The team at Morgans has been busy looking at several ASX shares this week.

Is it bullish, bearish, or lukewarm on these shares? Let’s find out:

Amcor PLC (ASX: AMC)

Morgans is positive on this packaging giant but not quite enough for a buy rating.

It has put an accumulate rating and $65.40 price target on the ASX share. Based on its current share price of $58.58, this implies potential upside of approximately 12% for investors. It commented:

Following its merger with Berry Global in April 2025, AMC identified a non-core portfolio of ~US$2.5bn in revenue. These lower-growth or lower-margin businesses where AMC lacks scale or leadership positions are expected to be divested over time via cash sales or joint ventures/partnerships.

While there is a range of scenarios that can play out, using conservative assumptions, we estimate the combined non-core portfolio could be worth ~US$1.8bn. To date, AMC has reached agreements to sell six businesses for a combined value of ~US$500m. AMC plans to use proceeds from non-core asset sales to reduce leverage, which stood at 3.8x at the end of 3Q26. While management expects leverage to end FY26 at 3.4-3.5x, the stretched balance sheet remains a key investor concern. Our analysis indicates a strong negative relationship (correlation coefficient -0.76) between AMC’s leverage and its 1-year forward PE multiple. We therefore expect a reduction in leverage to support an improvement in AMC’s PE multiple over time.

Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT)

This ASX energy share has been given a sell rating by Morgans this week with a reduced price target of 81 cents. This compares to its current share price of 86 cents.

The broker is bearish due to its belief that the company could fall short of expectations. It said:

We mark-to-market our second half estimates for weaker spot gas prices, while also trimming our Waitsia output forecasts for FY26-28 on continuing struggles. After downgrading our Q4 estimates for daily production rates, we see potential for BPT to fall just short of its FY27 group production guidance. While BPT’s share price has already been under pressure, its earnings outlook has declined at a faster rate, with its forward EV/EBITDA actually rising. We downgrade our recommendation to Sell (from Hold) with a revised target price of A$0.81 (was A$1.10).

Reliance Worldwide Corporation Ltd (ASX: RWC)

Although this plumbing parts company’s shares trade on undemanding multiples, it isn’t quite enough for anything more than a hold rating at present with a price target of $3.60. This is a touch lower than its current share price of $3.72.

The broker was positive on its decision to close its Australian brass operations. It said:

RWC has announced plans to close its Australian brass casting, forging and machining operations, along with several smaller sites, as part of its ongoing global footprint rationalisation program. We think the decision makes sense given RWC’s reduced reliance on Australian-sourced brass in recent years. Annualised net savings are expected to be ~US$9m by the end of FY27, with benefits in the Americas more than offsetting an adverse impact on APAC earnings. One-off costs of US$100-110m (including ~US$5m cash) are expected to be incurred in FY26.

We make no changes to underlying assumptions, with changes to earnings forecasts reflecting the one-off costs in FY26 and net benefits expected across FY27 and FY28. RWC’s valuation remains undemanding (12.8x FY27F PE) and recent developments related to the Middle East conflict should be positive for the global macroeconomic outlook. However, US housing demand remains subdued with 30-year fixed mortgage rates still around 6.5%. The timing of a recovery in housing activity remains uncertain and we therefore maintain our HOLD rating.

The post 1 ASX share to accumulate, one to hold, and one to sell appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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• Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Amcor Plc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Building a portfolio does not need to be difficult.

With the right mix of ASX exchange traded funds (ETFs), investors can get broad exposure to Australian shares, global markets, and selected quality companies.

Here is one simple way to do it with just three investments.

iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV)

The first ASX ETF to consider as part of this portfolio is the iShares S&P 500 ETF.

This fund can act as the global growth engine of the portfolio. It gives investors exposure to 500 large companies listed in the United States, which remains the deepest and most influential share market in the world.

That means the fund is connected to many of the businesses setting the pace in technology, healthcare, consumer products, financial services, industrials, and communication services. This includes Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA).

A key attraction of this fund is that it does not require investors to decide which US giant will win next. It spreads capital across a large group of market leaders and allows the portfolio to participate as corporate America keeps adapting, innovating, and expanding.

Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS)

The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF could be another good addition to this portfolio.

It brings the portfolio back home. The fund provides exposure to a large basket of Australian shares, including banking giants, mining behemoths, healthcare companies, retailers, property groups, infrastructure businesses, and industrial names.

The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF also provides a source of income, as many Australian companies have a long history of paying dividends.

This gives the portfolio a different shape from a purely global strategy. It adds exposure to Australian profits, Australian dividends, and the domestic economy, while still spreading risk across a broad group of local companies.

VanEck Morningstar International Wide Moat ETF (ASX: GOAT)

The final component of this portfolio could be the VanEck Morningstar International Wide Moat ETF.

This ASX ETF can add a more selective layer to the portfolio. It looks beyond Australia and focuses on international companies that are judged to have strong competitive positions and attractive valuations.

That makes it different from a standard index fund. Instead of simply following the biggest companies by market value, it tries to find businesses with advantages that may help protect profits over time. Those advantages can come from strong brands, valuable intellectual property, cost benefits, customer loyalty, or products that are difficult to replace.

This can give the portfolio exposure to companies that may be able to defend their market positions through changing conditions. It also helps broaden the portfolio beyond the Australian market and the US-heavy exposure investors may already get through IVV.

Foolish takeaway

It might be simple, but combining the IVV, VAS, and GOAT ETFs could give investors a winning three-ETF portfolio with global scale, local exposure, dividend potential, and a selective quality tilt.

The post How to build a winning ASX portfolio with just 3 investments appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended iShares S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended VanEck Morningstar International Wide Moat ETF and iShares S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Last week was a tough week for BHP shares.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) has spent two decades trying to prove it can be more than an iron ore and copper company.

Jansen, its giant potash project in Saskatchewan, Canada, is the clearest test of that ambition.

This week, that test got harder.

BHP shares fell 3.20% on Friday to $62.96 after the company revealed another cost blowout at Jansen. The stock has now fallen approximately 8% from its 52-week and record high.

What actually happened at Jansen

BHP completed a detailed review of the cost and schedule estimates for Jansen Stage 2, and the news was not good.

The company now expects Stage 2 to cost between US$4.9 billion and US$5.4 billion more than previously estimated. This is on top of an original sanctioned budget of US$4.9 billion approved back in October 2023.

BHP will recognise an impairment charge of about US$2.3 billion against Jansen Stage 2 as part of its FY26 results.

First production from Stage 2 is now targeted for FY2031, a delay from the originally planned 2029 start.

Stage 1, separately, remains on track for first production in FY2027, though its cost estimate has also crept higher since being sanctioned.

BHP has confirmed it will provide a further update on Stage 1 timing and spending before 31 December 2026.

Why the market reacted so sharply

An impairment charge of this size is, by definition, a non-cash accounting adjustment rather than an immediate cash outflow.

But it is also a credibility issue.

This is not the first time Jansen’s costs have risen beyond what was originally promised. Each successive upward revision makes the market more sceptical of management’s next set of project projections.

BHP shares had already gained around 35% since the start of 2026. This has left little margin for disappointment once the news landed.

Does this change the long-term investment case for BHP shares?

Jansen represents BHP’s attempt to diversify beyond iron ore and copper into a third major commodity pillar tied to global food security and agricultural productivity.

Management still sees potash as an important long-term growth area despite the cost overrun. The company has explicitly framed this week’s update as a matter of timing and cost rather than an abandonment of the underlying strategy.

That framing matters for how investors should weigh the news. The setback is real, but BHP is not signalling that it is walking away from potash altogether.

Why BHP shares could still be a buy

The case for BHP shares has never rested primarily on Jansen.

BHP’s growing copper exposure, combined with rising global demand for electricity-intensive infrastructure, including data centres, electric vehicles, and renewable energy, remains the stronger near-term driver of the company’s earnings and dividend.

The current pullback to approximately 9% below the record high gives investors a more reasonable entry point into a business whose iron ore cash generation and copper growth trajectory have not been altered by this week’s news.

Jansen still adds a longer-term potash option, even with a delayed timeline, rather than removing a pillar of the investment case entirely.

Foolish takeaway

BHP’s bet beyond iron ore just got more expensive and will take longer to pay off than originally promised.

That is a setback, and the market’s sharp reaction reflects real concern about capital discipline at BHP.

But the core reasons to own BHP shares: scale, a strong iron ore cash engine, and growing copper exposure tied to the AI and electrification megatrend, remain firmly in place.

For investors who can accept that mega-projects rarely run exactly to plan, the post-Jansen pullback may offer a reasonable entry point rather than a reason to walk away.

The post BHP’s bet beyond iron ore just hit a snag. Are BHP shares still a buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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• New to ASX shares? Avoid these 3 beginner mistakes
• Are Fortescue shares a strong buy or a value trap?
• There are still some well-priced ASX dividend shares. Here’s where to look
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.