Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are down slightly in Tuesday lunchtime trade.

At the time of writing, the ASX bank shares are down around 0.1% to $151.11 each. Today’s decline means the shares are down around 7% over the past month, and around 6% lower for the year to date.

For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up around 0.5% for the day, at the time of writing. This index is down around 3% over the past month and largely flat for the year to date.

The question now is, are CBA shares a buy? Or will any investment made today turn into an inevitable loss by October 2027?

Let’s take a look.

Analyst outlooks on CBA shares

Higher oil prices, a stubbornly high inflation rate, a tight jobs market, and the potential for more interest rate increases are all strong headwinds for CBA over the next 12 months.

And brokers aren’t too positive on the outlook for the bank shares going forward.

Market Index data shows all experts have a strong sell rating on the shares. The $125.20 average target price implies a downside of around 17% at the time of writing.

The data is similar on TradingView. The majority of analysts (14 out of 16) have a sell or strong sell rating on CBA shares. Another two rate the bank shares as a hold.

The average $128.29 target price implies the shares could fall around 15% over the next 12 months. Although some are even more bearish and think they have the potential to crash around 40% to $90 by this time next year, at the time of writing.

So, if I buy $10,000 of CBA shares today, what could they be worth by this time next year?

If broker forecasts come to fruition, a $10,000 investment in CBA shares today could be worth significantly less by October 2027. Average downsides of 15% to 17% could see $10,000 turn into $8,300 to $8,500 within the next 12 months.

If the more bearish expert forecasts come to fruition, a $10,000 investment today could drop to $6,000 by this time next year.

Does that mean investors should avoid buying CBA shares?

If capital gain is your plan, CBA shares might not be for you at the current trading price.

But there are some other reasons that the bank shares could still make for a good investment. 

Its large scale and strong operational performance means the company has the potential to be resilient through times of economic volatility, and its cyclical nature also means it can outperform during times of recovery.

And this is fantastic news for passive income-seeking investors.

CBA has a long history of paying its shareholders regular fully-franked dividends dating back to 1992. These are typically paid out every six months, in March and September.

The bank most recently paid its shareholders a $2.70-per-share fully-franked final dividend and a fully-franked full-year dividend of $5.05. That translates to a yield of around 3.3%.

Forecasts suggest the bank will pay its shareholders closer to $5.45 per share in FY27, which translates to a forward dividend yield of roughly 3.6%.

So while your $10,000 investment might not rocket higher in value, you could still earn a tidy passive income off of it. 

Using the current trading price and forecasted $5.45 per share dividend in FY27, I’ve calculated that you could earn around $360 in passive income off a $10,000 investment in FY27.

The post If I invest $10,000 in CBA shares today, what could they be worth in October 2027? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How much could the big 4 banks’ share prices fall?
• Buy, hold, sell: CBA, Capstone Copper, Codan shares
• Why I’d buy CBA and Coles shares in October
• If I invest $10,000 in ANZ shares, what passive income could I receive in FY27?
• Are ASX 200 bank stocks a buy in October?

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

CAR Group vs Seek shares: Which online classifieds company offers better value?

Australians weighing up online classifieds stocks might find themselves choosing between CAR Group Ltd (ASX: CAR) and Seek Ltd (ASX: SEK). Both companies have carved out leading roles in digital marketplaces, but their business models, recent performance, and value for investors are each surprisingly distinct. Whether you’re after dividends, growth, or just a smart long-term buy, there’s plenty to consider in a direct CAR Group vs Seek share showdown.

The case for CAR Group

CAR Group is a genuine heavyweight in the vehicle classifieds space. Best known locally for its flagship Carsales platform, CAR Group has expanded beyond Australia into digital marketplaces in South Korea, the US, and Latin America. According to its company profile, the group directly operates several overseas subsidiaries and holds a majority interest in Brazil’s webmotors.

Three fundamentals stand out for CAR Group:

• Market Cap: $8.34 billion, making it significantly larger than Seek Ltd in pure market size.
• Dividend Yield: 3.84%, with partial franking at 30% – not fully franked but still appealing given current rates.
• Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.828, matched by a reported P/E ratio of 27.02.

CAR Group’s dividend has grown steadily over many years, reflecting a pattern of semi-annual increases. However, its year-to-date return has been negative at -24.5%, indicating the share price has faced a tough period.

The case for Seek

Seek is the dominant name in online employment classifieds, connecting jobseekers with employers and branching out into learning and business sale platforms. Seek’s reach extends well outside Australia across Asia and Latin America, and its inclusion of services like Seek Learning and Seek Volunteer gives it a somewhat diversified edge.

Key points for Seek:

• Dividend Yield: 4.33%, fully franked at 100%, which comes with maximum franking credits for eligible investors.
• Market Cap: $4.24 billion – noticeably smaller than CAR Group, but still a major ASX contender.
• P/E Ratio: 24.88, slightly below CAR Group, though the reported EPS is negative at -$0.858.

Notably, Seek has one of the most consistent and long-standing fully franked dividend histories among Australian tech-leaning businesses. However, its year-to-date return is -45.8%, which is a much steeper decline than CAR Group’s. Also, note: Seek’s reported P/E ratio may be based on a different earnings measure (e.g. underlying or forward earnings) than the EPS figure shown, which is why they may appear inconsistent.

Valuation comparison

Here’s how the numbers stack up side by side:

Metric	CAR Group	Seek
Market Cap	$8.34 billion	$4.24 billion
P/E Ratio	27.02	24.88
Dividend Yield	3.84% (30% franked)	4.33% (100% franked)
Earnings Per Share	$0.828	-$0.858
Dividend per Share	$0.87	$0.52
Year To Date Return	-24.5%	-45.8%

Seek edges ahead on dividend yield and investors get the bonus of full franking credits, which can be a decent tax benefit. CAR Group, on the other hand, is bigger, has a positive EPS, and more modest negative returns this year.

Recent share price momentum

Comparing recent share price performance up to 1 October 2026:

• As of 1 October 2026, CAR Group closed at $22.00. Its year-to-date return stands at -24.5%.
• As of 1 October 2026, Seek finished at $11.85, with a sharper year-to-date slide of -45.8%.
• Both shares have faced selling pressure over 2026, but Seek’s drop has been noticeably more severe over the same period.

Which is the better buy?

If I had to choose today, my pick would be CAR Group. Despite facing a tough year, it remains profitable with a positive EPS, a significantly larger market cap, and less severe recent losses than Seek. CAR Group’s dividend isn’t fully franked, but the blend of yield, size, and ongoing profitability tips the scale for me.

Seek’s fully franked, higher percentage dividend would normally be appealing. But the negative EPS and steeper price decline raise some red flags. The inconsistent EPS and P/E figures for Seek suggest underlying or adjusted measures are in play, so I’d approach its valuation with extra caution.

Of course, both businesses are proven leaders with global reach and clear digital moats. But for value and resilience right now, CAR Group looks just that bit steadier to me.

The post CAR Group vs Seek: Which ASX 200 stock is better value? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• 3 ASX shares to buy amid a volatile market: experts
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday
• These 3 ASX 200 shares have lost 49%+ in 2026. Are any now bargains?
• Top broker names 2 growing ASX dividend shares to buy now
• Where to invest as interest rates charge higher

Motley Fool contributor Laura Stewart has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CAR Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. This article was prepared with the assistance of Large Language Model (LLM) tools for the initial draft. Any content assisted by AI is subject to our robust human-in-the-loop quality control framework, involving thorough review, substantial editing, and fact-checking by our experienced writers and editors holding appropriate credentials. The Motley Fool Australia stands behind the work of our editorial team and takes ultimate responsibility for the content published by The Motley Fool Australia.

S&P/ASX All Ords Index (ASX: XAO) shares are up 0.34% to 8,889.5 points on Tuesday.

Over 12 months, the market is down 4.21%.

The US-Iran war, high oil prices, rising interest rates, and multi-decade-high bond yields are weighing on share price valuations.

However, experts say there are buying opportunities amid today’s turbulent trading conditions.

Let’s check them out. 

CAR Group Ltd (ASX: CAR)

The CAR share price is $22.02, down 0.23% today and down 43% over 12 months. 

Arthur Garipoli from Dolphin Partners has a buy rating on this ASX consumer discretionary share. 

Garipoli said (courtesy The Bull):

This online automotive platform operator recently posted a solid fiscal year 2026 result.

Reported revenue of $A1.253 billion was up 6 per cent on the prior corresponding period. Reported net profit after tax of $A314 million was up 14 per cent.

The stock has fallen on AI disruption concerns. At recent levels, the stock screens favourably on a risk adjusted returns basis.

The company expects to generate high single digit revenue growth in Australia in fiscal year 2027 and double digit revenue growth in constant currency in North America and Latin America.

Global Lithium Resources Ltd (ASX: GL1)

The Global Lithium Resources share price is $1.01, up 1.51% today and up 181% over 12 months. 

Shaw & Partners has a buy recommendation on this ASX lithium share. 

The broker has a 12-month share price target of $1.75 on Global Lithium Resources shares.

In a new note, Shaw & Partners said: 

Global Lithium Resources Limited (ASX: GL1) has released its Manna-Nova Integration Study, the first quantified assessment of a streamlined development pathway that treats Manna ore at the recently acquired Nova processing plant.

By utilising Nova’s existing infrastructure ($7m acquisition) via a 135km haul route, GL1 avoids the $440m greenfield concentrator build proposed in the Dec’25 DFS.

Integrating targeted process additions onto Nova’s established brownfield foundation significantly reduces upfront capital requirements, de-risks project delivery, and accelerates the timeline to first cash flow.

Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL)

The Netwealth share price is $17.03, down 0.76% today and down 44% over 12 months. 

In a new note, Bell Potter retained its buy call on this ASX financial share. 

However, the broker reduced its 12-month share price target from $30 to $25.

Bell Potter said: 

Maintain Buy. Given interest rates,we have moved our valuation multiple to 2022-23 levels with a class action provision.

Our flow expectations are below FY27 guidance.

NWL has operated in similar environments,with large withdrawals and clients moving off platform.

FY23 flows landed -10% below the guidance and growth was restored in 12mths.

Our $17.9bn matches this experience. So far, we are 6mths into the cycle.

The post 3 ASX shares to buy amid a volatile market: experts appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• CAR Group vs Seek: Which ASX 200 stock is better value?
• Buy, hold, sell: Myer, Develop Global, Netwealth shares
• Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week
• Top ASX shares to buy in October 2026
• This ASX 200 share is tipped to return over 50%

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CAR Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.