Author: therawinformant

  • The ASX bank dividend recovery may be better than what the market thinks

    Hand drawing growing Dividends investment business graph with blue marker on transparent wipe board.

    The recent strong run in ASX bank share prices is a sign that the value trade is finally springing back to life.

    For the longest while, it was growth stocks like tech that dominated while value stocks played second fiddle.

    Investors are rediscovering their taste for these laggards in the big post COVID-19 rebound!

    Zero to hero

    Financials were the best performing sector on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) today and over the last five trading days.

    The rally was fuelled by the sector heavyweights. These are the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price, the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price, the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) share price and the National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price.

    Shares in the big four jumped by at least 5% on Tuesday, and despite their recent outperformance, they remain significantly below where they were trading before the coronavirus outbreak.

    The same can’t be said for other large cap stocks, and that’s what’s driving the big bank rally, in my view.

    Better than feared

    What is also helping drive the sector higher is the realisation that the COVID-19 disaster isn’t going to do as much damage to the economy as previously thought.

    Treasury is the latest to admit it was too pessimistic as it upgraded Australia’s peak unemployment rate to 8% from 10%, reported Business Insider.

    The better-than-Armageddon outlook is one reason why Citigroup released a bullish report on the sector.

    Dividends on the comeback

    While loan deferments and the government’s stimulus support packages end in September and pose a risk to the economy, the broker thinks the deadline may also be a blessing.

    “A ‘Rip the BandAid off’ approach by the banks is set to accelerate mortgage impairments, bringing housing losses to fruition,” said Citi.

    “However, an outcome of managing balance sheet risk will be in providing a pathway to dividends being reinstated.”

    That will be music to the ears of investors as dividends are the main reason why retail investors buy bank stocks.

    Don’t underestimate the dividend recovery

    ANZ Bank and Westpac opted to defer paying their interim dividends until the coronavirus dust settled, while NAB took an axe to its latest distribution. CBA reports on a different earnings cycle and will only declare its interim dividend in August.

    “We forecast higher than consensus dividend growth out to FY22 on milder than expected loan loss outcomes,” added Citi.

    “This should see stock prices continue to move higher based on attractiveness of their dividend yields.”

    The broker is recommending all the big four banks as a “buy”.

    Another to bank on

    But it isn’t only our ASX domestic banks that are benefiting from the improving outlook for the broader economy.

    The Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price also made a strong recovery with V-shaped bounce in global markets likely to provide a tailwind to the investment bank’s earnings.

    The stock is a “buy” in my book as I think there’s more upside for the Macquarie share price.

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    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed-up dividend.

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    But you will have to hurry — history has shown it can pay dividends to get in early to some of Edward’s stock picks, and this dividend stock is already on the move.

    See the top dividend stock for 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Limited, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Macquarie Group Limited, National Australia Bank Limited, and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why I would buy Afterpay and these exciting ASX tech shares

    tech growth shares

    Although the ANZ region’s tech sector is small in comparison to those in the United States, Europe, and China, it isn’t short of quality.

    I believe there are a good number of quality tech companies which are worthy of a spot in most portfolios.

    Three of my favourites are listed below. Here’s why I like them:

    Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT)

    The first ASX tech share to consider buying is Afterpay. I think the payments company could be a fantastic long term investment due to the sizeable market opportunity it has in the ANZ, UK, and United States markets. These markets alone have the potential to drive strong sales growth for a long time to come. But I don’t expect the company to stop there. It is already plotting an expansion into Canada and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it launch in mainland Europe and Asia in the coming years. The latter could be supported by its new substantial shareholder, Tencent Holdings. It is the US$535 billion owner of WeChat.

    Nearmap Ltd (ASX: NEA)

    Another ASX tech share to look at is Nearmap. It is a leading aerial imagery technology and location data company which also has a sizeable market opportunity. A recent market update reveals that its annualised contract value (ACV) has hit $102 million financial year to date. This means Nearmap is on course to achieve its ACV guidance of $103 million to $107 million in FY 2020. This is still only a fraction of its total addressable market (TAM), which is estimated to be worth $2.9 billion per year. And it is worth noting that this TAM relates to the countries it currently operates in. As with Afterpay, I believe Nearmap could expand into other territories in the future.

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO)

    A final tech share to consider buying is Xero. It is a leading cloud-based business and accounting software provider which has been growing at a rapid rate for many years. This has led to the company surpassing 2 million subscriptions for the first time earlier this year. While this may seem like a large number, it still has a long runway for growth over the next decade. Especially given how less than 20% of the global English-speaking target market is believed to be using cloud-based accounting software at present. I expect more businesses to shift to this technology in the coming years, underpinning solid subscription and sales growth.

    And here are more exciting shares which could be stars of the future…

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *  Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Nearmap Ltd., and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nearmap Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why I would buy Afterpay and these exciting ASX tech shares appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • ASX 200 jumps 2.4%, unloved shares keep rising

    ASX 200

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has continued to recover strongly.

    Over the weekend New Zealand officially declared itself COVID-19 free. Most Australian states reported no new cases. International share markets performed well on Monday, so it was not surprising to see the ASX do well too.

    Unloved shares keep bouncing

    Some of the ASX 200 shares to have seen the biggest selloff during the coronavirus crash are among the ones bouncing back the hardest today.

    The Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX: CCP) share price jumped 15.7% today.

    The Worley Ltd (ASX: WOR) share price increased by 14.6%.

    Virgin Money UK Plc (ASX: VUK) saw its share price rise by 14.3%.

    The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price soared 13.8% higher.

    The Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) share price went up almost 10%.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) retail trading update

    The (mostly) retail ASX 200 conglomerate released an impressive trading update today.

    In the second half of FY20 to 31 May 2020, Wesfarmers has seen strong growth. Bunnings sales were up 19.2% compared to the prior corresponding period. Officeworks sales were up 27.8%. Catch’s gross transaction value was up 68.7%. Kmart sales were up 4.1%. Only Target has seen a revenue decline in the second half, with sales retreating 1.8%.

    Excluding Catch, Wesfarmers’ online sales are up 60% in the financial year to date.

    However, whilst sales are up strongly, costs have risen too for the ASX 200 company because of coronavirus restrictions and expenses to ensure safe stores.

    CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price drops on acquisition

    The ASX 200 biotech giant’s share price fell over 2% today after announcing an acquisition. The falling US dollar isn’t helping either.

    CSL is exercising its option to acquire biotech company Vitaeris. This company is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the phase III development of a treatment for rejection in solid organ kidney transplant patients.

    CSL said the cost of the acquisition is modest and does not materially change the company’s profit expectation for 2020. However, there will be extra R&D expenses in FY21 estimated to be between $30 million to $50 million.

    NEW! 5 Cheap Stocks With Massive Upside Potential

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited and Scentre Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post ASX 200 jumps 2.4%, unloved shares keep rising appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Novonix share price skyrockets 77% after announcing patented manufacturing method

    Rocket soaring through the sky

    The Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX) share price was one of the standout performers on the ASX today, finishing the day 76.64% higher at $1.21. This rise takes the company’s current market capitalisation to just under $260 million.

    Novonix is an integrated developer and supplier of materials, equipment and services for the global lithium-ion battery industry.

    The company has operations in the US and Canada, and sales in more than 14 countries across the globe. Its customer base comprises leading global brands like Samsung, Apple, Honda, Panasonic, and Sanyo.

    What caused the Novonix share price to surge?

    This morning, Novonix revealed it has developed an advanced cathode material manufacturing method using its proprietary dry particle microgranulation (DPMG) technique. The manufacturing method relates to new single crystal cathode materials and processes.

    The breakthrough of the DPMG technique was reported to the market on 15 May 2020. The company believes that today’s announcement further demonstrates the commercial application of DPMG.

    Single crystal cathode materials have reportedly demonstrated outperformance over the current standard, possessing enhanced energy density and ultra-long life when used in electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage systems.

    The significance of single crystal cathode was highlighted in The Journal of The Electrochemical Society. A 2019 paper published by Professor Jeff Dahn and his team concluded that cells of this type should be able to power an EV for over 1.6 million kilometres and last at least 2 decades in grid energy storage.

    The new single crystal cathode materials and DPMG method were developed by the Professor Mark Obrovac Research Group at Dalhousie University. This group has been funded by Novonix in partnership with the Canadian government.

    Under the commercialisation arrangements with Professor Obrovac and Dalhousie University, Novonix owns the intellectual property rights to the new single crystal cathode technology on an exclusive and royalty-free basis.

    Novonix, through its wholly-owned subsidiary Novonix BTS, has filed a patent application to protect these new single crystal cathode methods. This is on top of the patent applications already filed to protect the DPMG process.

    What now?

    Commenting on today’s update, Novonix managing director Phil St Baker said:

    The Single Crystal Cathode development complements NOVONIX’s PUREgraphite anode product, both addressing the ultra-long-life battery performance requirements critical to the achieving the million-mile battery life being sought by leading EV automakers.

    Meanwhile, Professor Mark Obrovac, lead inventor of the DPMG and new single crystal cathode materials, shed some light on the research project by stating:

    A major focus of my lab’s research is the development of elegant dry processing methods for battery materials that are amenable to scaling, while simultaneously increasing yields, eliminating waste, and enabling the use of inexpensive feedstocks. Along the way we found out that these new methods can enable the synthesis of new advanced materials with properties that have not been previously accessible by more conventional methods. This has created a tremendous opportunity for the advancement of practical battery materials.

    More details regarding the developed methods and materials will be published by Professor Obrovac and his team in the coming months. 

    NEW! 5 Cheap Stocks With Massive Upside Potential

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Novonix share price skyrockets 77% after announcing patented manufacturing method appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Beyond Meat Pops 22% On Sinodis Food Distribution Partnership In China

    Beyond Meat Pops 22% On Sinodis Food Distribution Partnership In ChinaShares in Beyond Meat (BYND) soared 22% after announcing a partnership with food distributor Sinodis to further expand the reach of its famous plant-based beef in China.The news sent shares up 22% to $162.46 on Monday. The financial terms of the partnership weren’t disclosed.Sinodis, a subsidiary of French group Savencia, is a distributor of imported food products to more than 4500 wholesalers, restaurant chains, and hotels in China."Our goal is to increase availability of plant-based meat globally, providing consumers with more choices, and access to nutritional and environmental benefits of plant-based meat," said Beyond Meat’s chief growth officer Chuck Muth. "China has a large population and a strong interest in plant-based proteins."The partnership strengthens Beyond Meat’s foothold in China. Back in April, the plant-based meat provider made the foray into the market in China announcing a partnership with Starbucks (SBUX). At the end of last month, the company teamed up with fast-food chains Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) and Pizza Hut.During May, Yum (YUM) China’s KFC also announced that it will begin its first Chinese trial of a plant-based version of its popular fried chicken. According to the company’s Weibo page, U.S. agribusiness Cargill Ltd will supply the nuggets.Beyond Meat’s expansion plans have helped the value of its share price triple since mid-March 18. Following the impressive rally, the $85.78 average analyst price target now indicates 47% downside potential from current levels. (See Beyond Meat stock analysis on TipRanks)However, one of the analysts still sees more gains in the offing for Beyond Meat’s stock. Five-star analyst Peter Saleh at BTIG on May 19 initiated the stock with a Buy rating and a $173 price target, suggesting that shares have room to advance an additional 6.5% over the coming year, citing strong sales growth in coming years.“The company’s stated goal is to tackle the $1.4 trillion global meat industry,” Saleh wrote in a note to investors, adding that about $270 billion of that is spent in the U.S. “The adoption of Beyond’s products by mainstream customers in the suburbs will be the key to long-term success. We expect the company to expand into other protein categories including poultry to help broaden its appeal.”The analyst forecasts sales to grow 56% in 2020 and 51% in 2021.The rest of Wall Street analysts remain sidelined on Beyond Meat’s stock right now. The Hold analyst consensus is divided into 5 Hold and 5 Sell ratings versus 3 Buy ratings.Related News: Beyond Meat Teams Up With KFC, Pizza Hut In China Hormel Stock Rises After It Reports Record Sales Papa John’s U.S. Pizza Sales Jump 33.5%; Shares Pop 7% In Pre-Market More recent articles from Smarter Analyst: * Gilead Seeks Europe Remdesivir Approval; Three Analysts Reiterate Bullish Calls * Global Blood Therapeutics Up On Expanded Use Plans For Sickle Cell Treatment * Chesapeake Energy Gearing Up For Bankruptcy Filing- Report * Google Maps To Roll Out Covid-19 Alerts On Travel Restrictions

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  • Why Credit Corp and Zip Co shares jumped over 15% higher today

    High

    The Australian share market has just started the week in sensational form.

    At the close of play the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was up 2.45% to 6,144.9 points and the All Ordinaries index (ASX: XAO) was up 2.4% to 6,262.9 points.

    While a large number of shares on these indices recorded strong gains, two stood out with particularly impressive gains.

    Here’s why these two ASX shares smashed the market on Tuesday:

    Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX: CCP)

    The Credit Corp share price jumped 15.5% to $20.94 on Tuesday. This was despite there being no news out of the debt collector. However, prior to today, Credit Corp’s shares were down 52% from their February high. This could mean that bargain hunters were swooping in today on the belief that its shares had been severely oversold during the pandemic.

    Credit Corp’s shares were sold off over the last few months amid concerns that it might be hard to collect debts during the crisis. So, with things appearing to be a lot better economically than first feared, its collections may not end up being impacted as greatly as its share price weakness implied. In addition to this, thanks to its $120 million equity raising in April, Credit Corp is well-funded and able to ride out this storm.

    Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P)

    The Zip Co share price was back on form and surged almost 16% higher to $6.54 today. It appears as though investors were taking advantage of a pullback in its share price late last week to top up their positions. That share price weakness was driven by profit taking after an incredible rise following the announcement of its expansion into the $5 trillion U.S. retail market.

    Today’s rebound means that Zip Co’s shares are now up 85% since the start of the year. One broker that doesn’t believe the gains are over is Morgans. Last week the broker retained its add rating and lifted its price target on the payments company’s shares to $7.00. It was pleased with its acquisition of QuadPay and believes it is a low risk way to enter the key market.

    Missed out on these gains? Then don’t miss out on the highly rated shares which are recommended below…

    NEW! 5 Cheap Stocks With Massive Upside Potential

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

    More reading

    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The Kogan share price makes it 5 times bigger than Myer

    shopping trolley next to laptop, asx 200 retail shares, kogan share price

    A recent article in the Australian Financial Review has highlighted that the market capitalisaion of Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) is 5 times that of Myer Holdings Ltd (ASX:MYR). Here’s what has led to the boom in the Kogan share price and what the future looks like for the online retailer.

    Coronavirus sees sales boom

    Late last week, Kogan released a market update that provided a glimpse of how the coronavirus pandemic has positively impacted the company. As at 31 May, Kogan saw its active customer base grow to over 2 million, with 126,000 additional customers joining the company in May.

    Kogan also reported a 100% increase in gross sales across the April and May period in comparison with the same period last year and also reported a 130% surge in gross profit for the period. As a result, the company’s financial year-to-date EBITDA grew by more than 50% to the end of May.

    Dominating the future of retail

    Kogan’s stellar performance comes as sales in the broader retail sector fell a record 17.7% for April. The coronavirus lockdowns saw online sales boom as consumers flocked to set up home offices, whilst also fulfilling their discretionary needs from home isolation.

    The company’s outstanding sales results have been reflected in the Kogan share price, which is currently trading near all-time highs. This comes after the Aussie etailer’s shares surged an amazing 255% from their late-March lows. As a result, the company has a current share market capitalisation of approximately $1.16 billion. This market value is more than 5 times that of department store giant Myer, which tips in at a market cap of a little over $220 million.

    Kogan has looked to expand its market share by acquiring furniture and homewares retailer Matt Blatt last month. By relaunching the business online, Kogan is looking to solidify its dominance of the retail sector by competing with other homewares giants such as Adairs Ltd (ASX:ADH).

    Is the current Kogan share price a buy?

    In my opinion, the coronavirus pandemic could have fast-tracked the changing of the guard in the retail sector. As consumers opt for the convenience of online shopping over traditional brick and mortar shops, online retailers like Kogan.com could be poised to boom in 2020 and beyond.

    Having said that, the Kogan share price has had a remarkable ascent from its lows in mid-March. As a result, I won’t be rushing in to buy at the current price. Given the potential for growth in the online retail sector overall, however, I think it would be wise for investors to compile a watchlist of ASX online retailers with the potential to thrive over the next 20 years.

    Take a look at this report to find more growth stocks like Kogan.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *  Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Nikhil Gangaram has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post The Kogan share price makes it 5 times bigger than Myer appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Two perspectives and a Buy recommendation

    Banknotes floating in front of a graphic representation of the share market

    What a way to start a (shortened) week for the ASX.

    The S&P 500 is now showing a positive return so far in 2020, and the ASX may well close the day above 6,000 points for the first time since March.

    What pandemic, right?

    I wrote about it last week, but it bears repeating: these are strange and unusual times.

    I think you should keep investing. I will be.

    (Those who are saying not to might well be the same people who told you not to invest in March and April, too, so be careful who you listen to.)

    But that doesn’t mean I expect it to be smooth sailing.

    Make no mistake, the economy is on the proverbial mat.

    Unemployment, here and in the US, has spiked. Whether it keeps climbing may well depend on what ‘echo’ effects we feel — which businesses can’t make it by themselves when government support runs out, and which employees end up getting laid off once JobKeeper winds down.

    No, I’m not being a pessimist. I remain resolutely optimistic for the long term.

    Instead — and as usual — I’m encouraging you to remain realistic.

    Volatility is not over. Bad news is not all in the rear vision mirror (unfortunately).

    We will overcome. We will, in time, thrive.

    But it might take time and there might be stumbles.

    For years, I’ve been telling people “these are good times, but be mentally prepared for when the tough times come”.

    I hope you’ve been with us long enough to have heard and internalised the message.

    For the last few months, I’ve been saying the reverse: “These are tough times, but make sure you keep investing, so you’ll benefit when the good times return”.

    In the event, they returned far more quickly than even I expected: the ASX is up by almost one-third since mid-March.

    I hope you held on.

    I hope you kept investing.

    I hope you kept your eyes on the horizon.

    And now?

    Now it’s a mix of both. 

    Australian shares are still the best part of 17% off their highs.

    They’re up about 32% from their lows.

    The long term future is still, in my view, very bright.

    But the ground between here and there is uncertain. Or, perhaps, it’s more certain, but that certainty includes hills and valleys, meadows and thick forest.

    Be prepared for anything and everything in the short term, Fools.

    But keep your eyes on the (long term) prize.

    —–

    2020 has had everything — and we’re not even half-way done, yet!

    It’s had droughts, fires and floods. A pandemic and an ongoing trade war. And yes, a market that has soared, crashed and is seemingly rising, phoenix-like, from the ashes.

    It has also had injustice and protest.

    I tend not to use this space to talk much about things outside business and investing (and associated government policy, from time to time), but I did want to share something from our company that made me incredibly proud last week.

    It’s a message that stands on its own as a moral view.

    Last week, The Motley Fool chose to stand and be counted.

    In part, the statement read:

    “At The Motley Fool, we believe that diverse voices, insights, and expertise fuel innovation and human progress in the marketplace of business, and the world at large.

    and:

    “We reject racism, inequality of opportunity, hatred, and cruelty.

    “We will expand our commitment in helping ensure that our employees, our members, our future members, and our fellow humans are safer, treated fairly, and given every opportunity to live out their true potential.”

    The company is also distributing US$100,000 to employees to “support equality, justice, and peace in a way that’s meaningful to them.”

    You can read our full statement, here.

    All that’s required for evil to flourish, Simon Wiesenthal said, is that good people do nothing.

    The standard we walk past is the standard we accept, according to Lieutenant General David Morrison.

    Both men are, of course, right. 

    I’m proud of our company for doing the right thing.

    This is not a political act. It’s not a partisan act. It’s not virtue-signalling.

    It’s adding our collective voice to improving our society. To simply standing for what is right.

    For what it’s worth, there are also all-but irrefutable arguments for exactly the same view being taken purely out of economic self-interest. I might write about them another day.

    Today, though, it’ll just be the moral argument. Which, really, isn’t an argument at all, but something we should all embrace, because it’s right.

    —–

    Lastly, a Buy idea.

    The market has bounced, hard, as I mentioned above.

    Many of the companies that seemed cheap a little more than 2 months ago, have gone on to new highs, or have gained back much of what they lost.

    Which, for the bargain hunter, can be frustrating.

    “Why, oh why, didn’t I buy when those stocks were so cheap”.

    Maybe it was a lack of spare cash. Maybe it was just the emotionally challenging task of buying while the market seemed to be in (virtual) flames.

    I hear that! I invested quite a bit of my spare cash a little early — before the bottom. And while I did buy more during the down days, I wish I’d have had more cash to do more buying.

    In that spirit, I want to highlight a company whose shares I own (for the record) and that’s an active Buy recommendation of Motley Fool Share Advisor.

    Yes, shares are up 28% from their lows.

    But they are still down 37% from its pre-crisis 2020 high.

    The company is Treasury Wine Estates (ASX: TWE).

    And here’s the thing: on the most recent pre-pandemic numbers I saw, wine sales from Australia to China were up a full 40% year-on-year: 20% more volume (more bottles) plus 20% higher prices (essentially, but not completely, more profit per bottle).

    If (and I think when) that export growth recommences — and looking out a few years past that — if more Asian customers in general, and more Chinese customers in particular,  enjoy more high-priced, premium Australian wines, then Treasury is in the box seat.

    And at today’s price — higher than it was, but much lower than it was before that! — I think the shares are a great buy (the wine is pretty good, too!).

    Fool on!

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    Motley Fool contributor Scott Phillips owns shares of Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Two perspectives and a Buy recommendation appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Top brokers just upgraded these 3 ASX stocks to “buy”

    ASX broker upgrade

    The market jumped to a three-month high on a quicker than expected recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) jumped 2.4% to 6,145 points as we head into the close as a sense of FOMO gripped the market.

    I don’t subscribe to using the fear of missing out as an investment strategy and I think investors will need to be more discerning about stocks to buy.

    While some stocks look like they have run ahead of fundamentals, there are a handful that’s only just been upgraded by brokers to “buy”.

    This stock’s a steel

    One ASX stock that just got bumped up to “buy” by Goldman Sachs is BlueScope Steel Limited (ASX: BSL).

    This probably explains the 3.8% jump in the BlueScope share price to $12.84 at the time of writing.

    “Steel spreads in both Asia and North America have bounced off floor levels, and we expect improvement over the coming months and a return to levels more consistent with more balanced supply/demand environments,” said the broker.

    “This is to be supported by positive reversion of volumes across the core markets, in particular in Australia where our channel checks suggest that demand has been a lot more supportive than previously expected.

    What’s more, Goldman thinks the good times will roll on for the next 12-months thanks to additional government stimulus.

    The broker lifted its price target on BlueScope to $14.95 from $10.25 a share.

    Right kind of exposure

    Another ASX stock that is outperforming today is the Worley Ltd (ASX: WOR) share price.

    Shares in the oil and gas engineering group surged 14.3% to $10.63 to become the second top performer on the ASX 200 in late afternoon trade.

    The stock was underperforming due to the slump in the oil price but Credit Suisse believes its oversold and upgraded it to “outperform” from “neutral”.

    The broker also pointed out that Worley is more exposed to operational projects than the more volatile capital projects.

    However, Worley’s big price gain today may limit further upside as Credit Suisse’s 12-month price target on the stock is $10.50 a share.

    Good medicine

    Defensive stocks like healthcare may have fallen out of favour in the rebounding bull market, but the Healius Ltd (ASX: HLS) share price is bucking the trend.

    Shares in the medical facilities group rallied 3.2% to $2.62 after Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) lifted its rating on the stock to “outpeform” from “neutral”.

    While the coronavirus shutdown led to a drop in face-to-face appointments at Healius’ general practitioners (GP) offices, the broker said this is more than offset by telehealth services.

    Further, comments from diagnostic services group Capitol Health Ltd (ASX: CAJ) about increase demand for its services from GP referrals support this upbeat prognosis.

    Macquarie’s 12-month price target on the stock is $3 a share.

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BlueScope Steel Limited, Macquarie Group Limited, and WorleyParsons Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Top brokers just upgraded these 3 ASX stocks to “buy” appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Not keen on Westpac? Then buy these top ASX dividend shares instead

    CBA share price

    I think Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and the rest of the big four banks remain good value despite their strong gains over the last few weeks.

    However, not everyone is keen on the banks and other investors may already have enough exposure to the sector.

    So, if you’re looking for dividends outside the banking sector, then I would suggest you look at the shares below. Here’s why I would buy them:

    BWP Trust (ASX: BWP)

    The first ASX dividend share to consider ahead of Westpac and the rest of the big four is BWP. It is a real estate investment trust which leases the majority of its properties to Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) owned Bunnings Warehouse. As Bunnings is one of the highest quality retailers in the country, I believe it is a great tenant to have. Furthermore, with Wesfarmers also a substantial shareholder in BWP, its interests are firmly aligned with the investment trust. All in all, I believe BWP is well-positioned to deliver solid income and distribution growth over the next decade. At present I estimate that it offers investors a forward 5% yield.

    Rural Funds Group (ASX: RFF)

    Another property company which I think could be a great alternative to the big four banks is Rural Funds. It has a focus on Australian agricultural assets and owns a portfolio of high quality properties across different industries. These properties are leased by some of the biggest names in the industry such as Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) on ultra long leases.  Thanks to these long leases and fixed rental increases, I believe Rural Funds can grow its distribution at a strong rate over the next decade. In FY 2021 the company intends to grow its distribution to 11.28 cents per share. This equates to a 5.6% distribution yield.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    Another dividend share to look at buying is Telstra. I think the telco giant is a great alternative to the big four banks due to its defensive qualities, attractive valuation, and generous yield. Another positive is that a return to growth doesn’t appear to be too far away. This is thanks to the NBN headwinds easing and its sizeable cost cutting and simplification plans. For now, I’m confident that its free cash flows are sufficient to maintain its 16 cents per share dividend for the foreseeable future. This equates to a fully franked 4.9% dividend yield.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended RURALFUNDS STAPLED and Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Not keen on Westpac? Then buy these top ASX dividend shares instead appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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