ASX bank shares Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ), and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) all face another competitor in Australia: Revolut.

CBA and the other majors already face a lot of competition from the likes of ING, HSBC, Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ), Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN), Pepper Money Ltd (ASX: PPM), Mystate Ltd (ASX: MYS), and AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP).

Perhaps the biggest impact on the big four banks in recent years has been Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG), which has genuinely become a serious competitor. Macquarie is rapidly capturing market share on both the loans and deposits side of things.

Revolut is a technology-focused UK bank that’s already got a valuation that is similar to ANZ Group. According to reporting by the Australian Financial Review, Revolut has recently been granted an Australian banking licence.

Revolut to disrupt the major ASX bank shares?

The AFR reported that Revolut Bank Australia has secured an unrestricted licence from the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority – granted five years after the application.

Revolut reportedly already has 1 million Australian users, with that number doubling each of the last 4 years. Its key offering is a money management app that can make payments, move money between countries, and buy shares.

Customer deposits are now being moved to deposit accounts thanks to the banking licence. Revolut customers will have up to $250,000 of their money protected by the government guarantee.

Revolut can also pay interest on customer savings, while giving itself a better source of funding. The UK bank can also offer personal lending and credit cards.

The AFR reported that Revolut Bank Australia CEO Matt Baxby said:

The natural place to take share is from traditional banks. I don’t think there’s any question we’re providing incremental competition and innovation. It’s very difficult for them to play offence. Their natural game is defence because they’ve got large franchises’ revenue streams to protect.

The newspaper also noted that “several major bank executives have privately cited Revolut as being one of the biggest competitors to local lenders.”

So, it seems like major ASX bank shares are well aware of the potential competition from Revolut.

Should shareholders of CBA, ANZ, NAB, and Westpac be worried?

I think it could be unwise to completely dismiss what Revolut can achieve. Yes, some of the other smaller, digital banks that have come along have not been able to challenge them. They were too small, with the majors having insurmountable scale advantages.

However, I think it’s important to look at how Macquarie has changed the sector. Macquarie was a well-funded business and had the scale to invest heavily, accept a lower margin, and build great tools. Revolut is already a big business, making billions of dollars in profit.

I’ve already been cautious investing in ASX bank shares for some time, and this gives me another reason to look at other ASX shares.

The post This UK bank plans to disrupt CBA, ANZ, NAB and Westpac appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bendigo And Adelaide Bank. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Judo Capital Holdings Ltd (ASX: JDO) shares are slipping today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stock closed yesterday trading for 91 cents. In early afternoon trade on Wednesday, shares are swapping hands for 90.7 cents apiece, down 0.3%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is up 0.2% at this same time.

Unfortunately for faithful stockholders, today’s underperformance isn’t a one-off. With today’s intraday move factored in, the challenger bank’s share price is down a painful 49.6% in 2026.

Most of that pain came in a single day. Namely, 25 June, when Judo shares crashed 40.4% after the bank increased its forecast full-year FY 2026 cost of risk estimates and slashed its full-year profit guidance.

And looking ahead, Investor Pulse’s Mark Elzayed believes Judo Bank could continue to struggle (courtesy of The Bull).

Here’s why.

Why Judo shares could face ongoing headwinds

“This Australian lender focuses on small and medium size enterprises,” Elzayed said.

Commenting on the 25 June downgrades that sent the ASX 200 bank stock into a tailspin, Elzayed noted:

Judo recently cut profit before tax guidance in fiscal year 2026 to between $163 million and $169 million from a previous range of between $180 million and $190 million. It was primarily driven by a higher cost of risk now expected to range between $116 million and $122 million following specific provisions against three exposures across different sectors.

And while management is forecasting profit growth for FY 2027, that guidance also left investors wanting.

“Profit before tax guidance of between $210 million and $220 million in full year 2027 was below market expectations of $255.1 million,” Elzayed said.

Summarising his sell recommendation on Judo shares, he concluded, “In our view, market reaction reflects more than a one-off potential earnings downgrade. Provisioning risk remains elevated, so we retain a sell on Judo Capital.”

What did the ASX 200 bank stock’s CEO say about the downgrades?

“While today’s update is partly a result of the macro environment, it is nevertheless disappointing,” CEO Chris Bayliss said on the day Judo shares crashed 40.4%.

“Regardless, we remain confident in the strength of our underlying business and the quality of the portfolio,” he added.

Addressing the root of the profit downgrade, Bayliss said:

We continue to see strong underlying momentum in the business. Recent credit outcomes have been driven by a small number of customers, who we are actively working with. These exposures have deteriorated subsequent to the customer-by-customer review undertaken in the third quarter and reflect recent, borrower-specific developments.

The post Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Judo shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Sell Judo shares and 2 other ASX small caps: experts
• 2 ASX shares tipped to grow 45% or more in the next 12 months
• 9 ASX 200 shares downgraded by analysts this week
• 3 ASX 200 shares with 50% to 100% upside in FY27
• Buy, hold, sell: CAR Group, Judo Capital, and Worley shares

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

A bunch of new research notes have come out this week, with brokers issuing buy ratings on some interesting companies.

Let’s see which ones they like.

NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT)

NextDC shares are flat over the past 12 months, having traded as low as $10.74 and as high as $17.93.

UBS has a price target of $22.55 on NextDC shares compared to $14.03 currently.

The broker referred to a recent announcement NextDC made to the ASX, which said that following further contract wins, NextDC’s contracted utilisation had increased by 11% to 740 megawatts.

NextDC said at the time, “the pro-forma forward order book is expected to progressively convert to billings, revenue and EBITDA over the period FY26 to FY30”.

UBS said there was “very little” detail in the update, but said it was “another substantial win”.

The broker added that it was not possible to put a number on the earnings impact, as it was unclear whether it was a neocloud or AI contract.

Alkane Resources Ltd (ASX: ALK)

UBS has actually downgraded its price target for Alkane by 40 cents to $1.75, but still has a buy rating on the gold stock, which was last changing hands for $1.35.

The broker said the company’s recently-released quarterly costs came in above their estimates, and FY27 guidance was soft.

Alkane also proposed a maiden 2-cent dividend in the recent update, having built its cash holdings to $432 million.

Managing Director Nic Earner said it was a good end to the year for the company.

He said:

It has been another great quarter for Alkane, producing 40,949 ounces of gold and 456 tonnes of antimony (42,491 ounces of gold equivalent) over the full quarter, which places full year FY26 production at 168,337 ounces of gold equivalent, in the top half of guidance.

UBS said M&A activity would remain in focus as the most viable way for the company to grow production.

The broker added:

Near term production in Tier 1 jurisdictions remains the preference, and we continue to view ALK’s holding of Medallion Metals (ASX: MM8), with its Ravensthorpe Gold Project as an interesting option.

BCI Minerals Ltd (ASX: BCI)

Shaw and Partners has a buy rating on this salt project developer, saying in a research note this week that the company was progressing well.

The broker said:

Mardie has advanced significantly since our recent initiation, achieving construction completion of 85% (82% including the crystalliser lining program), up from 81% in March. Crucially, the operation has commenced salt precipitation on schedule, exiting the initial filling phase to become an active producer with 49kt of crystallised salt on pavement at quarter end. The critical path to First Salt on Ship remains governed by natural solar evaporation and weather conditions during this early phase. Management continues to target operational readiness for FSOS by MarQCY27.

Shaw and Partners said as the project closes the gap to its first commercial harvest, “the current market valuation continues to significantly discount the tier-1 replacement value of this 60-plus year infrastructure asset. We expect a major equity re-rating as execution risks give way to structural cash flow”.

The broker has a price target of 75 cents on BCI compared to 42.75 cents currently.

The post Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy with gains of up to 75% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
• This ASX gold miner has just proposed a maiden dividend payment
• NEXTDC share price on watch as contracted utilisation rises and forward order book grows
• 3 top ASX 200 shares I’d buy for a self-managed superannuation fund
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has positions in Nextdc. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.