• Top brokers name 3 ASX 200 shares to sell next week

    Broker holding red flag in front of bear

    Once again, a large number of broker notes hit the wires last week. Some of these notes were positive and some were bearish.

    Three sell ratings that caught my eye are summarised below. Here’s why top brokers think investors ought to sell these shares next week:

    Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT)

    The bearish analysts at UBS have retained their sell rating but lifted the price target on this payments company’s shares slightly to $14.00. According to the note, the broker was impressed with its growth in the U.S. market, but feels it is a little soon to get excited. It notes that this has been driven by lockdowns and store closures and shouldn’t be extrapolated by investors. The Afterpay share price ended the week materially higher than the broker’s price target at $47.41.

    Tabcorp Holdings Limited (ASX: TAH)

    A note out of Citi reveals that its analysts have resumed coverage on this gambling company’s shares with a sell rating and $2.80 price target. The broker notes that Tabcorp is facing a number of headwinds. These include store closures, sports betting uncertainty, and the cycling of a run of large lottery jackpots from last year. In light of this, it expects the company’s earnings to come under pressure in FY 2020 and FY 2021. The Tabcorp share price last traded at $3.22.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

    According to another note out of Citi, its analysts have retained their sell rating but lifted the price target on this conglomerate’s shares to $36.00. The broker sees positives in its decision to consolidate the Target store network. It has also upgraded its earnings estimates to reflect stronger growth from the Bunnings and Officeworks business. However, this isn’t enough for a change of rating. The broker continues to believe its shares are fully valued and retains its sell rating. Wesfarmers’ shares ended the week at $40.37.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO and Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Marathon Oil Stock Will Continue to Limp Along as the Pandemic Continues

    Marathon Oil Stock Will Continue to Limp Along as the Pandemic ContinuesMarathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) is one of the many oil and gas producers pushed to the limit due to the novel coronavirus. MRO stock has shed 56% of its value since December 2019, whereas the SPDR Energy Select Sector exchange-traded fund dropped 35% in the same period.Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.com Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) recently turned bearish on MRO stock due to its challenging outlook and substantial debt levels. CEO Lee Tillman believes the company is undergoing unprecedented challenges.Still, I believe it has enough in the tank to emerge from this crisis as a stronger company with a leaner cost structure and sufficient financial flexibility. However, given the uncertainty in the market and the company's weakening liquidity position, it will be tough for MRO to bounce back in the short term. Let's take a closer look at the company's fortunes and try to understand where it's going next.InvestorPlace – Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips MRO Stock and a Dismal Q1The first quarter was tough for Marathon, mainly due to the substantial dip in demand for crude oil and considerable reductions in oil prices. * 7 Red-Hot Vaccine Stocks Racing to Develop a Coronavirus Cure Oil markets played double jeopardy due to the pandemic and escalation in tensions between Russia and Saudi Arabia. The reduction in demand resulted in a loss of $0.16 per share, which was slightly higher than analyst expectations.Total revenues and other income rose by 2.7% from the year-ago period, which was buttressed by a $202 million net benefit on its commodity derivatives–additionally, revenues from contracts reduced by 14.7% due to a decline in the realized oil prices.On the back of its disappointing first-quarter results, Marathon announced that it would be slashing costs, capital expenditures, and halting shareholder rewards. The capital budget will be reduced by 50%, which will impact production levels in the near term.Moreover, the cash reductions in its costs are planned at 20%, compared to its initial budget. A sizeable portion of these costs are fixed in nature; therefore, the resultant savings will be sustained even when production volumes rise.According to Tillman, these cost savings "will result in a $5 to $6 per barrel improvement in our cash flow breakeven oil price."It's in an unwarranted position in terms of liquidity, with roughly $800 million in cash and cash equivalents and $3 billion in borrowing capacity. Its debt to equity ratio is 28% higher than the industry average. Also, its current ratio is 40% lower than the industry average.However, management feels that the suspension of its dividend share purchase plan will allow the company t0 to strengthen its liquidity position and improve cash flow. ValuationAnalysts have had differing viewpoints about the MRO stock valuation. Morgan Stanley believes MRO stock should be valued at $5, which is roughly 18% lower than its current price.Mean estimates for the stock price are at the $7 mark, but the difference between the high and low estimates is more than three times its current share price.The company's trailing 12 months price-earnings ratio is 21.2, which is significantly higher than the Oil and Gas sector's ratio at 10.25. Using the P/E ratio, we can calculate the company's enterprise value and its stock price. The formula is given as follows:Enterprise Value= P/E ratio (TTM) * Net income (TTM)= 21.2* $260 million= $5.51 billion / 804 million shares= $6.85The results show that the company is trading at a 16% bargain to its current stock price of $5.89. These results are in line with the analyst estimates, which indicated a $7 price per share. Looking AheadThings aren't looking too great for Marathon in the second quarter, either. In light of the volatility in the global commodity prices and the economic environment, the company has withdrawn its guidance for the upcoming quarters.It expects U.S. crude oil production to decline by roughly 8% on a divestiture-adjusted basis. The company will assess the need for curtailments in response to market conditions.The company's current quarter estimates have drastically reduced in the past 90 days from $0.09 to $-0.56, which represents a loss of 717%. Analysts expect the quarterly loss to be at $0.55, which represents a 244% increase from the previous quarter. However, they expect things to improve in the third quarter somewhat.Currently, the demand for gasoline remains highly uncertain along with jet fuel; hence the company would have to focus on kerosene to drive company value in the foreseeable future. Going forward, the company must manage its leverage by controlling capital expenditures and operational costs as much as possible. Bottom LineDespite making efforts to control costs, Marathon still finds itself in a precarious situation heading into the second quarter.The oil price recovery is still in its early stages, and the slowness of the rebound will continue to hurt the company for the better part of this year.Morgan Stanley believes that by 2021, the company's leverage per strip will be 2.5 times more than the industry median. Additionally, credit rating firms such as S&P Global and Moody's have significantly lowered their credit rating in the past few weeks. Therefore, I have a bearish outlook on MRO stock.As of this writing, Muslim Farooque did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * Top Stock Picker Reveals His Next 1,000% Winner * The Huge Story for 2020 & Beyond That You Aren't Hearing About * Revolutionary Tech Behind 5G Rollout Is Being Pioneered By This 1 Company * The 1 Stock All Retirees Must Own The post Marathon Oil Stock Will Continue to Limp Along as the Pandemic Continues appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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  • Buy these quality ASX dividend shares next week

    Dividends financial section of newspaper

    If you’re looking to invest in ASX dividend shares, then I think the ones below could be quality options. 

    All three have strong businesses and offer investors generous dividends. Here’s why I would buy them next week:

    BWP Trust (ASX: BWP)

    The first ASX dividend share to buy is BWP. It is a real estate investment trust which invests in and manages commercial properties throughout Australia. The majority of its properties are leased to hardware giant Bunnings. Given the quality of the Bunnings business, I believe the risk of rental defaults is minimal. Especially considering that Bunnings is owned by Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), which also owns a sizeable stake in BWP. Overall, I believe BWP is well-placed to grow its distribution at a solid rate over the next decade. At present I estimate that it offers investors a 4.8% yield.

    Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG)

    If you’re not averse to investing in the resources sector, then I think Fortescue could be a great ASX dividend share to own. Spot iron ore prices have remained strong throughout the pandemic and last week smashed through the US$100 a tonne mark. This bodes well for Fortescue and its low cost operations and improving grades. And given the strength of its balance sheet, it also bodes well for dividends this year and next. Predicting its dividend yield is difficult, but I believe it is safe to say it will be at least 6% in FY 2021.

    Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG)

    A final ASX dividend share to consider buying is Macquarie. I like the investment bank due to the quality of its operations and its talented management team. Another positive is the diversity of its earnings. This diversity means Macquarie can often thrive when the big four banks are struggling. And while the pandemic will inevitably weigh on its performance in the near term, I believe it will bounce back very strongly once the crisis passes. I estimate that its shares offer investors a partially franked 4.2% FY 2021 dividend yield.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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