Category: Business

  • US Navy warships are stuck in a Red Sea battle they can’t fight forever

    The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Gravely in the Red Sea on June 7.
    The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Gravely in the Red Sea on June 7.

    • The US Navy has spent over six months battling the Houthis in the Red Sea.
    • It's a resource-consuming conflict with no end in sight, raising questions about sustainability.
    • Experts say the Houthis are managing to threaten shipping lanes despite the US Navy's efforts.

    The US Navy warships deployed to the Middle East have found themselves locked in a high-tempo operating environment as they work around the clock to battle unprecedented attacks from a restless enemy.

    The Houthis have proven to be a wily and formidable foe. Five months after rounds of US-led coalition airstrikes to "disrupt and degrade" their capabilities, the militants continue to wreak havoc. They're routinely forcing the US-led task force to intercept their missiles, bomb boats, and flying drones that have turned shipping lanes in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden into a dangerous — and deadly — corridor.

    The Houthis have struck multiple ships in the last week, and US officials say these attacks are unlikely to end anytime soon, raising concerns the US is stuck in a costly and unsustainable standoff.

    The Houthis have managed to drag Washington into a prolonged, expensive, resource-depleting conflict and driven shipping costs much higher. While no American warships have been hit, the US must bear the growing financial costs and wear and tear to its warships.

    Through their campaign, the rebels have not only proven their role as a formidable asset in Iran's proxy network, but they've also demonstrated that they're more than capable of threatening commercial shipping again in the future.

    Is the US military's approach sustainable?

    Components of the Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Group steam in formation with the Italian navy in the Red Sea on June 7.
    Components of the Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Group steam in formation with the Italian navy in the Red Sea on June 7.

    US naval forces have expended a significant amount of resources battling the Houthis since the fall.

    The Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group, which consists of the aircraft carrier Ike and several other warships, has fired off more than 500 munitions during its deployment, and its aircraft have flown tens of thousands of hours, Navy officials have disclosed in recent weeks.

    The spent munitions alone account for nearly $1 billion, Secretary of the Navy Carlos Del Toro revealed in mid-April, although that figure has certainly gone up in the two months since. This figure, by itself, underscores the growing financial drain of America's naval presence in the region, and it doesn't include the other costs that help sustain the operation.

    Business Insider asked the Pentagon and US Central Command for the total cost of counter-Houthi operations but is yet to receive a response.

    The US has relied on expensive missiles to destroy Houthi weapons that cost a fraction of the $2.1 million SM-2 interceptor, for instance, but experts say the Pentagon can sustain the increasing missile expenditures for what could be years. What's more of a concern for the US, they say, is sustaining the warships from which these munitions are being launched.

    A fighter jet parks on the deck of the USS aircraft carrier Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea on June 11, 2024.
    A fighter jet parks on the deck of the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea on June 11.

    Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines warned last month that the Houthis are likely to remain active for some time. Elements of the Eisenhower strike group have already left the Red Sea once to be rearmed and resupplied, and the Pentagon recently extended its monthslong deployment for a second time.

    "As long as we continue to have the will to do this, we can sustain this," retired Gen. Joseph Votel, who served as the CENTCOM commander in the 2010s, told Business Insider. "We're big enough, we have enough capability and capacity to do that. What will matter will be the will of whether we want to continue to pursue this."

    A spokesperson for the White House National Security Council said the US remains committed to fighting the Houthis because the rebels remain a "very viable threat" and are still causing problems for shipping companies.

    "We will continue to do everything that we can to knock that steel out of the sky and make sure that our Navy is fully prepared to do so," John Kirby told reporters at a Tuesday briefing when asked by BI about the sustainability of the mission.

    "We believe it's still vital, and we're going to treat it that way when it comes to resourcing it," he added.

    A fighter jet is launched from the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower during a strike against Houthi military targets in Yemen on Feb. 3, 2024.
    A fighter jet is launched from the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower during a strike against Houthi military targets in Yemen on Feb. 3.

    The US has taken several steps to degrade Houthi capabilities with firepower of its own. American forces have conducted several rounds of joint strikes with the UK, targeting rebel facilities and assets across Yemen, and unilaterally destroyed missiles and drones before they can be launched.

    The Pentagon has asserted that these routine actions have managed to help degrade the Houthis' capabilities. Haines, however, said they have been "insufficient" to stop the rebels, and experts agree that the US military strategy has largely been unsuccessful.

    "I think, unfortunately, the Biden administration has settled into a rhythm where, because of the Houthi attacks on commercial shipping, they feel like they have to do something," Brian Finucane, the senior advisor for the US program at the International Crisis Group, told BI.

    "And as is all-too-often the case, that 'do something' is respond militarily, even if the military option is not particularly effective at bringing about an end to them," said Finucane, a former lawyer at the US State Department.

    Footage shows airstrikes in Yemen early on Jan. 12, 2024.
    Footage shows airstrikes in Yemen on Jan. 12.

    The US, in its strikes, has gone after radars, weapons storage facilities, launch sites, and other rebel assets in Yemen, but the Pentagon has stopped short of taking its military response "to the next level," Votel said. "We are largely defending and blunting, and not trying to remove the capacity that the Houthis actually have."

    An 'unstable and unsure' future

    For years, the Houthis' destabilizing activities were kept to a regional level, as the rebels fought a catastrophic civil war with Yemen's internationally recognized government and against Saudi Arabia, its neighbor to the north.

    But the attacks on commercial shipping have thrust the Houthis onto the world stage. By participating in attacks on Israel and Western naval forces, the rebels have attempted to position themselves as a valuable member of Iran's regional proxy network. More tangibly, though, they have managed to throw a wrench into the workings of a major shipping route, impacting the world economy.

    As of February, for instance, shipping through the Red Sea — which normally accounts for up to 15% of international maritime trade — had declined by around 90% since December 2023, according to a Defense Intelligence Agency report published on Thursday. Ships that take an alternate route around Africa add time and money to their journeys.

    The impact of these attacks, which have affected the interests of at least 65 countries, is a win for the rebels.

    Houthi fighters are seen on the Galaxy Leader, a vessel they hijacked, off the coast of Yemen on May 12, 2024.
    Houthi fighters are seen on the Galaxy Leader, a vessel they hijacked, off the coast of Yemen on May 12.

    "They seem to have succeeded in disrupting one of the primary national security interests that we have in the region, and that is the free flow of commerce and goods through the waters of the region," Votel said. "That's got to be viewed as a success from their standpoint."

    The Houthis have claimed that their actions are in response to Israeli military action in Gaza, itself a response to Hamas' Oct. 7 massacre, but US officials have pushed back on these claims, citing the wide range of countries that have been impacted by the maritime attacks.

    Whether a new, lasting ceasefire in Gaza pushes the Houthis to stop their attacks remains to be seen. Notably, the rebels did not adhere to the first ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in November.

    Even if the Houthis do stop their attacks as a result of a ceasefire, experts warn that the rebels have demonstrated they retain the weaponry to target shipping lanes whenever they want — a strategy they could always turn to down the road if they contest any sort of regional development, like Israeli military action.

    "We are set for a very unstable and unsure period in the foreseeable future," Farzin Nadimi, a senior fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy and an expert on the Persian Gulf region, told BI. "There is a possibility that [the] Houthis will continue to assert some form of control over the shipping traffic in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab [Strait]."

    A commercial ship in the Red Sea in March.
    A commercial ship in the Red Sea in March.

    Ultimately, any near-term solution to the Houthi conflict this time around may not actually address the long-term threat that the rebels pose, experts say, and the Biden administration's current military approach seems unlikely to permanently fix the problem.

    "There's no easy military solution to the various challenges that the Houthis pose," Finucane said. "It's going to require a longer-term political diplomatic process."

    For now, though, the Houthi attacks are certain to continue. Over the past week alone, the rebels have struck multiple commercial vessels, even hitting one with an explosive-laden drone boat for the first time — something they've failed to do in previous attempts.

    Several Western nations, including the US, are keeping their warships in the region, ready to shoot down missiles and drones at a moment's notice. But with a Gaza ceasefire still out of reach — seemingly the only short-term way that the Houthi attacks might end — these countries are unlikely to pack up and head home anytime soon.

    "We have to expect the Houthis will maintain at their current pace for some time," Nadimi said. "Therefore, the Western navies in the region are facing this challenge — whether they can sustain their assets."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • A healthy, active 100-year-old shares her 3 science-backed tips for living a long, happy life

    Barbara Fleischman sat on a hair in a colorful jacket.
    Barbara Fleischman is 100 years old.

    • Barbara Fleischman is an art collector and board member for many New York cultural institutions.
    • She recently celebrated her 100th birthday, but still puts on events and works out.
    • Staying busy and active, and having close friendships may have helped her live so long. 

    Barbara Fleischman, 100, has had a more illustrious life than most.

    Originally from Detroit, she and her husband, the art dealer Lawrence Arthur Fleischman, moved to New York City in 1966, where they made their mark on the metropolis over 50 years.

    Fleischman volunteered for major organizations including Planned Parenthood and The Juilliard School, and has been a trustee of the New York Public Library for 40 years. Her husband served on a White House advisory committee on American art under Presidents Kennedy and Johnson, and co-founded the Archives of American Art at the Smithsonian Institution. Thanks to their philanthropy, the couple had a gallery named after them at the Metropolitan Museum of Art in 1983. They also found time to have two children, now 70 and 74.

    "I've just been a lucky lady all my life. First with a great husband, great daughters, wonderful friends, interesting activities, and a reasonable amount of good health," Fleischman told Business Insider. "I am just blessed."

    In 1997, her husband died, and in September 2023, Fleischman left her "pretty big apartment" near the United Nations headquarters in New York to move into the Sunrise at East 56th assisted living home after her balance began to fail. Otherwise, she's still active and healthy.

    Fleischman's privileged life likely helped her reach 100 in good health, and genetics probably played a part, too. But what she says are her secrets to healthy aging are accessible to most of us: She's not interested in longevity clinics favored by biohackers, for instance, which can cost tens of thousands of dollars.

    Here are three habits Fleischman has kept up across her life that may have helped her reach triple digits.

    Staying busy and always learning

    Fleischman stays busy in the care home by continuing to organize cultural events and talks for her fellow residents, featuring speakers from the Metropolitan Museum of Art, The New York Public Library, and Carnegie Hall, to name a few.

    "I've been able to use my connections and friendships to invite people from organizations across the city to come and speak," she said, "and I think people have really enjoyed it."

    Staying busy, or having lots of tasks to do and little spare time, was linked to better cognition in older adults in one 2016 study, as well as better memory and faster processing of information.

    Fleischman also continues to learn at the assisted living center, including by watching video lectures about music from Juilliard.

    Learning as we age could help maintain cognitive function and slow the decline of spatial skills and memory, according to a 2018 study.

    Exercising

    Growing up, Fleischman was not an "exercise freak," she said, but she's started working with a personal trainer to improve her balance and has "taken it in strides."

    Being fit is an obvious way to improve longevity, and maintaining balance is an important part of that because it helps to prevent falls. The authors of a 2022 study found those aged over 50 were less likely to die within 10 years if they could stand on one foot for more than 10 seconds, and concluded that poor balance is a marker of shorter life expectancy.

    According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, falls are the leading cause of injury-related death in people who are 65 or older.

    BI's Gabby Landsverk recently reported on some of the best exercises for longevity and balance that don't require a gym.

    Strong relationships

    "I have loads of friendships," Fleischman said, many of whom she made through her work.

    "It's a pleasure to work together for a common cause and find that you have a lot in common," she added.

    She also had a "wonderful marriage" with her late husband.

    Strong relationships are thought to be key to longevity. One 2019 study found that women who had an active social life were 41% more likely to reach age 85 than those who were isolated.

    Research also shows that older people who volunteer are more likely to be physically and mentally healthier, happier, and satisfied.

    Fleischman, who calls herself a "professional volunteer," has been doing so her whole life, and says that helping others "gives her pleasure."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • 3 Supercommuters who travel across multiple states for work share how they manage it and why it’s worth it

    Split screen image of Malick Mercier, Susan Miller, and Kyle Rice.
    • Supercommuters travel at least 75 miles or three hours to get to their jobs.
    • Business Insider spoke with three supercommuters about the reasons they supercommute to work.
    • One commuter said she has the best of both worlds when traveling from NYC to Michigan.

    Over the last few years, many US workers have found themselves traveling farther to get to work but going into the office less often, thanks to hybrid work models.

    They routinely wake up before sunrise to venture at least 75 miles to their workplace or spend at least three hours commuting to their job. Some of these supercommuters could move closer to their office, but they choose not to.

    Business Insider spoke with three commuters who have traveled through multiple states to get to work each week. They shared the main reason they refused to move closer to their jobs.

    Flying to Michigan weekly for work gave this New Yorker the best of both worlds

    Susan Miller on the football field at the Univeristy of Michigan.
    Miller on the University of Michigan football field.

    When BI spoke with Susan Miller in April, she had already been supercommuting for over two years.

    The college professor shared how she lived in New York City but was flying to Ann Arbor, Michigan, weekly to teach at the University of Michigan Ross School of Business.

    The 500-mile flight only takes two hours each way and costs her between $120 and $250 for a roundtrip ticket. The school doesn't cover her commute, but Miller uses her airline credit card to rack up miles and discounts.

    "I enjoy the fresh air from the lakes and the nature of the Midwest, as opposed to city life," Miller told BI.

    At the same time, the professor said she loves returning home to take advantage of everything that makes New York City exciting and interesting.

    Living in the Delaware suburbs on an NYC salary made this four-state commute worth it

    a man takes a selfie on the NYC subway
    Kyle Rice.

    Kyle Rice started traveling from Wilmington, Delaware, to NYC every morning for work in February.

    Even though Rice traveled 125 miles through four states to reach his project manager job at an EMS software company, it only took him two hours to get to work each day on the Amtrak and subway.

    "I'd never consider relocating to NYC because it wouldn't be smart financially," Rice told BI.

    His new six-figure job allowed him to double his salary, but he was spending $1,510 monthly on commuting. First, he'd drive eight minutes to Amtrak and catch the 6:30 a.m. train from Wilmington to Newark, New Jersey. That ride took an hour and 37 minutes.

    Then Rice would hop on the PATH in Newark and ride that railway for 30 minutes into NYC. Despite the traveling expense and time, Rice said his home in Delaware is way more affordable than living in New York City.

    When BI interviewed Rice in May, his job had shifted his in-office schedule from daily to twice a week.

    Traveling from LA to New York four times a month made this flight attendant happier

    A man taking a selfie in a flight attendant uniform.
    Mercier works for an airline but said his extra morning commute from LA to NYC was sometimes stressful.

    In 2023, flight attendant Malick Mercier moved to Los Angeles to live in a place with more creatives. But he was still a New York crew member.

    "I knew that there'd be more creative people in Los Angeles, and I was finding myself really happy here on layovers," Mercier told BI.

    Four times a month, he'd spend between five and eight hours commuting from LA to New York, and he said it wasn't easy. The airline worker would sometimes have to take three buses just to get to the Los Angeles International Airport before starting his 2,400-mile flight to work. And he'd book his ticket the night before or the day of his commute.

    Mercier said occasionally getting to work on time was risky, but he always made it. His love and passion for his job made it all worth it.

    "Plenty of people are like, 'Is it worth it?' And I feel like, yes, because this is my dream."

    If you're a supercommuter or tried supercommuting and want to share your story, email Manseen Logan at mlogan@businessinsider.com.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • I used to judge my daughter for not folding the laundry. Then I realized there was a heartwarming reason why.

    Woman helping her grandmother load laundry into washing machine.
    Margery Berger (not pictured) used to judge her daughter for how she cleaned.

    • My daughter doesn't fold her laundry or do dishes right after eating, and I judged her for it.
    • I do these things for her and her family when I visit, and I worry that it annoys them. 
    • I realized that she doesn't fuss over cleaning because it gives her more time with her kids.

    I think my kids should do their dishes immediately after eating, fold their laundry, and make their beds — because that's what I do. But I've never seen my daughter and son-in-law's bed made. I don't make it for them, but I do often empty their overflowing bathroom wastebasket when I visit them.

    When my daughter Ali brought my future son-in-law Chrix home to meet me for the first time, he learned just how helpful I am. His suitcase was on the floor full of unfolded clothes. I assumed they were dirty, scooped them up, washed them, folded them, and put them in a drawer.

    I love visiting my daughter's family

    They married five years ago and have two daughters, now 3-years-old and 18 months. Most evenings, they video call me during dinner, and I feel like I'm at the table with them. The kids are great at including me in their lives. A few weeks ago, when I was staying with them, my daughter said, "Mommy, stop folding the clothes."

    I ignored her and continued folding like I always did. Then, more firmly but without anger, she said, "I'm not letting you fold the clothes," and took them from the dining room table into the bedroom. She is as patient with me as she is with her daughters.

    She told other family members who were visiting how freeing it is not to fold clothes. "I sort them in piles, then they go into the appropriate drawers," she said.

    My daughter does things differently from how she was raised

    It's hard to believe that my daughter, who grew up in a house with her shirts perfectly aligned in color-coded piles, doesn't fold the laundry.

    Ali comes from a long line of benevolent meddlers. My grandmother stuck a middle initial on my birth certificate while my mother was still dopey after my birth. My husband and I were a little annoyed when my mother threw away the pillows in our first apartment and bought us what she thought were better ones. At first, we complained, until we realized that they were better.

    When I visit my kids, I vacuum the sesame seeds out of the freezer that are there because they leave bagels in an open paper bag and don't bother to use a Ziplock. And it's not because they're saving the earth. Every light in the apartment is on at all times. When I was a little girl, if I left the bathroom light on, my mother would say, "Do you own stock in Florida Power and Light?"

    I don't think they notice when I clean their freezer, but often Ali tells me that she worries that I'm working too much.

    My son told me that Chrix asked him why I have to rearrange things all the time. I wondered if he was referring to the time I put all their spices in order or arranged all the bowls in the cabinet. He might find me annoying, but I'm hoping he thinks having me around the kids outweighs his annoyance.

    When Ali caught me picking up toys, she said, "Mommy, don't worry about the toys, they'll just be on the floor again after school."

    "Am I driving you crazy?" I asked.

    "No, we appreciate the help, but we'd rather you hang out with the girls than clean up," she said.

    It felt like she was rejecting the way she was raised, rejecting me. I asked her if she ever felt unloved as a child when I did household chores. She said, "Never."

    Then she laughed at the video I took of Noa vacuuming. "Look how thorough she is. She even vacuumed the dining chairs," I said.

    "She's her Nanu's granddaughter," Ali replied.

    Later, Ali called me the "baby whisperer" because I was the only one who could calm my younger granddaughter, and I felt loved, not rejected.

    On the last day of my visit, Ali and Chrix thanked me for getting up at 6 a.m. with the girls each day so they could sleep in, which may be why they didn't hide the dust buster from me.

    They are moving to Seattle at the end of the month for work, as far away from me in Miami as possible in the mainland United States. I know it's not to get away from me because each house they looked at had a room for me, and they asked me which one I preferred. I tried not to weigh in, but my son says I make faces and noises when I don't like something. They bought my favorite of the houses and asked me to come for the entire summer.

    Now, I realize that they're trying to manage their time efficiently and be good parents. Ali lets my granddaughters play in the tub for 45 minutes instead of rushing them into their pajamas. Then she reads them a bonus book after she already read the three books that Noa insists on because she's 3.

    I can see that Ali is tired and just wants some time to herself, but she places importance on what matters: the girls, not the dirty dishes. I clean up and do the dishes because I don't want her to have to do one more thing at the end of the day. It's meddling, but it's also helping and I won't stop, and as I fold the fourth load of laundry that day, I realize that my daughter is doing a great job, even though it's different than the way I did things.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • When I quit my job, the CFO came to my house and kissed me. We’ve now been married for over 25 years.

    Pauline Milner and her husband have been married for 25 years
    The author, left, met her husband, right, when they were coworkers.

    • My CFO and I became good friends while working, but there was nothing romantic between us.
    • When I quit the job, he showed up at my house to deliver me my last pay stub, and we kissed.
    • On our first date, we realized we are meant for each other and have been together for 25 years.

    I have read and heard about "love at first sight" many times, but my true love story is somewhere on the other end of the spectrum.

    When I worked as an insurance agent for a brokerage, David was the CFO. We saw one another most days and occasionally were the only ones working in the building when the official workday had ended, but reams of paperwork still covered our desks.

    After a phone call from a client got on my last nerve, it wasn't unusual for me to grab a cold soft drink and hide in his office for half an hour.

    There was no romantic spark between us. We were just two coworkers who relied on each other's company to get through the workday.

    But all that changed when I decided to change jobs.

    A knock at the door changed everything

    I liked my job, but I knew a good deal when I saw it. Another company offered me a position with a higher base salary and commission.

    After giving my notice, I took the summer off, excited to dive deeper into the insurance industry.

    On the following Friday, around noon, my doorbell rang. David looked a little sheepish when I answered the door. He said, "I thought I would drop off your pay stub."

    On payday, David would always deliver everyone's pay stub to their desk. David felt he still needed to deliver my pay stub one last time.

    I invited him in for lunch which turned out to be a couple of subs, quickly thrown together.

    After an hour of jovial conversation, David reluctantly said he needed to return to the office.

    What happened may be reminiscent of a daytime soap or drama, but it's all true. As he reached the door, David turned around, and his car keys slipped out of his hand. We both bent over to pick them up, our eyes meeting and locking together as we stood upright again.

    A few uncomfortable seconds passed before David leaned in for a kiss that lasted several minutes. When the hottest kiss I ever had was over, he fumbled over the words, "I should…"

    At the same time, I said, "You'll call?" David told me he would call, and as he headed back to his car, I leaned against the door.

    "Whoa," I thought. "Where the heck did that come from?"

    We went on a date, and we've been together ever since

    I expected David to call maybe the next week, giving me time to absorb what had happened and what it meant. It turned out that I didn't have that much time.

    David's number came up on my phone later that evening, and I answered tentatively. "I just wanted to make sure you weren't mad at me for, you know, what happened today," he said.

    I surely wasn't mad — maybe a little confused, but definitely not mad.

    We talked for over two hours and made dinner plans the next week. I had no qualms about David picking me up.

    Having spent five days deciding what to wear as I stood in front of my closet, the clothes yet again staring back at me, I opted to buy a new dress. At the mall, I found a dress and a matching purse — all in under an hour. But it turned out the shoes caused the most indecisiveness. I wanted to wear flats to avoid getting my heel stuck in the cobblestone sidewalk, but David was nearly seven feet tall. I picked out a pair of stilettos and would take my chances.

    In hindsight, I shouldn't have worried about my outfit because that evening brought us a revelation: We were meant to be together. We had both been in a prior long-term relationship that didn't work out; we each had a child, and we genuinely liked one another.

    Just over a month later, we were engaged.

    It took us four years of being coworkers before we discovered we were the perfect match. But I'm happy we waited because everything worked out. We've now spent half a century together happily.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • This OpenAI skeptic wants Sam Altman to make ChatGPT a force for good

    Gary Marcus has been one of the most vocal critics of the generative AI boom.
    Gary Marcus has been a vocal critic of OpenAI and the generative AI boom.

    • AI hype has been everywhere since OpenAI introduced ChatGPT to the world.
    • Gary Marcus doesn't think we should buy the hype.
    • The academic has emerged as a vocal critic of OpenAI — and thinks it could end up like WeWork. 

    Gary Marcus doesn't consider himself an AI skeptic. Don't let that throw you, though, when he argues that OpenAI could turn out to be as much of a dumpster fire as WeWork.

    "I actually want AI to succeed, so to call me an AI skeptic as many people do is to miss that I'm not skeptical," Marcus told Business Insider. "I'm skeptical of how we're doing it right now."

    For the 54-year-old cognitive scientist and AI researcher based in Vancouver, set to publish a book titled "Taming Silicon Valley" this fall, the AI of "right now" has made it hard for him not to be restless.

    Since the launch of ChatGPT, Marcus has watched as AI fever has swept across the world. That fervor has set OpenAI on a dangerous path that he thinks strays from its original nonprofit mission to build AI that benefits humanity.

    The euphoria and hype surrounding it have also left it dangerously unchecked in a way that parallels Adam Neumann's scandal-ridden startup, which has since fallen from grace.

    adam neumann
    WeWork founder Adam Neumann.

    "OpenAI might be the WeWork of AI," Marcus said. "I ran a poll [on X]. More people thought that was plausible than not."

    At the same time, Marcus has seen large language models (LLMs) — the technology underpinning generative AI tools like ChatGPT — attract billions of dollars amid shaky promises from industry leaders like OpenAI CEO Sam Altman that they might one day guide humanity to the field's holy grail of artificial general intelligence (AGI).

    Buying all the hype, he estimates, is a huge mistake: "The AI we're using right now has many fundamental problems."

    OpenAI did not respond to a request for comment from BI.

    OpenAI's top skeptic

    Gary Marcus has been a vocal critic of OpenAI and the generative AI boom.
    Gary Marcus appeared next to Sam Altman on Capitol Hill in May 2023.

    Marcus hasn't always felt this distressed about the industry.

    Just over a year ago, in May 2023, he sat side-by-side with Altman to address questions from lawmakers on Capitol Hill about the dangers posed by AI. By his own measure, both he and the OpenAI chief agreed that AI was a deeply complex technology that would cause serious societal problems if left unchecked. Its problems, ranging from bias and hallucinations to its potential to warp election outcomes with false information, demanded attention.

    "I do think he was sincere in his concerns," Marcus said, noting that Altman shared the same birthday as J. Robert Oppenheimer, the theoretical physicist behind the atomic bomb. "He does not want to cause the destruction of the world."

    A year on, however, the mood has clearly shifted.

    While Marcus left Washington last year feeling "mostly impressed" with the ChatGPT boss, a series of developments in and around OpenAI since then have put him on high alert.

    The most dramatic moment after the Capitol Hill hearing came in November when Altman was fired as OpenAI's CEO. The company's board had concluded that "he was not consistently candid in his communications."

    One major allegation against Altman was that he tried to persuade board members to push out Helen Toner, a fellow director, after she published a research paper criticizing OpenAI's efforts to make AI safe. According to Toner, he also "started lying to other board members" to turn them against her.

    Helen Toner
    Former OpenAI board member Helen Toner.

    As Marcus recalled, "the world was treating him as a saint" until then. Leaders including France's Emmanuel Macron, India's Narendra Modi, and South Korea's Yoon Suk Yeol offered Altman a statesman-like welcome during a global tour last year.

    Though the firing saga stunned Silicon Valley, triggering a mission among key OpenAI backers like Microsoft to reinstall the ousted CEO, Marcus saw signs of inconsistency hiding in plain sight.

    One example: when Sen. John Kennedy asked Altman if he "makes a lot of money" during last year's hearing, the OpenAI CEO quickly responded that he has "no equity in OpenAI." That was not the clearest answer he could have given.

    Altman maintained ownership of the OpenAI Startup Fund until March 29, ownership that Toner said the board wasn't originally informed of. Altman also serves as chairman of nuclear fusion startup Helion Energy, and has carved an "opaque investment empire" worth at least $2.8 billion as of earlier this year, The Wall Street Journal reported this month.

    With this in mind, Marcus has been hardly surprised as OpenAI has had drama around inconsistency unfold again.

    GPT-4o, OpenAI's new model unveiled in May, was criticized by Scarlett Johansson for carrying — without permission — a voice called Sky that resembled the AI assistant she voiced in the movie "Her." Though Altman later claimed that Sky "was never intended to resemble" Johansson's voice, he couldn't help but tweet "her" after the GPT-4o launch event.

    "He's still saying, well, the resemblance is coincidental," Marcus said. "People are like, 'What am I, stupid?' The reaction right now, I think rightly so, is that he takes us to be fools."

    OpenAI's safety commitments have been questioned after top safety researchers, including Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike, left last month. Its treatment of employees is also under scrutiny after details emerged about strict clauses that threatened to claw back workers' vested equity if they didn't sign non-disparagement agreements.

    The generative AI problem

    More broadly, Marcus is concerned that a focus on LLM-led generative AI is leading the industry down the wrong path.

    While he acknowledges that the technology powering ChatGPT has its uses, he doesn't think it'll get humanity toward a form of AI that can rival human intelligence. He points to the "diminishing returns" each successive new AI model has displayed, with performance improvements seemingly becoming smaller each time a new model is introduced.

    "Billions of dollars have been spent on them, and that has starved everything else out," Marcus said. "LLMs are not useless. They can do some things. But they're not actually AGI. They're not trustworthy, they're not reliable."

    Not everyone agrees with him. In recent months, Marcus has drawn sharp criticism from "AI godfathers" including Yann LeCun and Geoffrey Hinton over his views on today's most-hyped technology.

    Marcus feels he has been pointing out that LLMs are not the path forward to AGI for some time, an idea he thinks the likes of LeCun — Meta's chief AI scientist — have not acknowledged until recently.

    Yann LeCun
    Yann LeCun.

    LeCun has previously suggested "LLMs are an offramp on the path to AGI," but he has also shared the view that "by amplifying human intelligence, AI may cause a new Renaissance, perhaps a new phase of the Enlightenment." In an interview with the Financial Times last month, he acknowledged pretty bluntly that LLMs have a "very limited understanding of logic," making them unlikely candidates for AGI.

    Marcus takes that as a small sign of hope that people are slowly waking up to the limitations of today's AI: "What gives me a little bit of optimism is that people are finally facing reality."

    His hope now is that Altman can do the same and face the reality of the mess that has passed. His message to the OpenAI chief is that it's not too late to change course: "Return to the mission. Really make OpenAI a force for good."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • PHOTOS: Kate Middleton attends the Trooping the Colour parade — her first public appearance since her cancer diagnosis

    Catherine, Princess of Wales, arrives to Horse Guards Parade for the King's Birthday Parade "Trooping the Colour" in London on June 15, 2024.
    Catherine, Princess of Wales, arrives to Horse Guards Parade for the King's Birthday Parade "Trooping the Colour" in London on June 15, 2024.

    • Kate Middleton attended the 2024 Trooping the Colour parade in London on Saturday.
    • It's the first time she's been officially seen in public since revealing her cancer diagnosis.
    • The event honors King Charles III's birthday and includes a military parade.

    Kate Middleton returned to the public eye on Saturday when she attended the 2024 Trooping the Colour parade in London.

    The event, which takes place at the Horse Guards Parade near Buckingham Palace and marks King Charles III's official birthday, was the Princess of Wales' first official appearance this year.

    Her last appearance was on December 25, 2023, when she attended the traditional Christmas Day walk to a Church service in Sandringham, Norfolk.

    Buckingham Palace previously confirmed to the BBC that King Charles would also attend his official birthday celebration amid his treatment for cancer, though he will ride in a carriage instead of on horseback.

    Kate was first photographed being driven to Buckingham Palace with the rest of her family. 
    The Princess of Wales, seen in a car with Prince William, Prince, and Prince George, arriving at Buckingham Palace before the King's Birthday Parade in London on June 15, 2024.
    The Princess of Wales, seen in a car with Prince William, Prince, and Prince George, arriving at Buckingham Palace before the King's Birthday Parade in London on June 15, 2024.

    The princess was driven to Buckingham Palace 30 minutes before the parade began, alongside her husband, Prince William, and children, Prince George, 10, Princess Charlotte, 8, and Prince Louis, 5.

    The princess looked in good spirits ahead of the parade.
    Catherine, Princess of Wales during Trooping the Colour on June 15, 2024 in London, England
    Catherine, Princess of Wales during Trooping the Colour on June 15, 2024 in London, England.

    Kate's appearance at the annual royal event comes nearly four months after she announced that she has cancer and had been undergoing preventative chemotherapy.

    She shared the news in a video released to the public on March 22. Calls from the public for Kensington Palace to address the princess's health came to a head following the discovery that a photo of the Wales family, released on Mother's Day in the UK, had been digitally altered.

    In a press release shared with Business Insider after her cancer diagnosis was made public, Kensington Palace said that she would be returning to work "when she is cleared to do so by her medical team."

    The princess opted for a monochrome look for the event.
    The royal seen arriving to the Horse Guards Parade for the King's Birthday Parade in London on June 15, 2024.
    The royal seen arriving to the Horse Guards Parade for the King's Birthday Parade in London on June 15, 2024.

    The mother-of-three wore a white dress adorned with a large black-and-white bow and a brooch for the event. She paired the monochrome outfit with a white wide-brim hat and pearl cluster earrings

    Kate announced that she would be attending the event the day before
    Kate Middleton standing next to a tree in Windsor.
    The new portrait of Kate Middleton was taken in June at her home in Windsor.

    She announced on Instagram and X that she was making "good progress" with her chemotherapy treatment and was looking forward to attending The King's Birthday Parade.

    The post, accompanied by a new photograph of Kate taken at her home in Windsor earlier this week, read: "I have been blown away by all the kind messages of support and encouragement over the last couple of months. It really has made the world of difference to William and me and has helped us both through some of the harder times."

    She added that she has been experiencing "good days and bad days."

    She wrote that,"On those bad days you feel weak, tired and you have to give in to your body resting. But on the good days, when you feel stronger, you want to make the most of feeling well."

    Kate added that her treatment is ongoing but that she is starting to do "a little work from home" and that she hopes to attend more public engagements over the summer.

    "I am learning how to be patient, especially with uncertainty," she added. "Taking each day as it comes, listening to my body, and allowing myself to take this much needed time to heal."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • People are delaying buying new cars, creating a deflationary ‘spiral’ that’s bad news for the auto industry

    Cars sit on the lot at the Howdy Honda dealership on March 18, 2024 in Austin, Texas.
    Cars sit on the lot at the Howdy Honda dealership on March 18, 2024 in Austin, Texas.

    • Delayed purchases can lead to a "deflationary spiral" for the automotive industry.
    • Increased inventory is already putting pressure on vehicle pricing.
    • Durable goods, like cars, are already in a recession.

    It's finally getting easier to buy a new car, but shoppers are still hesitant.

    High interest rates remain a big deterrent for many car shoppers, and price volatility has some car shoppers delaying their purchases in hopes they can get an even better deal in a month or two.

    That's creating a big problem for the automotive industry, according to one economist.

    The average price paid for a car ($48,389 in May, according to Cox Automotive) is down from its peak at the end of 2022, thanks to a return to normalcy in automotive production.

    But with interest rates still averaging between 6.7% and 11.9%, according to Experian, many shoppers are still choosing to put off their purchase.

    As car shoppers try to wait out interest rates and price changes, Jonathan Smoke, an economist for Cox Automotive, says the industry is on the verge of what economists call a "deflationary spiral."

    This phenomenon occurs when consumers push out their purchases, reducing demand and causing supply to pile up, putting pressure on prices. As prices continue to fall, it creates a vicious cycle that only encourages shoppers to continue putting off their purchases in hopes of a better price down the road.

    "Both new and used vehicle prices have been declining for two years," Smoke wrote in a recent blog. "Initially, this was a correction and return to normalcy, but the market is at an inflection point because consumers now expect that prices will keep falling."

    Durable goods are already in a recession

    Cars are "durable goods," or products that do not quickly wear out and are useful over a long period of time. Other durable goods include home appliances, furniture, sports equipment, and even toys.

    According to Smoke, durable goods are already in a recession due to deflation.

    "We are no longer in 2023, when pent-up demand, excess pandemic savings and revenge spending kept the economy growing despite the Fed's aggressive tightening," he wrote. "We have been on cruise control in restrictive territory for nine months."

    While much has been made of a slowdown in electric vehicle demand as consumers become more frugal and practical, a similar trend is also spreading industry-wide.

    While vehicle sales are still on the rise, the momentum of growth is decelerating. Higher levels of inventory are putting pressure on vehicle prices, which fell 1% in May, according to Cox. About 41.2% of vehicles sold last month transacted for less than $40,000—up from about 37% a year ago. That's a sign that market demand is shifting to more affordable models.

    All of it adds up to an uncertain summer ahead for the automotive industry, which Smoke writes could be challenging "if consumers en masse believe they are better off waiting to purchase."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • The top 10 cities with the most homes under $200,000 all share the same thing: baked-in affordability

    Akron, Ohio skyline.
    Akron, Ohio.

    • Affordable housing is becoming increasingly difficult to find in the US.
    • The median home price in the US increased nearly 50% from 2019 to 2024.
    • In cities like Akron, Ohio, and Lansing, Michigan, there are still plenty of homes under $200,000.

    Finding an affordable home seems all but impossible in this current market, but if you know where to look, you can still find some more reasonably priced homes.

    Prices have increased across the board in most markets, pricing a lot of residents out and forcing them to look elsewhere to settle down.

    While, individual investors are still buying up properties left and right.

    "I don't think there's any place where we are seeing significant price reductions," Realtor.com data journalist Evan Wyloge told Business Insider. "A lot of this list has to do with the baked-in affordability for some of these places."

    The Midwest is a recurrent region on this list as it's traditionally been an affordable part of the country. Not a single West Coast city cracked the top ten — simply because there are no affordable pockets out West, Wyloge said.

    For a lot of people looking to move into their first home, that $200,000 range has historically been the sweet spot. However, homes haven't hovered around that price point in a while.

    According to data from the National Association of Realtors, the median existing home price was $274,500 in December 2019. As of April 2024, that number is $407,600.

    "Areas that were once popular for downsizing are now out of reach for many," Realtor.com senior economic analyst Hannah Jones told Realtor. "Florida markets like Lauderdale Lakes are seeing a surge in affordable condos, providing viable options for those looking to downsize without breaking the bank."

    Lauderdale Lakes and Lauderhill, both suburbs of Fort Lauderdale, made the list, and their housing supply is almost entirely condos, Wyloge said.

    It's not just first-time homeowners seeking out cheap regions, either. Smaller and individual investors are also zeroing in on more affordable areas, many of which saw a population boom between 2010 and 2020, leading to increased rental demand.

    Realtor.com scoured the US to find the most affordable cities and ranked them by how many listings they had under $200,000 — excluding land, mobile homes, and cities with less than 100 listings.

    10. Cleveland
    A twilight photo of Cleveland from the shoreline of lake erie in the winter.
    Cleveland, Ohio.

    Median list price: $135,475

    Number of listings under $200,000: 512

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 61%

    9. Rockford, Ilinois
    Rockford, Illinois
    Rockford, Illinois.

    Median list price: $164,950

    Number of listings under $200,000: 153

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 66%

    8. Lansing, Michigan
    Lansing Michigan
    Lansing, Michigan.

    Median list price: $143,950

    Number of listings under $200,000: 133

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 68%

    7. Albany, Georgia
    Albany, Georgia
    Albany, Georgia.

    Median list price: $104,000

    Number of listings under $200,000: 245

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 64%

    6. Niagara Falls, New York
    Niagara Falls from the Canadian side
    Niagara Falls, New York.

    Median list price: $114,500

    Number of listings under $200,000: 98

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 80%

    5. Rochester, New York
    Rochester, New York.
    Rochester, New York.

    Median list price: $161,194

    Number of listings under $200,000: 213

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 68%

    4. Detroit
    Aerial view of Woodward Avenue in Detroit, Michigan.
    Detroit, Michigan.

    Median list price: $90,000

    Number of listings under $200,000: 1586

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 64%

    Detroit has become a popular place for first-time investors looking to break into the market thanks to the city's lower home prices.

    3. Akron, Ohio
    Akron, Ohio
    Akron, Ohio.

    Median list price: $138,600

    Number of listings under $200,000: 214

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 70%

    Akron, Ohio, was named one of the 20 most attractive US cities for both homebuyers and investors looking for affordability, based on 2023 summer data.

    2. Lauderhill, Florida
    Fort Lauderdale
    Lauderhill, Florida, is a suburb about six miles outside of Fort Lauderdale, Florida (pictured).

    Median list price: $175,000

    Number of listings under $200,000: 404

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 70%

    1. Lauderdale Lakes, Florida
    Fort Lauderdale
    Lauderdale Lakes, Florida, is a suburb about eight miles outside of Fort Lauderdale, Florida (pictured).

    Median list price: $149,350

    Number of listings under $200,000: 239

    Percentage of listings under $200,000: 85%

    Prices in many parts of Florida remain cheap even amid an ongoing wave of internal US migration to the Sunshine State. Billionaire investor Kyle Bass said earlier this year that Florida is one of three states where he's buying up property to match migration trends.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Top doctor warns against taking weight loss drugs such as Ozempic to get ‘beach body ready’ for summer

    A woman holds an Ozempic needle shot pen and a couple on a beach.
    A woman holds an Ozempic needle shot pen and a couple on a beach.

    • A top UK doctor has warned people against using weight loss drugs to get "beach body ready."
    • Stephen Powis said drugs like Ozempic should not be seen as "a quick fix."
    • Such drugs, marketed for diabetes, have soared in popularity over the last year.

    One of the UK's top doctors has warned people against taking weight loss drugs such as Ozempic to get "beach body ready" for summer, saying they should not be seen as a "quick fix."

    The National Health Service (NHS) England medical director Stephen Powis said such drugs needed to be taken with proper medical supervision and warned that they could have potentially dangerous side effects, The Times of London reported.

    Speaking at the NHS Confederation conference, Powis said: "We know these new drugs will be a powerful part of our arsenal dealing with obesity, but they should not be abused. Buying medication online without a doctor's supervision can lead to complications and dangerous consequences."

    "Drugs including Ozempic and Wegovy should only be used by people prescribed them for obesity or diabetes. I'm worried about reports that people are misusing them — they are not intended as a quick fix for people trying to get 'beach body ready.'"

    Vicky Price, an acute physician and president-elect of the Society for Acute Medicine, said some of the more dangerous potential side effects of weight loss drugs bought online included "serious, life-threatening complications" such as "inflammation of the pancreas gland and alterations in blood salt levels."

    Nevertheless, weight loss drugs such as Ozempic and Wegovy have soared in popularity over the last year.

    The boom in Ozempic sales has even helped its maker, Danish company Novo Nordisk, become Europe's biggest company by market cap.

    It has also markedly impacted the Danish GDP, which grew by almost 2% in 2023.

    Statistics Denmark has said the pharmaceutical industry largely drove the growth.

    "The pharmaceutical industry has been the main driving force in the Danish economy in both the fourth quarter and for the whole of 2023," the agency said. "Other industry and business services also contributed to the progress in the fourth quarter."

    The active ingredient in Ozempic, semaglutide, functions by mimicking GLP-1, a hormone that the gut produces to help balance blood sugar and that makes you feel full.

    But the once-a-week injection comes at a cost, with buyers having to shell out around $1,000 a month for the drug.

    There are currently three semaglutide products approved by the US Food and Drug Administration — Ozempic injection, Wegovy injection, and Rybelsus tablets.

    All three are only available with a prescription.

    Read the original article on Business Insider