Category: Stock Market

  • AMP shares: Keep calm and carry on or cash out?

    Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.

    It has been bedlam across bank shares following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. However, pressure on the AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price has caused headaches for shareholders even prior to the current calamity.

    In the early moments of Friday trade, shares in the banking and wealth management company are inching ahead. The banking sector is breathing a collective sigh of relief today as financials bounce back amid ongoing support from central banks.

    The AMP share price is joining in on the fun, lifting 0.26% to 98.25 cents apiece on Friday. Yet, the beaten-up bank is still trading 24% below where it was at the end of last year.

    Does AMP have what it takes to claw its way back?

    Looking on the bright side

    Making investment decisions on the share price alone is hardly ever a wise move. It usually pays to take a much deeper look at the business itself to gain an understanding of which direction the ship is facing before ramping up your engines up to 100%.

    TradingView Chart

    At first glance, AMP’s revenue and earnings over the past five years mightn’t look pretty. However, it is important to keep in mind the company is in the middle of simplifying the business and getting back to its roots — banking and wealth management. This means selling off operations and reducing revenue in the process.

    In its FY22 full-year result, the company reported an 18.8% improvement in total variable costs. This could be considered a solid step in the right direction. Yet, the market crushed the AMP share price in response to it missing the consensus forecast for earnings.

    Furthermore, income-orientated shareholders would be chuffed to see AMP dividends resuming after three years on ice. A payment of 2.5 cents per share, franked at 20%, was announced alongside its recent results.

    Pains for the AMP share price

    While the management team is making inroads in leaning out the business, there is still more to be done. For instance, the sale of AMP Capital to Dexus is lingering without finalisation as outflows from the shopping fund tally up.

    According to reports, a total of $600 million in outflows have now been incurred by the fund. As per the update on 1 March, the capital business is being sold for $225 million. When AMP can wipe its hands clean from this operation is still a little unclear.

    Additionally, AMP will still face considerable challenges once it has finished refining the company. The banking environment is currently on shaky ground, and fears around the impact of increased competition for mortgages on the bottom line are circulating.

    Analysts at UBS remain unconvinced the AMP share price currently represents value. Holding a sell rating, the team believes the cost base is above where it needs to be.

    The post AMP shares: Keep calm and carry on or cash out? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Amp Limited right now?

    Before you consider Amp Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Amp Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ASX 300 shares cracking record highs on Friday

    A young female ASX investor sits at her desk with her fists raised in excitement as she reads about rising ASX share prices on her laptop.

    A young female ASX investor sits at her desk with her fists raised in excitement as she reads about rising ASX share prices on her laptop.

    The S&P/ASX 300 index may be trading notably lower than its recent highs, but that hasn’t stopped a couple of shares on the index from climbing to record highs today.

    The two ASX 300 shares that have reached these milestones are listed below. Here’s what you need to know:

    Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure Ltd (ASX: DBI)

    The Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure share price climbed to a record high of $2.65 this morning.

    As you can see below, this meant that the ASX 300 Australian infrastructure company’s shares had risen over 30% since this time last year.

    Investors have been scrambling to buy shares thanks to its ownership of the Dalrymple Bay Coal Terminal (DBCT), which provides terminal infrastructure and services for producers and consumers of Australian coal. Robust demand for Australian coal has underpinned strong earnings and big dividends.

    Neuren Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: NEU)

    The Neuren Pharmaceuticals share price has continued its impressive run and hit a record high of $13.33 on Friday.

    This means the ASX 300 biotech company’s shares are up almost 200% since this time last year, as you can see on the chart below.

    The catalyst for this has been news this week that the company’s treatment for Rett’s Syndrome has been granted US FDA approval. This is the first and only approved treatment for the rare genetic neurological and developmental disorder that affects the way the brain develops.

    With its commercial launch coming soon, it may not be long until the company starts generating meaningful revenue. This is thanks to its deal with partner Acadia Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ACAD), which includes royalties of up to 15% of net sales above US$750 million and sales milestone payments of up to US$350 million on total sales above US$1 billion in a calendar year.

    The post 2 ASX 300 shares cracking record highs on Friday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Investing Guide for Beginners

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts’” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Medibank share price edges lower amid $31 million joint venture news

    A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.

    The Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL) share price has dipped into the red in early morning trade, down 0.3%.

    Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) financial services stock, Australia’s biggest health insurer, closed yesterday trading for $3.26. Shares are currently swapping hands for $3.25.

    This comes after more than $5.3 million worth of shares have already changed hands this morning following news of a $31 million joint venture.

    What’s happening with the joint venture?

    The Medibank share price is edging lower amid news that the company has entered into a 50/50 joint venture with Aurora Healthcare, known as iMH, that will establish three mental-health hospitals.

    iMH will initially invest $31 million into the three hospitals delivering 153 new mental health beds along with out-of-hospital support services like telehealth in home and community settings.

    Aurora Healthcare is providing two hospitals in New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, Deakin Private Hospital and Hirondelle Private hospital. iMH will invest in a new 56-bed mental health facility. That will be developed in Alexandria, New South Wales.

    The joint venture’s acquisition of Deakin Private Hospital and Hirondelle Private hospital has been completed. The investment for the new facility in Alexandria is in the pipeline.

    Executive commentary

    Commenting on the development, Aurora Healthcare Australia CEO Julia Strickland-Bellamy, said:

    The model will address the clear unmet demand in the community. In our network alone, the wait list for outpatient psychiatry has been at around six months over the past two years.

    Providing people with treatment options beyond what has historically been solely hospital-centric care will help to support greater access, choice and flexibility.

    Addressing the issue that the health insurer might influence a patient’s decisions, Strickland-Bellamy said, “It’s ultimately about the most appropriate treatment pathway for each individual patient, regardless of their private health insurer. All decisions about their suitability for the model will be made by the patient alongside their doctor and the hospital’s clinical team.”

    Medibank group executive and CEO of Amplar Health Andrew Wilson said, “Integrating inpatient and out-of-hospital care helps patients access support when and where they need it.”

    Wilson added:

    It shouldn’t have to be one or the other. Many patients would benefit from the iMH model, which is designed around their individual needs and circumstances under the direction of their treating psychiatrist.

    Deakin Private Hospital will open in the coming months, while Hirondelle Private Hospital is expected to open later this year.

    Medibank share price snapshot

    As you can see in the chart below, the Medibank share price has had a good run in 2023, up 10% since the closing bell on 30 December.

    The post Medibank share price edges lower amid $31 million joint venture news appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Medibank Private Limited right now?

    Before you consider Medibank Private Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Medibank Private Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 bank stocks lift after Credit Suisse share price soars 19%

    Bank building with the word bank on it.

    Bank building with the word bank on it.

    It has been a better day of trade for ASX 200 bank shares on Friday.

    In morning trade, all of the big four banks are on course to end the week on a positive note.

    Here’s the state of play currently:

    • The ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price is up 1%
    • The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is up almost 1%
    • The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is up 1.5%
    • The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is up 1%

    The key driver of this has been a stunning gain by the Credit Suisse share price overnight.

    What happened to the Credit Suisse share price?

    The Credit Suisse share price rocketed 19% higher on the Swiss stock exchange overnight after it announced a major funding package to shore up its finances.

    According to the release, the struggling bank is borrowing up to CHF 50 billion (A$81 billion) from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) under a covered loan facility and short-term liquidity facility. These are fully collateralised by high quality assets.

    Credit Suisse CEO, Ulrich Koerner, appears confident that it is onwards and upwards now. He said:

    These measures demonstrate decisive action to strengthen Credit Suisse as we continue our strategic transformation to deliver value to our clients and other stakeholders. We thank the SNB and FINMA as we execute our strategic transformation. My team and I are resolved to move forward rapidly to deliver a simpler and more focused bank built around client needs.

    This news seems to have eased investor nerves in the sector and given ASX 200 bank shares like Commonwealth Bank a boost this morning.

    The post ASX 200 bank stocks lift after Credit Suisse share price soars 19% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Beginners Investing Guide

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts’” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 6 ASX 200 shares with ex-dividend dates in the next week

    $100 notes in a dishwasher, symbolising dividends.

    $100 notes in a dishwasher, symbolising dividends.

    Last month was reporting season. Now it’s ex-dividend time for numerous S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares over the next week.

    Going ex-dividend means that investors that buy shares on the ex-dividend date aren’t entitled to that recently-declared dividend.

    So, if investors are interested in getting the dividend then they need to invest before that date.

    With that in mind, let’s have a look at some of those incoming ex-dividend dates.

    Carsales.Com Ltd (ASX: CAR)

    Last month the automobile classifieds business announced that it would pay a dividend of 28.5 cents per share.

    The ex-dividend date for this dividend is 17 March 2023, meaning today. Investors will need to wait another six months for the next dividend from this ASX 200 share.

    The payment date for this dividend is 18 April 2023.

    Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX: CCP)

    In February, the debt-collecting business revealed that it was going to pay a dividend per share of 23 cents.

    The ex-dividend date is 21 March 2023, which is next Tuesday. That means that investors have until 20 March 2023 to buy shares.

    The payment date for this dividend is 31 March 2023.

    Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH)

    In mid-February, Cochlear reported that its latest interim dividend was $1.55 per share.

    The ex-dividend date for the upcoming dividend is 21 March 2023 as well, which is next Tuesday. Investors have until 20 March 2023 to buy stock of this ASX 200 share as well.

    Cochlear’s interim dividend will be paid on 14 April 2023.

    Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB)

    The financial technology business decided to bump up its dividend to 14 cents per share.

    Hub24’s ex-dividend date is 20 March 2023, which is Monday. That means investors only have today to snap up shares if they want to receive that dividend.

    The ASX 200 share is going to pay its dividend on 18 April 2023.

    Reece Ltd (ASX: REH)

    Bathroom supplier Reece announced that its interim dividend was going to be 8 cents per share.

    Reece’s ex-dividend date is 21 March 2023, which is Tuesday. Investors will have up to the end of trading on 20 March 2023 to invest in this ASX 200 share if they want the dividend.

    The payment date for the ASX 200 share’s dividend is 5 April 2023.

    SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK)

    Employment website operator SEEK is planning to pay a dividend of 24 cents per share.

    SEEK’s ex-dividend date is 22 March 2023, which is next Wednesday. That means investors have until 21 March 2023 to invest if they want to receive the dividend.

    The ASX 200 share’s payment date is 5 April 2023.

    The post 6 ASX 200 shares with ex-dividend dates in the next week appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Where should you invest $1,000 right now? 3 dividend stocks to help beat inflation

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    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Cochlear and Hub24. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Hub24. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Carsales.com, Cochlear, and Seek. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Life360 share price higher on 100% revenue surge

    A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.

    A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.

    The Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price is on course to end the week on a very positive note.

    In morning trade, the location technology company’s shares are up 7% to $5.19.

    This follows the release of the company’s full-year results.

    Life360 share price higher on results

    • Total revenue up 103% to US$228.3 million
    • Monthly active users up 36.9% to 48.6 million
    • Gross profit up 65.3% to US$148.6 million
    • Operating expenses up 100% to US$243 million
    • Adjusted EBITDA loss of US$40.1 million
    • Cash of US$90.4 million
    • Outlook: Positive adjusted EBITDA from Q2 of FY 2023

    What happened in FY 2023?

    For the 12 months ended 31 December, Life360 reported the doubling of its revenue to US$228.3 million. This was driven by a 77% jump in subscription revenue to US$153.3 million, a material contribution from hardware revenue of US$47.9 million, and a modest lift in other revenue to US$27.1 million.

    Management also highlights that its revenue growth was supported by an increase in paying circles and 19% higher average revenue per paying circle (ARPPC). At the end of the period, the company had 48.6 million monthly active users and 1.5 million paying circles. This was an increase of 36.9% and 23%, respectively.

    And while its gross profit grew slightly slower than revenue at 65.3% to US$148.6 million, this is still a growth rate that the majority of ASX listed companies would be envious of.

    Management advised that this reflects its strong revenue growth, offset by lower gross margins on its hardware sales. Positively, subscription margins increased in FY 2022 by 60 basis points to 80%.

    Outlook

    Looking ahead, management is guiding to further strong growth in FY 2023.

    It is forecasting core Life360 subscription revenue growth (excluding Tile and Jiobit) in excess of 50% and modest hardware revenue growth of 0% to 5%. The latter reflects the continuing current challenges in the category. Whereas the former will be supported by price increases, which have already boosted its ARPPC materially in January.

    This is expected to lead to consolidated revenue of US$300 million to US$310 million, which represents total growth of 31.4% to 35.8%.

    Importantly, the cash burn will soon be coming to an end. Management expects positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow on a quarterly basis beginning with second quarter and for the full year.

    Broker reaction

    Goldman Sachs has been looking over the result and was pleased with what it saw. It commented:

    The result was broadly in line with expectations, as pre guided in January. FY23 guidance came in line with our expectations with the key highlights (1) >50% core Life360 subscription revenue growth (vs +54% GSe); and (2) quantification of full-year EBITDA guidance, expected to be US$5-10mn (vs US$9mn GSe/consensus).

    We believe investors will respond positively to Life360’s strong subscription growth outlook (the key long-term value driver), supported by tangible metrics including US ARPPC (Jan-23 US$138, +42% y/y), subscriber growth returning to the US in Jan-Feb (helping ease concerns on payer conversion), and pushing price rises through the Android back-book in 2Q23.

    The post Life360 share price higher on 100% revenue surge appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you consider Life360, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 leading ASX 200 shares to buy that could keep outperforming in 2023: fund manager

    Two older male friends using tech to record their run.

    Two older male friends using tech to record their run.

    The fund manager Wilson Asset Management (WAM) has recently identified some S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares that it owns (or owned) in one of its biggest portfolios.

    WAM operates several listed investment companies (LICs), including WAM Capital Limited (ASX: WAM) and WAM Research Limited (ASX: WAX).

    There’s also one called WAM Leaders Ltd (ASX: WLE) that looks at the larger companies on the ASX, often referred to as ASX blue-chip shares.

    WAM says WAM Leaders actively invests in the highest quality Australian companies. But does WAM have a good reputation for picking stocks?

    The WAM Leaders portfolio has delivered gross returns (before fees, expenses, and taxes) of 14.8% per annum since its inception in May 2016. This compares to the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index’s average return of 8.8% over the same period.

    These are two ASX 200 shares that the WAM Leaders investment team picked out.

    Medibank Private Limited (ASX: MPL)

    WAM Leaders revealed that it added Medibank Private shares to its portfolio late last year after the “cyber breach incident” and subsequent earnings guidance downgrade.

    The large Australian private health insurer suffered from a share price decline. But, after the negative news flow “dissipated” and the share price still hadn’t recovered, the WAM Leaders team thought that the negative sentiment was “overdone”.

    WAM noted that the result released in February 2023 was “strong”, with health insurance claims remaining “subdued” because the healthcare system is “capacity constrained” due to the lack of staff, while industry growth remains “buoyant”, driven by net migration and new participants domestically.

    The fund manager also pointed out that the ASX 200 share noted its policyholder numbers had “stabilised” and the outlook has “improved for the year ahead.”

    Brambles Limited (ASX: BXB)

    The WAM investment team described Brambles as a business that specialises in the pooling of unit-load equipment. The ASX share has been in the WAM Leaders portfolio for over 12 months.

    WAM said that Brambles’ half-year result in February was “strong”, which was driven by “significant pricing increases.”

    Brambles is expecting its cash flow to remain in outflow this year. But, it upgraded its earnings guidance and noted cash flow pressures will “ease into next year as capital expenditure slows.”

    The fund manager finished its bullish case on the ASX 200 share with the following:

    Going forward, we expect profitability to be a key focus, with pricing increases in a tight market continuing while pallet efficiencies improve. The impact of pallet destocking as the economy slows should help bring more balance to the pallet market globally.

    The post 2 leading ASX 200 shares to buy that could keep outperforming in 2023: fund manager appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Guide for New Investors

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts’” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Another day, another bank in trouble

    A worried woman looks at her phone and laptop, seeking ways to tighten her belt against inflation.

    A worried woman looks at her phone and laptop, seeking ways to tighten her belt against inflation.

    I have to say, the events of the last 8 or so days weren’t exactly on my bingo card for March 2023…

    Trouble for a bunch of bankers

    Three US bank failures last Friday, followed by Credit Suisse on life support by yesterday, and news overnight that another $50 billion was being guaranteed for yet another US bank, this time First Republic.

    (Now, a quick plug: this afternoon, around 4.30pm AEDT, the latest episode of our podcast, Motley Fool Money, comes out. We dedicate the whole episode to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, but in the context of the overall system. And not in a boring way! So, if you’re keen, make sure you subscribe, now, so the episode drops straight into your feed when it’s available!)

    But I want to take a slightly different angle, which is to call for much more, and better, regulation for our nation’s (and the world’s!) banks. It is clear that the regulators – correctly – have decided that they need to backstop a potential bank run at almost any bank, given the catastrophic contagion that would follow, plunging the world into what would likely be a deep and long recession.

    I have sympathy for the ‘moral hazard’ argument, but we’re looking for ‘least worst’ outcomes here, societally-speaking, and that means ensuring confidence in the financial system.

    Which means?

    Which means if you’re essentially going to make the government (and the taxpayer) the last line of defence for almost every bank, you’re morally obliged to make sure that defence is very, very rarely needed.

    You don’t have to be Einstein to know that if there were 5 banks – this week alone! – needing support, the regulations aren’t working.

    Here’s a quick list of what I’d change:

    – Back in 1933 the ‘Glass Steagall’ act in the US separated ‘commercial’ banking (the borrowing and lending stuff) from ‘investment’ banking. It was repealed in 1999. It should be re-enacted. And the same distinction should be enacted/retained in all other countries.

    – If banks are ‘systemically too big to fail’ – and they are – their activities should be both curtailed and overseen more significantly. These should be ultra-low-risk entities, whose balance sheets should reflect that fact, and whose regulators should ensure that basic risk management processes are in place and functioning properly. And yes, it’d mean lower returns for shareholders. But that’s better than being wiped out… just as SVB shareholders.

    – We learned during the GFC that banks were taking silly positions with ‘derivatives’ – essentially making complex financial bets that, as we know, went very, very badly. Banks’ derivatives contracts should be limited to managing the inherent risks of commercial banking – ensuring their lending and borrowing is matched off. If you want to do more than that, give up your banking licence and become a hedge fund.

    – And the last one is one that I don’t want to be true. But I can’t escape it. It’s time to break up the largest banks. Globally, but here in Australia, too. Competition itself would be improved, but that’s not why (in this case) I think it should happen. We know that no bank can be truly ring-fenced in an inherently interconnected financial world. But the exposure of – and cost of fixing – a bank failure would be meaningfully reduced if the entities themselves were smaller. They’d also be infinitely easier to manage and oversee.

    The vested interests will hate every single one of those ideas. Which is a sign that I’m on the right track.

    The idealists will hate it because they don’t think that’s how the world should work. But it does.

    We live in a world of picking ‘least worst’ outcomes, in terms of the impact on the economy and our society. I think my suggestions go part of the way to delivering that.

    A tough call for the RBA

    What does the RBA do now? Until this week, it had to balance inflation and economic growth on either end of the seesaw. But this week has changed the game. Increasing rates to bring down inflation has also worsened the pressure on potential bank collapses. So now the international calculus is ‘inflation versus bank collapses’.

    How hard can the world’s central banks afford to go to curb inflation, when they risk damaging (freezing up?) the financial system?

    And on the other hand, unemployment fell again this week, suggesting the economy is still very strong.

    They find themselves in a very tough spot.

    Everyone has a view, but the consequences of getting this wrong will be significant.

    The other C word

    The word of the week, this week, has been Confidence. It’s essential for the functioning of the financial system, and it’s what regulators have been working overtime to retain and restore.

    But I hope all this news has also prompted many people to think about another C-word: Concentration.

    How many Australians have 20%, 40% or 60% of their portfolios in the Big 4 banks?

    Add in the regionals, and how exposed are some investors to the financial sector, writ-large?

    To be clear, I am not expecting any trouble for Australian banks. But then, who expected trouble for US banks at the beginning of last week.

    But even without that example, it makes no sense to be over-exposed to any individual sector of the economy, or to have your portfolio so correlated to one specific set of risks.

    It is taking an unnecessary risk with your own portfolio.

    Maybe use this weekend to ask yourself how diversified your portfolio truly is. And maybe plan to make some changes if the answers are uncomfortable.

    Quick takes

    Overblown: Growth? Value? The idea that these are discrete categories is silly. And each relies on the other. And then there’s one more factor: price. People usually talk about ‘themes’ to dumb down the market… or because they’re trying to sell something.

    Underappreciated: The long term. I’m regularly asked ‘What should investors do now?’. It suggests that we should do something different today, compared to last week or last month. My answer is usually a version of: The same thing investors should always do: buy shares of a business when the price undervalues the company’s long term potential.

    Fascinating: The next version of ‘ChatGPT’ – the artificial intelligence program that’s taking the world by storm – was released this week. It apparently made a whole website based on a drawing, and passed, with flying colours, a whole stack of standardised tests. The pace of improvement is astronomical, and it’s going to continue.

    Where I’ve been looking: There’s a lot of pressure on bank share prices at the moment. Which, as a sometime-contrarian, means I’ve been looking. ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ), with a P/E under 10, could be a bargain, particularly if margins continue to increase. Or not, if they don’t, and mortgage defaults rise meaningfully. But it’s a tempting idea.

    Quote: “People calculate too much and think too little.” – Charlie Munger

    Fool on!

    The post Another day, another bank in trouble appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Svb Financial right now?

    Before you consider Svb Financial, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Svb Financial wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    SVB Financial provides credit and banking services to The Motley Fool. Motley Fool contributor Scott Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended SVB Financial. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended SVB Financial. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s how much I’d need to invest in Wesfarmers shares to generate a $150 monthly income

    Small girl giving a fist bump with a piggy bank in front of her.

    Small girl giving a fist bump with a piggy bank in front of her.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) shares typically pay investors a good dividend yield. With that in mind, could it be used as a key way to generate a monthly passive income of $150?

    Wesfarmers may not be a household name for many Aussies, but the company does own a number of leading retailers including Bunnings, Kmart, Officeworks, Target and Priceline.

    The company summarises its operations as being the following: home improvement and outdoor living, apparel and general merchandise, office supplies, health, beauty and wellbeing, chemicals, energy and fertilisers (WesCEF), and industrial and safety products.

    Wesfarmers aims to provide long-term shareholder returns to investors. With that in mind, the company says:

    With a focus on generating strong cash flows and maintaining balance sheet strength, the group aims to deliver satisfactory returns to shareholders through improving returns on invested capital. As well as share price appreciation, Wesfarmers seeks to grow dividends over time commensurate with performance in earnings and cash flow. Dependent on upon circumstances, capital management decisions may also be taken from time to time where this activity is in shareholders’ interests.

    How to generate $150 of monthly income

    Wesfarmers doesn’t pay a dividend every month, so it can’t technically produce ‘monthly income’. But, investors can think of the annual total as an amount that can be split up into 12 equal payments.

    For a monthly income of $150, investors would need to receive $1,800 of annual dividends. That’s a fair amount of cash, but achievable.

    According to Commsec, Wesfarmers is expected to pay an annual dividend per share of $1.87 in FY23 and $2.20 in FY25.

    Using the FY23 payment level, investors would need 963 Wesfarmers shares to get the required level of monthly income. This would come at a cost of around $47,000.

    But, if the goal is to receive $1,800 of annual income by 2025, meaning $150 of monthly income, then using the projected FY25 dividend per share of $2.20, investors would only need to buy 819 Wesfarmers shares. This would come at a cost of $40,000.

    Of course, I would suggest that diversification is a useful strategy. If $40,000 represents an investor’s portfolio, then I’d suggest adding other (ASX) shares to lower concentration risk. An effective exchange-traded fund (ETF) could provide that diversification.

    Foolish takeaway

    Wesfarmers is a very effective ASX dividend share in my opinion, I think it’s one of the best choices for dividends out of the large ASX blue-chip shares.

    The post Here’s how much I’d need to invest in Wesfarmers shares to generate a $150 monthly income appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Wesfarmers Limited right now?

    Before you consider Wesfarmers Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Wesfarmers Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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  • Founders sell off $125 million worth of this ASX 200 company’s stock. What’s going on?

    A woman looks nonplussed as she holds up a handful of Australian $50 notes.

    A woman looks nonplussed as she holds up a handful of Australian $50 notes.

    Pro Medicus Limited (ASX: PME) shares have been pushing higher this week.

    This means that since this time last week, the ASX 200 health imaging technology company’s shares have risen 3.5%.

    That’s despite the market selloff and news that insiders have been selling a large number of shares.

    Insiders sell $125 million of this ASX 200 stock

    Yesterday, Pro Medicus revealed that its co-founders Dr Sam Hupert and Anthony Hall have each sold 1 million shares during the current trading window.

    Dr Hupert, who is also the CEO of the ASX 200 healthcare stock, received an average of $62.22 per share. This represents a total consideration of $62.22 million.

    Anthony Hall, who is an executive director, received the same price and consideration for his parcel of shares.

    The good news is that the two co-founders still have a considerable shareholding leftover. In fact, these sales accounted for less than 4% of their individual holdings.

    Furthermore, their remaining shareholdings combined equate to over 50% of Pro Medicus’ shares on issue. Clearly, their interests remain firmly aligned with shareholders.

    It is a similar story for the ASX 200 stock’s chairman, Peter Kempen AM, who earlier this week revealed the sale of 50,000 shares. He has been left with 629,082 shares.

    Why are they selling?

    No explanation was given for the co-founders’ sales. The company merely stated:

    The sale, to local institutions, was done at market (0% discount), reflecting strong demand by institutional investors. Dr Hupert and Mr Hall are actively engaged in the company as executives and board members and are committed to its future. They remain the two key stake holders in the company with their combined holding post this recent sale in excess of 50%.

    The ASX 200 stock also revealed that “Dr Hupert and Mr Hall re-affirmed that they do not intend to sell any further shares in PME in the foreseeable future.”

    Pro Medicus’ chair did explain the reason for his sale. He advised:

    The sale was part of a rebalancing of the superannuation fund’s portfolio interests. No further sales by interests associated with Mr. Kempen are contemplated in the foreseeable future.

    Should you be concerned?

    While insider selling is often something to be concerned about, this doesn’t appear to be the case this time.

    Given how large their shareholdings remain and how institutional investors were more than happy to snap up shares at market prices, it could be argued that this is a net positive outcome.

    The post Founders sell off $125 million worth of this ASX 200 company’s stock. What’s going on? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Pro Medicus Limited right now?

    Before you consider Pro Medicus Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Pro Medicus Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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