I am new to trading, and after some backtest, I was trying to calculate the risk of Ruin. The formula goes like:
R=[(1-A)/(1+A)]c
R: probability of Ruin A:The difference between the percentages of wining trades and the percentage of losing trades. c: the number of trades in a account
Now it seems that by using that formula, if you have a winning percentage below 50% you are always doomed to failure, am I correct? I'm using a trading system with about just 20% winning rate but a R/R of at least 12, sometimes going to 50…
submitted by /u/Goddamn_Name
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source https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/ghqmga/risk_of_ruin_doomed_to_failure/
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