Month: October 2022

  • Is it time for ‘cashing in some gains’ on Pilbara Minerals shares?

    A man sits nervously at his computer with his mouth resting against his hands clasped in front of him as he stares at the screen of his computer on a home desk.A man sits nervously at his computer with his mouth resting against his hands clasped in front of him as he stares at the screen of his computer on a home desk.

    The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has exploded in the past year.

    Shares in the pure-play lithium company have surged 125% in the last 52 weeks to $4.80 apiece as at Tuesday’s market close.

    So is now a good time to sell, or is it better to hold Pilbara Minerals shares?

    Hold or sell?

    Pilbara operates the Pilgangoora Project near Port Hedland in Western Australia. This is regarded as one of the biggest hard rock lithium deposits in the world.

    Red Leaf Securities CEO John Athanasiou recently recommended investors “sell” Pilbara Minerals shares, citing the company’s recent gains. Commenting on The Bull, he said:

    The company’s been benefiting from higher lithium prices.

    In fiscal year 2022, the company generated sales revenue of $1.2 billion, a 577 per cent increase on the prior corresponding period. Investors may want to consider cashing in some gains.

    Meanwhile, UBS recently rated the Pilbara share price as a sell with a $2.65 price target, my Foolish colleague Tristan reported.

    On the flipside, Macquarie placed a $5.60 price target on Pilbara shares in September, as reported by my Foolish colleague James.

    A recent federal government report forecasted lithium prices to rise in 2023 before easing in 2024.

    In news on Tuesday, Pilbara updated investors on its latest Battery Material Exchange (BMX) auction. The company has accepted a pre-auction offer of US$7,100 per dry metric tonne (dmt) for a shipment of 5,000dmt of spodumene concentrate in mid-November.

    Pilbara is also due to release a quarterly activities report next Tuesday.

    Share price snapshot

    Pilbara shares have soared almost 50% year to date, however, they are down 4% in the past week.

    For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) has fallen 8% in the past year.

    Pilbara has a market capitalisation of about $14.2 billion based on the current share price.

    The post Is it time for ‘cashing in some gains’ on Pilbara Minerals shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 battered small-cap ASX shares we’re still backing: expert

    three children wearing superhero costumes, complete with masks, pose with hands on hips wearing capes and sneakers on a running track.three children wearing superhero costumes, complete with masks, pose with hands on hips wearing capes and sneakers on a running track.

    It’s been a rough year for investors of small-cap ASX shares.

    “All types of investing require nerve and courage. But perhaps none more so than small-cap stocks,” said Ophir analysts in a memo to investors this month.

    “When an economic downturn hits, small caps tend to fall first and farthest.”

    In volatile and uncertain times, the value of smaller companies sinks much more dramatically than larger companies for multiple reasons.

    “Small caps also tend to be more sensitive to changes in the economy. They are less able to diversify their operations and are less likely to have the large cash reserves needed to withstand difficult trading conditions.”

    They can also get caught up in a liquidity spiral. In a falling market, institutional investors often sell out of smaller holdings first to avoid getting trapped in an illiquid position.

    “They then also stop buying, pushing prices down further and faster on even lower levels of liquidity,” read Ophir’s investment strategy memo.

    “And while small-cap managers might see even cheaper stocks, many are unwilling to enter the market so prices in small-cap stocks keep falling at a faster rate.”

    But the reward for hanging onto the small fish is that, on the other side, they rally much faster than large caps.

    “Historically, in the 12 months after the US small-cap index has bottomed around a recession, they have returned an incredible 70% on average – that’s 11% higher than large caps,” read the Ophir memo. 

    “The small-cap rebound is also quick. Most of the additional return benefit versus large caps has happened in the first three months.”

    So remembering this, here are three small-cap ASX shares that the Cyan C3G Fund is holding onto despite being absolutely hammered last month:

    Rock solid investments for the inevitable small-cap recovery

    The Mighty Craft Ltd (ASX: MCL) share price tumbled more than 21% in September, but the Cyan team is not worried.

    “The alcohol industry globally is dominated by a handful of powerful players, but the domestic industry has been growing strongly in recent years,” read Cyan’s memo to clients.

    “We think it’s a sector worth being exposed to and Mighty Craft is our preferred business model, whereby they acquire and accelerate growing beer and spirits brands through provision of capital, distribution and retail and wholesale points of presence.”

    The nature of the industry means Mighty Craft could become an attractive takeover target.

    “Inevitably the successful domestic businesses or alcohol brands are acquired as they obtain, or are on a clear path to obtaining, reasonable market share.”

    Melbourne video games developer Playside Studios Ltd (ASX: PLY) is another small-cap Cyan analysts are backing, despite a 14.3% drop in valuation last month.

    “This gaming business continues to impress with the execution of its growth strategy through a business model based on work-for-hire, original IP development and new initiatives like a third party publishing division,” read the memo from Cyan.

    “In short, an exceptional team with a strong and growing business in a strong and growing industry.”

    The heavy discounting in its shares means it’s another potential takeover subject.

    “We believe Playside can deliver great returns to shareholders independently or as an M&A target in time (hopefully both),” said the Cyan portfolio managers. 

    “We see this as a unique opportunity to get exposure to these dynamics in the ASX listed space.”

    The Cyan team has been a longtime fan of hospital software maker Alcidion Group Ltd (ASX: ALC).

    And that hasn’t changed despite a 12.1% drop in share price in September.

    “Alcidion is building a strong position in the digitisation of hospital management systems, both administrative and clinical, in Australia and the much larger UK market.”

    The business raked in $34 million in revenue for the 2022 financial year. Its June quarter revenue was 46% up year on year.

    “The company has worked hard to become one of the leading providers and the timing looks perfect to scale the business significantly over the next two years as governments drive the push towards technology in healthcare in a post-COVID environment.”

    The post 3 battered small-cap ASX shares we’re still backing: expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alcidion Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alcidion Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 slaughtered ASX dividend shares now looking attractive: fund

    A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

    There are a lot of unloved ASX shares out there at the moment, but which ones are deserving of your investment?

    The team at IML Australian Smaller Companies Fund had some ideas for a difficult time ahead.

    “Rising interest rates will eventually lead to reduced consumer spending and lower demand, which will impact both business earnings and company valuations,” its memo to clients read.

    “We remain focused on investing in companies with predictable recurring revenues and strong market positions, which are likely to perform better in these times.”

    Here are two ASX shares that fit the bill for IML analysts at the moment:

    ‘Stable, predictable cash flow’

    Transport services company Kelsian Group Ltd (ASX: KLS) is not a name investors hear much of, but with a $1 billion market cap, the IML team reckons it can’t be ignored.

    In fact, IML has bought up Kelsian shares over the past quarter even as the stock price plunged.

    “Kelsian is Australia’s largest land and marine transport and tourism provider,” the memo read.

    “We remain attracted to Kelsian in a higher inflation environment as its main business comes from public bus transport which delivers stable, predictable cash flow, protected from cost pressures due to its government-backed contracts that deliver full recovery of cost increases.”

    The Kelsian share price has dropped a hair-raising 38% so far this year, and 30% since late August.

    According to IML analysts, the valuation plummeted even though the reporting update was positive.

    “The drop was due to concerns that the company may need to raise funds if its overseas acquisition plans are successful,” read the memo.

    “We took advantage of this weakness to increase our position in Kelsian after it became clear that it was not going to raise equity.”

    The recent discount means that it’s now “reasonably priced on 13.5 times FY23 profit”, added IML’s notes.

    Kelsian also pays out a tidy 3.6% dividend yield.

    Keeping the faith in this challenger

    Telecommunications provider TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPG) has been frustrating to own ever since it floated in mid-2020 after its birth from the Vodafone-TPG merger. The share price has almost halved from where it started.

    It’s been no picnic in recent times either, dropping more than 31% since mid-August.

    “Its shares fell sharply over the quarter due to a weaker than expected first half result,” read the IML memo.

    “The soft result took the market by surprise after an upbeat investor day in June, with mobile trends notably weaker than peers Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) and Optus in the June quarter.”

    Despite all this drama, the IML team is convinced TPG will head upwards in the long term.

    “We remain attracted to TPG given the defensive and recurring nature of its earnings,” read the memo.

    “Going forward, earnings should benefit from increasing immigration and tourism, which will help grow the number of mobile subscribers, as well as the proposed regional network sharing agreement with Telstra, and the migration of some NBN broadband customers to TPG’s fixed wireless network.”

    TPG shares currently boast a dividend yield of 3.9%.

    The post 2 slaughtered ASX dividend shares now looking attractive: fund appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended TPG Telecom Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

    Business woman watching stocks and trends while thinking

    Business woman watching stocks and trends while thinking

    On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a very strong day and charged notably higher. The benchmark index jumped 1.7% to 6,779.2 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to fall

    The Australian share market looks set to fall on Wednesday after a volatile but positive night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 54 points or 0.8% lower this morning. That’s despite in late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is now up 0.9%, the S&P 500 is up 0.8%, and the Nasdaq is up 0.5%.

    Oil prices sink

    Energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a tough day after oil prices sank overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 3.1% to US$82.80 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price has fallen 1.8% to US$89.97 a barrel. Global recession fears are weighing on prices.

    BHP Q1 update

    The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price will be one to watch today when the mining giant releases its first quarter update. The market is expecting the Big Australian to report copper production of 429kt, iron ore shipments of 72.3Mt, met coal production of 7.6Mt, and nickel production of 21.1Mt. All eyes will be on its cost guidance as well.

    Gold price falls

    Gold miners Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a subdued day after the gold price dropped overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 0.5% to US$1,655.4 an ounce. Gold fell despite a spot of weakness in the US dollar and treasury yields.

    Webjet shares a strong buy

    The Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price could be heading a lot higher from current levels. According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have added the online travel agent’s shares to their coveted conviction list with a price target of $6.50. It said: “WEB is a structural beneficiary of the recovery from COVID with favorable exposure to the growing online channel and, more importantly, a strong positioning and improving scale in the niche Bedbanks segment.”

    The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Experts say income investors should buy these ASX dividend shares

    Are you looking for some dividend options for your income portfolio this week? If you are, then take a look at the two ASX 200 dividend shares listed below.

    Here’s why they have been tipped to as buys by experts:

    Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP)

    The first ASX 200 dividend share for income investors to look at is Bapcor.

    Through brands such as Autobarn, Burson Auto Parts and Midas, it is the Asia Pacific’s leading provider of vehicle parts, accessories, equipment, service and solutions.

    The team at Citi is positive on Bapcor and has a buy rating and $7.82 price target on the company’s shares. It believes that the company’s guidance for FY 2023 is conservative.

    As for dividends, its analysts are forecasting fully franked dividends of 21 cents per share in FY 2023 and then 24 cents per share in FY 2024. Based on the current Bapcor share price of $6.35, this will mean yields of 3.3% and 3.7%, respectively.

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

    Another ASX 200 dividend share for income investors to consider is this supermarket giant.

    Thanks to its defensive qualities and strong market position, which includes 800+ supermarkets and 900+ liquor retail stores, it has been tipped to continue growing its sales, profits, and dividends in the coming years whatever the economy throws at it.

    This will be supported by the construction of its smart distribution centres, which are aiming to make its operations more efficient and cut costs.

    Morgans is bullish on Coles and has an add rating and $20.00 price target on its shares.

    In respect to dividends, Morgans is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 65 cents in FY 2022 and 66 cents in FY 2023. Based on the current Coles share price of $16.57, this will mean yields of 3.9% and 4%, respectively.

    The post Experts say income investors should buy these ASX dividend shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Bapcor. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why was the Fortescue share price on such a rollercoaster today?

    a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

    The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price was up and down like a yo-yo on Tuesday.

    Fortescue shares closed at $17.07 today, up 0.95% on yesterday’s closing price. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lifted 1.72% today.

    Let’s take a look at what went on with the Fortescue share price today.

    What went on?

    Fortescue shares lifted 1.3% to $17.12 in early trade. However, the company’s shares then slipped into the red during the afternoon before recovering to finish the day in the green.

    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares rose 1.38% today while Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) shares also finished 0.14% in the green.

    Fortescue is among the world’s largest iron ore producers.

    The iron ore price fell 1.55% overnight to US$95 a tonne, Trading Economics data shows. This is its lowest level since November 2021.

    In March, the commodity was fetching almost US$160 a tonne and almost US$230 a tonne in May 2021.

    Overnight, iron ore prices struggled amid news China is planning to maintain its COVID-19 zero strategy. It’s expected to further constrict the nation’s economic growth. China is the biggest iron ore importer in the world.

    Also today, news emerged that iron ore giant Vale SA (NYSE: VALE) produced more iron ore than analysts expected in the last quarter. Vale produced 89.7 million metric tonnes of the commodity, ahead of expectations, Bloomberg reported. This may put more pressure on the iron ore price, the publication noted.

    Meanwhile, fellow iron ore producer Rio Tinto released mixed third-quarter production results today.

    Iron ore production jumped 1% to 83.4 Mt, while iron ore shipments fell 1% year on year to 82.9 Mt. Analysts had been tipping 84.5 Mt of iron ore shipments, my Foolish colleague James noted today.

    Rio noted commodity prices “continued their downward trend” during the quarter, highlighting “there are further downside risks”.

    The Singapore Exchange Iron Ore Futures Contract for November is 0.17% in the red at the time of writing.

    Share price snapshot

    Fortescue shares have gained almost 16% in the past year, but they have fallen 11% year to date.

    For perspective, the ASX 200 has shed 8% in the past year.

    Fortescue has a market cap of $52.5 billion based on the current share price.

    The post Why was the Fortescue share price on such a rollercoaster today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

    Group of people cheer around tablets in officeGroup of people cheer around tablets in office

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) jumped higher on Tuesday, driven by tech shares. The index ended the day 1.72% higher at 6,779.2 points.

    Its strong performance followed Wall Street’s day in the green. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI) lifted 1.9% overnight while the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) surged 2.6% and the Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) rocketed 3.4%.

    It’s likely no surprise then that the S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) led the Aussie bourse today. It soared 4.2% on Tuesday.

    Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) posted a 1.7% gain and the S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) lifted 2%.

    On the other hand, the S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) fell 0.6% after oil prices posted slight losses.

    The Brent crude oil price fell less than 0.1% to US$91.62 a barrel overnight, while the US Nymex crude oil price dumped 0.2% to trade for US$85.46 a barrel.

    All in all, 10 of the ASX 200’s 11 sectors closed higher on Tuesday. But which share outperformed all others? Let’s take a look.

    Top 10 ASX 200 shares countdown

    The Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX) share price topped the lot on Tuesday despite no news having been released by the company.

    Find out more about the battery technology and materials share and what it’s been up to here.

    Today’s biggest gains were made by these shares:

    ASX-listed company Share price Price change
    Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX) $2.13 18.99%
    Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB) $25.21 14.18%
    Telix Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: TLX) $6.21 11.09%
    Block Inc (ASX: SQ2) $92.90 10.69%
    Lake Resources NL (ASX: LKE) $1.09 8.46%
    Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) $8.49 8.02%
    Chalice Mining Ltd (ASX: CHN) $3.97 7.3%
    Seek Limited (ASX: SEK) $21.53 7.17%
    Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) $2.14 7%
    Virgin Money UK (ASX: VUK) $2.41 6.64%

    Our top 10 shares countdown is a recurring end-of-day summary to let you know which companies were making big moves on the day. Check in at Fool.com.au after the weekday market closes to see which stocks make the countdown.

    The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Hub24 Ltd and MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Hub24 Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended COSTA GRP FPO, MEGAPORT FPO, and SEEK Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why the heavily shorted Flight Centre share price could be an outperformer: Macquarie

    A corporate-looking woman looks at her mobile phone as she pulls along her suitcase in another hand while walking through an airport terminal with high glass panelled walls.A corporate-looking woman looks at her mobile phone as she pulls along her suitcase in another hand while walking through an airport terminal with high glass panelled walls.

    The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price flew 4.38% higher today to finish at $15.24.

    It’s been a rocky road for ASX travel shares since the pandemic hit, and the impact continues today.

    Add to that rising inflation and interest rates, which are pushing up living costs and dissuading consumers from buying discretionary goods and services, and rising energy prices making air travel more expensive, and you could say ASX travel shares have some headwinds.

    In light of this, many investors are feeling uncertain about travel stocks. This is one of the reasons Flight Centre remains the most shorted share on the ASX today.

    As my Fool colleague James reported yesterday, Flight Centre has a short interest of 14.75%.

    Broker says AGM could boost Flight Centre share price

    According to the Australian Financial Review (AFR), Macquarie reckons Flight Centre could be among the ASX 100 shares to benefit from mini-trading updates at upcoming annual general meetings (AGMs).

    The broker thinks the AGMs could provide a positive catalyst for the share prices of companies like Flight Centre, Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV), Downer EDI Limited (ASX: DOW), Charter Hall Group (ASX: CHC), and Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG).

    According to the article:

    Macquarie said unemployment rates were still very low and “consumer spending has not declined as feared” in Australia and that could also help travel groups such as Flight Centre.

    Flight Centre will conduct its AGM on 14 November.

    What’s the outlook for ASX travel shares?

    An update from Qantas last week, which sent its share price soaring 12%, could be a positive indicator for the broader travel sector.

    As my Fool colleague Tristan wrote:

    Qantas revealed that travel demand remains “strong” across all categories. This sounds good for the wider ASX travel share sector. Revenue intake for business purposes is more than 100% of pre-COVID levels and leisure revenue intake has “further strengthened” to more than 130%.

    … Qantas noted that the broader operating environment remains “complex” with high fuel prices and high inflation, as well as higher interest rates hitting consumer confidence.

    Even so, the airline believes that “robust demand indicates that people are prioritising spending on travel above other categories”, allowing it to recover higher fuel costs through fares.

    The post Why the heavily shorted Flight Centre share price could be an outperformer: Macquarie appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Flight Centre Travel Group Limited, Macquarie Group Limited, and Qantas Airways Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited and Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Analysts say these ASX 200 shares are buys in October

    A man with a yellow background makes an annoncement, indicating share price changes on the ASX

    A man with a yellow background makes an annoncement, indicating share price changes on the ASX

    If you have room for some new portfolio additions in October, then it could be worth considering the three ASX 200 shares listed below.

    Here’s what you need to know about these buy-rated shares:

    Lovisa Holdings Limited (ASX: LOV)

    The first ASX 200 share to look at is fast-fashion jewellery retailer Lovisa. It could be a top long term option due to the popularity of its affordable offering (potentially important in the current environment) and its bold global expansion plans. In respect to the latter, analysts at Morgans see huge potential in the US market. They highlight that in Australia there are 6 stores per million people. Whereas in the US, Lovisa only has 0.25 stores per million people.  In light of this, the broker feels that this could be “the start of a period of remarkable expansion.”

    Morgans has an add rating and $24.50 price target on its shares.

    ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD)

    Another ASX 200 share to look at is ResMed. It is a medical device company which has a focus on sleep treatment solutions. This is a great market to be in. With education around sleep disorders improving, the company’s addressable market continues to increase. This bodes well for demand for ResMed’s industry-leading hardware and software solutions in the coming years. Particularly given how management estimates that only 20% of sufferers have been diagnosed.

    Credit Suisse is a fan of ResMed and currently has an outperform rating and $40.00 price target on its shares.

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

    A final ASX 200 share to look at is enterprise software provider TechnologyOne. It could be a top option thanks to its ongoing transition to a software-as-a-service (SaaS) focused business. This transition has been going very well and management expects this positive trend to continue in the coming years. In fact, it is aiming to almost double its annual recurring revenue (ARR) to $500 million by FY 2026. This also bodes well for its profit growth, given it is higher margin revenue.

    The team at Bell Potter is very positive on Technology One and currently has an add rating and $14.25 price target on its shares.

    The post Analysts say these ASX 200 shares are buys in October appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Lovisa Holdings Ltd and ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Lovisa Holdings Ltd and TechnologyOne Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 4 ASX tech shares with ‘long runways for growth at valuations rarely seen’: expert

    A man sits in casual clothes in front of a computer amid graphic images of data superimposed on the image, as though he is engaged in IT or hacking activities.A man sits in casual clothes in front of a computer amid graphic images of data superimposed on the image, as though he is engaged in IT or hacking activities.

    The S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) has had a ripper day, closing 4.19% higher on Tuesday. But it’s still down 31% in the year to date.

    The broader S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) finished 1.86% higher today and remains down 11% in 2022 so far.

    So, you see the potential opportunity here.

    ASX tech shares have been sold off much more than ASX shares overall in 2022. This is because rising inflation and interest rates have made technology investors nervous.

    The Aussie tech market is pretty young compared to that of the United States. Young companies tend to be small-cap shares with market capitalisations of between a few hundred million and about $2 billion.

    As they’re in their growth phase, most of them carry a fair bit of debt (which gets much more expensive as rates rise, eating into profits). Many of them weren’t profitable before interest rates rose, anyway.

    So, not so attractive to investors when inflation is eating into their returns.

    But that’s short-term thinking. Here at the Fool, we advocate buying and holding for the long term.

    Nick Sladen of LSN Capital Partners is thinking longer term, too.

    Sladen writes on Livewire that “the current drawdown is presenting opportunities to invest in high-quality small cap businesses, with long runways for growth at valuations that are rarely seen”.  

    ASX small-caps ‘strongest after major drawdowns’

    Sladen says ASX small-cap shares are the go for better returns during the eventual recovery:

    … while all cycles are not the same in terms of duration and performance, history tells us that small caps returns are the strongest after major drawdowns, with liquidity and valuations a major driver of this.

    Valuations in small caps overall are now at levels only seen during previous periods of market turmoil (GFC, Euro Debt crisis) and for those companies that can deliver earnings growth, this will provide investors with a platform for strong returns over the medium to long term.

    Obviously, the global economy has a way to go before inflation is under control and rate hikes stop. The share market is going to be volatile while this plays out.

    But Sladen says analysts will eventually turn their attention to “which companies are successfully navigating the headwinds”.

    They’ll also look at which ASX shares have been hammered most and now present attractive buying. In other words, ASX tech shares.

    4 ASX tech shares to benefit

    Sladen said the LSN Emerging Companies Fund has been taking advantage of the market sell-off.

    There are four ASX tech shares that Sladen and his team like at the moment. They are Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB), Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL), ELMO Software Ltd (ASX: ELO), and Life360 Inc (ASX: 360).

    He explained:

    We consider the best return opportunities are in those companies that operate in structurally growing industries who can deliver earnings growth despite the difficult economic backdrop.

    The specialist platform providers (HUB24 (ASX: HUB)/Netwealth (ASX: NWL)) continue to grow as they benefit from market share gains, providing annuity-style revenue, high margins, and strong cash flow. The industry tailwinds support a clear trajectory for growth over the long term. 

    Life360 (ASX: 360) is the global leader in family safety services with an addressable market of well over $12b. With a growing subscriber base and strong pricing power, the business is well-positioned to scale into profitability in the period ahead. 

    Elmo Software (ASX: ELO) is the largest domestic HR tech company which has compounded four-year organic annualised recurring revenue [ARR] of +38%. The company is on the cusp of profitability and has now attracted takeover interest.

    The post 4 ASX tech shares with ‘long runways for growth at valuations rarely seen’: expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of September 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Elmo Software, Hub24 Ltd, Life360, Inc., and Netwealth. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Elmo Software, Hub24 Ltd, and Netwealth. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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