• Why Leigh Creek, Lynas, Monadelphous, & TechnologyOne are dropping lower

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has started the week very strongly. In late morning trade the benchmark index is up 1.6% to 5,583.9 points.

    Four shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping lower:

    The Leigh Creek Energy Ltd (ASX: LCK) share price is down 5.5% to 8.3 cents. On Thursday the gas producer put its shares in a trading halt pending a material announcement in relation to a proposed capital raising. This morning the company launched an underwritten share purchase plan to raise just $1 million. It is raising the funds at a 20% discount to the five-day volume weighted average price on June 15.

    The Lynas Corporation Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price is down 2% to $2.07. Investors have been selling the rare earths producer’s shares after it revealed doubts over its U.S. activities. Last month the U.S. Department of Defense revealed that it plans to award a Phase I contract for a U.S. based Heavy Rare Earth separation facility to Lynas. Since then there have been objections to its construction. So much so, Lynas understands that plans are now on hold while political issues are addressed.

    The Monadelphous Group Limited (ASX: MND) share price has fallen 3.5% to $10.35. This decline appears to have been driven by a broker note out of Ord Minnett. This morning the broker retained its lighten rating on the engineering company’s shares and slashed the price target on them to $10.00. It has concerns over the impact of the pandemic on its operations.

    The TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) share price has continued its slide and is down a further 4% to $9.53. The enterprise software company’s shares have come under pressure since the release of its half year update. Investors appear underwhelmed by its 6% lift in sales and profits during the six months ending March 31. Especially given the significant premium that its shares trade at.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Should you invest $1,000 in Altium shares today?

    Circuit board, Altium shares

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) shares have edged 5.41% higher this year, but is the Aussie tech company in the buy zone?

    What’s happened to Altium shares in 2020?

    The Aussie tech share started the year in typically strong fashion. In fact, Altium hit a new 52-week high of $42.76 as recently as February 17. There’s been quite a bit of downhill from there with Altium shares bottoming at a 52-week low of $23.11 on March 23.

    Unsurprisingly, Altium was not the only WAAAX share to fall lower in March. Even Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) shares fell to $8.90 but have since bounced back to over $46 per share. 

    The Aussie-American software business focuses on electronic design systems for 3D printed circuit boards (PCBs). However, many of the company’s small and medium enterprise (SME) business customers have been short on cash amid the pandemic.

    Altium shares have made a recovery since their March lows, and are trading at $36.60 per share right now. That’s despite the recent business update announcing some headwinds for the tech group.

    Altium has launched ‘attractive pricing’ and extended payment terms to drive volume. This means that while volume should increase, the price component is likely to drive down revenue and cash flow in the short-term.

    However, it’s not all doom and gloom for the software company. Altium’s push for more volume could drive market share and position it as a clear market leader in the medium to long-term.

    With a strong cash balance and clear strategic goals, Altium shares could be on the move again in 2020.

    There’s also something to be said for a strong US presence. The nature of the pandemic has forced many countries to look internally for business growth.

    Altium could be well-placed to drive further change in both Australia and the United States thanks to its unique market positioning.

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    No one knows where Altium shares are headed in 2020, but I feel the company’s long-term outlook still looks good. I think it could be a good value ASX tech share to buy if you want to boost your portfolio growth potential.

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    Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO and Altium. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Europe’s Debt Reckoning May Mean Tough Choices on Who to Tax

    Europe’s Debt Reckoning May Mean Tough Choices on Who to Tax(Bloomberg) — Europe’s leaders may be united on the need to throw money at economies during the coronavirus crisis, but they have yet to confront how to pay for it all.That reckoning could force governments across the region into tough choices about where to lay the burden among voters already disillusioned with political establishments — a decade after the global financial crisis presented them with previous bills to settle.Europe’s austerity experiments since then, from Greece to the U.K., provide cautionary tales of either the economic damage or electoral fatigue that spending cuts can cause. With those bitter experiences in mind, politicians are already fielding questions about tax hikes on either wealth or income — even if they too might threaten to hurt growth.Alternatives include tolerating higher debts such as Japan does, or perhaps trying to inflict a dose of inflation to erode them away — itself a tax of sorts. With sovereign borrowing costs historically low, such approaches may look tempting as the bills rack up fast. Debt ratios in the euro area and U.K. may top the 100% milestone this year.“There are very few easy or politically attractive ways to deal with this,” said James Athey, a money manager at Aberdeen Standard Investments. “The ideal way to pay for this is to generate growth that’s higher than your cost of funding. Unfortunately, I think that’s going to be very difficult.”As European governments rapidly ramp up borrowing to aid economies, the region’s experience of austerity is framing the debate on how to tackle debt. Applying such medicine too forcefully in Greece in 2010 led the International Monetary Fund to conclude that it had caused more harm than good to public finances and growth.In the U.K., whose 2010 deficit also ballooned to a Greek-like level, austerity under former Prime Minister David Cameron coincided with years of negligible growth. Whether or not that followed from spending cuts, it did fuel discontent that contributed to his political demise when the country voted to leave the European Union.“European governments got worried about the large increase in debt and shifted to fiscal austerity, probably excessively slowing the recovery,” said former IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard.One discussion in Europe is whether taxes should rise when the recovery takes hold. Switzerland’s Social Democrats want higher income taxes, and the U.K. media is also awash with speculation about potential tax increases.A further argument is focused on wealth taxes. The minority partner in Spain’s coalition is mulling such a proposal, while in France, where the government recently reduced wealth tax, economist Thomas Piketty says history shows such measures are the best way of bringing down huge public debt. Camille Landais, a professor of economics at the London School of Economics, even suggests a time-limited, Europe-wide wealth tax.“If there needs to be some form of mild rebalancing of public finances it must be in a way that is fair, and essentially targets individuals that are most able to weather this,” said Landais.German Chancellor Angela Merkel has already been forced to deny any plans for higher taxes for now, while French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said he doesn’t want to reapply the country’s levy on wealth. Athey says such reactions are understandable.“The notion of raising taxes that don’t retard growth is very difficult,” he said.The crisis may also reignite calls to change the mindset in the euro zone at least, where German-stipulated limits on deficits and debt were cemented into its monetary union. In Japan and the U.S., higher outright debt loads are accepted for longer while governments stabilize spending and curb borrowings through economic growth, conveniently shifting some of the burden to future generations of politicians too.Helping governments to keep debt costs under control are the actions of central banks. Their hoovering up of bonds has largely removed concerns over spiralling borrowing costs which dominated the early 2010s, and provide a foundation for public finances to start fixing themselves.“The only sensible way out of over-indebtedness or high debts is more economic dynamism,” Marcel Fratzscher, President of DIW German Institute for Economic Research, said this month. “That’s the lesson after the global financial crisis.”Central banks may also face pressure from governments to keep monetary policy loose for longer, tolerating inflation that erodes the value of government debts — a tactic that helped the U.K. to bring its borrowings under control in the era after World War II.Inflation, while long craved by monetary authorities since the financial crisis, would also hurt savings and evoke painful memories for some countries, from Germany in the 1930s to the U.K. in the 1970s. Fratzscher says that as a policy to reduce debt, it’s “damaging.”But what if debt just can’t be brought under control? William White, a senior fellow at the C.D. Howe Institute in Toronto and a former chief economist at the Bank for International Settlements, says that outcome is a real possibility.“We’re on a bad path here of debt accumulation,” he said. “Thinking much more seriously about debt restructuring in an orderly way is required.”For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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