Day: August 28, 2022

Morgans still sees ‘value upside’ upside in Allkem share price despite recent rally

woman with coffee on phone with Tesla

woman with coffee on phone with Tesla

The Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) share price was a very strong performer last week.

The lithium giant’s shares rallied an impressive 15% higher over the five days.

This means that the Allkem share price is now up almost 60% since this time last year.

Can the Allkem share price continue its ascent?

The good news is that a number of brokers still believe the company’s shares can keep climbing from here.

For example, according to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have retained their add rating with a slightly trimmed price target of $15.40.

Based on the current Allkem share price, this implies potential upside of 11% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Morgans was pleased with Allkem’s performance in FY 2022. It notes that the company’s “FY22 net profit beat was in-line with our forecast (+1%) despite a miss at the EBITDAIX level.”

And while it acknowledges that the company’s outlook was a bit of a mixed bag, with production downgraded at Mt Cattlin but stronger prices for Olaroz, it saw enough to remain bullish.

Looking ahead, the broker sees plenty of growth avenues and is forecasting strong cash flow generation again in FY 2023. Morgans concludes:

We still see value upside at today’s closing price despite the recent rally. If AKE can provide more detail on its potential future expansion projects like Olaroz S3 and the potential downstream projects for James Bay then we think the market is likely to allow for further growth. We maintain our ADD rating with 12% [now 11%] upside to our target price. Despite the large increases in cash flow we don’t expect AKE to commence paying a dividend in FY23 while its capital expenditure is elevated.

The post Morgans still sees ‘value upside’ upside in Allkem share price despite recent rally appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Should you invest $1,000 in Allkem Limited right now?

Before you consider Allkem Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Allkem Limited wasn’t one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

See The 5 Stocks
*Returns as of August 4 2022

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How much income will Telstra shares pay for FY22 after this month’s dividend hike?

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.

Of all of the ASX 200 shares to report their full-year earnings so far this earnings season, few have arguably surprised as much as Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) shares.

When the ASX 200 telco reported its full-year earnings on 11 August, Telstra revealed a 4.7% fall in revenues to $22.045 billion, but an 8.4% rise in underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to $7.256 billion.

But perhaps the biggest surprise of them all was Telstra’s dividend announcement. The telco revealed that it would be increasing its final dividend for FY22 by 6.25% to 8.5 cents per share.

This was the first time Telstra has raised its dividend since early 2015. At that time, the company dialled up its final dividend from 15 cents per share to 15.5. But that was a long time ago, and a very different Telstra.

In more recent years, investors have become used to the telco cutting its dividend. That’s what happened repeatedly between 2017 and 2019. In fact, before this announcement, Telstra had paid an 8 cents per share dividend like clockwork.

So this month’s announcement was certainly a big deal.

Telstra’s first dividend hike in seven years

So now we have Telstra paying out a fully franked final dividend of 8.5 cents per share, to be doled out on 22 September. That means that the company will have paid shareholders a total of 16.5 cents per share for FY2022. On the current Telstra share price, this will give the telco an FY22 dividend yield of 4.1%, or 5.86% grossed-up with the full franking.

So if an investor had a hypothetical $10,000 invested in Telstra shares today, they can expect to receive a total of approximately $410 in dividend income for FY22.

If Telstra follows this dividend up with another 8.5 cents per share payment for its next dividend (which is by no means guaranteed), the company would have a forward yield of 4.23% on current pricing.

But one broker who reckons this could indeed play out is Morgans. As my Fool colleague James covered this week, Morgans was impressed with Telstra’s FY22 earnings report.

The broker slapped an “add” rating on Telstra shares, complete with a 12-month share price target of $4.60. When it comes to dividends, Morgans is pencilling in 17 cents per share over FY23 for Telstra, and again in FY24.

The post How much income will Telstra shares pay for FY22 after this month’s dividend hike? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Should you invest $1,000 in Telstra Corporation Limited right now?

Before you consider Telstra Corporation Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Telstra Corporation Limited wasn’t one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

See The 5 Stocks
*Returns as of August 4 2022

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Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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What’s the outlook for the South32 share price following the miner’s latest results?

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine as brokers predict what's next for the South32 share price

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine as brokers predict what's next for the South32 share price

The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price has been rising strongly in recent weeks.

South32 shares have climbed more than 15% over the last month and are up by around 25% since 19 July 2022.

The ASX mining share reported its FY22 results earlier this week, revealing several interesting statistics.

We’ll have a quick look at those numbers but remember – the share market moves on quickly. Investors and the market are generally forward-looking. In other words, what’s expected to happen for South32 in the future could be a more important influence on its valuation.

FY22 earnings recap

South32 reported its result for the 12 months to 30 June 2022.

Revenue rose by 69% to US$9.27 billion, while underlying earnings soared 432% to US$2.6 billion. Underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) went up 156% to US$4.76 billion.

The statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) recovered from a US$195 million loss in FY21 to $2.67 billion in FY22.

It grew its ordinary dividend by 363% to US 22.7 cents and it also grew its special dividend by 50% to 3 cents per share.

South32 attributed the result to stable operating performance and recent portfolio improvements, which enabled it to capitalise on the strong tailwind of commodity prices.

The ASX mining share pointed to record production at Worsley Alumina, while Hillside Aluminium and Mozal Aluminium continued to “test maximum technical capacity”.

At Cannington, it exceeded production guidance as it transitioned to a new mine configuration, bringing forward higher-grade material. At Cerro Matoso, it achieved a 22% increase in nickel production.

What about the future?

South32 is making “significant progress” towards transforming its portfolio. The goal is to increase its exposure to the metals that are important for a low-carbon future.

It added copper to its portfolio through the acquisition of a 45% interest in Sierra Gorda and doubled its low-carbon aluminium capacity with an additional shareholding in the hydro-powered Mozal Aluminium smelter and the restart of its 100% renewable-powered Brazil aluminium shelter.

At Hermosa, it has completed a pre-feasibility study for the zinc-lead-silver Taylor deposit, which “demonstrated its potential to be a globally significant producer of base metals”, and advanced its study of options for the battery grade manganese Clark deposit.

South32 CEO Graham Kerr said:

Looking forward, we are well-positioned to navigate the current economic uncertainty. We have a strong balance sheet with net cash of US$538 million after funding our new investments during the year, while our ongoing focus on cost management and an expected 14% increase in production will mitigate industry-wide cost inflation.

We have repositioned our portfolio toward metals critical for a low-carbon future, having already established a pipeline of high-quality development options.

In terms of its production for FY23, South32 wanted to highlight that group copper equivalent production is expected to increase by 14% in FY23. The rest of its production is expected to be largely similar to FY22.

Looking at costs, it said that it continues to pursue cost efficiencies, having successfully delivered more than US$50 million of annualised savings across the group.

The savings, combined with an improvement in planned volumes and lower producer currencies, are expected to provide “partial relief” from further upward pressure on its operating unit costs despite continuing industry-wide inflation in raw material input prices, labour and energy.

South32 share price snapshot

While South32 shares are down 12% in the past six months, the miner’s share price is up 4% year-to-date and is tracking a healthy 45.8% higher over the past 12 months.

The post What’s the outlook for the South32 share price following the miner’s latest results? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Should you invest $1,000 in South32 Limited right now?

Before you consider South32 Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and South32 Limited wasn’t one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

See The 5 Stocks
*Returns as of August 4 2022

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Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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2 ASX 200 dividend shares to buy now according to analysts

An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends

An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends

If you’re looking for dividends shares to buy, then you may want to look at the two listed below.

Here’s why analysts rate these ASX 200 dividend shares highly:

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)

The first ASX 200 dividend share to look at is mining giant BHP.

Earlier this month, the Big Australian released its full year results and revealed record operating profits and free cash flow. This allowed the company to reward its shareholders with a bumper US$3.25 per share fully franked dividend in FY 2022.

And while its dividends may not be as large in the coming years, they are still expected to be very generous.

For example, the team at Morgans are forecasting fully franked dividends per share of A$3.95 in FY 2023 and A$2.98 per share in FY 2024. Based on the current BHP share price of $42.81, this will mean yields of 9.2% and 7%, respectively.

Morgans has an add rating and $48.40 price target on the miner’s shares.

Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

Another ASX 200 dividend share that analysts rate as a buy is supermarket operator Coles.

It released its full year results last week and revealed a 2% increase in sales revenue to $39,369 million and a 4.3% lift in net profit after tax to $1,048 million. This was driven by the successful execution of trade plans, as well as value campaigns focused on lowering the cost of living for customers.

The team at Citi are expecting more of the same in the future. This is expected to underpin solid dividend growth, with the broker forecasting a 75 cents per share dividend in FY 2023 and a 79 cents per share dividend in FY 2024.

Based on the current Coles share price of $17.65, this will mean yields of 4.2% and 4.5%, respectively, for investors.

Citi also sees plenty of upside for its shares with its buy rating and $20.10 price target.

The post 2 ASX 200 dividend shares to buy now according to analysts appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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