• Marathon Oil Stock Will Continue to Limp Along as the Pandemic Continues

    Marathon Oil Stock Will Continue to Limp Along as the Pandemic ContinuesMarathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) is one of the many oil and gas producers pushed to the limit due to the novel coronavirus. MRO stock has shed 56% of its value since December 2019, whereas the SPDR Energy Select Sector exchange-traded fund dropped 35% in the same period.Source: IgorGolovniov / Shutterstock.com Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) recently turned bearish on MRO stock due to its challenging outlook and substantial debt levels. CEO Lee Tillman believes the company is undergoing unprecedented challenges.Still, I believe it has enough in the tank to emerge from this crisis as a stronger company with a leaner cost structure and sufficient financial flexibility. However, given the uncertainty in the market and the company's weakening liquidity position, it will be tough for MRO to bounce back in the short term. Let's take a closer look at the company's fortunes and try to understand where it's going next.InvestorPlace – Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips MRO Stock and a Dismal Q1The first quarter was tough for Marathon, mainly due to the substantial dip in demand for crude oil and considerable reductions in oil prices. * 7 Red-Hot Vaccine Stocks Racing to Develop a Coronavirus Cure Oil markets played double jeopardy due to the pandemic and escalation in tensions between Russia and Saudi Arabia. The reduction in demand resulted in a loss of $0.16 per share, which was slightly higher than analyst expectations.Total revenues and other income rose by 2.7% from the year-ago period, which was buttressed by a $202 million net benefit on its commodity derivatives–additionally, revenues from contracts reduced by 14.7% due to a decline in the realized oil prices.On the back of its disappointing first-quarter results, Marathon announced that it would be slashing costs, capital expenditures, and halting shareholder rewards. The capital budget will be reduced by 50%, which will impact production levels in the near term.Moreover, the cash reductions in its costs are planned at 20%, compared to its initial budget. A sizeable portion of these costs are fixed in nature; therefore, the resultant savings will be sustained even when production volumes rise.According to Tillman, these cost savings "will result in a $5 to $6 per barrel improvement in our cash flow breakeven oil price."It's in an unwarranted position in terms of liquidity, with roughly $800 million in cash and cash equivalents and $3 billion in borrowing capacity. Its debt to equity ratio is 28% higher than the industry average. Also, its current ratio is 40% lower than the industry average.However, management feels that the suspension of its dividend share purchase plan will allow the company t0 to strengthen its liquidity position and improve cash flow. ValuationAnalysts have had differing viewpoints about the MRO stock valuation. Morgan Stanley believes MRO stock should be valued at $5, which is roughly 18% lower than its current price.Mean estimates for the stock price are at the $7 mark, but the difference between the high and low estimates is more than three times its current share price.The company's trailing 12 months price-earnings ratio is 21.2, which is significantly higher than the Oil and Gas sector's ratio at 10.25. Using the P/E ratio, we can calculate the company's enterprise value and its stock price. The formula is given as follows:Enterprise Value= P/E ratio (TTM) * Net income (TTM)= 21.2* $260 million= $5.51 billion / 804 million shares= $6.85The results show that the company is trading at a 16% bargain to its current stock price of $5.89. These results are in line with the analyst estimates, which indicated a $7 price per share. Looking AheadThings aren't looking too great for Marathon in the second quarter, either. In light of the volatility in the global commodity prices and the economic environment, the company has withdrawn its guidance for the upcoming quarters.It expects U.S. crude oil production to decline by roughly 8% on a divestiture-adjusted basis. The company will assess the need for curtailments in response to market conditions.The company's current quarter estimates have drastically reduced in the past 90 days from $0.09 to $-0.56, which represents a loss of 717%. Analysts expect the quarterly loss to be at $0.55, which represents a 244% increase from the previous quarter. However, they expect things to improve in the third quarter somewhat.Currently, the demand for gasoline remains highly uncertain along with jet fuel; hence the company would have to focus on kerosene to drive company value in the foreseeable future. Going forward, the company must manage its leverage by controlling capital expenditures and operational costs as much as possible. Bottom LineDespite making efforts to control costs, Marathon still finds itself in a precarious situation heading into the second quarter.The oil price recovery is still in its early stages, and the slowness of the rebound will continue to hurt the company for the better part of this year.Morgan Stanley believes that by 2021, the company's leverage per strip will be 2.5 times more than the industry median. Additionally, credit rating firms such as S&P Global and Moody's have significantly lowered their credit rating in the past few weeks. Therefore, I have a bearish outlook on MRO stock.As of this writing, Muslim Farooque did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. More From InvestorPlace * Top Stock Picker Reveals His Next 1,000% Winner * The Huge Story for 2020 & Beyond That You Aren't Hearing About * Revolutionary Tech Behind 5G Rollout Is Being Pioneered By This 1 Company * The 1 Stock All Retirees Must Own The post Marathon Oil Stock Will Continue to Limp Along as the Pandemic Continues appeared first on InvestorPlace.

    from Yahoo Finance https://ift.tt/2zOHp5Q

  • Buy these quality ASX dividend shares next week

    Dividends financial section of newspaper

    If you’re looking to invest in ASX dividend shares, then I think the ones below could be quality options. 

    All three have strong businesses and offer investors generous dividends. Here’s why I would buy them next week:

    BWP Trust (ASX: BWP)

    The first ASX dividend share to buy is BWP. It is a real estate investment trust which invests in and manages commercial properties throughout Australia. The majority of its properties are leased to hardware giant Bunnings. Given the quality of the Bunnings business, I believe the risk of rental defaults is minimal. Especially considering that Bunnings is owned by Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), which also owns a sizeable stake in BWP. Overall, I believe BWP is well-placed to grow its distribution at a solid rate over the next decade. At present I estimate that it offers investors a 4.8% yield.

    Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG)

    If you’re not averse to investing in the resources sector, then I think Fortescue could be a great ASX dividend share to own. Spot iron ore prices have remained strong throughout the pandemic and last week smashed through the US$100 a tonne mark. This bodes well for Fortescue and its low cost operations and improving grades. And given the strength of its balance sheet, it also bodes well for dividends this year and next. Predicting its dividend yield is difficult, but I believe it is safe to say it will be at least 6% in FY 2021.

    Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG)

    A final ASX dividend share to consider buying is Macquarie. I like the investment bank due to the quality of its operations and its talented management team. Another positive is the diversity of its earnings. This diversity means Macquarie can often thrive when the big four banks are struggling. And while the pandemic will inevitably weigh on its performance in the near term, I believe it will bounce back very strongly once the crisis passes. I estimate that its shares offer investors a partially franked 4.2% FY 2021 dividend yield.

    And below is another dividend share which looks well-positioned to grow strongly over the next decade. This could make it a must buy for income investors..

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed-up dividend.

    The name of this dividend dynamo and the full investment case is revealed in this brand new free report.

    But you will have to hurry — history has shown it can pay dividends to get in early to some of Edward’s stock picks, and this dividend stock is already on the move.

    See the top dividend stock for 2020

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Buy these quality ASX dividend shares next week appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

    from Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/2ZTMTam

  • 2 quality ASX shares to buy for long-term growth

    planning growing out of piles of coins, long term growth, buy and hold

    Are you looking to buy some quality ASX options for long-term growth?

    With the current share market volatility, some investors may be thinking that investing in shares is too risky.

    However, I think it’s important to keep in mind share market volatility does happen from time to time.

    Shares also have the advantage of providing capital gains, provided that you have a long-term investment horizon.

    Also, dividend-paying ASX shares can set you up with a handy additional stream of income along the way.

    So, with that said, here are two of my current top picks for long-term growth.

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA)

    Our big 4 ASX banks have had a difficult few months.

    There all have witnessed major share price decline due to the impact of lockdown restrictions caused by the coronavirus pandemic. 

    However, the outlook of our big 4 banks appears a bit brighter, with restrictions now beginning to ease.

    Commonwealth Bank is my pick of the big four retail ASX banks right now.

    I prefer it to rivals: Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ). 

    I believe the Commonwealth Bank share price was sold off a bit too harshly over the past few months.

    It tumbled from $91.05 in mid-February to end below $60 earlier this week. However, its share price has regained a bit of ground over the past week.

    I think the bank is well-positioned to deliver relatively solid long-term growth, driven by a recovering housing market, once lockdown restrictions are further eased.

    This provides long-term investors with a good buying opportunity in my mind.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    Australia’s largest telecommunication provider has witnessed strong demand for its services throughout the pandemic.

    Both its mobile and fixed broadband offerings provide essential services to businesses and consumers. There’s been a sharp increase in usage with many Australians being forced to work from home.

    Also, more people are keeping in touch with family and friends online, or increasing their usage of streaming media services like Netflix.

    In a recent market update, Telstra revealed that it is on track to achieve most of the goals that form part of its T22 strategy. This includes reducing underlying fixed costs by $2.5 billion annually by the end of FY22.

    Telstra also announced that it will increase its overall network capacity and accelerate the rollout of its 5G network.

    I feel that Telstra was, to some degree, unfairly caught up in the wider market sell-off in recent months.

    I believe that this now provides a good buying opportunity for ASX buyers with a long-term investment horizon.

    It might be a good idea to take a look at these Fool-recommended share options for solid dividend wealth, too!

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed-up dividend.

    The name of this dividend dynamo and the full investment case is revealed in this brand new free report.

    But you will have to hurry — history has shown it can pay dividends to get in early to some of Edward’s stock picks, and this dividend stock is already on the move.

    See the top dividend stock for 2020

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Phil Harpur owns shares of Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Limited, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Telstra Limited, and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post 2 quality ASX shares to buy for long-term growth appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

    from Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3dp693u

  • Is the Woolworths share price a buy?

  • Cloudflare Sees Uptick in Cyber Attacks as Internet Usage Increases

  • SpringWorks (SWTX): A Rare Cancer Biotech with Potentially >50% Upside. Recommending BUY.

  • Which markets or industries do you see perform best in the next decades (geographic vs. industry focus vs. cap size)? How do you build this into a strategy and portfolio to maximize expected risk-adjusted future returns?