• Why the Bubs share price is up 65% in 2 months

    The Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) share price has been a strong performer over the last few weeks.

    Since this time in May, the infant formula and baby food products company’s shares have risen a massive 23%.

    And if we go back a further month, then its performance is even more impressive.

    The Bubs share price has stormed a remarkable 65% since this time in April.

    Why has the Bubs share price surged higher?

    There have been a couple of catalysts for this strong share price performance over the last couple of months.

    The first was an impressive third quarter update in April, which revealed record quarterly revenue of $19.7 million. This was a 67% jump on the prior corresponding period and a 36% lift on the second quarter.

    But perhaps what was most promising with its quarterly update, was news that Bubs is now generating positive operating cashflow. For the quarter, Bubs recorded positive operating cashflow of $2.3 million.

    This appears to demonstrate that it has finally reached a scale which means its operations are profitable. Which is a big positive as it has burned through a significant amount of cash in recent years while essentially selling its products at a loss.

    Interestingly, this is similar to what A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) experienced back in 2015. Since then it has gone on to become an extremely profitable business.

    What else has got investors excited?

    Another announcement that got investors excited was a supply agreement with supermarket giant Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL).

    Last month Bubs revealed that its Bubs Organic Grass Fed Infant Formula will be distributed to 482 Coles supermarkets. Initial orders were to be processed in the middle of May, with its products expected on-shelf early this month.

    This is in addition to its existing agreement for Bubs Goat Milk Infant Formula (which is ranged in 561 stores) and Bubs Organic Toddler Snacks (which is ranged in up to 804 stores).

    Furthermore, within the same announcement the company revealed that fellow supermarket operator Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) has increased its supply agreements. This will see Bubs Organic Grass Fed Infant Formula ranged in 800 Woolworths stores and Bubs Goat Milk Infant Formula in 654 Woolworths stores.

    Is it too late to invest?

    I don’t believe it is too late to invest with a long term view.

    Given the progress that Bubs is making with its margins, its increasing footprint, and strong demand in China, it looks well-positioned to deliver strong earnings growth over the next decade.

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk, COLESGROUP DEF SET, and Woolworths Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BUBS AUST FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 leading ASX tech shares to buy in June

    Hand writing Time to Buy concept clock with blue marker on transparent wipe board.

    While it’s too soon to declare the end of COVID-19, most countries have shown signs of flattening the curve and the relaxation of lockdown measures. This bodes well for the following 2 ASX tech shares that provide payment solutions and value-added business banking products. 

    EML Payments Ltd (ASX: EML) 

    The EML share price went on a spectacular run in 2019, soaring by more than 200%. However, the business has faced significant headwinds given its dependency on shopping centres and gift card consumption.

    EML recently updated the market regarding its third-quarter and April performance. The update outlined challenging business conditions, a more diversified business model and expected improvement in trading conditions moving forward. There are many reasons why EML could emerge as a leading S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) tech share coming out of the coronavirus. 

    Renegotiated acquisition 

    EML’s acquisition of Irish firm, Prepaid Financial Services (PFS) was said to be a game-changer. PFS provides prepaid card and payments technology that offers some of the most flexible and quick to market services in the prepaid payments industry. It has a broad network of partners including governments, mobile network operators, banks and blue-chip organisations. This acquisition allows EML to diversify its earnings away from gift cards and expands its geographical footprint in the European region. 

    The coronavirus pandemic has allowed EML to renegotiate the terms of its PFS acquisition. The upfront enterprise valuation was reduced to £131.5 million, down £94.5 million from £226 million. EML was previously criticised for not completing the acquisition soon enough. I believe investors should be grateful that the terms of the acquisition were renegotiated at a cheaper valuation.

    Recent business update

    EML highlighted a strong financial performance for the 9 months to 31 March 2020. This performance excludes its PFS acquisition which will be included in financial results from 1 April. EML’s gross debit volume (transaction volumes) increased 55% over the prior corresponding period, while revenue increased by 20%. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) also jumped 24%.

    At the end of April, EML held more than $125 million in cash. The gradual opening of malls in various countries during May and June should see an improvement to EML’s trading conditions moving forward. 

    Tyro Payments Ltd (ASX: TYR) 

    Tyro Payments has provided weekly updates to the market regarding transaction volumes on its EFTPOS terminals. 

    In May, the company saw its transaction volumes fall 18% on the prior corresponding period. This marks a significant improvement against April, where transaction values fell 38%. 

    The market appears to be very optimistic about how Tyro will perform moving forward. The Tyro share price has rebounded strongly, up 340% since its March lows and more than 10% already in June. 

    Tyro’s client base consists largely of Australian small and medium-sized enterprises in the health, hospitality and retail verticals. Most restaurants, cafes and shopping centres in Australia have been allowed to reopen. This should see a general improvement in Tyro’s transaction volumes and potentially year-on-year growth moving forward. While the Tyro share price has soared in June, it is certainly one to watch. 

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    Lina Lim has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Emerchants Limited and Tyro Payments. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Emerchants Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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