• Euro Flashes Warning Amid Longest Rally Since 2011

    Euro Flashes Warning Amid Longest Rally Since 2011(Bloomberg) — The longest euro rally in almost a decade is at risk of petering out even as investors’ appetite for risk makes a comeback.Europe’s shared-currency climbed for an eighth day Thursday — the longest streak since 2011 — after the European Central Bank expanded its emergency bond-buying program to counter the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. It reached an almost three-month high of $1.1362, more than 4.5% above its May 25 low.Yet while the euro’s surge against the dollar and other peers took it past key resistance levels, some strategists are urging caution and technical gauges are flashing warning signs.“The ECB-induced euro rally is running out of steam,” Petr Krpata, a strategist at ING Bank said by email. Any “meaningful” euro gains should stem more from the dollar’s bear trend, rather than additional ECB impact, he said.The euro currently appears to be overbought against the greenback, based on a relative strength index — an indicator that measures the speed and size of price movements. A stochastic gauge, meanwhile, suggests that upward momentum may dwindle in coming sessions as the pair nears its year-to-date high of $1.1495.Citigroup’s global head of foreign-exchange analysis Ebrahim Rahbari reckons now is a good time to take some profits even though he remains bullish on the currency. And ABN Amro’s Georgette Boele says it is premature to expect a “continued strong rally” in the currency as “difficult discussions” are ahead on the European Commission’s stimulus program.The euro largely traded in lockstep with surging equity markets amid optimism about the prospects for a global economic recovery. Some are concerned that the recent surge in appetite for riskier assets may have gone too far, though, and that could also weigh on the common currency.There are echoes in the current move of the euro’s rebound in late March, when it recovered from its pandemic lows. Back then, a rally of around 5% in just over a week was followed by a 3.5% slide in a matter of days.Many observers nevertheless remain solid in their bullish calls for the euro. A trio of Societe Generale SA’s quantitative models are signaling that the euro is the top Group-of-10 currency that investors should wager on to rally.Nomura’s Jordan Rochester has a “high conviction” on the euro-dollar pair after last week flipping to a long position from a short one. And Standard Chartered’s Steven Englander says the euro region is looking more attractive.Yen CrossThe currency busted through several key technical resistance levels against its Japanese peer on Thursday. The euro rose as much as 1.3% to 123.92 yen, the highest since May 2019 and notched its longest such streak of daily advances in over a decade.The technical significance of the move was further bolstered by the fact that the pair has breached its 55-week and 100-week moving averages.But, as with the euro-dollar pair, further gains may be difficult to muster. The euro-yen cross has struggled in the past to breach its 200-week moving average — currently 124.50 — and RSI gauges are also signaling that it’s getting stretched.That, combined with concern about waning fundamental factors, could well provide fodder for euro bears.(Corrects length of euro rally to eight days, in second paragraph of story originally published on Thursday)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • 3 simple investment rules I follow

    investing, fund management

    Having a simple set of investment rules could prove to be highly valuable, given the uncertain outlook for the stock market. Economies across the world are set to experience sharp declines in GDP growth and a rise in unemployment figures due to the lockdowns put in place to contain coronavirus.

    By investing in companies you understand, buying them at a discount to their intrinsic value and ignoring market noise, you could capitalise on the current uncertain outlook for the stock market.

    Investing in what you know

    It is impossible to have a sound understanding of every sector and industry within the stock market. As such, it makes sense to focus your capital on those areas where you have a solid foundation of knowledge. It may mean that you find it easier to spot investment opportunities that go on to deliver high returns in the long run.

    Similarly, it may mean that you avoid unnecessary risks. Someone without a good understanding of a sector may miss an obvious threat to its future, while an investor who has knowledge of the industry may be able to avoid common mistakes.

    While it takes time to acquire knowledge about companies and the sectors within which they operate, only investing in what you understand can improve your risk/reward ratio. If you have limited knowledge, it may be a good idea to only invest in a small number of sectors and use tracker funds to obtain diversification with the rest of your capital until such a time that you have sufficient knowledge to invest directly in a range of businesses.

    A margin of safety

    Another investment rule that could improve your returns is obtaining a margin of safety when purchasing a stock. This essentially means that you value a company, and seek to buy it at a discount to that price. This strategy provides risk reduction, since there is a margin of safety in case unforeseen events occur or your analysis has missed relevant issues that impact negatively on a stock’s price.

    At the present time, many stocks trade on wide margins of safety. As such, there appear to be numerous opportunities to obtain a large discount to a company’s intrinsic value across the stock market.

    Market ‘noise’

    Market ‘noise’ is the views and opinions of other investors that could influence your investment-making decisions. Ignoring them can be difficult, but also beneficial to your overall returns in the long run.

    Many investors become overly emotional during boom and bust periods. This can affect their decision-making ability, and following their views can likewise be detrimental to your portfolio’s performance.

    Therefore, having an investment rule that ignores the views of your peers and instead focuses on facts and figures when deciding which companies to purchase could be a means of strengthening your portfolio’s long-term outlook.

    5 “Bounce Back” Stocks To Tame The Bear Market (FREE REPORT)

    Master investor Scott Phillips has sifted through the wreckage and identified the 5 stocks he thinks could bounce back the hardest once the coronavirus is contained.

    Given how far some of them have fallen, the upside potential could be enormous.

    The report is called 5 Stocks For Building Wealth after 50, and you can grab a copy for FREE for a limited time only.

    But you will have to hurry — history has shown the market could bounce significantly higher before the virus is contained, meaning the cheap prices on offer today might not last for long.

    See the 5 stocks

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    Motley Fool contributor Peter Stephens has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post 3 simple investment rules I follow appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • EML Payments and thse ASX mid cap shares could be destined for big things

    growth shares to buy

    If exciting small cap ASX shares like Whispir Ltd (ASX: WSP) are too small for your tastes, then you might want to have a look at the mid cap side of the market.

    At this side of the market I believe there are a number of shares which have the potential to grow very strongly in the future. Perhaps even to the point that they one day become large caps.

    Three top mid cap ASX shares to consider buying are listed below:

    BINGO Industries Ltd (ASX: BIN)

    BINGO is a leading waste management company which I think has a lot of potential. This is thanks to its expansion opportunities in Australia and the game-changing acquisition of rival Dial a Dump Industries. The addition of Dial a Dump Industries has transformed BINGO into a fully vertically integrated business from collections to landfill. Although the pandemic is likely to weigh on its short term performance, I think it is worth focusing on its very positive long term prospects.

    EML Payments Ltd (ASX: EML)

    Another mid cap share to consider buying is EML Payments. It is a payments company with a focus on digital gift cards and pre-paid cards. It also provides the technology that supports certain buy now pay later offerings. The company has been growing at a very strong rate over the last few years. Pleasingly, I believe it is well-positioned to continue this positive trend once the pandemic passes. Especially following the recent acquisition of Prepaid Financial Services. This acquisition gives EML exposure to banking as a service (BaaS) and could be a key driver of growth in the coming years.

    Opthea Ltd (ASX: OPT)

    A final mid cap share to look at is Opthea. It is a developer of novel biologic therapies for the treatment of eye diseases. Last year Opthea reported very positive Phase 2b study results for its OPT-302 combination therapy. If its phase 3 trial is successful, the company has a multi-billion dollar opportunity treating wet age-related macular degeneration and diabetic macular edema. Another positive is that Opthea has a very strong balance sheet and appears well-funded to see OPT-302 through its remaining trials.

    Looking for more shares to invest in? Then check out the five recommendations below which look very cheap right now…

    NEW! 5 Cheap Stocks With Massive Upside Potential

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Emerchants Limited and Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Emerchants Limited and Whispir Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post EML Payments and thse ASX mid cap shares could be destined for big things appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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