Category: Stock Market

  • Could increased BNPL regulation be a positive for Zip shares?

    person sitting at outdoor table looking at mobile phone and credit card.

    person sitting at outdoor table looking at mobile phone and credit card.

    Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) shares kicked off the week in positive territory, closing up 1.3% on Monday at 78 cents per share.

    The buy now, pay later (BNPL) stock posted those gains on the day federal regulators indicated Zip shares and other stocks in the BNPL sector were likely to face similar regulations to credit card companies.

    Currently, BNPL companies aren’t held to the same regulatory standards as credit card providers in ensuring their customers are unlikely to face difficulties in making their repayments.

    But on Monday finance minister Katy Gallagher flagged likely changes ahead.

    “People are starting to see it as a credit card,” she said. “It’s responsible to have a look at how it is regulated and how people are using it, what some of the problems are and how to provide that protection to people.”

    Could increased BNPL regulation be a positive for Zip shares?

    While Zip shares closed higher on Monday, they dropped 3.9% on Tuesday and fell 4% on Wednesday. In early morning trade today, the Zip share price is up 3.5%.

    That’s a bit of a mixed picture regarding the outlook for Zip shares amid tighter potential regulation of BNPL companies.

    However, Zip’s ANZ head Cynthia Scott was upbeat about the government’s plans.

    “We firmly believe the buy now, pay later industry is ready for regulation,” she said. “We have been working with Treasury on options for some time and endorse any changes that give consumers greater confidence when using BNPL products.”

    Scott said Zip, whose shares began trading in December 2009, operates “above the minimum standard”.

    According to Scott:

    Right from the beginning, we have held an Australian Credit Licence (ACL) and conducted credit and affordability tests on our customers in Australia. As a result we have very few customers in arrears or hardship…

    The industry continues to grow very rapidly and regulation is vital as it matures. It is important that appropriate guardrails are in place to ensure consumers are protected.

    How has Zip stock been tracking longer-term?

    Zip shares, along with every BNPL stock we’re aware of, have taken a beating over the past year as investors began to price in the impacts of fast-rising interest rates.

    That’s left the Zip share price down 85% over the past 12 months. For some context, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is down 4% over the full year.

    The post Could increased BNPL regulation be a positive for Zip shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://www.fool.com.au/2022/11/24/could-increased-bnpl-regulation-be-a-positive-for-zip-shares/

  • Kogan share price jumps 13% as boss touts ‘return to historic growth trajectory’

    Woman Online shopping on a laptop.

    Woman Online shopping on a laptop.

    In morning trade, the Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price is charging higher.

    At the time of writing, the struggling ecommerce company’s shares are up 13% to $3.87.

    Why is the Kogan share price jumping?

    Investors have been bidding the Kogan share price higher following the release of its annual general meeting update.

    Kogan’s CEO, Ruslan Kogan, acknowledged that its business “suffered” over the last 18 months but was positive that the company is on course to “historical operating margins during the second half of FY23.”

    That certainly will be a relief for shareholders based on its performance in FY 2023 through to the end of October and ahead of the key holiday season.

    Here’s a quick summary of how it is performing:

    • Gross sales down 38.2% to $267.6 million
    • Gross profit down 40.6% to $41.1 million
    • Adjusted EBITDA down 104.4% to a loss of $0.5 million
    • Net cash position of $20.1 million

    Management explained that it does not believe that its abject year to date trading result is indicative of projected trading performance once the final sell-through of excess inventory is completed.

    As a result, it is looking to the second half with confidence in its ability to return to an agile, inventory-light business returning strong operating margins. Mr Kogan commented:

    Once the final sell through of inventory is completed, we plan to have the Kogan Group return to the historic growth trajectory and profitability that it has been able to deliver. We look to the second half of FY23 with confidence as the Kogan Group returns to being an agile, inventory-light business with strong operating margins.

    Time will tell if Kogan delivers on this.

    The post Kogan share price jumps 13% as boss touts ‘return to historic growth trajectory’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Tech Stock That’s Changing Streaming

    Streaming TV Shocker: One stock we think could set to profit as people ditch free-to-air for streaming TV (Hint It’s not Netflix, Disney+, or even Amazon Prime)

    Learn more about our Tripledown report
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Down more than 50% from their highs, are Tesla and these other EV stocks buys for 2023?

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Piggy bank on an electric charger.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Electric vehicle (EV) sales are rising. In 2021, 6.6 million EVs were sold worldwide, nearly double the sales in 2020. EV Volumes, a data base, estimates 2022 global EV sales at 10.6 million, up nearly 60% from 2021. More than 16.5 million electric cars and trucks were on the road in 2021.

    Despite such encouraging growth in sales, EV makers’ stocks have continued to falter in 2022. Let’s see why that was so, and if the stocks look attractive for 2023 after the steep declines.

    Top EV stocks fell steeply in 2022

    U.S. stock markets have corrected significantly so far this year. The S&P 500 is down 17%, while the Nasdaq Composite has fallen more than 28% as of this writing. Since growth stocks typically trade at high multiples, they tend to fall harder during market corrections. This has certainly been true in 2022.   

    TSLA data by YCharts..

    While Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock has fallen 49%, Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID), Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN), and Nio (NYSE: NIO) have fallen more than 60% year to date. And all four stocks have fallen far more from their all-time high prices; while Tesla stock has dropped more than 55% from its peak, the others are down more than 80% from theirs.

    Is the correction justified, or is there a buying opportunity?

    In early 2021, the valuations of EV stocks went through the roof thanks to the hype surrounding electric vehicles. As the broader markets corrected, EV stocks fell, too. And supply chain challenges have hurt the production of EV companies while raising their costs. But has the recent decline finally made these stocks attractive?

    For sure, the EV story is just getting started. All these companies have a long growth runway as the transition from internal-combustion vehicles to EVs unfolds. While it is broadly accepted that this transition is inevitable, what isn’t as clear is which players will thrive in the long run.

    Tesla continues to post solid performance

    Tesla’s stock seems to have fallen to an attractive level. While it is difficult to determine whether it’ll fall further in the short term, the stock is intriguing for several reasons. To begin with, its valuation is far more sensible than it has been in the past.

    TSLA PS Ratio data by YCharts.

    Tesla’s price-to-sales ratio has fallen to 8.3 from around 30 in January 2021. Although it still looks high compared to traditional automakers, that’s because Tesla is still growing fast. The company’s revenue increased 56% year over year in the third quarter. And that isn’t a one-off quarter; its growth over the years is impressive.

    TSLA Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts. TTM = traling 12 months..

    The above chart compares Tesla’s revenue growth over the last three years with that of traditional automakers.

    At the same time, its margins remain impressive.

    TSLA profit margin (quarterly); data by YCharts.

    Overall, Tesla appears to be on a solid footing to keep posting sustained growth in the coming years.

    Nio’s growth looks impressive

    Chinese EV maker Nio expects substantial growth in vehicle deliveries in the fourth quarter and in 2023. Although the company is still incurring losses, it is increasing revenue rapidly, as the chart above shows. Its upcoming models and expansion plans in Europe can be key drivers in the coming years.

    Lucid and Rivian look promising

    Lucid and Rivian are still at very early stages of their growth compared to Tesla, but both look promising. Lucid managed to establish itself as a serious player by delivering the longest range for its first model, the Lucid Air. The company, which started deliveries at the end of October 2021, has delivered roughly 2,500 cars in a year. It targets producing 6,000 to 7,000 cars in 2022.

    After launching the Sapphire, Pure, and Grand Touring variations of the Lucid Air, the company now plans to open registrations for its first SUV, the Gravity, in early 2023. Its focus on the less-tapped Saudi market could help it drive significant growth.

    After starting deliveries in September 2021, Rivian has already produced more than 15,000 vehicles. And it has a backlog of more than 114,000 units of its R1, including both SUVs and pickup trucks. It has an attractive order backlog, too: 100,000 delivery vans from Amazon. What’s more, it has enough cash to fund its operations through 2025.

    Both Lucid and Rivian are at early stages of their growth and are incurring losses. As young EV makers, they are more affected by the supply chain issues that the industry is facing than are the established players. Both companies look promising, but investors should note that these stocks are riskier compared to those of legacy automakers or Tesla.

    But they have corrected drastically and, if successful, could generate windfall returns for long-term investors. In short, all four stocks look like attractive buys for 2023.                  

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Down more than 50% from their highs, are Tesla and these other EV stocks buys for 2023? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Rekha Khandelwal has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Amazon, Nio Inc., and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Amazon. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • Leading broker tips Qantas share price to climb to a new record high

    view from below of jet plane flying above city buildings representing corporate travel share price

    view from below of jet plane flying above city buildings representing corporate travel share price

    The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price is pushing higher again on Thursday.

    In morning trade, the airline operator’s shares are up 3% to a new 52-week high of $6.36.

    This means the Qantas share price is now up almost 24% since the start of the year.

    Can the Qantas share price keep ascending?

    The good news for investors is that one leading broker believes there’s significantly more upside ahead for the Qantas share price.

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have responded to yesterday’s profit guidance upgrade by reiterating their conviction buy rating with an improved price target of $8.20.

    This price target implies potential upside of 29% for investors over the next 12 months and would represent a record high for the airline’s shares.

    What did Goldman say?

    Goldman was impressed with the update and believes the market is valuing the Qantas share price too cheaply given its improved earnings capacity. The broker said:

    With the market capitalization 5% above pre-COVID levels and EV (based on last reported net debt) 12% below pre-COVID, we believe the stock is not appropriately pricing QAN’s improved earnings capacity. Specifically, our forecast FY23e EPS is 58% above FY19a levels with group capacity still 21% below pro-COVID levels. Even as the yields moderate (with capacity restoration) our FY24e EPS (100% of FY19 capacity) is 46% above FY19 levels.

    Goldman is expecting this to lead to dividends per share of 10 cents in FY 2023 and 20 cents in FY 2024.

    These certainly are good times for shareholders!

    Though, you might not be able to say the same for passengers, which are having to pay higher than normal prices for domestic flights due to strong demand and low capacity. But with travellers seemingly willing to pay these prices, you can’t blame Qantas for charging them.

    The post Leading broker tips Qantas share price to climb to a new record high appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Beginners Investing Guide

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of November 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Move over Lynas! This new Chris Ellison-backed rare earths company is set to hit the ASX

    A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

    Watch out Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC). There could soon be a new rare earths miner on the ASX. And this one’s backed by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) managing director Chris Ellison.

    Rare earths and mineral sands developer VHM Limited is undergoing an ASX initial public offering (IPO).

    The company expects to list with a market capitalisation of at least $256 million in January. It’s offering shares for $1.35 apiece under its prospectus.

    Let’s take a closer look at what could soon be an Aussie rare earths favourite.

    ASX rare earths float on the horizon

    The new year will likely bring new possibilities for ASX materials fans. Mineral developer VHM Limited is gearing up for an ASX float in early 2023.

    The company is developing its flagship Goschen Project in Victoria. It expects to undergo a final investment decision (FID) for the project’s first phase in the second half of 2023, with production targeted in 2025.

    Goschen has been found to house a “globally significant” 413,107 tonnes of total rare earths oxides.

    Ellison holds a 10.3% stake in the future ASX rare earths stock – worth around $19.4 million at its offer price. The Mineral Resources boss could top up that hold under the IPO.

    VHM Limited expects to raise $20 million under its prospectus. It has also allowed for up to $10 million of over-subscriptions.

    The raised funds will go towards Goschen’s FID. The company expects the project will cost $445 million to deliver, assuming $360 million of capital expenditure and $85 million of ancillary costs.

    The company was incorporated in 2014. It raised $31.8 million earlier this year as part of a pre-IPO offer.

    The ASX rare earths hopeful held $11.1 million of cash at hand as of 1 October and incurred $6.6 million of operating expenses in financial year 2022.

    The post Move over Lynas! This new Chris Ellison-backed rare earths company is set to hit the ASX appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Investing Guide for Beginners

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of November 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the AGL share price falling on Thursday?

    Gas and oil plant with a inspector in the background.

    Gas and oil plant with a inspector in the background.

    The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price is under pressure on Thursday.

    In morning trade, the energy company’s shares are down 1% to $7.86.

    Why is the AGL share price falling?

    The catalyst for the weakness in the AGL share price on Thursday has been the release of an announcement relating to the Torrens Island ‘B’ Power Station in South Australia.

    According to the release, AGL has decided to close the power station on 30 June 2026 after 50 years of operation. After which, it will continue to progress the transformation of its Torrens Island site into a low-carbon industrial Energy Hub.

    AGL advised that this has been driven in part by the planned completion of the Project Energy Connect interconnector between South Australia and New South Wales in mid-2026, which will further impact gas-fired generation in South Australia and the economic viability of the power station.

    What impact will this have?

    The good news is that management doesn’t expect this to have a material impact on its earnings in FY 2023. Nor does it expect the closure to have a long term impact due to the challenged economic viability of the power station.

    Looking ahead, the company advised that Torrens Island will continue to play a crucial role in AGL’s current energy requirements and future generation plans as the site is transformed into an integrated industrial Energy Hub.

    It notes that it has the potential to drive new investment, create new job opportunities, and even expand into new markets such as hydrogen and green energy. In fact, AGL is currently working on a feasibility study into the development of a green hydrogen facility at Torrens Island.

    The post Why is the AGL share price falling on Thursday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Could the stage now be set for Telstra shares to outperform?

    A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.

    A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.

    The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has managed to provide stability compared to other sectors during the volatility of 2022.

    For example, while Telstra shares are down 6% for 2022 to date, the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ) – which is predominately invested in US tech shares – is down around 25%.

    One of the attractions of Telstra may be that it receives regular cash flow from its household and business customers. The COVID-19 period and ongoing digitalisation of the economy are probably good indications of how integral an internet connection is these days.

    But, past returns are old news. However, one expert thinks that telcos can keep performing well from here.

    “Higher returns for longer” for telcos

    According to investment bank Morgan Stanley, the telco sector has beaten the performance of global shares by more than 10% in 2022 to date. However, could this outperformance mean that the defensive play of investing in the telco sector is over?

    Not so, according to Morgan Stanley’s Emmet Kelly, head of telecom research at the investment bank. Kelly said the following, not specifically about Telstra, but on the telco sector:

    Telecoms are trading about 30% cheaper than other defensive stocks, which is a 15-year low. This leads us to think the outperformance is set to continue.

    A key part of Morgan Stanley’s thinking is that telco spending on infrastructure may decrease, meaning they will have more “financial flexibility” and that stronger cash flow will enable telcos to carry out “buybacks and shareholder dividends.”

    Telstra forecasts lower costs and higher profit

    As part of its T25 strategy, Telstra has said it is planning to reduce its fixed costs by $500 million between FY23 to FY25. It’s also hoping to grow its underlying earnings per share (EPS) at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the “high-teens” to FY25.

    Over the next few years, it’s planning to extend 5G network coverage to 95% of the population. By FY25, it’s expecting 80% of all mobile traffic to be on 5G.

    Telstra also said that it’s seeking to grow its dividends over time whilst also investing for growth. The final dividend of FY22 was an increase from 8 cents per share to 8.5 cents per share.

    Is the Telstra share price an opportunity?

    Morgan Stanley does have an overweight rating on the telco at the moment, which is equivalent to a buy.

    The price target is $4.60, implying a mid-teen rise for Telstra shares over the next year, on top of the dividend return. Morgan Stanley has also suggested the recent cyber hack at Optus could lead to subscribers jumping ship to Telstra.

    At the current Telstra share price, it could have a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.1% in FY 23 according to the broker.

    The post Could the stage now be set for Telstra shares to outperform? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Guide for New Investors

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of November 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended BETANASDAQ ETF UNITS. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended BETANASDAQ ETF UNITS and Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 big changes could be coming for cannabis stocks before 2024

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Cannabis from the earth in the hands

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Given that the industry-tracking AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (NYSEMKT: MSOS) is down by more than 60% in the last 12 months, dramatically underperforming the broader market’s slump of 14.5%, it’s safe to say that marijuana stock investors are likely feeling a bit down on their luck lately.

    But the industry is approaching three major shifts that could create new opportunities for investors — not to mention a few new risks. Let’s explore how cannabis companies are likely to change over the next couple of years, starting with the elephant in the room: legalization.    

    1. Marijuana legalization will proceed in the U.S. and the E.U., and potentially by a lot

    The biggest change coming to cannabis stocks in the next couple of years is the possible advance of marijuana legalization in the U.S. and in the E.U. While the jury is still out on whether the federal government will legalize adult-use cannabis anytime soon, enterprising state legislatures are already forging ahead. Maryland and Missouri both voted in the latest election to legalize cannabis for adult use, which means that new markets will soon open in both places.

    Plus, legalization is advancing in major E.U. markets, specifically in Germany, where an estimated 4 million people consumed cannabis in 2021. While there’s no timeline for when recreational sales will begin, Tilray Brands (NASDAQ: TLRY) is likely the best positioned to benefit since it’s currently serving the country’s medical cannabis market. But if other E.U. nations follow in Germany’s footsteps to adjust their own laws, there will likely be room for other operators to flourish, too.

    2. The cannabis glut will (painfully) end in Canada

    Since late 2020 in Canada, there’s been far more supply of marijuana than there has been demand at the average sales price. In the country’s adult-use market, companies like Tilray and Canopy Growth (NASDAQ: CGC) are king.  

    One major impact of the glut is that the average selling price per gram of legal cannabis faces downward pressure, which results in lower sales and compressed margins. Another impact is that under Canada’s marijuana regulations, companies are only allowed to retain a certain amount of cannabis in their inventories, with any excess being marked for destruction.

    And to make matters worse, any business that overbuilt its cultivation and manufacturing facilities will be burning money on overhead that isn’t translating into earnings.

    In the next couple of years, the glut will subside. It might continue to cause growers to shut down their extraneous operations, and sales are likely to be under pressure. But when the levels of demand and supply are more in equilibrium, there will be an opportunity to buy shares of the players that are the best positioned for consistent growth.

    It’s too early to say which Canadian company is going to fare the best in the coming shakeout, but betting on one of the market’s top dogs, like Tilray, isn’t an unreasonable approach. 

    3. The seeds of a cannabis glut will begin to germinate in the U.S.

    The conditions that made for a glut in Canada are already appearing in the U.S. recreational market, and it’ll likely humble some of the better-performing businesses of recent times. 

    As more states legalize recreational marijuana in the aftermath of the 2022 election, and as the chances of a change in federal policies remain high, competitors will be scrambling to cash in on fresh demand. To do so, they’ll be cranking the dial on cannabis products to 11. It’s also reasonable to expect them to open up a galaxy of new retail locations to distribute their goods. And for as long as demand seems hot, they’ll probably keep scaling up their operations. 

    Until there’s a glut of marijuana in the U.S., that is. Investors are likely to be blindsided by the symptoms of oversupply, which will be the same as they were in the Canadian market. Top-line growth will slow, stall, and then decline, leaving companies with far too many cultivation facilities and storefronts to sustain. In that situation, vertically integrated pure-play competitors like Green Thumb Industries and Curaleaf Holdings will probably be hit the hardest, though timely interventions by management could easily head off major problems. 

    In contrast, diversified companies like Tilray and Canopy Growth might not have as many problems with revenue growth, assuming that the pair are competing in the U.S. at all by that point. Being able to lean on beverage sales for growth, like Tilray and Canopy both can, could help to mitigate some of the shareholder risks from a glut of cannabis. Likewise, cannabis real estate investment trusts (REITs) like Innovative Industrial Properties will be somewhat insulated from problems with oversupply since they don’t directly compete by selling cannabis. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post 3 big changes could be coming for cannabis stocks before 2024 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Alex Carchidi has positions in Innovative Industrial Properties. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Innovative Industrial Properties. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • These are the ASX dividend shares income investors should buy now: brokers

    A man and woman sit next to each other looking at each other and feeling excited and surprised after reading good news about their shares on a laptop.

    A man and woman sit next to each other looking at each other and feeling excited and surprised after reading good news about their shares on a laptop.

    If you’re an income investor, then you might want to read on. Because listed below are two ASX dividend shares that have just been rated as buys by brokers.

    Here’s what they are saying about these top ASX dividend shares:

    QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE)

    This insurance giant could be an ASX dividend share to buy.

    That’s the view of analysts at Morgans, which remain positive on the company following its trading update this week. The broker has an add rating and $14.89 price target on its shares.

    While QBE’s catastrophe claims will be higher than allowances in FY 2022, the broker believes this is still “a reasonable effort in what has been a very volatile year for weather.”

    In light of this, the broker remains positive and notes how “tailwinds such as rising bond yields, premium rate increases and cost out will drive an improved earnings profile for QBE over the next few years.”

    Morgans expects this to lead to a 42.6 cents per share dividend in FY 2022 and then a 90.3 cents per share dividend in FY 2023. Based on the latest QBE share price of $12.85, this equates to yields of 3.3% and 7%, respectively.

    Stockland Corporation Ltd (ASX: SGP)

    Another ASX dividend share that has recently been rated as a buy is Stockland. It is a residential and land lease developer and retail, logistics, and office real estate property manager.

    Goldman Sachs is a fan of the company. Earlier this month, the broker retained its buy rating with a $4.40 price target.

    Its analysts like Stockland due to its exposure to industrial property. The broker continues to “hold a favourable view on the industrial sector more broadly with a number of trends underpinning long-term demand.”

    It also highlights the recently refreshed corporate strategy and the sale of its low returning Retirement division as other positives.

    In respect to dividends, Goldman is forecasting dividends per share of 27.6 cents in FY 2023 and 28.3 cents in FY 2024. Based on the current Stockland share price of $3.71, this will mean yields of 7.4% and 7.6%, respectively.

    The post These are the ASX dividend shares income investors should buy now: brokers appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How I’d aim for $1,000 in monthly income by buying ASX 200 dividend shares

    A woman lies back and relaxes in her boat with a big smile on her face as it floats on the rising tide.A woman lies back and relaxes in her boat with a big smile on her face as it floats on the rising tide.

    Sitting back and enjoying life while a steady income hits my account without me having to lift a finger sounds picture perfect. Though, setting up a portfolio of S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dividend shares capable of offering $1,000 of monthly passive income might sound daunting.

    But these things are often simpler than they seem. Here’s how I’d go about setting myself up to receive consistent income from ASX 200 giants like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) or Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

    How to receive $1,000 a month from ASX 200 dividend shares

    Figuring out how much I need to invest in ASX 200 dividend shares to receive $1,000 of passive income is relatively simple. Though, it will depend on the yield on offer.

    If I wanted to end up with $1,000 of passive income from dividend stocks each month, I would need to target $12,000 of dividends annually.

    That means, if I were targeting shares with an average dividend yield of 10%, I’d probably need a portfolio worth $120,000 to receive $1,000 of dividends a month. Though, a 10% yield is particularly high and, often, difficult to sustain.

    Right now, the SPDR S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: STW) – an exchange traded fund (ETF) tracking the ASX 200 – offers a 4.56% dividend yield.

    Assuming an investor beats that slightly and achieves an average dividend yield of 5%, they would likely need to have a portfolio worth $240,000 to receive an average of $1,000 each month.

    However, it’s worth remembering that dividends are never assured and past performance doesn’t guarantee future performance.

    Building a portfolio

    Of course, many readers might be questioning how one would go about building a $240,000 portfolio. It might sound like a daunting figure for an investor without bucketloads of spare cash lying around.

    But one doesn’t need to invest all at once. A portfolio of that size can be built up over years or decades.

    Slowly building a substantial portfolio could also allow an investor to harness the power of compounding and take advantage of dividend reinvestment plans (DRPs). Thus, an investor’s initial outlay could end up being less than the value of their portfolio.

    How I’d find ASX 200 dividend shares to buy

    Buying ASX 200 dividend shares really isn’t all that different to buying any other stock.

    I would personally consider a company’s long-term outlook, competitive advantages, and balance sheet before investing in its shares.

    I would also consider its dividend yield. And perhaps more importantly, whether its balance sheet can sustain its yield.

    I would also look at its dividend history. It could be a good sign if a company has previously continually paid out dividends, even in tough times.

    By considering these factors, and likely more, I would hopefully find myself with a diverse portfolio of dividend shares capable of providing both returns and growth in years to come.

    That way, I could potentially reach my goal of receiving $1,000 of passive income from ASX 200 dividend shares each month faster. Though, no investment is guaranteed to provide returns or growth.

    The post How I’d aim for $1,000 in monthly income by buying ASX 200 dividend shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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