The Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ: SPCX) listing on the US tech-heavy Nasdaq exchange was among the most anticipated stock debuts in history, but now that the dust is starting to settle, the question of what the real value of the company’s shares is has arisen.

Investors in SpaceX betting the company can deliver

Part of the difficulty in valuing the company is that of its three divisions, only the connectivity division, which operates the Starlink internet service, is turning a profit at the moment.

While they have large aspirations, the space and AI divisions are still burning cash, even though they are already generating significant revenue.

UBS has run the ruler over the company, and in a note to clients published this week, it sets out a positive investment thesis for SpaceX shares.

Interestingly, the UBS team says that as the company brings its Starship rocket system into service, the total addressable market for the company could increase to US$30 trillion.

UBS added regarding the company:

We view SpaceX as an unparalleled set of assets with a multifaceted return profile and multiple drivers of upside for long term, risk tolerant investors. Starship – the most advanced heavy-lift, re-usable rocket – is the foundational technology that unlocks opportunities in launch, communications and AI compute creating a total addressable market nearing US$30T. Starship would effectively give SpaceX commercial control over access to space for the next decade, and we expect revenues/EBITDA to grow at a ~70%/90% CAGR through ’31 to US$660B/US$512B as opportunities in AI and connectivity scale and rapid reusability drives the launch cost per kilogram to just $200 from $1K currently ($50K for the space shuttle).  

UBS said while it was not factored into their base investment case, the company was “uniquely positioned to exploit off planet business models as they emerge, providing investors a call option as Elon Musk looks to fulfill his vision of making life multiplanetary”.

The broker said the Starship rocket system was five times larger than SpaceX’s Falcon 9 reusable rocket, which would dramatically improve the cost of getting into orbit.

Starship would then feed into the Starlink business, UBS said, enabling the deployment of next-generation satellites, “super-charging the business with 10x the capacity per satellite at about 1/10th the cost”.

UBS also noted that the company’s AI division already had contracts with Anthropic and Alphabet, “while inexpensive access to space opens up the market for orbital compute”.

Massive new markets await

UBS added:

Longer term, we believe the company could exploit other opportunities created by its control of cheap access to space including travel, cargo, orbital manufacturing and access to the lunar (and eventually, Martian) surface. While difficult to quantify, we believe these opportunities will come into focus over the next several years and become a key driver of the shares despite their lack of reference in our 5-year model.

UBS has a price target of US$210 on SpaceX shares.

The post How high will SpaceX shares go according to UBS? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

It was a wild, volatile, but positive start to the trading week for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) and many ASX shares this Monday. After opening in the red this morning, investors quickly turned things around with a run of buying. But that didn’t last long either, with the index spending most of the day in red territory.

However, the ASX 200 staged a late comeback and only just managed to finish in the green, gaining 0.028% for the day and finishing at 8,808.5 points.

This shaky start to the trading week for the Australian markets came after a happy finish to the American trading week on Friday night (our time).

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI) fared decently, rising 0.29%.

In a rare event, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) also gained 0.29%.

But let’s return to this week and the local markets to see how the various ASX sectors performed this session.

Winners and losers

At the front of today’s red sectors were tech stocks. The S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) was hit hard, plunging 2.48%.

Gold stocks were also hit hard, with the All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) cratering 1.89%.

Utilities shares were unpopular, too. The S&P/ASX 200 Utilities Index (ASX: XUJ) saw its value tank 1.63% today.

Consumer staples stocks were no safe haven either, as you can see by the S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples Index (ASX: XSJ)’s 0.91% slump.

Mining shares didn’t hold water. The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) sank 0.65% this Monday.

Nor did healthcare stocks, with the S&P/ASX 200 Healthcare Index (ASX: XHJ) dropping 0.61%.

Industrial stocks were our final losers today. The S&P/ASX 200 Industrials Index (ASX: XNJ) slid 0.17% down.

Let’s turn to the winners now. Leading the push higher were communications stocks, evidenced by the S&P/ASX 200 Communication Services Index (ASX: XTJ)’s 0.89% surge.

Consumer discretionary shares proved popular as well. The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index (ASX: XDJ) jumped 0.86% today.

We could say something similar for financial stocks, with the S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) advancing 0.67%.

Energy shares also ran relatively hot. The S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) put on an additional 0.66% this Monday.

Finally, real estate investment trusts (REITs) only just got over the line, illustrated by the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index (ASX: XPJ)’s 0.04% inch higher.

Top 10 ASX 200 shares countdown

Biotech company Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB) was the best share on the index. Mesoblast stock leapt 4.91% higher this Monday to close at $2.35. This was potentially a reaction to a bullish broker note, which we covered this morning.

Here’s the rest of today’s best: 

ASX-listed company	Share price	Price change
Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB)	$2.35	4.91%
Ampol Ltd (ASX: ALD)	$36.75	4.17%
Genesis Minerals Ltd (ASX: GMD)	$5.88	3.70%
Viva Energy Group Ltd (ASX: VEA)	$2.33	3.56%
Sigma Healthcare Ltd (ASX: SIG)	$2.92	3.55%
ARB Corporation Ltd (ASX: ARB)	$18.03	2.85%
Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR)	$1.45	2.12%
Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG)	$8.35	1.95%
Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)	$91.32	1.81%
Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS)	$4.98	1.63%

Our top 10 shares countdown is a recurring end-of-day summary that shows which companies made big moves on the day. Check in at Fool.com.au after the weekday market closes to see which stocks make the countdown.

The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ARB Corporation and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Well, it seems we are back to square one in the Strait of Hormuz. The fragile ceasefire between the United States and Iran apparently collapsed over the weekend. The United States has resumed strikes on Iran, while Iran has announced that, once again, ships are not permitted to transit the Strait of Hormuz. Does this mean investors should look to ASX energy shares like Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS)?

Yes, we seem to be in a new phase of crisis when it comes to this all-important, and now universally recognised global chokepoint. With ships unable to transit the Strait, markets have turned bearish. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is lower today, currently down by about 0.4%. But naturally, ASX energy shares like Woodside are going the other way. Woodside itself is currently up 0.3% in today’s session to $29.14 a share. Since last Tuesday, this stock, the largest oil and gas producer on the ASX, has lifted by a confident 4.15%.

Although not quite as high as the near-$36 levels we were seeing back in April, Woodside is still up by more than 23% in 2026 to date. Over the past 12 months, investors have enjoyed a 21% return.

Despite these impressive gains, Wodoside shares are still trading on an eye-catching dividend yield of 5.67% at present.

So, with global oil prices spiking once again, and a yield of that size on the table, are Woodside shares currently in the buy zone?

Woodside shares: Time to buy?

I think anyone debating this question is missing the forest for the trees. In Warren Buffett’s view of investing, which I share, good investing practice involves buying high-quality companies that have the ability to compound their earnings over many years at cheap prices.

I think Woodside falls short on a few of those criteria. Firstly, Woodside shares are becoming more expensive, not cheaper, as a result of recent events. That’s not a buy signal in my book.

Secondly, the latest developments in the Middle East are small chapters in what is becoming a very long book indeed. Yes, the Strait is back to being closed. But no one knows if it will reopen tomorrow, next week, or next year. Buying an energy stock based on a view of when a future event may occur is getting dangerously close to flipping a coin. A gamble is, or at least should be, a very different proposition from an investment decision.

Thirdly, it’s my view that most energy shares are not high-quality compounders. Their profits are largely out of their control, riding or dying on the back of fickle global energy prices. This can be great when prices are high. But it can also lead to a prolonged drought if energy prices remain subdued.

So no, I don’t think Woodside shares are attractive following the events of the weekend. In my view, there are simply too many unknowns to make an informed investment decision given the current circumstances.

The post With Hormuz closed, is there an opening to buy Woodside shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Is the Woodside share price a buy for its 14% dividend yield?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
• ASX 200 energy shares rebound after US-Iran peace deal falls apart
• How much do I need in my superannuation to get $50k per year in passive income?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.