• Why the NAB share price is surging higher today

    NAB Shares

    The big four ASX banks are surging higher this morning with the National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price leading the charge after it boosted its capital raise limits due to strong demand.

    The NAB share price jumped 5.3% to a more than two month high of $17.52 at the time of writing.

    The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price and Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price aren’t far behind with a gain of around 5% each.

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) is the laggard with a 2.4% rise to $62.79, although that is still well ahead of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO), which slipped 0.4% into the red.

    More demand than supply

    Optimism towards NAB was likely triggered by its share purchase plan (SPP) update. The bank more than doubled its intended takings from the SPP after receiving better than expected demand from retail shareholders.

    NAB said it will now accept $1.25 billion in new capital from the SPP compared to its original target of $500 million.

    It could have accepted even more as the bank will be scaling back valid applications from shareholders. Its promising to allocate a minimum of 176 SPP shares, which are priced at $14.15 each, but said around 98% of shareholders will at least receive their pro-rata allocation.

    Extra cash means extra options

    The SPP amount is on top of the $3 billion it raised from institutional investors through a placement, and I think this is a good outcome for NAB.

    The extra cash injection will go a long way to remove any worries about its capital adequacy. NAB is the only one of the big four that undertook a cap raise although its bad debt provisioning is the smallest at around $800 million.

    Analysts believe that is too little when CBA and Westpac have set aside around $1.5 billion each to buffer against loan defaults in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Money buys time

    NAB will likely have to increase its provisioning and the extra cash will come in useful. The extra ammunition will also give its new boss Ross McEwan extra flexibility for the scandal-prone banks to play catch up.

    Further, the scale-back of the SPP will likely leave pent-up demand for its stock on the secondary market (i.e. shares trading on the ASX). This means investors are unlikely to be able to buy shares in the bank as cheaply as the $14.15 offer price – at least not for the foreseeable future.

    Foolish takeaway on ASX banks

    The banks aren’t out of the woods yet and are still trading well below where they were earlier in the year. But the worst may be over unless we get a big second wave of coronavirus infection or some other black swan event.

    This bodes well for the broader market and the economy as both can’t outperform if the banking sector is sick.

    As my wise former colleague at the Australian Financial Review, Andrew Cornell, once told me during a discussion about super profits – the only thing worse than a profitable bank is an unprofitable one!

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Limited, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank Limited, and Westpac Banking. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

    The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ASX growth stocks that could become 10-baggers in the next decade

    lots of piggy banks, asx growth stocks

    Over the past decade we have seen a large number of ASX growth stocks reach 10-bagger status. As the name suggests, a 10-bagger share returns 10 times its initial investment. Some of these have performed even more spectacularly, returning over 100 times their initial investment. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but what about the next 10 years?

    2 ASX growth stocks with 10-bagger potential

    LiveHire Ltd (ASX: LVH)

    Many of the ASX 10-bagger shares of the past decade came from companies that either worked in, worked with or adapted electronic or internet technology. Altium Limited (ASX: ALU), for example, makes software to design printed circuit boards. Jumbo Interactive Ltd (ASX: JIN) took lottery sales online and then licensed the product to other lottery sales organisations.

    When it comes to next 10 years, I think LiveHire is going to be a top ASX growth stock. In my view its share price is a strong contender to grow by at least 10 times. At the time of writing, LiveHire’s shares are sitting at $0.24 each and the company has a market cap of just $71 million. I have no problem seeing this company grow to a market cap of $710 million.

    In a crowded job market, the company has found a way to differentiate itself. It holds career CV’s just like Microsoft’s LinkedIn and hosts job ads like SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK). But it also acts as a recruitment platform for many top tier organisations. Its share price jumped up yesterday on news that it had secured a contract with the Victorian government. Furthermore, the company had already secured a similar agreement with the Queensland government.

    Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL)

    I think one of this year’s great, ASX growth stock no-brainers is Bellevue Gold. I believe this company’s shares definitely have the potential to achieve 10-bagger status over the coming decade. A standout ASX 10-bagger share over the past 10 years was Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST). Northern Star paid back over 470 times the initial investment. This turned an initial investment of $10,000 back in January 2010 into over $4.7 million today. 

    Bellevue is a gold exploration company with one of the highest grade gold projects on the planet. The mine is a proven, gold-rich resource that has been mined for over 100 years. Using modern exploration techniques and technology, Bellevue has uncovered an additional 2.2 million oz gold resource. It is also at far shallower depths than other West Australian underground mines. 

    Furthermore, Bellevue has managed to secure several operational leaders from Northern Star. These are people who have done this before and been on board during the Northern Star share price’s meteoric rise. I feel these factors, along with the company’s continued growth using existing infrastructure, will all stack up to deliver exceptional share price growth over the coming decade. 

    Foolish takeaway

    While there are many ASX growth stocks with the potential to become 10-bagger shares over the next decade, LiveHire and Bellevue have stood out to me as the most obvious over the past 6 months. Both have very competent and proven management teams. They each have competitive advantages and differentiate themselves well from other market players. Moreover, both have steadily increased their share price over the year to date. 

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    Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Jumbo Interactive Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Jumbo Interactive Limited and SEEK Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Cyclopharm share price rockets 22% higher on FDA application approval

    Dollar signs arrows pointing higher

    The Cyclopharm Limited (ASX: CYC) share price has rocketed out of the gates this morning after the company announced another milestone in its quest to gain approval in the lucrative US market.

    After jumping as much as 21.83% higher in early trade, Cyclopharm shares have pulled back somewhat to currently sit 9.16% higher at $1.55 per share. This takes its market capitalisation at the time of writing to around $121 million.

    About Cyclopharm

    Cyclopharm is a radiopharmaceutical company primarily involved in the field of nuclear medicine. It operates in the diagnostic imaging field, specialising in lung health.

    The company’s core radiopharmaceutical product is Technegas, a structured ultra-fine dispersion of radioactive labelled carbon used in lung ventilation imaging.

    Cyclopharm has a global presence, distributing its products in 57 countries throughout the world with more than 1,500 medicine departments utilising Technegas.

    Why is the Cyclopharm share price rocketing?

    This morning, Cyclopharm announced that it has been granted approval to file status for its new drug application (NDA) for Technegas. 

    As a result, Technegas will now proceed to the next stage of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval process – review. The review stage will involve a 10-month qualitative review where the FDA will assess “the safety and efficacy of Technegas as a nuclear medicine functional lung ventilation imaging agent”

    The NDA approval announced today marks the 3rd milestone in the company’s 7-step pathway to achieving FDA approval for Technegas.

    Commenting on today’s update, CEO James McBrayer said:

    We are absolutely thrilled with the progress we are making in completing the steps to gain approval to market Technegas in the USA. This Approval to File follows our successful lodgment in March and a full USD $2.9m Fee Waiver designation in April. Today’s notification confirms that we are on track for Technegas to be approved early next year.

    As for Cyclopharm’s total addressable market opportunity, Mr McBrayer stated:

    The United States is the largest nuclear medicine market in the world. We estimate the size of the US market for Technegas in diagnosing the presence of Pulmonary Embolism (PE) is approximately US$90 million in sales per annum. Following USFDA approval to sell into that market, we will be targeting a 50% share of this market in the first 2 to 3 years, rising to 80% over 5 to 7 years.

    The company also has plans to expand Technegas beyond PE into new applications, such as the diagnosis and monitoring of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, and other respiratory diseases.

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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