The TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM) share price has been an amazing outperformer in 2020 so far. Since the start of the year, the broader S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has lost 13.89% of its value. In contrast, the TPG share price has rallied 26.68%, based on today’s closing price of $8.50.

This means TPG has outperformed the ASX 200 by over 40%. Not bad!

But investors who may have been watching this extraordinary rally might be wondering if there’s still time to buy in.

Why TPG shares have been rocketing higher in 2020

The TPG share price has been benefitting from a number of key events that have gone its way in recent months. Firstly (and most importantly), the proposed merger of TPG and Vodafone Hutchison Australia has been approved by the Federal Court. This comes following attempts by the ACCC to block the merger last year.

Assuming all goes well and the merger proceeds, this will result in a special dividend being paid to TPG shareholders. The dividend has been estimated at up to 67 cents per share (which would be worth a yield of nearly 8%). The merger will also result in TPG finally securing the ticker symbol ‘TPG’, which is a win for simplicity, if nothing else.

Furthermore, TPG has told investors it plans to spin-off its Singaporean business into a separate company named Tuas Limited. All existing TPG shareholders will then receive shares in Tuas if this spin-off is executed. I believe this move is a positive for the TPG share price, as spin-offs generally deliver benefits for existing investors. We saw this play out with Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) and its spin-off of Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) in 2018.

All of these factors are building a very positive picture for investors and are behind the surge in the TPG share price this year.

Is the TPG share price a buy today?

With all of these changes ahead, it’s hard to know exactly what TPG shares are currently worth. After all, this company is set to be altered dramatically when its merger goes ahead. Furthermore, existing TPG shareholders will only own 49.9% of the new entity.

Still, let’s have a look at what the TPG share price is telling us today. So on current prices, TPG shares are offering a dividend yield of 0.59% on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.16.

This doesn’t really indicate good value from my perspective. TPG’s main competitor Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS), by contrast, is trading on a P/E ratio of 18.69 and a dividend yield of 3.09%.

As such, I would much rather bet on Telstra shares today than TPG, given Telstra offers better value on current prices and a far heavier investment in 5G technology.

More reading

• 3 ASX dividend shares with yields over 10%
• How does the economy affect the ASX 200 share market?
• Is the Fortescue share price under threat from a potential multi-million dollar earnings hit?
• Are Coles shares a buy after falling 12% in 2 months?
• Brokers name 3 ASX 200 shares to buy right now

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns shares of Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET and Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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Finding ASX dividend shares with yields over 10% can be a dangerous game. A yield over 10% normally indicates that the market views the yield as risky, and primed for a possible dividend cut. Otherwise, it’s likely that the share price would be bid up until the yield is lower.

So let’s take a look at these 3 ASX dividend shares with trailing yields over 10% to see if we can find a diamond in the rough.

BetaShares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund (ASX: HVST)

This exchange-traded fund (ETF) employs a ‘dividend harvesting’ strategy. This means it buys ASX dividend-paying shares just before they’re about to go ‘ex-dividend’, after which the fund sells them again. In this way, it rotates in and out of most of the dividend heavyweights on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

On one level, this strategy works to produce formidable dividend income. HVST currently has a trailing yield of 12%, or 16.8% grossed-up with franking.

Sounds pretty good, right?

Well, the downside is that this strategy trades capital value for income. There’s usually no free lunch when it comes to investing. And swapping in and out of dividend shares is no exception. Since its inception in October 2014, the fund has actually gone backwards, delivering a return of (1.17%). As such, I’m not too wild on this investment.

WAM Research Limited (ASX: WAX)

This listed investment company (LIC) specialises in buying undervalued ASX growth companies and selling them after a pricing ‘catalyst’ comes to pass. It has managed to do this quite successfully, netting investors a 13.4% return per annum on average since 2010.

WAM Research pays most of its profits out as dividends, which have been rising every year since 2010 as well. On current prices, this dividend equates to a yield of 7.01%, or 10.01% grossed-up.

LICs normally pay dividends out of a profit reserve, so let’s take a look at WAX’s tank to see how well-funded this dividend is. As of 30 April, WAM Research has 26.2 cents per share in profits against its most recent dividend of 4.9 cents per share. As such, I think this is a rare diamond of an investment which can sustain a grossed-up yield over 10%.

Alumina Limited (ASX: AWC)

Alumina is Australia’s largest aluminium pure play and has amassed a reputation as a generous dividend payer over the last few years.

On current prices, Alumina is offering a trailing yield of 7.74% – which grosses-up to 11.06% with full franking.

Unfortunately, I think Alumina’s dividend yield is unsustainable. Aluminium prices have fallen substantially in 2020, which will crimp the ability of this company to keep shovelling cash out the door. This is probably the reason Alumina shares have collapsed in 2020 so far, falling from $2.30 at the start of the year to today’s closing price of $1.51.

I have to agree with the market sentiment on this one that Alumina’s dividend isn’t sustainable going forward.

More reading

• How does the economy affect the ASX 200 share market?
• Is the Fortescue share price under threat from a potential multi-million dollar earnings hit?
• Brokers name 3 ASX 200 shares to buy right now
• Ready to invest your first $1,000? Try these 2 ASX shares
• 3 cheap ASX 200 shares I’d buy today

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns shares of WAM Research Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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The PayGroup Ltd (ASX: PYG) share price had an impressive run on the ASX today, closing 12.10% higher after being up by as much as 19.35% throughout the day.

Based on today’s closing price of 69.5 cents, PayGroup’s market capitalisation stands at only $48 million. So it’s important to note that we’re very much at the smaller end of the ASX spectrum here.

PayGroup is a specialist human capital management software and services provider, tasked with performing payroll, pay to bill, human resources, and treasury services on behalf of clients. It has 2 businesses, PayAsia and Astute, the latter of which was acquired in late 2019.

The company operates primarily in the Asia Pacific region for multinational companies and has 875 clients throughout 33 countries.

Why did the PayGroup share price race higher today?

Well, this afternoon, PayGroup released its preliminary final report for the year ended 31 March 2020.

The company delivered FY20 annual recurring revenue of $17.8 million, exceeding guidance of $17.5 million. Meanwhile, revenue came in at $10.9 million, up 110% on the prior corresponding period, including a $2.9 million contribution from Astute.

Astute provides workforce management solutions, automating placement through to payroll and invoicing. The acquisition was completed on 1 November 2019 and its 5-month contribution to FY20 results have reportedly exceeded forecasts. During this period, Astute has been profitable and cash flow positive.

Overall, PayGroup reported growth across all segments in FY20, including 26.5% growth in PayAsia payslips. This was supported by strong sales momentum and new contract wins from the fourth quarter of FY19 and throughout FY20.

Additionally, PayGroup launched its Treasury Services offering in the second quarter of FY20. Live treasury transactions processed increased from 155 per month at the end of 1H20 to 3,653 per month at the end of 2H20. Given strong initial customer demand in the first year of its launch, PayGroup expects this offering to make a growing financial contribution in FY21.

The company’s new contract wins in FY20 amounted to $5.5 million, representing an increase of 12% on FY19. Meanwhile, new contract wins in FY21 to date (being 1 April 2020 to 25 May 2020) total $2.7 million.

Looking to cash flow, the company saw an improvement in its operating cash flow from negative $4.8 million in FY19 to negative $0.1 million in the current period. Cash flow momentum was particularly strong in the second half of FY20 on the back of continued new sales uplift and the Astute acquisition.

The company’s cash balance as at 31 March 2020 stood at $2 million, supported by a $3 million capital raising in November 2019.

COVID-19 update and outlook

As previously announced last month, PayGroup’s business has been able to adapt to a remote working environment with limited impact.

The company notes that COVID-19 stimulus packages have added to payroll complexity, which increases opportunities for both its Astute and PayAsia businesses. Against this backdrop, its sales pipeline continues to strengthen.

PayGroup expects to continue to deliver improved operating cash flows and the pathway to positive statutory earnings in FY21, driven by cost efficiencies, continued sales momentum and the positive contribution from Astute.

Commenting on the full-year results, managing director and CEO Mark Samlal said:

“We are only 2-months into our FY21 year and we expect that our businesses will continue to perform well, even if various lock down provisions continue to exist globally. In Australia we see that businesses are hiring, particularly contractors, which will positively improve Astute’s metrics. Our key markets in Asia are very resilient with many countries back to work.”

“We enter FY2021 in a good position, with a strong book of recurring revenue, 95% client retention, a cost efficiency plan and strong industry fundamentals in spite of the current COVID-19 headwinds,” he added.

More reading

• 3 ASX dividend shares with yields over 10%
• Fund managers have been buying these ASX 200 shares
• Insiders have been buying these ASX shares this week
• How does the economy affect the ASX 200 share market?
• Why this ASX 200 share is up 8% and poised for more explosive growth

Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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