Author: therawinformant

  • The retail investor rally: Morning Brief

    The retail investor rally: Morning BriefTop news and what to watch in the markets on Tuesday, June 9, 2020.

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  • GE Opens Parts Of $3 Billion Debt Offering To Boost Liquidity

    GE Opens Parts Of $3 Billion Debt Offering To Boost LiquidityGeneral Electric Co. (GE) said it reopened portions of its prior debt offerings as it seeks to raise $3 billion in total proceeds to bump up its cash buffers to cope with the coronavirus crisis.The company said the reopening was in “response to a reverse inquiry from a long-term strategic investor”. Shares rose 7.4% to $8.46 on Monday.GE expects to use these proceeds to reduce shorter-duration debt, including repaying a portion of GE’s intercompany debt obligations to GE Capital and lower GE Capital’s outstanding debt obligations.“The combination of transactions is expected to be leverage neutral over time,” the company said in a statement.The move builds on a number of recent leverage-neutral actions that have improved GE’s near-term liquidity by extending $4.2 billion of industrial maturities and $4.4 billion of capital maturities to date. The company added that it remains committed to achieving its leverage goals over time.Upon closing of the two offerings, both the GE notes and the GE Capital notes will rank pari passu with the outstanding existing and future senior unsecured debt of GE, the company said. Both offerings are expected to close on June 15 subject to satisfaction of customary closing conditions.Shares in GE have been hit hard this year, dropping almost 30%. The decline is mostly on account of GE’s heavy dependency on the commercial aviation sector, which has come to an almost standstill during the coronavirus pandemic. GE announced last month that it is cutting 25% of the workforce at its aviation unit, which makes engines for Boeing (BA) and Airbus.Meanwhile Citigroup analyst Andrew Kaplowitz this month kept a Buy rating on the stock with a $8 price target amid optimism that a recovery at GE Healthcare could be underway as COVID-19 supports an acceleration of the adoption of healthcare digital tools.After hosting a virtual meeting with GE Healthcare CEO Kieran Murphy, the analyst tells investors that healthcare demand trends are improving faster than expected with China, in particular, largely "normalized".Kaplowitz believes that longer-term, the "margin expansion runway in the business could remain substantial".As the coronavirus pandemic is forcing a change in certain clinical practices, GE’s digital products related to remote patient monitoring and healthcare workflow have been amongst the tools deployed in dealing with the pandemic, Kaplowitz added.The Street’s rating outlook for GE is currently split with 8 Buy and 7 Hold ratings, adding up to a Moderate Buy consensus. The average analyst price target of $8.66 per share indicates shares have a mere 2.4% upside potential over the coming year, following some recovery over the past month. (See GE stock analysis on TipRanks).Related News: Airbus Gets No New Aircraft Orders In May Amid Aviation Crisis Boeing CEO Says ‘Likely’ A Major Airline Could Fold In 2020 Colombian Carrier Avianca Files for Bankruptcy Protection Due to Coronavirus Woes More recent articles from Smarter Analyst: * Soleno Plunging 48% In Pre-Market On Obesity Study Failure * Scotts Micracle-Gro Spikes 6% In Pre-Market After Raising 2020 Sales Guidance * IBM Makes Surprise Exit From Facial Recognition Business * Macy’s Spikes 15% After-Hours On New Financing Deal

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  • Signs Stock Rally is Doomed to End After $21 Trillion Rebound

    Signs Stock Rally is Doomed to End After $21 Trillion Rebound(Bloomberg) — As a sense of euphoria sweeps through global equity markets propelling stocks to regain $21 trillion in value from a March low, the asset class is looking increasingly frothy.While stock luminaries who had advocated for a bull zone look like winners in hindsight, the debate goes on about whether the rally is a bear market bounce, doomed to end. Asia still looks set to end the day with a gain, but stocks in Europe have turned lower, poised for the worst performance in more than a week.Global equities have climbed back to levels last seen in February, when the coronavirus began spreading rapidly outside of China. The 42% surge from a March low is the best advance over an equivalent time-frame since 2009 for the MSCI ACWI Index that includes stocks in both the emerging and developed world. The gauge is now trading at 20 times next year’s profits, the most expensive since 2002.“This rally is a function of government support being thrown behind the economy,” said Paul Sandhu, head of multi-asset quant solutions and client advisory for Asia Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management. “There are key risks that could lead to more volatility ahead over the short term, which is why we continue to hedge our portfolios on the downside while still looking for opportunities to add risk for the medium to long term.”So far bulls are in charge. U.S. stocks just crossed an important psychological milestone of recouping this year’s losses. Asia’s equity benchmark is having its seventh straight day of gains, the longest streak in more than two years. And European shares are on course for the best monthly gain since 2009.Factors including a wall of money from the guardians of global economies, the easing of lockdowns and the shockingly positive employment numbers in the U.S. are drawing more buyers to participate, picking up cheaper sectors and adding more fuel to the rally. Yet caution still abounds with some investors increasing hedges for potential volatility ahead.“The risk of a correction will rise if investors continue to price in a rapid recovery, especially for sectors that are vulnerable to another wave of infections or an escalation of tensions between the U.S. and China,” said Tai Hui, chief Asia market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.In another sign that the rally is stretched, global share-price gains in the past month have purely come from multiple expansion as earnings forecasts have barely budged since May. Adding to that is the fact the MSCI world measure has been in overbought territory since the start of the month, with the relative strength gauge on the index reaching the highest since January, which is considered a bearish signal by some.Meanwhile, speculative excess has surged to the highest in at least 20 years among U.S. options traders, a negative for stocks over the medium term, according to Sundial Capital Research Inc. And a time-honored strategy of hedging stocks with government bonds has become questionable now that bond yields have plummeted thanks to policy easing across the world.“If everyone is holding stocks just to pass on to the next greater fool, and if the greatest fool is a central bank with infinite liquidity to buy them, then, yes, prices will keep going up,” according to a note from Rabobank on Tuesday.(Adds market performance in second paragraph)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Tesla, Amazon Backer Baillie Gifford Invests $35M In Air Taxi Startup Lilium

    Tesla, Amazon Backer Baillie Gifford Invests $35M In Air Taxi Startup LiliumBaillie Gifford has invested $35 million in Germany-based air-taxi startup Lilium, the Financial Times reported.What Happened The United Kingdom-based private investment firm holds a nearly 4% stake in Lilium as a result of the investment that valued the startup at more than $1 billion, according to the Financial Times.Baillie Gifford is looking for "situations where there is the potential for a really transformative new market or product in the long term, while recognising that these will often take a lot of time to come to fruition," investment manager Michael Pye told the Financial Times.The firm is best-known for being the largest external investor in electric vehicles maker Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) and was also an early investor in Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN), the Space Exploration Company (or SpaceX), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE: SPOT), and Airbnb Inc.Baillie Gifford, earlier this year, invested in California-based Lilium rival Joby. Pye told the Financial Times that the firm's Lilium funding is higher than what it invested in Joby.Lilium, which is aiming to launch five-seater city-to-city air taxis, has raised $375 million to date, according to the Financial Times.Image Credit: Lilium.See more from Benzinga * IBM Discontinues Facial Recognition Technology, Says It Can't Condone 'Racial Profiling' Or 'Mass Surveillance' * Facebook-Backed Jio Platforms Gets 0M From Abu Dhabi Sovereign Fund As It Looks To Challenge Amazon, Walmart In India * Chinese Online Grocery Seller Dada Welcomes 'Better Auditing And Regulation,' As Company Starts Trading At Nasdaq(C) 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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  • Occidental to Review Mideast Assets in Bid to Cut Debt

    Occidental to Review Mideast Assets in Bid to Cut Debt(Bloomberg) — Occidental Petroleum Corp. is reviewing options for its Middle Eastern assets as it seeks ways to reduce its debt pile, people familiar with the matter said.Houston-based Occidental is considering reducing its stakes in oil and natural gas fields in Oman, according to the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. Its holdings in the Gulf sultanate could be valued at more than $1 billion, the people said.The company is also open to divesting other assets in the Middle East, though it isn’t formally soliciting interest, the people said. Outside of Oman, it has a presence in the United Arab Emirates and Qatar.Occidental was saddled with about $40 billion of debt after its purchase of Anadarko Petroleum Corp. last year. It has gone from being a steady, diversified producer to a shale-focused driller that has seen its shares fall more than 40% this year. A slump in energy demand worsened Occidental’s financial situation, forcing it in May to cut a quarterly dividend to the lowest level in decades.Failed DealsThe company has been producing in Oman for more than 30 years, according to Occidental’s website. It has operations at the Safah Field and Block 62 in the north of the country and at the Mukhaizna Field in the south.Occidental has a 40% holding in Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.’s Al Hosn project in the United Arab Emirates and a 24.5% interest in Qatar’s North Field, which both rank among the region’s biggest gas reservoirs. It also owns a stake in Dolphin Energy Ltd., which processes gas from the Qatar project and transports it by pipeline to the UAE.No final decisions have been made, and there’s no certainty the deliberations will lead to a transaction, the people said. A representative for Occidental declined to comment.Occidental shares extended gains in Monday afternoon trading. They were up 17% to $24.40, the highest in more than three months, at the close in New York.The explorer previously tried in 2014 to raise as much as $8 billion by selling a stake in its Middle Eastern business. At the time, it was in talks to sell a 40% interest in the operations to a consortium of government-backed firms from Oman, Abu Dhabi and Qatar. That attempt fell apart amid political turmoil in the region, Bloomberg News reported at the time.More recent divestment plans were derailed when Total SA abandoned a purchase of Occidental assets in Ghana and Algeria.(Updates with closing share price in seventh paragraph)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Why you should be buying the dip in ASX gold stocks

    businessman watching gold coins fall down

    ASX gold shares have lost their lustre as fear truly turned into greed on our market.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) recorded another big jump on Tuesday. The top 200 benchmark recovered by 35% since its bear market low point back in March.

    While there are fears that we could be retesting that low come the next profit reporting season in August, I seriously doubt any sell-off will be that bad.

    If bullish sentiment is to persist as I suspect, does it mean it’s time to sell ASX gold miners?

    Is gold losing its shine?

    Gold is seen as a safe haven and it outperforms during times of distress. But it usually lags when the good times return.

    The bulls are emboldened by better than expected economic news. Unemployment and the economic contraction from the COVID-19 crisis aren’t as bad as originally forecast.

    This explains why gold miners are among the worst performers on the market today. The Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price, Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX NST) share price and the Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR) share price shed between 5% and 9% each.

    Safety first

    However, it would be a mistake to go underweight on gold stocks, in my opinion. If anything, this is the perfect time to add to positions for those who have limited exposure to the sector.

    This is because my optimism towards gold isn’t hinged on the steepness of the coronavirus curve. There’s a bigger driver for gold, and it’s loose monetary policy.

    Make no mistake, this policy will be in place for a long time even as we squash the coronavirus curve.

    Record low rates here to stay

    For one, Australia cannot wean itself off record low interest rates even as we emerge from the COVID-19 recession.

    Record household debt and weak wage growth means any lift in rates could send many to the wall – and that means the RBA’s hands are tied when it comes to lifting the cash rate.

    Then there is the problem about government debt as our country will probably need an entire generation to pay off the bills from the large COVID-19 stimulus programs.

    Burgeoning government debt

    More importantly for gold, the US is in a worst situation. I say worst because the US dollar tends to be negatively correlated to the gold price.

    The ballooning US debt will weaken confidence towards the greenback and that will keep the precious metal in investors’ good books.

    The US budget deficit is tipped to quadruple in 2020 to nearly US$4 trillion, reported Bloomberg which quoted forecasts by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB).

    Buy the gold dip

    This estimate only includes the already announced support packages passed by US congress. There’s talk that US President Donald Trump is planning on adding another US$1 trillion to pull his economy out of the worst recession since the Great Depression.

    And he has a great incentive to spend big as he’s facing re-election this November.

    The rest of the world is also likely to increase government spending to get their economies growing again, and this will only add to the appeal of the yellow metal.

    Gold’s bull run will continue well past the COVID-19 crisis.

    3 “Double Down” stocks to ride the bull market higher

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has identified three stocks he thinks can ride the bull market even higher, potentially supercharging your wealth in 2020 and beyond.

    Doc Mahanti likes them so much he has issued “double down” buy alerts on all three stocks to members of his Motley Fool Extreme Opportunities stock picking service.

    *  Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Evolution Mining Limited. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

    The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why you should be buying the dip in ASX gold stocks appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Macy’s Spikes 15% After-Hours On New Financing Deal

    Macy’s Spikes 15% After-Hours On New Financing DealShares in Macy’s, Inc. (M) spiked 15% in Monday’s after-hours trading after the company announced the closing on approximately $4.5 billion of new financing.This included its previously announced $1.3 billion of 8.375% senior secured notes, as well as a new $3.15 billion asset-based credit agreement.In addition, the company has amended and substantially reduced the credit commitments of its existing $1.5 billion unsecured credit agreement. Macy’s intends to use the proceeds of the notes offering, along with cash on hand, to repay the outstanding borrowings under the existing $1.5 billion unsecured credit agreement.With the closing of these financings, M now expects to have sufficient liquidity to address the needs of the business, including funding operations and the purchase of new inventory for upcoming seasons, resolving its accrued payables obligations, and repaying upcoming debt maturities in fiscal 2020 and fiscal 2021.“We are pleased with the strong demand from new investors in our notes issuance, which allowed us to tighten pricing and increase the size of the offering” said Jeff Gennette, CEO of Macy’s.“The high quality of our real estate portfolio positioned us well to execute this offering. Additionally, the continued commitment from our bank group allowed us to more than double the size of our existing revolving credit facility” the CEO added.Shares in Macy’s have plunged 44% year-to-date, and analysts have a bearish Moderate Sell consensus on the stock with 3 recent hold ratings and 7 sell ratings. The average analyst price target of $5 also indicates 49% further downside potential from current levels. (See M stock analysis on TipRanks).“We remain Neutral-rated as we continue to favor Kohl’s (KSS) in the department store space, and we expect a highly promotional environment and M’s on-mall presence to weigh on results going forward” wrote Guggenheim analyst Robert Drbul on May 21.Related News: Buckle Down Says Street, As Stitch Fix Sinks 7% Post-Print Zoom (ZM) Is a Winner, but the Stock Is Fairly Valued Here Syracuse Is Said To Be In Talks To Buy Bankrupt J.C. Penney; Shares Leap 55% More recent articles from Smarter Analyst: * Buckle Down Says Street, As Stitch Fix Sinks 7% Post-Print * Brazil’s XP Acquires Majority Stake In Fliper; Shares Spike 12% * Gilead Seeks Europe Remdesivir Approval; Three Analysts Reiterate Bullish Calls * Beyond Meat Pops 22% On Sinodis Food Distribution Partnership In China

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  • Stock futures decline following solid rallies

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  • How to become a millionaire before your parents with ASX shares

    3 piggy banks increasing in size, asx shares financials, growth, asx portfolio

    Do you want to become a millionaire before your parents? You can use ASX shares to do it.

    Some younger people still have a long working career ahead of them. They may will be able to quickly accelerate their wealth towards their financial goals. Particularly because of the current difficult coronavirus circumstances.

    Why younger people have an advantage with ASX shares

    Older people are drawn towards safer assets. Cash, term deposits and property are big holdings of older Aussies. However, the Australian interest rate is now so low you won’t get much of a return from fixed interest assets. Rents are falling across the country for property. Corelogic is starting to report that house prices are falling. Cash and property (including commercial) don’t look great right now. 

    On the other hand, ASX shares are rising. There are plenty of businesses that may be able to adapt to the new way of doing things in the world. I’ve got my eyes on growth shares like Pushpay Holdings Ltd (ASX: PPH), Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB), MFF Capital Investments Ltd (ASX: MFF) and Magellan High Conviction Trust (ASX: MHH).

    Young people still have many years of earning ahead of them to invest into growth assets like ASX shares. It’s going to be those growing businesses like Xero Limited (ASX: XRO), Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) and City Chic Collective Ltd (ASX: CCX) which could keep taking market share away from competitors with their focused business plans.

    If you can invest $1,500 a month into ASX shares then it would only take 19 years to reach $1 million if your money was growing at 10% per annum, which is the historical return of the Australian share market. Don’t forget – superannuation counts towards building your wealth. Younger people have the opportunity to save hard whilst options to spend money are restricted. It’s not easy to ‘get ahead’ but you need to do things differently to many people to reach a net worth of $1 million. 

    If you want to make returns of more than 10% per annum then you’ll have to find some of the best ASX growth shares like these ones…

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    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

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    As of 2/6/2020

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    Tristan Harrison owns shares of Altium and Magellan Flagship Fund Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Altium, PUSHPAY FPO NZX, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PUSHPAY FPO NZX. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why the CSL share price continues to trail the ASX 200

    woman testing substance in laboratory dish, csl share price

    What’s going on with the CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price?

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has had another phenomenal day. By the market’s close, the ASX 200 was up 2.24% to 6,144.9 points, decisively breaking through the 6,000-point mark that it flirted with last week.

    Most ASX blue chip shares performed strongly today. The ASX banks surged, as did Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW), BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS).

    But something’s missing here – CSL.

    That’s right, as the ASX 200 rallied, CSL has been left in the dust. By the end of the day, CSL shares were down 2.39% to $278.50. As the largest ASX company, CSL has the heaviest weighting on the ASX 200 index. And as such, this underperformance sticks out like a sore thumb.

    So what’s happening?

    CSL share price continues to underperform

    Two weeks ago, I wrote about how CSL shares were lagging the market. Since then, CSL shares have fallen another ~6%, while the ASX 200 has rallied over 9%.

    Not even the news that CSL has made a new acquisition today could get investors on side.

    But I think an examination of what’s really been going on with CSL shares this year can shed some light.

    Below, we have a graph of the ASX 200 index – represented here by the iShares Core S&P/ASX 200 ETF (ASX: IOZ) over the past 6 months.

    IOZ 6-month chart and price data | Source: fool.com.au

    And here we have a graph of the CSL share price over the same period:

    CSL share price

    CSL Limited 6-month chart and price data | Source: fool.com.au

    As you can see, the CSL share price was something of a safe haven for ASX investors over March and April. Between 20 February and 23 March, the ASX 200 index fell over 36%. By contrast, the CSL share price ‘only’ fell by around 16% over the same period.

    What’s next for CSL?

    You might be thinking it’s a great time to buy CSL shares today. And if you’re an ultra long-term investor, I would back you up. Before the coronavirus pandemic, CSL shares were perennially at all-time highs. Investors seemed to see any hint of a dip as a chance to ‘pick up a bargain’. And this strategy worked well.

    But today, I think the market is starting to realise that even great companies like CSL can’t be priced at ‘growth company’ levels forever. CSL is a behemoth now with a market capitalisation over $125 billion. I do still think CSL has a lot of growth in its future but, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 45, I don’t think it has the ability to bang out the high levels of growth the market seems to think is still possible.

    As such, I wouldn’t be surprised if the CSL share price continues to underperform the ASX 200 going forward.

    That’s why I’m looking at these ASX shares over CSL today!

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    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

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    Sebastian Bowen owns shares of Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Woolworths Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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