There are some ASX shares where it takes years for the investment thesis to play out. There are other ASX shares that could be worth buying for what may happen in 12 months or less.

No-one can truly tell you what’s going to happen tomorrow or next week with the share market. But I think 12 months is a long enough time period where your investment idea can prove you right through two reporting seasons, perhaps it only needs one result to prove you right.

With that in mind, here are three ASX shares that I think could produce good growth over the next 12 months:

Share 1: Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC)

Costa is Australia’s largest agricultural businesses. It grows tomatoes, avocadoes, mushrooms, berries and citrus fruit.

The last couple of years have been very tough for Costa. There’s the COVID-19 global pandemic happening right now. Bushfires were a worry during last summer, a fire caused some damage at one of Costa’s farms. The agricultural ASX share has had to deal with the terrible drought. Fruit flies were an issue for its citrus division.

Can it get any worse after all of those issues in such a short time? Hopefully not.

Food prices are rising and this should help Costa a lot. It largely costs Costa the same to grow produce whether food prices are cheaper or a bit more expensive – so higher revenue is mostly just extra profit.

I think the higher food prices could have a very helpful effect on Costa over the next 12 months. The drought ending would also be very good if it keeps raining in those dry hard-hit areas.

Share 2: Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD)

Sydney Airport is one of those ASX travel shares that has suffered enormously because of the limitations of travellers coming to Australia. Domestic travel has also suffered a big hit. In April 2020 the airport operator saw total passengers decline by 97.5% to 92,000. International passengers were down 96.9% to 43,000 and domestic travellers were down 97.9% to 49,000.

However, the Sydney Airport share price is recovering as Australia’s domestic travel restrictions lift. Since 3 April 2020 the Sydney Airport share price has risen around 21%. But there’s still a long way to go before international travel restrictions improve. But there is some promising news regarding the treatment of COVID-19 with an existing drug seemingly helping some suffering COVID-19 patients recover. 

Share 3: Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG)

Macquarie is by far my favourite large ASX bank share. There are two key reasons why.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) are all heavily focused on Australia and New Zealand. Macquarie generates about two thirds of its earnings outside of the local region. I think that’s good international diversification.

The second reason is that the big four ASX banks generate most of their earnings from loans. Macquarie has a loan book too, but its earnings are more evenly spread across other divisions. For example, it’s one of the world’s biggest infrastructure asset managers. It also offers numerous investment banking services such as its involvement with initial public offerings, capital raisings, acquisitions and so on.

I like that Macquarie can pivot towards whatever sector or region it thinks is a growth area. A focus for the ASX share right now is renewable energy.  

I think that Macquarie’s share price can continue to rise into 2021 as the world economy heads towards normality again, or at least a new normal.

Foolish takeaway

I think these three ASX shares could produce solid returns over the next 12 months. If I had to pick one of three, I’d go for Macquarie. I think it’s a high-quality business that has very good management and is also focused on shareholder returns with a good dividend yield.

More reading

• Why Afterpay and these ASX shares just stormed to new highs
• Why I would buy CSL and these ASX blue chip shares
• 2 quality ASX 200 shares to buy for long-term growth
• Why I would buy Wesfarmers and these ASX dividend shares
• ASX 200 falls 2%, ASX travel shares drop heavily

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COSTA GRP FPO and Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post 3 ASX shares to buy for 2021 appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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The Carsales.Com Ltd (ASX: CAR) share price is up almost 5% this morning following its latest market trading update. The Carsales share price has rallied strongly since late March, regaining most of its losses during the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic.

Update on impending FY 2020 results

Carsales’ adjusted total revenue is predicted to be flat and in the range of $419 million to $423 million for FY 2020. That compares with total revenue of $418 million for FY 2019. Adjusted revenue included $26 million of revenue billed but not charged due to the COVID-19 support package. Reported revenue, when this figure is not included, would actually result in growth of between -5% to -6%.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) is, however, expected to show modest growth for FY 2020. Carsales estimates that it will be in the range of $228 million to $232 million. If achieved, that would be growth in the range of 5% to 6% for the full financial year.

Lead and traffic volumes improving in Australia, but inventory declines

Carsales pleasingly reported that lead volumes and traffic for Australia continue to improve, since its last market update. The easing of social distancing measures is definitely helping in this respect. Lead volumes for the period between 22 April and 16 June were reported to have grown strongly over the prior corresponding period in 2019.

Total inventory has, however, actually declined over the prior 6-week period. Carsales noted that Australian dealers are facing difficulties with regards to acquiring new and used car stock. This is due do the challenging current environment.

However, on a positive note, there has been a significant reduction in the time required to sell its stock. This is due to the reduction of social distancing restrictions. Many people are now looking to add an additional car to their household to avoid using public transport.

Korea performs well, Brazil remains challenged

In Korea, Carsales’ ownership in SKEncar (a secondhand vehicle company) continues to perform well. Inventory, listing volumes and traffic are pleasingly all up.

Brazil, however, is a different story. This is due to the escalation of the COVID-19 outbreak over there.

Will the Carsales share price continue its rise?

The company’s share price has regained most of the losses that it suffered during the initial phase of the outbreak. It is now trading at $17.76  after being as low as $10.47 in late March.

Where Carsales shares continue to from here will be interesting, in any case. 

This market update appears to be reasonably solid considering the challenging market conditions. However, its share price is not looking as cheap as it was back in March.

More reading

• Why a2 Milk, Carsales, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare, & Starpharma are surging higher
• Here are 2 top ASX tech shares for your portfolio
• Is the SEEK share price a buy right now?
• Here’s why automotive shares could boom post-COVID-19
• The one sector that could experience a V-shape COVID-19 recovery

Motley Fool contributor Phil Harpur owns shares of carsales.com Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended carsales.com Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post Carsales share price up 5% following solid trade update appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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