Shares in Elon Musk’s Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ: SPCX), more commonly known as SpaceX, again fell below the company’s $150 opening price over the weekend as opinions diverge on where the stock will end up.

SpaceX shares still in the black

The historically large SpaceX initial public offering priced the company’s shares at US$135 apiece, so those who got in before the company listed are still sitting on gains and would have made a tidy profit if they sold out at the US$225.64 high achieved shortly after listing.

The shares have generally drifted lower since that peak was reached, however, and closed Friday’s session at US$145.30, not far off their lowest mark of US$145.07.

This means that almost everyone who bought on-market would be under water on their investment currently.

The stock was included in the NASDAQ 100 index on Tuesday last week, however this failed to significantly bolster the stock.  

So where to from here for SpaceX shares? The Tradingview website has collated the views of 29 analysts with price predictions on SpaceX shares, with the average share price forecast coming out at US$242.21.

However this is distorted by one analyst prediction of a price of US$800 per share on SpaceX shares.

Perhaps more useful is the fact that 24 analysts have rated the stock a strong buy, three a buy, while one rates it a sell and one a strong sell.

Motley Fool US contributor Manali Pradhan has crunched the numbers on SpaceX’s 2027 revenue range and forward sales multiple to come up with an implied market capitalisation, and says US$220 per share is a reasonable base case estimate.

As she wrote:

Analysts expect SpaceX’s 2027 revenue to range from $54.8 billion to $85 billion, with an average estimate of $72.4 billion. Applying a forward sales multiple of 38.5 to 41 times to the 2027 base case revenue estimate yields an implied market capitalization of about $2.79 trillion to $2.97 trillion. Using roughly 13.1 billion shares outstanding, that points to a share price in the range of $213 to $227 at the end of 2026.

Long-term vision on SpaceX shares needed

The difficulty in valuing SpaceX stems from the fact that of its three divisions, only one – the Starlink “connectivity” division is profitable.

The rocket launch and AI divisions are still burning money, with investors needing to buy into the promise that they will in time turn a profit.

The company’s initial public offer prospectus stated that for the first three months of 2026, the Space division lost US$662 million, the AI division lost US$2.47 billion, and the connectivity division made a profit of US$1.19 billion.  

The company believes its business opportunity is huge however, saying in the prospectus, “We believe that space represents the largest economic frontier in human history”, and suggesting that they will be building AI infrastructure in space, powered by the “virtually limitless” power of the sun, for the benefit of mankind.

The post SpaceX shares continue to fall. Where will they end up? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The ASX share WAM Microcap Ltd (ASX: WMI) is one of the few stocks with a dividend yield of more than 10% that I’d be willing to own for the long-term.

I love passive income, but the higher the yield the less likely it is to be sustainable because the business is paying out such a large part of its profit each year.

However, WAM Microcap is a bit different to a regular business that sells products or services because it’s a listed investment company (LIC). In other words, it buys and sells shares to make money for shareholders.

It’s not looking within the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) for opportunities though. It’s searching for the most exciting undervalued growth opportunities in the Australian microcap market.

Let’s explore why it’s such a compelling choice for dividends.

LICs need to produce returns

For a LIC to pay sustainable, large dividends, they need to generate good investment returns.

If a LIC’s portfolio generates a double-digit net return over a financial year, then it has essentially done enough to pay a 10% grossed-up dividend yield (including the franking credits).

LICs are not just passive index funds. They can invest very differently to an index, both in terms of the shares they buy and the prices they buy and sell at.

WAM Microcap’s hunting ground represents an area of the market that few fund managers look. There can be some excellent opportunities at the small end of the market because they can be mispriced for their potential and the business can deliver a lot of profit growth from a small base.

The ASX share’s portfolio has delivered an average return per year of 14.4% since inception in June 2017, before fees, expenses and taxes. That’s despite this decade being a tricky period for small-cap shares.  

I believe WAM Microcap’s investment team have the ability to continue making good returns to fund future dividends.

Large dividend yield

WAM Microcap’s board of directors has provided guidance that the business plans to pay an annual dividend per share of 10.7 cents for FY26. That translates into a grossed-up[ dividend yield of around 10.5%, including franking credits.

It has increased its annual dividend per share each year since FY18 (when it started paying dividends), aside from FY24 when it maintained the payout. That’s a strong record of consistency for investors.

The business has a profit reserve of 49.8 cents per share of profit which it built in previous years. That means it could pay the same dividend level for four and a half years without needing to earn any investment returns.

I think Aussies are missing out if they don’t have exposure to small-cap shares for both the diversification and potential returns. WAM Microcap can provide that exposure, along with a great dividend yield level.

There are also other ASX shares that could make great investments today to own for the long-term.

The post This 10% dividend yield stock is one I’m comfortable holding for the long-term appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Wam Microcap. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO) has been one of the most talked-about defence technology shares on the ASX in the 2020s.

That attention is understandable. The company sits in a market shaped by drones, electronic warfare, national security, and the growing need to protect military and civilian assets from aerial threats.

And after a major share price decline, investors face a difficult question. Are DroneShield shares a buy, hold, or sell?

DroneShield shares have fallen hard

DroneShield shares are trading around $2.29 at the time of writing.

That leaves the stock down about 65% from its 52-week high.

A fall of that size can make investors nervous, especially in a growth share where expectations have been high. It also changes the valuation discussion.

According to CommSec consensus estimates, DroneShield is forecast to generate earnings per share of 2.6 cents in FY26, 4.3 cents in FY27, and 7.4 cents in FY28.

Based on the current share price, that puts the stock on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 88 times FY26 earnings, 53 times FY27 earnings, and 31 times FY28 earnings.

The near-term multiples are still high despite the share price decline.

But the FY28 valuation does not look excessive to me if DroneShield can keep scaling and become a larger, more profitable defence technology business.

Why I would buy

I think DroneShield shares are a buy for investors with a high tolerance for risk.

The reason is the market opportunity.

Drones have changed the way governments, defence forces, airports, prisons, critical infrastructure operators, and security agencies think about protection.

They can be used for surveillance, disruption, smuggling, attacks, and battlefield operations. That creates demand for systems that can detect, track, identify, and respond to drone threats quickly.

DroneShield is trying to become a trusted provider in that market.

I also like that the business is not only about hardware. Increasing software revenue could improve the quality of the revenue base over time, especially if customers keep paying for upgrades, subscriptions, support, data, and system improvements.

That could make the business more valuable than a simple equipment supplier.

What investors need to watch

DroneShield still has plenty to prove. The company needs to keep winning contracts, delivering products, expanding capacity, and turning demand into profits. Defence customers can take time to make decisions, and contract timing can create uneven revenue.

Competition is another risk. Counter-drone technology is attracting attention globally, and larger defence companies may push harder into the market.

There is also valuation risk to consider. Even after a 65% fall, DroneShield is still priced for significant growth. If earnings disappoint, the share price could fall further.

That is why position sizing is important. I would view DroneShield as a speculative growth share rather than a core blue-chip holding.

Foolish Takeaway

I would call DroneShield shares a buy, but only for investors who can handle volatility.

The share price fall has made the valuation more reasonable, particularly if the company can deliver the growth currently expected over the next few years.

The counter-drone market appears to have a long runway, and DroneShield has a strong position in a field that is becoming more important to defence and security customers.

There will be bumps along the way. Contract timing, execution, competition, and valuation all need watching. Still, for patient investors willing to accept the risks, I think DroneShield shares are worth buying after this heavy fall.

The post Down 65%: Are DroneShield shares a buy, hold, or sell? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has positions in DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.