Deciding which ASX 200 shares are buys and which ones are sells can be difficult. 

To help you work things out, let’s look at three shares that experts are tipping as sells this week, courtesy of The Bull. 

Here’s what they are recommending:

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ)

The team at Lazarus Capital Partners has named ANZ shares as a sell this week.

It has concerns with how the weakening housing market could impact lending growth and credit quality. Lazarus said: 

The bank faces headwinds as Australian house prices fall. After acquiring Suncorp Bank, ANZ is the country’s third largest home lender. The bank noted a 12 per cent fall in home loan application values since the May budget and the end of July following the Federal Government’s proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax. 

Capital city house prices may fall more than 10 per cent from their peak, raising negative equity risks among recent low deposit buyers, which may pressure lending growth and credit quality. Investors may want to consider cashing in some gains given the share price rise since June.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA)

Over at Medallion Financial Group, it has named CBA shares as a sell.

Its team has concerns over the company’s valuation and thinks investors should be re-allocating capital to other areas of the market that offer more attractive potential returns. Medallion explains:

This bank delivered another strong result in full year 2026. The company posted cash profit of $10.982 billion in full year 2026, up 7 per cent on the prior corresponding period. The full year dividend of $5.05, fully franked, was up 4 per cent. CBA’s scale, customer franchise and technology investment underpin the company’s quality. 

Nevertheless, we believe the valuation leaves insufficient room for disappointment. Mortgage competition, operating costs and the potential for credit losses to normalise remain risks. We favour taking profits and re-allocating capital to other companies where earnings growth and income offer a more compelling prospective return.

Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN)

Gray Perry Wealth Advisers thinks that gold miner Evolution Mining could be an ASX 200 share to sell this week.

It thinks that recent share price strength means that there is limited room for operational setbacks or weaker metal prices. The wealth adviser explains:

Evolution Mining produces gold and copper from operations in Australia and Canada. The company delivered record cash generation, a net cash position and higher shareholder returns in full year 2026, supported by strong gold and copper prices. However, sustaining record earnings relies on gold and copper prices remaining high in a volatile world. 

Future performance depends on consistent delivery across major operations, disciplined investment and continuing replacement of mined reserves. After a recent and substantial share price recovery, the valuation leaves limited room for operational setbacks or weaker metal prices. Investors may want to consider taking profits at current levels.

The post Experts tip CBA and these ASX 200 shares as sells appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

For a long time, growth at a reasonable price, or GARP, was probably the investment style I was most naturally drawn to.

This meant finding ASX shares capable of growing earnings at attractive rates, but avoiding paying a price that assumes too much of that growth in advance.

I still like that approach. But these days, I prefer quality at a reasonable price, or QARP.

With GARP, growth tends to be the starting point. With QARP, I start with the quality of the business.

I want ASX shares with strong competitive positions, attractive economics, healthy balance sheets, good cash generation, and the ability to keep reinvesting for years. Only then do I ask whether the valuation leaves enough room for an attractive return.

Why the shift? Because growth can disappear quickly. A fast-growing company can slow or lose market share. A genuinely high-quality business has a better chance of handling setbacks and continuing to create value.

That does not mean valuation becomes less important. A wonderful business can still be a poor investment if its share price already assumes a near-perfect future.

So, I recently screened the ASX 200 looking for shares offering both quality and a valuation I believe can still support attractive long-term returns.

Five stood out.

CAR Group Limited (ASX: CAR)

The first is CAR Group. I think this ASX share is a very good example of what I mean by QARP.

It operates leading automotive marketplaces across Australia and several international markets, giving it strong local economics and a longer runway offshore.

One of its biggest strengths is its network effects. Buyers gravitate towards marketplaces with the most listings, while sellers want to advertise where the buyers already are. Once that position is established, it becomes difficult for a new competitor to recreate the same audience.

CAR Group can then use that position to improve monetisation, launch new products, and grow internationally without requiring the physical capital many traditional businesses need.

I also like that the investment case is no longer resting on Australia alone. Its businesses in the United States, Brazil, and South Korea give the group several avenues for expansion.

Weaker economic conditions could reduce vehicle activity. But I think the strength of the platform, its cash generation, and its international opportunity make CAR Group a compelling long-term investment option.

And despite making my final five, it was not the opportunity that stood out most from the screen.

The remaining four include ASX shares where I think the market may be underestimating the quality or recovery potential, as well as one name that I believe currently offers the best overall QARP setup of the group.

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL)

CSL is probably the clearest example here of a high-quality business that has fallen out of favour.

The biotechnology giant has disappointed investors in recent years. Execution has not always matched expectations and margins have faced pressure.

But I think the key question is whether those issues have permanently damaged the underlying business.

The good news is that I don’t believe they have.

CSL Behring has enormous scale in plasma collection and the manufacture of therapies used to treat serious and often rare diseases. It also has decades of expertise and a global collection network that would be extremely difficult to replicate.

Demand for many of its therapies is relatively resilient.

A recovery may not be immediate, but at a touch over 17 times estimated FY 2029 earnings, I think the share price now reflects far more caution than it once did.

If management can improve execution and margins while underlying demand keeps growing, CSL could offer strong returns from here.

Goodman Group (ASX: GMG)

Goodman Group is another ASX share that I think deserves its reputation for quality.

It is often described as an industrial property group, but that does not really cover the full opportunity.

Goodman specialises in securing land, power, planning approvals, and development opportunities in locations where major customers want logistics and digital infrastructure.

That has become incredibly valuable as demand for data centres has accelerated.

Artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing require enormous amounts of computing capacity, which is creating demand for sites with access to power and major population centres.

Goodman’s footprint and development expertise give it an advantage, while its partnership model allows it to keep recycling capital into new opportunities.

Its shares rarely look cheap and expectations around data centres are already high. But I think recent share price weakness has created an attractive entry point.

REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA)

REA Group is another ASX share that oozes quality.

Its realestate.com.au platform has an exceptionally strong position in the Australian property market.

Buyers want to search where the largest number of properties are listed, while agents and vendors want to advertise where the buyers are. That creates a powerful network effect and makes the platform difficult to displace.

REA also benefits from attractive economics. Advertising a property can represent a small percentage of a transaction’s value, yet reaching the largest pool of buyers is highly important to the seller. That gives the company significant pricing power.

Listings will still rise and fall with the housing cycle. And with interest rates rising, the cycle is certainly going through a tough stretch.

But for a long-term investor, I think the bigger consideration is whether REA will still be central to how Australians search for property in another decade.

I believe it will. That is why, despite a valuation that is unlikely to look conventionally cheap, I still think REA can fit within a QARP framework.

ResMed Inc (ASX: RMD)

The final ASX share is ResMed.

Of the five, I think this one currently offers the strongest combination of quality, valuation, and expected return.

ResMed is a global leader in devices, masks, and software used to treat sleep apnoea.

What I like most is that the company still has a huge market opportunity even after decades of growth. Sleep apnoea already affects a huge number of people, but the vast majority remain undiagnosed or untreated.

As diagnosis improves and treatment rates rise, ResMed stands to benefit from more patients entering the system.

There is also an attractive recurring element to the model. Masks and other consumables need replacing, creating ongoing demand.

At around 19 times estimated FY 2027 earnings, I think its valuation is compelling relative to the quality of the business and the runway ahead. That is what I want from a QARP investment.

Final word

I am not trying to find the cheapest shares on the ASX. 

I would much rather own a great business at a sensible price than an average one simply because its shares look inexpensive.

CAR Group, CSL, Goodman, REA, and ResMed all meet that test for me in different ways.

The post I screened the ASX for quality and value. These 5 shares stood out appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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• CAR Group vs Seek: Which ASX 200 stock is better value?
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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL, Goodman Group, REA Group, and ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Goodman Group, and ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group and ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CAR Group Ltd and CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

If you are looking for outsized returns and have a higher than average risk tolerance, then it could be worth looking at the ASX stock in this article.

That’s because the team at Bell Potter believes it could deliver a return that is materially better than the market average.

Which ASX stock?

The stock that Bell Potter is recommending to clients is Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (ASX: EOS).

It is an Australian defence manufacturer specialising in advanced weapon systems and satellite tracking technology.

Bell Potter notes that the company has secured its largest ever contract after entering into an agreement with the government of a Middle Eastern Gulf state. It commented:

EOS has entered into an agreement with the government of a Middle Eastern Gulf state (GCC member) for a nation-wide counterdrone (C-UAS) defence system valued at £370m (~$700m). This represents the largest contract ever secured by EOS. EOS is acting as prime contractor and systems integrator, deploying a cellular nation-wide system with MARSS’ AI-enabled NIDAR C2 platform at its core. The scope includes third-party sensors (electro-optical, radar, sonar) to feed data into central command centres, as well as initial third-party effectors (hard-kill kinetic interceptors and soft-kill jammers). 

EOS expects over 80% of contract revenue to be earned over the initial 12-24 months after the contract becomes unconditional. ~20% of total contract value relates to ongoing support over a 4-year period. Conditions include: Provision of a £37m performance bond, secured by a £40.3m cash security deposit (posted by EOS in August 2026); EOS providing a £74m bank guarantee, matched by an advance payment paid by the customer to EOS; and obtaining relevant export licences for system components within two months of receiving necessary documentation from customer.

In response to this news, Bell Potter has boosted its earnings per share estimates materially. It adds:

EPS changes: +0%/+946%/+94% over CY26/27/28e reflecting: the $700m contract; higher working capital in 1H27, higher tax rate. We have also incorporated scripbased earnout payments in CY27, totalling 19m in shares. We have unwound our inflated EV / EBITDA multiple following the contract award.

And while the deal is subject to a number of conditions, Bell Potter feels confident it will go ahead. It explains:

We are not discouraged by the export licence terms and believe it is likely EOS will proceed to implementation of the contract in early CY27e. Beyond financial benefits, this contract: (1) likely gives further battlefield experience to the NIDAR C2 solution, strengthening its competitive advantage; (2) establishes EOS as a specialist C-UAS prime contractor; and (3) enables upselling of EOS effectors.

Big potential returns

According to the note, Bell Potter has retained its buy rating on the ASX stock with an improved price target of $13.80 (from $12.60). 

Based on its current share price of $10.13, this implies potential upside of 36% for investors over the next 12 months.

Bell Potter concludes:

Given the security deposit posted in August 2026, we believe this contract award was somewhat priced in by the market, however, we are surprised by the market’s reaction and given upcoming catalysts, believe current levels represent an attractive entry point. Catalysts: >$300m Netherlands HELW production deal (Letter of Intent signed in September 2026); UAE HELW JV orders, >$500m additional MARSS orders, and a steady stream of Slinger product integration orders.

The post Why this rapidly growing ASX drone stock could rise 36% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Electro Optic Systems. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.