• Why the AuMake share price surged 28% higher today

    blocks trending up

    The Aumake International Ltd (ASX: AU8) share price is zooming higher today after the company announced it now offers leading Chinese-owned buy now, pay later (BNPL) services via its in-store and online channels.

    AuMake is a specialist retailer that caters for Asian tourists and daigou personal shoppers in Australia and New Zealand. The company has a multichannel distribution network, selling Australian and New Zealand products online via owned and third-party channels, and through brick and mortar stores.

    The company operates 15 stores under the AuMake and Broadway brands, located along the east coast of Australia and in New Zealand. These stores primarily cater to organised tour groups. The types of products on offer include skincare, health supplements, wool, honey and clothing.

    Before we dig into the announcement, it’s important to note that AuMake sits at the very small end of the ASX with a current market capitalisation of around $21 million. At the time of writing, the AuMake share price is sitting 10.34% higher for the day at 6.4 cents after rallying as much as 27.59% in early morning trade.

    What did AuMake announce?

    This morning, AuMake revealed that it now supports BNPL services for its in-store customers and 40,000-strong online database.

    Accordingly, AuMake’s customers will be able to use Alipay’s “Huabei” feature and Tencent’s “Fenfu” feature to make purchases.

    Alipay is one of the most popular online payment solutions in China and falls under the umbrella of Chinese multinational giant Alibaba.

    Huabei allows purchases made via the Alipay wallet to be paid using credit facilitates, including interest-free or daily incurring interest loans. According to AuMake’s announcement, Huabei has more than 190 million users, with 93% of them being under the age of 35.

    Meanwhile, rival conglomerate Tencent is reportedly in the final stages of developing its Fenfu BNPL credit feature. Fenfu will offer similar credit facilities to Huabei that can be used by its 1.1 billion customer base.

    Tencent recently made headlines in the ASX BNPL space after news broke that it had acquired a 5% stake in market darling Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT).

    AuMake believes the adoption of these BNPL payment methods will assist the company to penetrate a younger Asian customer demographic. The retailer concluded today’s announcement by stating it will continue to assess initiatives that provide a contemporary shopping experience for its customers.

    According to Market Index, the 4-week average turnover of AuMake shares currently sits at only $26,821. So if you’d rather invest in larger and more liquid companies, the top ASX shares in the free report below might be more up your alley.

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    As of 2/6/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why the AuMake share price surged 28% higher today appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Why Alumina and Stockland share prices could outperform in coming weeks

    Race

    The Alumina Limited (ASX: AWC) share price and Stockland Corporation Ltd (ASX: SGP) share price are likely to outperform even as doubts emerge on the short-term direction for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO).

    The bullish take on both stocks come from Morgan Stanley, which is predicting that their share prices will rise in absolute terms over the next 60 days.

    If the broker’s prediction is right, it would be a welcomed relief for shareholders as the aluminium producer and property group have underperformed since the COVID-19 outbreak.

    The disruption to the global economy has weighed on the price of alumina, while pressure on residential and retail properties have put real estate stocks in the sin bin.

    But this may be about to change.

    Set for a rebound

    “The alumina price is bouncing off support levels, with AWC offering a clean exposure (CY20e 5% aluminium revenue exposure),” said the broker.

    “We expect unprofitable alumina producers to exit the market, given the ease of shutting and restarting refineries.

    “We think 2020 will provide the low-point for alumina input costs, and cost inflation could help to buoy prices.”

    Dividend looks safe

    While no one believes the price of the commodity is set to surge, Morgan Stanley believes it will hover somewhere below the marginal cost of production of Chinese smelters, which is estimated at around US$285 a tonne.

    At that price, Alumina is well placed to generate a decent dividend for investors at around 4.5% in calendar 2020 and 3.4% the following year.

    It’s not a big dividend but it’s enough to compensate investors to hang on to the stock in anticipation of the alumina price recovery.

    Morgan Stanley estimates there is a 70% to 80% chance that the Alumina share price will rise in the next two months. The broker’s recommendation on the stock is “overweight” (or “buy”) with a $2.05 a share price target.

    HomeBuilder stimulates Stockland

    Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley is tipping a 60% to 70% chance that the Stockland share price will trend in the same direction over a similar period.

    This is thanks to the recently announced $688 million HomeBuilder grant from the federal government.

    The grant gives eligible new home buyers a $25,000 handout for properties that are worth under $750,000.

    Well placed to benefit

    “This is in SGP’s sweet-spot,given 70-80% of its products are sold to owner-occupiers/First Home Buyers,and its properties are at the affordable end (eg Sydney house & land entry price c.A$720k),” said Morgan Stanley.

    “This will be a material positive for SGP’s FY21 outlook as we transition out of COVID-19.”

    The broker recently upgraded Stockland to “overweight” with a price target of $4.30 a share.

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    As of 2/6/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why Alumina and Stockland share prices could outperform in coming weeks appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Will the Qantas share price crash back to Earth?

    plane flying across share markey graph, asx 200 travel shares, qantas share price

    Will the Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price and other ASX travel shares crash back to Earth?

    Forgive the terrible pun, but I think it’s a question well worth asking today.

    The Qantas share price has been on an absolute tear in recent weeks. Just today, the Aussie airliner’s shares are up 3.9% to $4.66, at the time of writing. This follows a ~7% gain yesterday. Since 19 March, the Qantas share price has risen nearly 130% from its low of $2.03.

    Other ASX travel shares have made similar movements in recent weeks. Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) shares are up nearly 100% since late-April. And Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) shares are up more than 180% since their 19 March closing price.

    So what do these extraordinary moves tell us?

    Well, at their lows, I think it’s safe to say these companies were being priced for bankruptcy or something close to it which would have involved massive shareholder dilution. The market has rapidly moved away from these assumptions, particularly with the easing of coronavirus-related restrictions. Along with this, the conceptual floating of a return to travel explains the massive share price increases we have seen in recent weeks.

    Even just yesterday, Qantas announced it would be increasing the availability of domestic flights over this month and next. According to the release, the new services will see Qantas’ domestic capacity increase from 5% of pre-pandemic levels to 15% by the end of this month and even possibly up to 40% by the end of July, depending on state-level restrictions.

    Is it too late to buy back into Qantas and other ASX travel shares?

    On one level, I think the time for making massive gains in ASX travel shares is over. Opportunistic investors who bought in near the lows we saw in March and April would be sitting on handsome profits right now. But remember, these were high-stakes gambles, in my view. We are fortunate that coronavirus has not taken hold in Australia to the same extent as other countries around the world however the situation could have easily gone the other way.

    Unfortunately, I don’t see too much further upside for the ASX travel sector from here on in. Yes, domestic travel looks to be on the right track for recovery. But I believe international travel will still be off the cards for at least another year, if not longer. And that’s where Webjet, Corporate Travel and, to a lesser extent, Qantas used to derive the lion’s share of their business.

    Foolish takeaway

    The future is still highly uncertain for these companies in my view, so I won’t be investing in them myself – especially at current prices. Warren Buffett’s first rule of investing is ‘don’t lose money’ and I don’t think ASX travel shares can live up to this rule for investors today.

    Instead, I’m far more interested in the shares named below!

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    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

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    As of 2/6/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Corporate Travel Management Limited and Webjet Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Will the Qantas share price crash back to Earth? appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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