• Oil drops after China abandons target for 2020 GDP amid coronavirus outbreak

    Oil drops after China abandons target for 2020 GDP amid coronavirus outbreakOil prices slumped on Friday after China’s decision to omit an economic growth target for 2020 renewed concerns that the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic will continue to depress fuel demand in the world’s second-largest oil user. Brent crude fell $1.56, or 4.3%, to $34.50 a barrel by 0323 GMT, after gaining nearly 1% on Thursday. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped by $1.79, or 5.3%, to $32.13 a barrel, having gained more than 1% in the last session.

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  • Oil Retreats With Doubts Over China Eating Away at Weekly Gain

    Oil Retreats With Doubts Over China Eating Away at Weekly Gain(Bloomberg) — Oil retreated from the highest level in more than two months as doubts over the strength of China’s economic recovery and rising tensions between Washington and Beijing ate away at its weekly advance.Futures in New York fell around 5% toward $32 a barrel on Friday, but are still headed for a fourth consecutive weekly gain. Beijing said it wouldn’t set a gross domestic product target this year due to “great uncertainty” over the coronavirus, although it did announce some new stimulus spending. The question marks over China’s economy come as relations with the U.S. deteriorate, potentially complicating the global recovery from the pandemic.However, the backdrop for oil still looks promising as the market rebalances. U.S. drillers are in the process of curtailing 1.75 million barrels a day of existing production by early June, IHS Markit said. That’s on top of OPEC+’s agreement to curb almost 10 million barrels a day of output, which is being strictly adhered to after taking effect at the beginning of May.The cuts are eroding the stockpiles built up amid coronavirus lockdowns and the price war, with inventories at the U.S. storage hub at Cushing, Oklahoma, shrinking by the most on record last week. And while there are doubts over China, demand in Asia’s largest economy is almost back to pre-virus levels.Oil’s fast rebound has taken many in the market by surprise, especially given the path back to a full economic recovery looks to be long and uncertain and the risk of a second wave of the virus can’t be discounted. It’s also raised the possibility that U.S. shale producers will start to turn on the taps again and that the strict compliance with the OPEC+ agreement might break down.“The nascent demand recovery is still vulnerable, and the drop in prices today is an injection of reality,” said Victor Shum, vice president of energy consulting at IHS Markit in Singapore. “China not giving a GDP target means they are not quite certain about the recovery yet.”West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery dropped 5.3% to $32.13 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 12:14 p.m. in Singapore. It rose 1.3% Thursday in a sixth straight gain. Brent for July settlement fell 3.7% to $34.71 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange and is up around 7% on-week.China’s oil demand earlier this month was probably at 92% of levels at the same time last year, IHS Markit said in a report. Full-year consumption is likely to be around 8% lower than in 2019, the energy consultant said.The oil industry will enter a structural phase of no production growth outside of OPEC starting next year, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said in a note based on an analysis of upstream projects. OPEC may be required to supply as much as an additional 7 million barrels a day through to 2025 from pre-virus levels, while U.S. shale will emerge from the current slump as a lower growth and more cash generative industry, the bank said.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Why this ASX infrastructure company could help protect your portfolio in a downturn

    Protect your money

    Shares in ASX essential network services business Service Stream Limited (ASX: SSM) look set to end the week down more than 6% despite the company’s attempts to reassure the market that it hasn’t been experiencing any overly negative financial impacts from COVID-19.

    Service Stream designs, constructs, operates and maintains essential telecommunications and utilities infrastructure, including water and gas distribution networks. With large portions of the Australian population still more or less confined to their homes, people are relying on this infrastructure now more than ever.

    In a business update released to the market on Thursday, Service Stream stated that demand for its services had remained strong throughout the pandemic. However, it did note that the costs of delivering those services had increased, and some “minor” projects had been delayed or paused.

    Service Stream had originally forecast operational earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation expenses (EBITDA) for the second half of FY20 to be in line with the first half result of $58.1 million. Due to the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic, the company now expects full year operational EBITDA to be $108 million, which would imply a second half operational EBITDA in the range of $49.9 million, or a decline of a little over 7% versus the first half.

    The market reacted negatively to the news, with the Service Stream share price dropping almost 6% on Thursday. However, while it’s disappointing that the company is now forecasting a drop in EBITDA, Service Stream does point out that operational EBITDA of $108 million for the year would still be a record result for a growing company.

    Should you invest?

    Service Stream doesn’t provide the exciting growth narratives of coronavirus market darlings like Kogan.com Ltd (AS:KGN), Appen Limited (ASX:APX) or NextDC Limited (ASX:NXT). But the fact that it is flying under the radar for many investors works in its favour.

    Shares in many of those sexier tech companies are now trading higher than they were pre-coronavirus, which seems unsustainable as the country heads into a potential economic recession. For example, despite its soaring share price, Kogan relies on strong consumer sentiment, which may not exist once the economic impacts of the coronavirus pandemic are fully realised.

    Service Stream, on the other hand, should have a much more reliable source of revenue. Even in periods of economic stress and uncertainty, people will continue to depend on the infrastructure that supports necessities like water, gas and telecommunications.

    Service Stream could make a good defensive option for investors looking to safeguard their portfolio against a severe downturn. Plus, at its current price of around $2.00 it is still well short of the 52-week high price of $3.06 it reached back in August – meaning it could represent great value.

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    Motley Fool contributor Rhys Brock owns shares of Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Service Stream Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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