As the market pulls back from recent highs I expect these 3 ASX trends to feature prominently next week. 

Index rebalancing

S&P Dow Jones Indices has announced its quarterly Australian rebalancing. This cyclical ASX trend will bring several new Australian companies to prominence with foreign investors. In addition, dropping others at the same time. This provided a window for Seven Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: SVW) to take a significant stake in Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) last week. 

Some of the more interesting changes are that mid-cap defence manufacturer, Electro Optic Systems Hldg Ltd (ASX: EOS) has been included into the S&P/ASX 300 (INDEXASX: XKO) and the S&P/ASX All Australian 200 (INDEXASX: XAT).

Also, lithium miner, Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) has been removed from the S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO). I think this marks a return to sanity amongst lithium investors.

The gold boom never stopped

In a typical ASX trend over the past two days, investors are rushing back into gold shares.

Yesterday the 4 largest advances among large-cap shares were Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST), Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM), Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR) and Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) in that order.

From today I expect to see large inflows into gold mining shares again with lower tier. During the last mini-boom, one of the big winners was Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR).

The major ASX trend: travel and tourism 

As sentiment turns there is a clear pull back from those companies that stand to benefit from open economies. Air New Zealand Limited (ASX: AIZ) share price has seen consecutive falls by 7% on Wednesday and 9.5% on Thursday.

Likewise Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) in the real estate sector has seen share price falls of 4.4% on Wednesday and 8.1% on Thursday. Furthermore, the market is becoming increasingly sceptical about Australian real estate investment trusts (A-REITs), focussing on those with exposure to shopping centres after the GPT Group (ASX: GPT) announcement of a devaluation in their retail assets. 

Foolish takeaway

The market remains very febrile in the current economic environment. This will provide buying opportunities for those with the patience and nervous disposition to sit through any upcoming volatility.

More reading

• Tech shares! Should we even invest in anything else?
• ASX 200 down 2.2%: Westpac tumbles, TPG reveals special dividend plans
• Estia Health share price tumbles after being cut from the ASX 200
• ASX 200: improved consumer sentiment to near pre COVID-19 levels
• 3 ASX 200 shares to buy and hold for decades

Motley Fool contributor Daryl Mather owns shares of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Scentre Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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At lunch on Friday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to follow the lead of U.S. markets and record a sizeable decline. The benchmark index is currently down 2.2% to 5,830.5 points.

Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

Westpac AUSTRAC update.

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is trading notably lower again on Friday. As well as being caught up in the market selloff, an AUSTRAC update could also be weighing on its shares. This morning Westpac revealed that AUSTRAC is further investigating matters that were brought to its attention by the bank recently. Westpac commented that the agency has advised that it may amend its statement of claim to include allegations arising from these investigations.

ASX 200 quarterly rebalance

This morning S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the June 2020 quarterly rebalance of the S&P/ASX Indices. The benchmark index will welcome Centuria Industrial REIT (ASX: CIP), Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1), Mesoblast limited (ASX: MSB), Omni Bridgeway Ltd (ASX: OBL), and Perseus Mining Limited (ASX: PRU) to the illustrious index. Heading to the exits are Estia Health Ltd (ASX: EHE), Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB), Jumbo Interactive Ltd (ASX: JIN), Mayne Pharma Group Ltd (ASX: MYX), Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS), and Pinnacle Investment Management Group Ltd (ASX: PNI).

TPG Telecom special dividend.

The TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM) share price is pushing higher on Friday after providing an update on its special dividend plans. If its merger with Vodafone Australia completes successfully, TPG Telecom plans to pay a fully franked special dividend in the range of 49 cents per share to 52 cents per share.

Best and worst ASX 200 performers.

The best performer on the ASX 200 has been the TPG Telecom share price with a 2% gain. This follows its special dividend update. The worst performer has been the Platinum Asset Management Ltd (ASX: PTM) share price with a massive 12% decline. Investors may be concerned that Platinum’s fund outflows will accelerate again because of the market volatility.

More reading

• Tech shares! Should we even invest in anything else?
• Keep a watch on these 3 ASX trends next week
• Estia Health share price tumbles after being cut from the ASX 200
• Why Jumbo, Santos, Westpac, & Zip Co shares are crashing lower
• Why Mach7, Meridian, Spark, & TPG Telecom are pushing higher

James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Jumbo Interactive Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Jumbo Interactive Limited and MEGAPORT FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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The Estia Health Ltd (ASX: EHE) share price is tumbling lower today as the ASX responds to bleak trading in the US overnight.

At the time of writing, Estia shares are down 8.39% while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) sits 3.10% lower.

Estia Health shares have been included in the benchmark index since March 2015. However, this is set to soon come to an end.

The S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the June 2020 quarterly rebalance of the S&P/ASX Indices this morning. And with a current market capitalisation of just $370 million, it comes as no surprise that Estia didn’t make the cut.

As a result, Estia will cease being part of the benchmark index from the market open on 22 June 2020.

What’s going on with the Estia Health share price?

Estia Health shares were sold-off alongside the rest of the market earlier this year, falling to a 52-week low of 90 cents at the bottom of the March bear market. 

Since then, despite positive investor sentiment driving the market higher, Estia’s rebound has been relatively subdued. Accordingly, the Estia share price is still down more than 40% for the year.

The company’s most recent update was delivered in late May. In the release, Estia shed some light on trading conditions and its financial position.

At the time of the announcement, the aged care provider assured investors that none of its residents had tested positive for COVID-19. However, the company had 3 confirmed cases within its workforce of around 7,500 staff which occurred in March and April.

In terms of operations, occupancy in mature homes fell during the early stages of lockdown restrictions from 93.8% on 17 March to 91.7% on 26 April.

The company attributed the reduction to a number of factors, including the cancellation of travel and elective surgeries, and visitor restrictions.

Nonetheless, Estia Health has been buoyed by government support. At the beginning of May, the government announced a one-off payment to residential aged care providers of either $900 or $1,350 for each resident, depending on the location. As a result, Estia expects the payments to contribute up to $5.2 million of additional revenue in FY20.

Financial position

Looking to the balance sheet, net bank debt at 22 May 2020 stood at $108.5 million. This was an increase of $11.9 million since 31 December 2020. Estia noted that it expects to remain in full compliance with its banking covenants at 30 June 2020 and hasn’t sought covenant relief.

In terms of expenses, the company flagged an increase in staff costs and costs associated with supplying personal protective equipment and other medical supplies. However, as part of its approach to capital management in response to COVID-19, Estia made the move to temporarily defer several refurbishment and development projects.

Prior to this announcement in late May, Estia provided its first COVID-19 update in mid-March and delivered its first-half FY20 results in late-February.

While Estia is exposed to ageing population tailwinds, I believe there are better options out there for income and growth.

More reading

• Tech shares! Should we even invest in anything else?
• Keep a watch on these 3 ASX trends next week
• ASX 200 down 2.2%: Westpac tumbles, TPG reveals special dividend plans
• ASX 200: improved consumer sentiment to near pre COVID-19 levels
• 3 ASX 200 shares to buy and hold for decades

Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post Estia Health share price tumbles after being cut from the ASX 200 appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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