The Strait of Hormuz oil shock has put ASX green energy shares firmly back in focus.

Oil is the reason why.

When crude prices spike, the whole energy sector moves with them.

Investors are now trying to work out who benefits and who suffers.

Let’s take a look.

Why the oil price matters

The Strait of Hormuz carries a large slice of the world’s seaborne crude.

Any disruption there ripples straight through global markets.

As a result of the most recent disruptions prices have remained elevated, even after cooling from their peaks.

The WTI crude oil price recently sat near US$78.93 a barrel. Brent was around US$84.31.

Higher oil prices lift the cost of fossil-fuel power. In theory, that improves the relative economics of renewables, as wind and solar don’t burn fuel and their input costs don’t rise when a tanker changes course.

That is the simple bull case, but the reality is a little more complicated.

What the latest oil shock means for ASX green energy shares

Most ASX green energy shares are not pure-play renewables businesses. Many still earn money from gas, coal, or electricity retailing. So the oil story cuts both ways. A higher wholesale power price can help earnings today. A faster energy transition can help earnings tomorrow.

Investors need to weigh each business on its own merits. Here are three names worth watching.

Three ASX green energy shares in focus

First up is Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG).

Origin runs generation, gas, and a growing renewables and storage arm. The company is also one of the country’s largest electricity retailers.

Origin shares have had a rough run of late. They recently fell around 19% from this year’s highs, which traces back to its March quarter update in late April. This update showed declines across its Integrated Gas, Energy Markets, and Octopus Energy segments. Crucially, the company also downgraded its FY26 EBITDA guidance.

Today’s share price weakness could interest bargain hunters.

Next is Meridian Energy Ltd (ASX: MEZ). Meridian is a New Zealand-based renewables generator built on hydro power.

Hydro provides roughly 60% of New Zealand’s electricity, and the company recently won final approval to expand its Lake PÅ«kaki hydro storage.

However, dry-year supply risk, wholesale price uncertainty, and the drawn-out Lake PÅ«kaki storage approval process (contested by Transpower and the Energy Minister) all weighed on the shares over the year.

Finally, there is Infratil Ltd (ASX: IFT).

Infratil is an infrastructure investor with broad exposure.

Its portfolio spans renewable generation, data centres, and airports.

That diversification can smooth out the bumps across the current oil shock, giving investors a bit of downside protection.

The bottom line on ASX green energy shares

The Strait of Hormuz crisis is a stark reminder of the world’s reliance on oil.

It also underlines the long-term case for cleaner power.

But ASX green energy shares are not a simple one-way bet. Each business carries its own mix of risks and rewards, and investors should be careful to analyse each opportunity individually.

Foolish takeaway

Oil shocks come and go.

The energy transition looks more like a multi-decade theme.

For patient investors, ASX green energy shares offer one way to play it.

Just be sure to understand what sits inside each business first.

The post What the Strait of Hormuz oil shock means for ASX green energy shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Share prices are changing all the time, giving investors the opportunity to buy (and sell). When ASX shares are trading near 52-week lows, they could be particularly attractive buys.

Of course, there’s a danger they could fall even further from here. But, even if they do, the two ASX shares I want to highlight look like they could materially climb over the next two or three years.

I’m bullish on the two stocks below and optimistic they can bounce back.

ARB Corporation Ltd (ASX: ARB)

The business claims to be Australia’s largest manufacturer and distributor of 4WD accessories which are made to perform in harsh environments. It distributes its products to more than 100 countries.

A significant portion of the company’s products are manufactured in Thailand, where costs are denominated in the Thai baht. The weaker Australian dollar hurt margins in the FY26 first half and this is part of what has sent the ARB share price down by more than 50% since August 2025.

I believe this decline could be a great time to invest. As Warren Buffett once said, be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.

The company believes there a number of elements that could help the company’s long-term success. That includes the expansion of the Australian and New Zealand aftermarket, with new and upgraded retail stores and stockists, and the launch of the new e-commerce sites.

Next, the company highlighted developments in both distribution and product dedicated to the USA market.

ARB also noted increased distribution and manufacturing capacity to accommodate future growth. It also highlighted a pipeline of new product developments and releases.

According to the projection on Commsec, the ARB share price is valued at 17x FY26’s estimated earnings and 15x FY27’s estimated earnings.

Tuas Ltd (ASX: TUA)

Another ASX share that I think looks very undervalued in my opinion is the Singapore-based ASX telco share.

At the time of writing, it has writing more than 60% since mid-May. Ouch. It’s close to its 52-week low.

The Infocomm Media Development Authority of Singapore (IMDA) said it had learned that Simba may have been using radio frequency bands it was not authorised to use. This led to the termination of the M1 acquisition, leaving Tuas with a lot more shares (and a large cash balance) compared to before the attempted acquisition.

I don’t think this will stop the business operating in Singapore and it hopefully won’t slow the company’s growth in Singapore too much. The Tuas share price looks undervalued for how much regular profit it’s generating, plus it can grow in other ways with that cash pile, such as expanding internationally.

In the FY26 first half, the company reported revenue growth of 26% and underlying operating (EBITDA) rose 27%. It grew revenue at a strong pace and the profit margin increased.

The business is making progress expanding its mobile and broadband user base, which is helping its top line and bottom line. It’s already very profitable on a cash flow basis – HY26 operating cash flow was $50.1 million. This can be used to improve the business in the coming periods. 

Despite the setback, I think this ASX share can bounce back from near its 52-week lows.

The post 2 ASX shares near 52-week lows I’d buy today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Tuas. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ARB Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

AIC Mines Ltd (ASX: A1M) shares had a day to forget on Thursday.

The ASX copper stock ended the day around 18% lower at 67 cents.

What happened?

Investors were hitting the sell button following the release of the company’s quarterly update, which revealed higher than expected costs at the Eloise copper mine.

Commenting on the update, Bell Potter said:

A1M has met production and cost guidance for its 3rd consecutive year. At its 100%- owned Eloise Copper Mine in QLD, A1M has reported production for the June 2026 quarter of 3,106t copper in concentrate plus 1,605oz gold at All-In-Sustaining-Costs (AISC) of A$6.15/lb (vs BPe 3,299t Cu in concentrate plus 1,389oz Au at A$4.51/lb). Compared with our numbers, this was a slight miss on copper, a beat on gold, but costs were a negative surprise and the highest reported from Eloise under A1M’s ownership.

Bell Potter has also been looking at the ASX copper stock’s expansion plans and is pleased with its progress. However, it concedes that AIC Mines’ higher costs has raised concerns that it may have to raise capital to fund the expansion. It said:

We recently attended a site visit to Eloise and returned comfortable with the view that the mine expansion is on schedule and mill commissioning will commence as planned in the December quarter 2026. This timeline was reiterated by A1M with the June quarterly report, albeit with some non-critical-path delays. A1M will also provide an updated outlook on 20 July 2026 covering FY27, FY28 and FY29 production targets. 

We anticipate this will include an update on a staged expansion from 1.1Mtpa to 1.5Mtpa, which is already partially catered for with the current expansion to 1.1Mtpa. On our current forecasts the expansion is fully funded. However, the higher costs reported in this quarterly have caused, in our view, some in the market to question this and it being a factor in today’s negative share price reaction.

Should you buy this ASX copper stock?

According to the note, the broker has retained its buy rating on AIC Mines’ shares with a reduced price target of 90 cents.

Based on its current share price of 67 cents, this implies potential upside of 34% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its buy thesis, Bell Potter said:

EPS changes with this update are: FY26: -13%, FY27: -8% and FY28: -9%, on the softer June quarter, forecast higher underlying unit costs, and slightly lower production. A1M represents leveraged, unhedged copper exposure via its Eloise Copper Project with a clear, organic growth strategy being advanced. It has a strong track record of delivery to guidance and a well-credentialed management team. We retain our Buy recommendation on a lowered NPV-based target price of $0.90/sh.

The post Why this ASX copper stock could rise 30%+ in 12 months appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.