably higher dividend yield. Wesfarmers is far larger and distributes more in dollar terms per share, but that comes alongside a much higher price per share and a lower yield.

Recent share price performance

Looking at recent share price data (as of 17 September 2026 for both stocks), both Metcash and Wesfarmers have seen negative returns year-to-date.

Metcash’s YTD return stands at -11.06%. Over the last few weeks (25 August to 17 September 2026), its share price drifted from $2.98 down to $2.84, a modest decline, including several small daily ups and downs. This suggests a relatively stable (if underwhelming) recent period.

Wesfarmers’ YTD return is -8.11%. Over the same period (25 August to 17 September 2026), the Wesfarmers share price dropped from $82.69 to $72.86. That is a steeper drop in absolute dollar terms and a larger percentage move over these weeks compared to Metcash, including some big daily swings.

Which is the better buy?

For income-focused investors, I think Metcash stands out as the stronger choice right now. Its 6.34% fully-franked dividend yield is far higher than Wesfarmers’ 3.07%, and its lower P/E ratio could signal better value. While Wesfarmers offers unmatched scale and sector diversification, its yield is notably lower, and the shares are much more expensive relative to earnings.

If you’re seeking dividend income my pick would be Metcash. The income is higher, the franking is full, and you’re not paying a premium P/E multiple. Wesfarmers might appeal if you want stability, brand breadth and potentially more capital growth in the long term, but for pure income, Metcash wins it for me.

The post Metcash vs Wesfarmers: Which Is Better for Income Investors? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• 3 top ASX dividend shares to target this week for lifelong income
• How much passive income could I make by investing $500 a month in ASX shares?
• ASX retail shares are down 13% in 2026. Here’s what Morgan Stanley is worried about
• 3 ASX shares I’d buy for income and growth in retirement
• Down 22%: Are Wesfarmers shares now a good buy for passive income?

Motley Fool contributor Laura Stewart has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. This article was prepared with the assistance of Large Language Model (LLM) tools for the initial draft. Any content assisted by AI is subject to our robust human-in-the-loop quality control framework, involving thorough review, substantial editing, and fact-checking by our experienced writers and editors holding appropriate credentials. The Motley Fool Australia stands behind the work of our editorial team and takes ultimate responsibility for the content published by The Motley Fool Australia.

With the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) providing sluggish growth in 2026, many investors are turning their attention towards ASX dividend shares. 

A changing environment 

Research from Betashares shows that the economic climate is shifting in favour of income instead of growth.

Elevated valuations, a shifting interest rate environment and recent tax changes are all impacting the potential of growth investing.

ASX dividend shares could be a strategic play in this current landscape. 

They provide investors with regular income even when the broader ASX 200 is experiencing weaker price performance. 

They may also offer greater exposure to established, cash-generative businesses. 

Importantly, investing in ASX dividend shares doesn’t mean just chasing the highest yield. 

For long-term investors, finding companies with a consistent track record of dependable payments is vital. 

Here are three options that could provide consistent cash flow for dividend investors to consider. 

Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

Wesfarmers is a diversified company with broad retail operations in home improvement and outdoor living, apparel, general merchandise, office supplies, and health and wellbeing, alongside a chemicals, energy and fertilisers business.

It is the company behind household-name retailers like Bunnings Warehouse, Kmart Australia, Officeworks, Priceline, and more.

It is ideal for dividend investors because it owns established, cash-generative businesses. 

Wesfarmers is one of the true, blue-chip ASX companies and has a well-established record of regular, fully franked dividends extending back decades, including occasional special payouts.

Transurban Group (ASX: TCL)

Another strong option amongst ASX dividend shares is Transurban Group. 

It is one of the world’s largest toll-road operators, managing and developing urban toll-road networks in Australia and North America. 

Its toll-road assets generate recurring cash flows that, at the time of writing, translate into a yield of roughly 5%. 

Right now, its shares are looking attractively valued after falling 15% from yearly highs. 

This could provide investors with passive income and capital growth. 

Betashares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund (ASX: HVST)

In addition to individual ASX dividend shares, ASX ETFs focused on high yields can be a great vehicle for consistent long-term income. 

This Betashares dividend harvester fund is worth considering.

It aims to provide franked income that exceeds the broad Australian share market’s net income yield, along with exposure to a diversified portfolio of Australian shares.

Importantly, it pays distributions monthly, providing a more consistent income stream than many individual stocks. 

At the time of writing it offers a yield over 5%. 

The post 3 top ASX dividend shares to target this week for lifelong income appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How much passive income could I make by investing $500 a month in ASX shares?
• ASX retail shares are down 13% in 2026. Here’s what Morgan Stanley is worried about
• Which ASX dividend shares are buys for passive income?
• 3 ASX shares I’d buy for income and growth in retirement
• Transurban posts 3.4% August traffic growth

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Transurban Group and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Transurban Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.