Author: therawinformant

  • Where to next for the McMillan share price following Wednesday’s results?

    note pad with the words 'what's next' written on it representing uncertainty surrounding mcmillan share price

    note pad with the words 'what's next' written on it representing uncertainty surrounding mcmillan share pricenote pad with the words 'what's next' written on it representing uncertainty surrounding mcmillan share price

    One of the worst performers on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) yesterday was McMillan Shakespeare Limited (ASX: MMS). The McMillan share price closed 6.14% lower at $8.72 on Wednesday, after earlier falling as low a $8.25 per share. This came after the salary packaging, novated leasing, and fleet management company released its FY20 results.

    FY20 performance

    McMillan reported for the full year ending 30 June, a 10.1% decline in revenue to $494 million and a massive 25.1% fall in earnings before interest, tax and amortisation (EBITA) to $99.5 million.

    Underlying net profit after tax and acquisition amortisation (UNPATA) dropped 22.2% to $69 million. Underlying earnings per share (EPS) of 87.4 cents was down 18.5%. The company has declared no final dividend to be paid as it takes a cautious approach due to the uncertainty of COVID-19.  McMillan plans to resume dividends in FY21.

    The FY20 results appear to have spooked investors as the McMillan share price has been heavily sold off.

    COVID-19 impact

    McMillan advised that the coronavirus pandemic caused a sharp and severe hit to Q4 earnings. The company renegotiated contract extensions for 21 customers and granted interest only repayments and payment deferrals for a further 62 customers.

    The uncertainty surrounding the pandemic is expected to result in further restrictions and, subsequently, associated impacts on the company’s near-term future performance.

    Proactive measures have been taken to reduce costs and extend McMillan’s senior debt maturity to see the company through the current climate. McMillan recorded its net cash position of $66.7 million excluding fleet funded debt. 

    FY21 outlook

    McMillan advised there have been some encouraging early indications for Q1 FY21 as activity levels start to improve. However, this of course is reliant on the Australian and the United Kingdom economies returning back to normal sooner rather than later.

    The company’s Group Remuneration Services segment, Plan Partners, was not affected by COVID-19 and is well positioned for customer and earnings growth in FY21. $669 million of client funds were under administration in FY20.

    McMillan’s rapid digital program expansion has been gaining traction as a way to service customers remotely. The program’s digital roadmap is expected to enhance overall customer experience and support growth opportunities.

    Should you invest in today’s McMillan share price?

    Whilst these results are disappointing, I believe they should have been expected due to the impact the pandemic has had on McMillan’s businesses. I am also confident the company will bounce back for FY21. Furthermore, McMillan has initiated cost-saving measures to help see it through the challenging conditions.

    Particularly after yesterday’s falls, I believe the McMillan share price could be a good option for investors with a long-term horizon.

    These stocks could rocket in a Post-COVID world (FREE STOCK REPORT)

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • FY20 results hide a great company. What’s next for the Vicinity Centres share price?

    Folder for Real Estate Investment Trust such as Vicinity Centres

    Folder for Real Estate Investment Trust such as Vicinity CentresFolder for Real Estate Investment Trust such as Vicinity Centres

    The Vicinity Centres (ASX: VCX) FY20 annual report released yesterday disclosed a blowout statutory loss of $1.8 billion. The announcement saw the Vicinity Centres share price fall by more than 4%. The major contributor to the loss was property valuation decline of $1,718 million and an impairment of goodwill of $427 million. In July, Vicinity Centres disclosed an 11.4% decline in valuation. Accordingly, the company has cancelled its June distribution. 

    The Vicinity Centres report goes on to point out that net property income (NPI) had reduced by $204 million, or 22.96%. $169 million of this was due to the impact from the coronavirus. $109 million due to rent waivers, and $60 million due to rent deferrals. The latter part reflects a heightened collection risk in these times. The company is continuing to negotiate short term lease variations.

    Moreover, the company has seen a slide in occupancy rates from 99.5% down to 98.6%. In addition, the real estate investment trust (REIT) finds itself in the firing line again as Victoria has re-imposed restrictions due to the pandemic second wave. 

    Vicinity Centres report – the good news

    The good news is that most of the country has opened up again, this has provided some positive results. For example, in June the portfolio’s store visitation, as a percentage of FY19, stood at 51%. While 90% of stores were trading as compared with FY19. Moreover, the company has moved from 33.7% gearing to 25.5% after a $1.2 billion institutional placement. And much of this debt is not due until at least 2022. 

    To understand the financial performance of a company such as this, you need to know how REITs report, and how it all hangs together. For example, statutory profit, or loss in this case, are derived from following accounting standards. This means inclusion of things like devaluation and the loss of goodwill. However, neither of these issues have anything to do with the level of cash the company has. And in this case it has little to do with the company’s ability to generate revenues. 

    REITs also use a method called funds from operations or FFO. For the benefit of the Vicinity Centres report, this is the equivalent of earnings, or earnings per share for a standard company. The company’s FFO for FY20 was $520.3 million. This was a reduction of 24.5% compared with FY19. While this is not a great result, it takes into account the real-world impacts of coronavirus, and is far more informative than a $1.8 billion statutory loss.

    Where to now for the Vicinity Centres share price?

    The Vicinity Centres report also disclosed the company’s thinking on the move to online shopping. While we are seeing a phenomena of the rapid move to online shopping, we are also seeing many stores become omni channel. That is, to use a multitude of sales and delivery channels. For instance, Michael Hill International Ltd (ASX: MHJ) yesterday announced a move to a range of new sales channels. These have included click and collect, click and reserve, as well as a drop shipping model.

    In all of these cases, there is a need for a physical store, both for sales and for the delivery options. The REIT has also been able to review the tenancy mix and will be evolving over time to reflect both non-discretionary stores, as well as in-demand retail. 

    Foolish takeaway

    I believe the Vicinity Centres report showed a very good company wrapped in a poor FY20 performance due to coronavirus. However, by the REIT’s own admission, recovery of these stores and centres will take a long time. Moreover, while I agree with the omni channel focus, there is still likely to be less retail outlets for any given chain. Moreover, the Victorian experience shows us how rapidly this coronavirus can take off. Until we either learn to live with it, or finally get a working vaccine, then there is a chance for intermittent lockdowns to occur. 

    Personally, I feel there is far too much uncertainty around the sector of large format, largely non-discretionary retail centres. In fact, anything requiring regular gatherings of large crowds is hard to foresee happening anytime soon. As such, it’s likely the Vicinity Centres share price will continue to face significant headwinds over the near term.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • REA Group share price on watch after CEO sells shares

    ATM with Australian $100 bills

    ATM with Australian $100 billsATM with Australian $100 bills

    On Wednesday the Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price came under pressure after the ecommerce company revealed that both its chief executive officer (CEO) and chief financial officer (CFO) were selling down their holdings.

    Between the both of them, the executives offloaded just under $158 million worth of shares.

    This comprises the sale of 2,025,214 shares at $21.60 by CFO David Shafer and 5,284,441 shares at $21.60 by CEO Ruslan Kogan.

    But they’re not the only CEOs that have been selling shares this month.

    Which other CEO has been selling shares?

    According to a change of director’s interest notice, the CEO of REA Group Limited (ASX: REA) has been selling shares since the release of its full year results.

    The notice reveals that CEO Owen Wilson has offloaded a total of 1,682 shares through on market trades on 13 August and 18 August.

    Mr Wilson received a total consideration of $195,399.39 for the shares. This equates to an average of $116.17 per share.

    Following these sales, the chief executive is left with a holding of 12,000 shares and 15,677 performance rights.

    Should you be concerned?

    Insider selling rarely goes down well with investors. This is because many believe it is a sign that a share price has hit its ceiling, at least in the short term. After all, if you felt a share price was going notably higher, you wouldn’t be inclined to sell.

    No explanation was given for the sale, which is a little unhelpful. But it is worth noting that the chief executive still has a decent holding worth approximately $1.4 million at today’s prices.

    You could, therefore, argue that his interests remain aligned with the rest of the property listings company’s shareholders. But whether that will be enough to stop its shares from dropping lower today, only time will tell.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Westpac share price a buy for future dividends?

    Westpac share price

    Westpac share priceWestpac share price

    Is the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price a buy today for the prospect of future dividend income after COVID-19?

    Westpac may not be popular among income investors right now after the major ASX bank decided not to pay a dividend for the FY20 first half. Westpac’s board wants to retain a strong balance sheet amid the ongoing uncertainty in the current operating environment. Westpac said that it will next consider dividends as part of finalising its full year 2020 result.

    What happened in the FY20 third quarter

    COVID-19 has definitely hurt the Australian banking sector. Indeed, banks around the world have been affected by the pandemic.

    The Westpac share price is down more than 32% over the past six months.

    Westpac had already recognised an impairment charge of $2.24 billion in its FY20 half year result which included $1.9 billion of potential impacts of COVID-19. In the FY20 third quarter it recognised another impairment charge of $826 million.

    The lower impairment charge helped the bank deliver decent earnings for the quarter. Statutory earnings was $1.12 billion. It generated cash earnings of $1.32 billion compared to the first half’s quarterly average of $497 million, or $1.14 billion excluding notable items.

    The charge for extra provisioning wasn’t great news for investors. It also reported a lower net interest margin (NIM) of 2.05% which was down 8 basis points, due to low interest rates. The NIM is an important measure of profitability for the banking sector.

    The big ASX bank said that at 31 July 2020, 78,000 mortgages were still being deferred. Westpac said that the percentage of its Australian mortgages that are now more than 90 days past due (including hardship mortgages) was 1.49%, up 55 basis points from March 2020. Currently there is government stimulus and other elements of support for borrowers in hardship, but that won’t last forever.

    Despite these various troubling statistics, Westpac had a common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio of 10.8% at 30 June 2020. The Westpac share price would have fallen even further if it wasn’t well capitalised. The ASX bank is currently reviewing its businesses, so that could lead to more divestments.

    Is Westpac a buy for future dividends?

    ASX banks have been favourites for income investors for many years. So the current environment is unnerving.

    But what about the future? COVID-19 won’t be around forever. Will Westpac’s net profit bounce back to above $5 billion or $6 billion in a year or two? If profit can bounce back then perhaps the Westpac share price and the dividend can rebound too?

    Will the 2019 Westpac dividend of $1.74 per share be a pretty close payout to the 2022 dividend payout? If that were to be the case then Westpac’s 2022 grossed-up dividend yield would be 14.3%. That sounds like a good yield!

    But there’s a good chance that it will take longer for Westpac’s earnings to recover. The board may want to hold onto capital for the longer-term. The dividend payout ratio may never be as high as it was before COVID-19. This recession may take a while for all of the elevated bad debts to go through Westpac’s results. Just look how long it is taking for the royal commission remediation to be finalised.

    There’s also the upcoming AUSTRAC penalty. Westpac has provisioned $1 billion (after tax) for AUSTRAC matters, with $900 million for the potential penalty.

    Westpac is the only major ASX bank that hasn’t paid a dividend this year. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) have all paid a dividend, even if it was heavily reduced.

    I think Westpac is making the right capital management calls to ensure the business stability. There’s not much point paying a dividend and then needing to do a capital raising at highly discounted Westpac share price. But it’s facing the biggest difficulties. 

    Westpac’s dividend will hopefully bounce back in the future. But I think there are other ASX dividend shares that offer big yields that perhaps aren’t as risky like listed investment companies (LICs) WAM Leaders Ltd (ASX: WLE) or NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Ltd (ASX: NSC).

    These 3 stocks could be the next big movers in 2020

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of NAO SMLCAP FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

    Broker trading shares relaxing looking at screen

    Broker trading shares relaxing looking at screenBroker trading shares relaxing looking at screen

    On Wednesday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form again and stormed notably higher. The benchmark index rose 0.7% to 6,167.6 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to edge lower.

    The benchmark ASX 200 looks set to end its winning streak on Thursday. According to the latest SPI futures, the benchmark index is poised to open the day 14 points or 0.23% lower. This follows a disappointing night of trade on Wall Street which saw the Dow Jones fall 0.3%, the S&P 500 drop 0.45%, and the Nasdaq tumble 0.6% lower.

    Afterpay upgrades guidance.

    The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price will be on watch on Thursday following a surprise after-market update on its FY 2020 performance. Since the end of the financial year, the company’s collections have been stronger than expected. This led to a better than expected Net Transaction Loss (NTL) as a percentage of underlying sales. In light of this, it has upgraded its EBITDA guidance to approximately $44 million. This compares very favourably to its previous EBITDA guidance of $20 million to $25 million.

    Webjet posts major loss.

    The Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price will be in focus today after the release of its full year results. The online travel agent posted a 27% decline in revenue to $266.1 million for FY 2020. This comprises first half revenue of $217.8 million and second half revenue of just $48.3 million. On the bottom line, Webjet recorded a statutory net loss after tax of $143.6 million and an underlying net loss after tax of $42.3 million.

    Oil prices soften.

    Energy producers including Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) will be on watch today after oil prices softened further. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 0.15% to US$42.82 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 0.4% to US$45.27 a barrel. Demand concerns were weighing on energy prices overnight.

    Gold price sinks.

    Gold miners Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) could come under pressure today after the gold price sank lower. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 4% to US$1,933 an ounce. This follows the release of minutes from the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.

    Man who said buy Kogan shares at $3.63 says buy these 3 ASX stocks now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 ASX results you might have missed on Wednesday

    Woman investor looking at ASX financial results on laptop

    Woman investor looking at ASX financial results on laptopWoman investor looking at ASX financial results on laptop

    It certainly was a busy day of results releases on Wednesday.

    The likes of A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) and CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) were just two of a large number of companies handing in their report cards.

    Given how many releases were made, a few results will inevitably have slipped under the radar.

    Three that you might have missed are summarised below. Here’s how they performed:

    McPherson’s Ltd (ASX: MCP)

    The McPherson’s share price rose almost 4% on Wednesday after the beauty products company delivered a solid FY 2020 result. For the 12 months ended 30 June, McPherson’s reported a 6% increase in total sales revenue to $222.2 million. On the bottom line the company posted an underlying profit after tax of $15.5 million, up 13% on the previous year. On statutory basis, profit after tax fell 56% to $6.1 million. This includes a $10.7 million pre-tax non-cash impairment in its A’kin and Moosehead brands and its investment in the Kotia joint venture.

    Moelis Australia Ltd (ASX: MOE)

    The Moelis share price jumped over 9% higher yesterday following the release its half year results. Investors were very pleased to see the company deliver a result 6.5% ahead of the guidance it provided at its annual general meeting in May. Moelis reported a slight reduction in revenue to $67.4 million and a 19.4% increase in statutory net profit to $8.9 million. And although no guidance was given for the full year, management revealed that the second half has started positively.

    Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR)

    The Saracen share price tumbled lower on Wednesday following the release of its full year results. Though, this decline had more to do with a pullback in the gold price than its profits. In fact, had the gold price remained stable the Saracen share price would likely have risen. For the 12 months ended 30 June, Saracen reported a whopping 173% increase in underlying net profit after tax to $257.5 million. This was driven by a 47% jump in production, steady costs, and a stronger gold price.

    These 3 stocks could be the next big movers in 2020

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why I would buy Telstra and this ASX dividend share today

    dividend shares

    dividend sharesdividend shares

    If you’re searching for dividends in this low interest rate environment, then I would suggest you consider the ASX dividend shares listed below.

    Here’s why I think they are in the buy zone right now:

    BWP Trust (ASX: BWP)

    The first option to consider is BWP Trust. It is the largest owner of Bunnings Warehouse sites in Australia with a portfolio of 68 stores leased to the hardware giant. Earlier this month the company released its full year results and revealed a 1% increase in profit before gains on investment properties to $117.1 million. I believe this demonstrates the resilience of its business.

    Another example of this was its property valuations. At a time when retail properties are being impaired, BWP Trust recognised a $93.6 million increase in the gains in fair value of its investment properties. Management advised that this reflects the continuing strong market support for Bunnings Warehouse properties from an investment and risk perspective. In FY 2021, BWP Trust expects to pay a distribution in the region of 18.29 cents per unit. This works out to be an attractive 4.6% yield.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    This telco giant’s shares have come under pressure this month following the release of its full year results. Investors were selling its shares amid concerns that its guidance for FY 2021 would force a dividend cut. While a cut is certainly a possibility, a switch to a free cash flow-based dividend policy could allow for it to be maintained.

    A number of analysts believe this will happen, securing its 16 cents per share dividend for the foreseeable future. If that proves correct, then Telstra’s shares will offer a fully franked 5.2% dividend yield in 2021. In light of this, I would be a buyer of the company’s shares right now. It is also worth noting that if it cuts its dividend to 12 cents, it would still provide an attractive 3.9% yield.

    These stocks could rocket in a Post-COVID world (FREE STOCK REPORT)

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Catapult share price in focus after strong FY 2020 growth

    man scoring touchdown in football game

    man scoring touchdown in football gameman scoring touchdown in football game

    The Catapult Group International Ltd (ASX: CAT) share price will be in focus on Thursday following the release of its FY 2020 results.

    What happened in FY 2020?

    For the 12 months ended 30 June 2020, the sports analytics and wearables company reported a 6% increase in revenue to $100.7 million. The key driver of this was a 21% lift in its subscription revenue to $77.6 million. This was boosted by new contract wins and a 39% lift in customers with more than one Catapult solution.

    This led to Catapult delivering earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $13.3 million in FY 2020. This was an improvement of $9.2 million and driven by the continued strong subscription revenue growth and a decline in operating expenses.

    As a result, the company has now delivered five consecutive half-years of consistent EBITDA growth. Management notes that this is due to its continued focus on efficient implementation of a SaaS business model resulting in higher operating leverage and profitable growth.

    Pleasingly, after committing to deliver positive free cash flow in FY 2021, Catapult has achieved its goal a year earlier than planned. Catapult posted positive free cash flow of $9 million, up from a cash outflow of $17.1 million in FY 2019.

    Where did Catapult’s growth come from?

    Management advised that its subscription revenue growth of 21% was driven by positive performances across all verticals.

    Performance & Health grew 29%, Tactics & Coaching lifted 10%, Management increased 26%, and Media and Engagement jumped 27%.

    This was supported by continued low churn levels. Despite the pandemic, Catapult recorded ACV churn of 6.7% compared to 6.3% in FY 2019.

    Catapult’s CEO, Will Lopes, commented: “Despite our Q4 slowdown, our staff was able to grow subscription revenue 21% from last year and deliver 26 new features to our customers. Our ability to execute in such trialing times is a great sign of our product strength, our employees’ dedication to our customers, and the experience of our executive team.”

    Outlook.

    Management advised that FY 2021 will be a shorter financial year comprising just nine months. This is the result of Catapult changing to a 31 March year end.

    It feels this change and a switch to a USD reporting currency will better reflect its underlying successful operating and earnings profile driven by its growth in the northern hemisphere market.

    In respect to its financials, management aims to continue being free cash flow positive in FY 2021.

    However, it believes it is too early to comment on revenue growth rates for FY 2021 because of the pandemic. Though, it does expect a decent portion of sales that would otherwise have been made in the fourth quarter to be made in the first half.

    Longer term, management expects its underlying revenue growth rate to return to historic levels.

    These stocks could rocket in a Post-COVID world (FREE STOCK REPORT)

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

    More reading

    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Catapult Group International Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Catapult Group International Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Brambles share price on watch as its ~$660 million profit carries a sting in its tail

    Man in suit considering the devil on his shoulder

    Man in suit considering the devil on his shoulderMan in suit considering the devil on his shoulder

    The Brambles Limited (ASX: BXB) share price will be under the spotlight tomorrow after it unveiled its full year profit results after the market closed.

    The logistics group could find favour with investors as it managed to deliver sales and earnings growth despite the COVID-19 market meltdown.

    Brambles delivers profit and sales growth

    Group revenue came in at US$4.73 billion ($6.52 billion) in FY20, which is 6% ahead of last year in constant currency terms. Its adjusted net profit of US$477.2 million was 11% above FY19 if you ignored the exchange rate.

    Management also declared a final dividend of US9 cents a share, which converts to 12.54 cents (franked at 30%). That’s a cut from last year’s 14.5 cents per share payout.

    A change in accounting standards from AASB 16 takes some of the gloss off the results too. This change contributed to around 3 percentage points to underlying profit growth.

    The stronger US dollar hurts its earnings as all its income is reported in US dollar. Sales growth would halve otherwise to 3% while net profit growth would only hit 5%.

    Marginal profit issue could save Brambles’ share price

    However, I think the market will overlook this small negative given that the results imply stronger margins – regardless of how you treat the exchange rate.

    It’s hard enough to grow both top and bottom lines amid the largest economic disruption in living memory, let alone lift margins.

    What’s more, most currency forecasters are expecting the US dollar to weaken through to 2021, which will suit Brambles well.

    COVID-19 a double-edged sword for BXB share price

    The COVID-19 pandemic was both a blessing and a curse to Brambles. Its main business is to provide pallets and logistic services to supermarkets and other consumer staple retailers.

    Demand for food and other household products surged during the onset of pandemic in March. That’s good news for Brambles if not for the fact that it left the group scrambling to meet volatile demand.

    Meanwhile, the virus outbreak had a big negative impact on Brambles’ Automotive containers and Kegstar keg-pooling businesses. No one was buying cars in the sharp and sudden downturn, while lockdowns forced pubs to shutter. Luckily, these businesses only account for around 5% of group revenue.

    Cold water on good result

    However, the thing that might disappoint shareholders is the lack of a V-shape earnings recovery for the group. Management believes that on a constant currency basis, revenue will be anywhere between flat and +4%, while underlying profit will range from zero to +5%.

    For a stock that’s trading on a price-earnings multiple of 26.5 times, the prospect of zero growth in FY21 could spook investors.

    On the other hand, one has to wonder if management is being too conservative. The group is leveraged to economic activity, and economists are tipping a decent if not substantial rebound in the global economy within the next 12 months.

    It’s hard to imagine Brambles posting no or low single-digit growth in such a scenario.

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    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why I would buy and hold these ASX healthcare shares until 2040

    With populations around the world getting older, demand for healthcare services is expected to grow materially over the next couple of decades.

    In light of this, I think the healthcare sector is a great place to look for long term investment options.

    Two quality ASX healthcare shares that tick a lot of boxes for me are listed below. Here’s why I think they could be great options:

    iShares Global Healthcare ETF (ASX: IXJ)

    The first healthcare option for investors to consider is actually an exchange traded fund (ETF). I think the iShares Global Healthcare ETF would be a fantastic option due to the large number of quality companies that it is invested in. It provides investors with exposure to healthcare companies across a range of sectors including biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and medical devices.

    This means investors will be investing in many of the world’s biggest healthcare companies such as CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), Johnson & Johnson, Novartis, and Pfizer. I believe this group of companies has the potential to outperform the market over the long term thanks to the favourable industry tailwinds. As a result, I feel the iShares Global Healthcare ETF could be a great long term option.

    Ramsay Health Care Limited (ASX: RHC)

    Another option for investors to consider buying is Ramsay Health Care. This private hospital operator has been facing tough trading conditions for a couple of years and things are unlikely to get easier in the immediate term. But I wouldn’t let that put you off investing with a long term view. Especially given how this appears to have already being factored into the Ramsay share price.

    I believe Ramsay’s long term outlook is very positive. This is due to the aforementioned forecasted increase in demand for healthcare services and its global footprint. Another positive is that Ramsay’s management team has a track record of accelerating its growth through acquisitions. I suspect there will be further acquisitions in the coming years that expand its footprint into new markets and drive further growth.

    These stocks could rocket in a Post-COVID world (FREE STOCK REPORT)

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

    More reading

    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Ramsay Health Care Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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