A stronger gold production forecast for FY27 from Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) has failed to impress the analysts at Macquarie, who have downgraded their price target on the company.

The Macquarie team still thinks investors can prosper, however, with an outperform rating on the stock and a bullish price target, which we’ll get to shortly.

First, let’s look at what Regis said in a statement to the ASX late last week.

How much gold will Regis Resources produce?

The company said it expected to produce 360,000 to 400,000 ounces of gold this financial year across its Duketon and Tropicana operations, at an all-in sustaining cost of $2,990 to $3,390 per ounce.

This compares to 379,000 ounces produced in FY26. The company also expects to spend $80 to $90 million on exploration.

Regis added:

Duketon gold production for FY27 is expected to be higher than FY26 and slightly skewed towards the second half of the year. The increase is a result of higher production from Garden Well and Rosemont. AISC guidance reflects increased diesel price assumptions along with the previously noted inclusion of the opportunistic higher cost ounces from BuckWell. At Tropicana, production guidance is down slightly year on year. Lower open pit ore production at Havana results in a higher proportion of lower grade stockpile mill feed, compared to FY26. AISC impacts of this lower production are reflected in the guidance for this year.

The company will also spend $30 to $35 million at its McPhillamys project as it progresses towards a final investment decision (FID) expected in the first half of calendar year 2028.

ASX gold shares still looking like good value

Macquarie said in its note to clients that the midpoint of the company’s guidance, 380,000 ounces, was 3% below Visible Alpha consensus estimates, while costs were higher.

But the analysts said the company had plenty of options.

With more than $1.1 billion cash in the bank and limited short-term growth capex requirements, RRL has ample scope for increased capital management and longer dated growth optionality such as McPhillamys which has pre-production capital requirements of $1.08 billion under the Integrated Waste Landform (IWL) construction approach. But with FID not expected before 1HCY28, RRL has significant optionality to continue to build cash, increase capital management, or look to further M&A opportunities.

Macquarie said the company’s dividend yield of about 6% is “exceptional” for a gold stock, and Regis had the balance sheet capacity to increase this.

Following Regis’ update, Macquarie has reduced its price target on the company from $8 to $6.80, compared to $5.66 at the time of writing.

The post Which ASX gold stock has Macquarie tipped to jump more than 20%? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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• Gold, cash, and a takeover twist: Why this ASX 200 gold stock is climbing today

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The biggest dividend yields on the ASX can be tempting. More income today sounds great, but a successful ASX dividend portfolio isn’t built by chasing the highest payout.

The real goal is to own high-quality businesses that can keep paying – and ideally growing – their dividends through economic booms, recessions, and everything in between.

Start with reliable cash flow

If you want dividends that last, begin with companies that generate consistent earnings.

Take Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW). Grocery shopping isn’t glamorous, but it’s incredibly resilient. Whether the economy is booming or slowing, Australians still need food, household essentials, and everyday necessities.

Sure, Woolworths faces competition and rising costs, but its defensive business model has helped it deliver dependable cash flow for decades. That’s exactly what income investors want for their ASX dividend portfolio.

Add essential services

Next, look for businesses people simply can’t live without. Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) fits that description. Australians rely on its mobile and broadband networks every day for work, streaming, banking, shopping, and staying connected.

While Telstra continues investing heavily in its network and faces competitive pressure, telecommunications remain an essential service, supporting relatively stable earnings and dividends.

Diversify your income

Here’s where many dividend investors go wrong. They overload their ASX dividend portfolio with banks or miners.

Instead, spread your income across different industries.

APA Group (ASX: APA) owns and operates thousands of kilometres of gas pipelines and energy infrastructure across Australia. These long-life assets generate relatively predictable cash flows through long-term contracts, making APA a popular choice for income investors.

Property can also deserve a place. HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (ASX: HDN) owns neighbourhood shopping centres anchored by supermarkets and other essential retailers. Because many tenants sign long-term leases, rental income tends to be relatively stable.

Investors should still keep an eye on interest rates, debt levels, and tenant quality, but selective exposure to property can add another valuable income stream.

Don’t forget dividend growth

A high dividend today doesn’t guarantee a high dividend tomorrow. The best ASX dividend portfolios also include companies capable of growing their earnings over time.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) has rewarded shareholders handsomely over the years through both capital growth and dividends. While mining profits can fluctuate with commodity prices, BHP’s world-class assets and strong balance sheet position it well over the long term.

Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) is another standout. Its dividend yield isn’t usually among the highest on the ASX, but that’s missing the point.

The retail and industrial giant has consistently reinvested capital, improved its businesses, and allocated money to attractive growth opportunities. Over time, that has translated into steadily rising earnings and a growing dividend.

Foolish takeaway

Building a successful ASX dividend portfolio isn’t about chasing the biggest yield.

It’s about owning high-quality businesses across different sectors that generate reliable cash flow today while still having room to grow tomorrow. That combination can help investors build an income stream that not only lasts for decades but has the potential to keep growing alongside it.

The post How to build an ASX dividend portfolio that keeps paying you for decades appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Buy, hold, sell: SKS Technologies, Yancoal, Wesfarmers shares
• Here’s the dividend forecast out to 2028 for Woolworths shares
• What is Morgan’s updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
• How much is needed in superannuation to target a $100,000 annual passive income?

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group, HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the day with the smallest of declines. The benchmark index edged 5.4 points lower to 8,791.3 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 to tumble

The Australian share market looks set for a poor session on Tuesday following a mixed night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 39 points or 0.45% lower. In late trade in the United States, the Dow Jones is down 0.65% and the S&P 500 is down 0.2%, but the Nasdaq is edging higher.

Navigator Global shares given buy rating

Navigator Global Investments Ltd (ASX: NGI) shares could be in the buy zone according to Morgans. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the investment company’s shares with a reduced price target of $3.13 (from $3.39). It commented: “NGI has released its June 2026 (4Q26) AUM update. We saw this as another broadly solid quarter, marked by a +6% increase in group ownership-adjusted AUM despite volatile markets, and with continued robust quarterly net flows into Lighthouse (+US$690m). We revise our NGI FY26F/FY27F EPS by +1%/-2%/-4%, with higher AUM forecasts offset by slightly lower operating margin assumptions. Our price target is reduced to A$3.13 (previously A$3.39). With >20% upside remaining to our PT, we maintain our BUY recommendation.”

Oil prices rise again

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have another good session after oil prices rose overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 1.5% to US$83.75 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 1.4% to US$89.33 a barrel. Traders have been bidding oil higher following an increase in US-Iran tensions.

Gold price eases

It could be a subdued session for ASX 200 gold shares Genesis Minerals Ltd (ASX: GMD) and Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) after the gold price eased overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 0.2% to US$4,012 an ounce. Concerns about US interest rate increases are weighing on the precious metal. 

Buy Regis Resources shares

Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) shares could still be undervalued according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, in response to the gold miner’s production and cost guidance, the broker has retained its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $8.45 (from $9.45). It said: “The midpoint of FY27 production guidance is in-line with our forecast (~380koz) and FY26 actual (379koz), while noting there is upside to ~400koz. Duketon is forecast to lift production ~10% YoY, offsetting lower production at Tropicana. Overall, AISC are ~13% above our current group forecast (A$2,650/oz) as higher cost ounces are brought into the mine plan at Duketon and diesel cost inflation comes through the cost base at both operations.”

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.