• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

    On Tuesday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) rebounded strongly and recorded a very strong gain. The benchmark index jumped 3.9% to 5,942.3 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 poised to extend its gains.

    It looks set to be another good day of trade for the ASX 200. According to the latest SPI futures, the benchmark index is expected to open the day 26 points or 0.45% higher this morning. This follows a positive night of trade on Wall Street which saw the Dow Jones rise 2.05%, the S&P 500 jump 1.9% higher, and the Nasdaq index stormed 1.75% higher. Strong U.S. retail sales data helped drive Wall Street higher.

    Oil prices rise.

    Energy producers such as Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) could be on the rise today after oil prices pushed higher. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price rose 2.4% to US$37.99 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price climbed 2.5% to US$39.76 a barrel. Supply cuts have been supporting oil prices.

    Gold price jumps.

    It could be a positive day of trade for gold miners including Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR). Overnight the gold price stormed higher amid concerns over a coronavirus outbreak in China. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is up 0.5% to US$1,735.90 an ounce

    Viva Energy given buy rating.

    The Viva Energy Group Ltd (ASX: VEA) share price was a very strong performer on Tuesday but could still go higher according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning its analysts retained their buy rating and lifted their price target on the fuel retailer’s shares to $2.15. The broker notes that fuel volumes are recovering quicker than expected and its guidance is well ahead of consensus expectations.

    Jumbo Interactive to return.

    The Jumbo Interactive Ltd (ASX: JIN) share price is scheduled to return from its trading halt this morning. The online lottery ticket seller requested the halt on Monday while it prepared an announcement relating to the Western Australia lottery market. Last year the state government suggested it might privatise its wagering.

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Jumbo Interactive Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Jumbo Interactive Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Oracle Sales Miss Estimates on Fewer Business Software Deals

    Oracle Sales Miss Estimates on Fewer Business Software Deals(Bloomberg) — Oracle Corp. reported sales that fell short of analysts’ estimates, signaling that the coronavirus pandemic and recession have spurred a pullback in corporate spending on information technology.Revenue declined about 6.3% to $10.4 billion in the period ended May 31, the Redwood City, California-based company said Tuesday in a statement. Analysts, on average, projected $10.7 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Shares declined about 4% in extended trading after the results.Chief Executive Officer Safra Catz and Executive Chairman Larry Ellison have sought to renew growth at Oracle, the world’s second-largest software maker. The shift to cloud computing caught the 43-year-old tech giant off guard and it’s still struggling to switch existing database customers to cloud-based offerings and better compete against Amazon.com Inc. and Microsoft Corp. The company notched a key win when Zoom Video Communications Inc. began using cloud services from Oracle along with Amazon to cope with a strain on its network capacity amid blockbuster demand for its videoconferencing tool.In the fiscal fourth quarter, cloud license and on-premise license sales declined 22% to $1.96 billion, suggesting the company is signing fewer new software deals. Revenue from cloud services and license support increased 1% to $6.85 billion. That metric includes sales from hosting customers’ data on the cloud, but a large portion is generated by maintenance fees for traditional software housed on clients’ corporate servers.“Our overall business did remarkably well considering the pandemic, but our results would have been even better except for customers in the hardest-hit industries that we serve such as hospitality, retail, and transportation postponing some of their purchases,” Catz said in the statement.Profit, excluding some items, was $1.20 a share, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $1.15.“It was a disappointing quarter,” said Hari Srinivasan, an analyst at Neuberger Berman, which has been a long-term Oracle investor. “We were expecting a decline because although Oracle’s products are important for enterprises, that’s not where the spending is. Most companies are spending on getting employees working from home and the cloud.”The company’s revenue performance may be weak for the next two or three quarters until spending recovers, he added.Oracle said that revenue from cloud-based accounting and financial planning software climbed 32% in the quarter from a year earlier. The company’s software for managing employees increased 27%. Oracle didn’t disclose total sales of the products, which compete against those from Workday Inc.Shares declined to a low of $51.70 in extended trading after closing at $54.59. The stock has climbed 3% since the start of the year.(Updates with comments from analyst in the seventh paragraph.)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Moderna (MRNA) Stock Is a Winner, But How Much Higher Can It Go?

    Moderna (MRNA) Stock Is a Winner, But How Much Higher Can It Go?Vaccine maker Moderna (MRNA) is on everyone’s radar, with shares rocketing from the $20 level in January to over $60 today. Moderna stock got another small boost yesterday after the inventor of a leading coronavirus vaccine proposal was reported to be nearing a deal to sell its vaccine to Israel. Citing unnamed sources within the Israeli Health Ministry, news site Ynet.com noted that with Phase 2 clinical trials of the vaccine — mRNA-1273 — nearly complete, Israel is already "in final negotiations" to buy supplies of the vaccine for distribution to its populace. Which is great news, but here's the thing: Moderna stock was in fact already primed to go higher even before the Israeli news was announced.Over the weekend, you see, investment bank J.P. Morgan released an update on a recent discussion it had with Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel and CFO David Meline. In that note, J.P. Morgan analyst Cory Kasimov admitted that he struggles "to appropriately capture COVID-19 in MRNA's valuation given all the unknowns around COVID-19 and the ultimate opportunity." Regardless, Kasimov believes that as progress is made on the mRNA-1273 vaccine, and as the company issues updates on this progress, positive news flow is likely to keep Moderna stock rising at least in the "near term."So what should investors be looking for from Moderna in the weeks and months ahead?First and foremost, Kasimov notes that initial data on the Phase 1 study of mRNA-1273 should be just "weeks" away. With Phase 1 complete, of course, Moderna itself already has all the data available "in house" and should be able to write it up in prose form in a matter of days. The trick is that the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) has control over the precise date for releasing this information. Dr. Anthony Fauci, however, who heads NIAID, has indicated that a release of the data is imminent.Incidentally, it's unlikely NIAID could sit long on this information even if it wanted to. Providing color to the procedure for issuing its updates, Moderna's management confided that one reason it released initial Phase 1 data in mid-May, rather than waiting for the complete data to be assembled, was out of a desire to adhere to SEC regulation FD, and "out of caution so that the data would not be leaked."Simply put, with 14 billion ears around the globe straining for any news of a coronavirus vaccine, leaks are going to happen. To get ahead of such leaks, therefore, both Moderna and NIAID have an interest in releasing new data almost as soon as it is produced. On the one hand, this should minimize inside trading on such news. On the other hand, it practically ensures that there will be a steady flow of new updates on mRNA-1273's (and other vaccine candidates') progress, which should help keep the stock prices of vaccine makers rising.In Moderna's case, this news flow should continue throughout 2020, including a likely "end of September" date for injecting mRNA-1273 into all patients participating in a Phase 3 clinical trial of the vaccine, and culminating in the filing of a Biologics License Application, or BLA, permitting Moderna to produce the vaccine for use in interstate commerce, "by the end of the year."It remains to be seen, however, precisely how much higher such news can drive Moderna's stock price. Although Kasimov has an "overweight" rating on the stock, he values the stock only at $62 a share. Compare that to Modern's stock price at close of trading Monday — $66.57 — and you'll see why this analyst struggles "to appropriately capture COVID-19 in MRNA's valuation." (To watch Kasimov's track record, click here)Kasimov is somewhat conservative compared to the general Wall Street view here. Moderna has a Strong Buy analyst consensus rating, based on 11 Buy ratings and 2 Holds set in recent weeks. The average price target is significantly higher than Kasimov, at $90.40, and implies an upside potential of 40.5% from the $64.34 share price. (See MRNA's stock-price forecast on TipRanks)To find good ideas for biotech stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

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