Category: Stock Market

  • Netflix’s subscriber loss sell-off: Should you really ditch the stock?

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    worried woman watching Netflix

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    With the release of its second-quarter financial results, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) reported a net loss of 1 million subscribers in the quarter ended June 30. And this followed a loss of 200,000 customers in the first quarter of this year. For a business that has relied heavily on growing its user base over the past decade, this is not what investors want to see. 

    Along with the broader market sell-off, spurred by high inflation and rising interest rates, shares of Netflix have fallen 64% in 2022. Is it time to sell this top streaming stock amid recent weakness in fundamentals? Let’s take a closer look. 

    A better-than-expected quarter 

    Three months ago, Netflix’s management, led by co-CEOs Reed Hastings and Ted Sarandos, had predicted a loss of 2 million subscribers in the just-ended quarter, so the company’s official results were better than those expectations. Nonetheless, this trend of losing customers is not what shareholders want to see, especially for a business that has rapidly grown its viewership since introducing streaming in 2007. 

    In the UCAN region (U.S. and Canada), representing 33.2% of Netflix’s user base and 44.4% of its overall revenue in the latest quarter, the company lost 1.3 million subscribers. This marks the second consecutive three-month period (and third in the last five) that Netflix has shed viewers in the lucrative region.

    Many Netflix bears are looking smart right now, since they have been calling the UCAN market completely saturated. The positive is that the average revenue per membership in the region increased 10% year over year. 

    Netflix’s overall revenue jumped 8.6% year over year in the second quarter, which was lower than the 9.7% management had hoped for. Were it not for the strong U.S. dollar, a factor that hurts companies that generate sizable sales internationally, Netflix’s revenue would have increased 13% in the quarter. But either way you slice it, this growth is far lower than the double-digit gains investors are accustomed to seeing. 

    Management is focused on two primary areas to propel the business and accelerate much-needed growth. The first initiative, well documented in recent months, is the planned introduction of a cheaper, ad-supported tier in early 2023. Netflix has chosen to partner with Microsoft on this strategic endeavor. Hastings has shunned this move in the past, but I believe it can attract more members, particularly price-sensitive ones. 

    And although password-sharing among households once wasn’t really discouraged by management, cracking down on it has now turned into a revenue opportunity. Netflix estimates that there are more than 100 million households worldwide that use other accounts’ passwords for access to the content catalogue. Finding ways to convert these to paying subscribers could support increased sales. 

    On a positive note, Netflix expects to add 1 million customers in the current quarter, returning to growth. 

    What should investors do? 

    For long-term shareholders of Netflix, the initial reaction to two straight quarters of subscriber losses is probably to sell. The business is not exhibiting the fast growth everyone is used to seeing.

    But there are still some reasons to be optimistic. I don’t think anyone doubts that streaming entertainment is going to continue taking share from linear TV in the decade ahead. And Netflix, with its first-mover advantage and 220.1 million accounts today, is the clear leader in the space. According to data from Nielsen, Netflix accounted for the most TV viewing time (over 1.3 billion minutes) by far in the U.S. in the almost eight-month period from late September 2021 to early May 2022. 

    While subscriber additions and revenue growth were the key factors that investors cared about before, Netflix is now positioning itself for a different financial future. The operating margin for 2022 is forecast to approach 20%. And thanks to both an optimized cost structure and more-controlled content spending, the business is projected to generate positive free cash flow this year, with a significant jump in 2023. 

    With a price-to-sales ratio of just 3.2 as of this writing, which is substantially lower than the trailing-10-year average of 7, it’s safe to say that pessimism has never been higher. This presents a potential buying opportunity for shrewd investors. 

    Despite the recent weakness, Netflix looks like a compelling investment. It is still a leader in producing great content, the upcoming ad-supported tier should help to boost growth, and the valuation looks attractive right now. Investors who are considering ditching the stock should take a closer look. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Netflix’s subscriber loss sell-off: Should you really ditch the stock? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Netflix right now?

    Before you consider Netflix, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Netflix wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Neil Patel has positions in Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Microsoft and Netflix. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • LiveTiles share price slumps 31% as quarterly cash bleed worsens

    A smartly-dressed man screams to the sky in a trendy office.A smartly-dressed man screams to the sky in a trendy office.

    The LiveTiles Ltd (ASX: LVT) share price is trading down today following the release of its quarterly activities report for the three months ending 30 June 2022.

    At the time of writing, the share is trading more than 31% lower at 5.8 cents apiece.

    LiveTiles share price dives on Q4 results

    Key takeouts from the period include:

    • FY22 operating revenues (unaudited) of $52.8 million, up 17% on FY21
    • Contracted license user base of 2.77 million at 30 June 2022, up 20% from 30 June 2021
    • Cash receipts of $12.9 million for the June quarter, delivering $56.7 million for FY22, a 10% year-on-year increase
    • Net operating cash flows were a loss of $2.3 million for the quarter
    • Cash position of $13.1 million at 30 June 2022
    • Additional $4 million available to draw from the OneVentures debt facility, providing total available cash of $17.1 million
    • $65.6 million ARR at 30 June 2022, up 4% year on year
    • Trailing twelve month (TTM) customer net annual recurring revenue (ARR) retention of 91% at 30 June 2022

    What else happened for LiveTiles last quarter?

    LiveTiles printed Q4 FY22 cash receipts of $12.9 million, a decline of 11% year on year. This was underscored by an approximate $1.7 million in lower-than-expected customer receipts due by 30 June.

    The company says these “were delayed and not received in time,” and that 60% of the expected collections have since been received.

    Operating revenues were $52.8 million for FY22, up 17% from FY21. The growth was driven by increasing software subscriptions.

    Contracted user licenses reached 2.78 million at 30 June 2022. This was up 20% from the same time last year. LiveTiles Reach also continued to expand, up 79% over the 12-month period.

    LiveTiles also secured a key customer upsell deal in Q4. This will comprise an initial $200,000 in software and $900,000 in services over three years, the company says.

    The customer – an international law firm domiciled across the United States and Europe – has committed to the full employee experience (EX) offering.

    Management commentary

    Speaking on the results, LiveTiles co-founder and chief executive officer Karl Redenbach said:

    The June quarter marks one of strong operational achievements with the completion of integration of The Human Link and the formal launch of our Employee Experience Academy. These milestones represent a great opportunity for us to further expand our global footprint and lay the foundations for continued commercial growth through expanded distribution of our proprietary products globally.

    We remain confident LiveTiles is well positioned to consolidate its place as a leader in the Employee
    Experience market and continue to deliver growth through the next 12 months.

    LiveTiles share price snapshot

    The LiveTiles share price has slipped 42% into the red this year to date, leading to a more than 62% loss over the past 12 months.

    The post LiveTiles share price slumps 31% as quarterly cash bleed worsens appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended LIVETILES FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended LIVETILES FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why are ASX 200 tech shares having such a lousy start to the week?

    a man sits at a computer in deep thought with hand on chin in a darkened room as though it is late and night and he is working on cybersecurity issues.a man sits at a computer in deep thought with hand on chin in a darkened room as though it is late and night and he is working on cybersecurity issues.

    ASX 200 tech shares are struggling today, following in the footsteps of their US counterparts.

    Technology shares in the red on Monday include Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO), Wisetech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC), and Block Inc (ASX: SQ2).

    Let’s take a look at why ASX tech shares are down.

    Technology shares fall

    The Block share price is down 3.82% at the time of writing, while Xero shares are 1.5% lower. Meanwhile, the Wisetech Global share price is 1.04% in the red.

    ASX 200 tech shares are suffering after the technology-heavy NASDAQ dropped 1.87% in the US on Friday. Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META) shares also tumbled 7.59% on Friday while the Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) share price fell 0.81%.

    The S&P/ASX All Technology Index is 1.8% in the red today, while the S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) is down 1.14%.

    The NASDAQ fell after social media giant Snap Inc‘s (NYSE: SNAP) quarterly earnings spooked investors, Reuters reported. Snapchat shares fell 39% on Friday on the back of these results. In a letter to shareholders, Snapchat said:

    We are not satisfied with the results we are delivering, regardless of the current headwinds

    Meantime, Verdence Capital Advisors chief investment officer Megan Horneman highlighted economic growth is “slowing significantly”. In comments cited by Reuters, she said:

    Economic data is coming in weaker.. kind of confirming the fact that a recession is highly likely over the next 12 months.

    Block’s US listing also dropped 3.96% on the New York Stock Exchange on Friday.

    The post Why are ASX 200 tech shares having such a lousy start to the week? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc., WiseTech Global, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc., WiseTech Global, and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ‘Genuine scale’: Why is the Dreadnaught share price surging 10% today?

    Female miner smiling while inspecting a mine site with another miner as the Lynas share price rises todayFemale miner smiling while inspecting a mine site with another miner as the Lynas share price rises today

    The Dreadnaught Resources Ltd ­(ASX: DRE) share price is launching higher on Monday after the company announced a major rare earth element (REE) find.

    Drilling at its Mangaroon Project’s Yin REE prospect has confirmed mineralised ironstones over approximately 3 kilometres of strike. The company has also identified another 66 REE-prospective anomalies.

    At the time of writing, the Dreadnaught share price is 5.6 cents, 9.8% higher than its previous close.

    Let’s take a closer look at the news driving the mineral exploration company’s stock higher today.

    What’s boosting the Dreadnaught share price?

    The Dreadnaught share price is well and truly in the green on the back of successful exploration activities at the company’s 100%-owned Mangaroon Project.

    RC drilling at the project’s Yin prospect has confirmed 3 kilometres of strike, open in all directions. The drilling program saw 67 holes drilled for 6,415 metres, confirming thick, mineralised, REE ironstones. Excitingly, 87% of holes drilled intersected mineralisation.

    Following the success, the company is moving to begin diamond drilling at the prospect later this month.

    Additionally, magnetic/radiometric surveys found 66 additional REE targets. They’re currently undergoing assessment.

    Dreadnaught managing director Dean Tuck commented on the news driving the company’s share price today, saying:

    Drilling at Yin continues to exceed expectations. With a second rig mobilising to site, we are confident that Yin will produce a substantial initial rare earth mineral resource by the end of the year.

    We are seeing genuine scale here with runs already on the board and 66 further anomalies recently identified. We also expect to confirm high-grade potential with first assays due back in late July.

    The Yin prospect – like the nearby Yangibana Project – is distinctive due to a high proportion of neodymium and praseodymium in its total rare earth oxides. Rock chips from Yin boast a neodymium and praseodymium ratio of up to 48%.

    The company also believes the energy transition and heightened geopolitical tensions will drive rare earth prices higher.

    Of course, that could bring more good news for the Dreadnaught share price in the future.

    The post ‘Genuine scale’: Why is the Dreadnaught share price surging 10% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Dreadnought Resources Limited right now?

    Before you consider Dreadnought Resources Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Dreadnought Resources Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the Domino’s share price struggling on Monday?

    Young couple having pizza lunch break at workplace.

    Young couple having pizza lunch break at workplace.

    The Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) share price has started the week in a subdued fashion.

    In afternoon trade, the pizza chain operator’s shares are down almost 2% to $69.90.

    Why is the Domino’s share price falling on Monday?

    The weakness in the Domino’s share price today appears to have been driven by the release of a broker note out of Goldman Sachs.

    In response to the quarterly update from the company’s US parent, the broker has reaffirmed its out of consensus sell rating and $59.20 price target on its shares.

    Based on the current Domino’s share price, this implies potential downside of over 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

    What did the broker say?

    Goldman notes that the Domino’s US business handed in a mixed quarterly update at the end of last week. The broker commented:

    DPZ.US, the global master franchisor to DMP reported its CY2Q22 results overnight, in-line with GSe with better US SSS though weaker unit growth, while International SSS disappointed. DPZ.US revised its CY22 guidance on food basket pricing YoY chg from 10-12% (1Q22) to 13-15% (2Q22).

    The broker believes that this update is supportive of its bearish thesis on the locally listed Domino’s and continues to forecast earnings well short of the market’s expectations. It concluded:

    We reiterate our out-of-consensus Sell. As a reminder, our thesis is primarily based on: 1) weaker-than-expected store roll-outs given challenged franchisee payback periods; 2) COGS inflation that cannot be fully passed through impacting margins; and 3) FX translation on JPY and EUR depreciation as well as transaction risk for JPY as Japan imports a material portion of COGS in USD. With this, our FY23E / FY24E sales and NPAT are ~4%/5.5% and ~19%/27% below FactSet consensus.

    The post Why is the Domino’s share price struggling on Monday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd. right now?

    Before you consider Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd., you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd. wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Dominos Pizza Enterprises Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ASX 300 shares rocking new 52-week highs on Monday

    two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.

    two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.

    It’s proving to be a shaky start to the trading week for the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) so far this Monday. At the time of writing, the ASX 300 has slipped by 0.09% after initially starting out in the green this morning.

    But this miserly start to the trading week has not held back at least some ASX 300 shares. So let’s look at two that have just clocked new 52-week highs this Monday.

    2 ASX shares hitting new 52-week highs today

    Vicinity Centres (ASX: VCX)

    ASX real estate investment trust (REIT) Vicinity is our first ASX 300 share to check out today. Vicinity Centres units have had a rather mild day of gains so far. The REIT is currently up by 0.75% at $2.01 a unit. But this comes after Vicinity hit $2.03 a unit earlier this morning. That happens to be the shopping centre operator’s new 52-week high.

    This latest rise means Vicinity is now up a healthy 13.84% year to date in 2022 thus far. It also puts the REIT up an even more impressive 37% or so over the past 12 months.

    However, we don’t know what’s behind this new 52-week high today. There hasn’t been any news or announcement out from the REIT since 12 July. So perhaps investors are just in the mood to add a retail-based REIT to their portfolios.

    Austal Ltd (ASX: ASB)

    Shipbuilder Austal is our next ASX 300 share to have a look at today. So far this Monday, the Austal share price has risen a robust 1.19% to $2.56 a share. But that comes after the shipbuilder rocketed as high as $2.60 a share this morning, which is the company’s new 52-week high.

    What a start to the 2023 financial year it has been for Austal too. Since 30 June, the company has risen an impressive 42.2%. Austal shares are also up almost 30% year to date in 2022 thus far, and up almost 18% over the past 12 months.

    So do we have a smoking gun for Austral’s new 52-week high? Yes.

    The company released a statement to the ASX this morning. This announced that Austal has been awarded a new “fixed-price incentive contract option from the United States Navy for the construction of two Navajo-class Towing, Salvage, and Rescue Ships (T-ATS 13 and 14)”.

    This is the second US Navy contract Austal has won in as many years, having already accepted a contract to build two of these same ships in October 2021.

    Investors have clearly given Austal the tick of approval for this news, considering the new 52-week high today.

    The post 2 ASX 300 shares rocking new 52-week highs on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Austal Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why has the Magellan share price leapt 21% in a week?

    A man and woman jump in the air and high five with both hands on a road after running.A man and woman jump in the air and high five with both hands on a road after running.

    The Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) share price is having a volatile start to the trading week.

    Magellan shares are down by 0.57% at the time of writing to $14.04 a share, and at one point sank as low as $13.96 soon after market open. Despite these dips, the Magellan share price has spent most of Monday morning in the green.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is booking a tentative loss of 0.13% so far today.

    But despite this shaky start, one can’t deny that the Magellan share price has had a cracking week. This time last week, Magellan was starting the trading day at $11.55 a share. That means that Magellan has risen an impressive 21.56% in just a week’s worth of trading.

    So how has this company pulled off such an impressive increase in value over a short space of time?

    Why has the Magellan share price hit the roof?

    Well, it’s not entirely clear. Magellan hasn’t put out any announcements over the past seven days that one might consider ‘game changing’.

    Much of this gain did come last Wednesday though. At the time, we covered Magellan’s 9% rise in a single day. As my Fool colleague Bronwyn covered at the time, this could have been sparked by Magellan’s new InReview 2022 commentary.

    This discussed how Magellan is holding “a cash level moderately higher than usual” for its funds, as well as probing how the “dominant driver of equity markets is likely shifting from interest rates to earnings”.

    But it’s also worth pointing out that before last week, the Magellan share price had taken a massive tumble. The company’s shares dropped from the $13.83 Magellan was commanding on 24 June to the  $11.55 Magellan finished last week at – a drop of 16.5%.

    So it’s always possible that value investors decided that that share price range was just too low, and have subsequently bid the fund manager higher this week.

    It’s also worth noting that Magellan has a somewhat cyclical share price, thanks to the correlation the performance of its funds has with the broader share market. Last week saw the ASX 200 give a strong performance. So the ground was arguably quite fertile for Magellan shares to start with.

    Whatever the cause, it has certainly been a pleasing time for the Magellan share price of late.

    At the current Magellan Financial Group share price, this ASX 200 fund manager has a market capitalisation of around $2.6 billion, with a trailing dividend yield of 15.97%.

    The post Why has the Magellan share price leapt 21% in a week? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Magellan Financial Group Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Magellan Financial Group Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Magellan Financial Group Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s why I think the BHP share price is a buy right now

    2 people at mining site, bhp share price, mining shares

    2 people at mining site, bhp share price, mining shares

    The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has been falling in recent weeks. I think this is an opportunity to consider the ASX mining share.

    Since 19 April 2022, the BHP share price has fallen by around 30%. Considering the size of BHP, that’s a large decline.

    Firstly, it’s important to note that BHP recently divested its oil and gas business to Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS).

    The business and the earnings composition have changed.

    I think it is fairly simple to understand the movements of the share prices of resource businesses because they largely track the changes in their respective commodity prices.

    BHP’s current commodity portfolio includes iron ore, copper, nickel and metallurgical coal. It also has a potash project in Canada called Jansen.

    Lower prices make it more attractive

    It’s very hard to know which direction resource prices are going to go in the shorter term and the longer term.

    The unpredictability of resource prices also makes it a hard task to evaluate what the net profit after tax (NPAT) and cash flow of the companies will be in the medium-to-longer term.

    But, I think it’s fair to say that resource prices do move in cycles as the changes in supply and demand affect things.

    When commodity prices and the BHP share price drops, like now, I think that can be the time to strike.

    The BHP share price is back down close to 52-week lows seen in October 2021 and November 2021.

    While the BHP profit isn’t likely to do as well, I think the lower price reflects that and compensates for that.

    The lower price boosts the potential dividend yield.

    Financial estimates

    Looking at estimates on CMC Markets, BHP is expected to pay a dividend per share of $3.38 in FY23 and $2.73 in FY24. That translates into forward grossed-up dividend yields of 13% and 10.5%, respectively.

    Getting a dividend yield of more than 10% is an attractive payout whilst waiting for the next potential rebound in prices.

    According to CMC, the BHP share price is valued at 8 times FY23’s estimated earnings and 10 times FY24’s estimated earnings.

    Potash potential

    BHP is working on a major potash project. Potash is seen as a greener form of fertiliser. It said that it’s “low emission, biosphere friendly and positively leveraged to decarbonisation”.

    The resource business describes potash as a “future facing commodity with attractive long-term fundamentals and differentiated demand drivers” compared to other commodities.

    BHP said there is reliable base demand, leveraged by population growth and higher living standards. The project provides a platform for growth through potential capital efficient expansions. Stage 2 studies for Jansen are being accelerated to provide maximum optionality.

    The business is expecting Jansen to be low cost and to be able to generate a high profit margin for BHP.

    For me, Jansen is a reason to be positive on the BHP share price over the long term.

    The post Here’s why I think the BHP share price is a buy right now appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the Appen share price sinking 15% today?

    A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the Electro Optic Systems share price declines today on news the CEO has resigned

    A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the Electro Optic Systems share price declines today on news the CEO has resigned

    The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price is having a terrible start to the week.

    In afternoon trade, the artificial intelligence data services company’s shares are down a sizeable 15% to $5.60.

    Why is the Appen share price crashing on Monday?

    The Appen share price has come under pressure for a few reasons on Monday.

    One is broad weakness in the tech sector following a poor finish to the week on the tech-focused Nasdaq index.

    This has seen the S&P ASX All Technology index tumble 2.2% this afternoon.

    What else?

    The reason for the weakness on Wall Street’s Nasdaq index is having a negative impact on the Appen share price.

    Investors were hitting the sell button on social media and advertising stocks on Friday night after Snapchat’s owner, Snap Inc, released a very disappointing update. Snap saw its shares crash almost 40%, Meta (Facebook) was down almost 8%, and Google dropped almost 6%.

    As Appen generates the majority of its revenue from these companies, their underperformance could ultimately have an impact on demand.

    Anything else?

    Finally, a note out of Citi could be weighing on sentiment and the Appen share price today.

    While its analysts have retained their neutral rating and $6.60 price target, they have warned that the market is too optimistic on Appen ahead of its first half earnings.

    Citi highlights that the consensus estimate is for EBITDA of US$20.6 million. However, it believes that Appen will fall short of that and is forecasting EBITDA of US$19 million instead.

    The broker also warned that there is a risk to Appen’s guidance for a material increase in second half revenue. This is due to weakness in digital advertising and Facebook’s transition to a new artificial intelligence engine.

    The post Why is the Appen share price sinking 15% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Appen Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Appen Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Appen Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Nasdaq bear market: 2 stellar growth stocks I’d buy hand over fist

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    An attractive woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates the WAM Alternative Assets listed investment company as a potential investment

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Recession fears have weighed heavily on the stock market through the first half of the year. In fact, the broad S&P 500 had its worst first half since 1970, and the Nasdaq Composite is currently 25% off its high, putting the tech-heavy index in bear market territory.

    On the bright side, tumbling prices mean that many stocks are now trading at discounts to their historical valuations, and that creates an opportunity for patient investors. Here are two growth stocks worth buying right now.

    1. Roku

    Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU) helped pioneer the streaming industry. In 2008, it brought the first streaming player to market, not long after Netflix introduced the first streaming service. Today, RokuOS is still the only operating system purpose-built for television, and its viewer-friendly reputation has led to partnerships with a growing number of television manufacturers. That has helped Roku position itself as the most popular streaming platform in the US, Canada, and Mexico.

    Meanwhile, Roku has also built a powerful ad tech platform, OneView, which enables advertisers to deliver targeted campaigns across connected TV (CTV), mobile, and desktop devices. That means Roku can monetize advertising whether or not it owns the inventory.

    In the first quarter, Roku reported a 14% increase in streaming hours, marking a deceleration in engagement. But that came on the back of a pandemic-driven acceleration in the prior year, when viewing time soared 49%. More importantly, Roku still outpaced the industry average of 10% growth, meaning it gained market share. That led to reasonably strong financial results, as revenue rose 44% to $2.9 billion and cash from operations climbed 18% to $234 million.

    Turning to the future, investors have good reason to be bullish. US viewers currently spend 46% of their television time on streaming, but advertisers spend just 18% of their television budgets on streaming. In the coming years, investors should expect more ad dollars to shift to streaming platforms, and Roku is well-positioned to benefit from that trend.

    On that note, global television ad spend will reach $344 billion by 2026, according to IMARC Group, and Roku CEO Anthony Wood believes all television advertising will eventually be streamed. That creates a tremendous opportunity for the company.

    Shares currently trade at 4.7 times sales, much cheaper than the three-year average of 15.5 times sales. That’s why this growth stock is a screaming buy.

    2. Block

    Block (NYSE: SQ) breaks its business into two segments: Square and Cash App. Through the Square ecosystem, sellers can provision all of the hardware, software, and services they need to run a business across online and offline locations. That differentiates Block from traditional merchant acquirers (e.g. banks), which often bundle products from different vendors, leaving merchants with a patchwork of solutions that must be manually integrated.

    The Cash App ecosystem takes a similarly disruptive approach. Consumers can deposit, send, spend, and invest money from a single mobile app, and they can file their taxes for free. Better yet, where banks with physical branches typically pay at least $300 to acquire a new customer, Block pays just $10 to acquire a new Cash App user, making its business model much more efficient.

    In short, Block is disrupting the financial services industry for both merchants and consumers, and that has translated into strong financial results. In the past year, gross profit climbed 50% to $4.8 billion and the company generated $965 million in free cash flow, up from a loss of $344 million in the prior year.

    Looking ahead, Block is well-positioned to grow its business. The company is working to unlock synergies between Square and Cash App by integrating Afterpay — its recently acquired “buy now, pay later” (BNPL) platform — into both ecosystems.

    Specifically, Square sellers will be able to accept BNPL online and in person. That should drive sales growth, simply because BNPL tends to boost transaction volume. But those sellers will also be able to use shopper data to deliver targeted recommendations to consumers through the Cash App, which could further boost sales.

    Currently, Block puts its addressable market in the U.S. at $190 billion in gross profit, but the company also operates in Canada, Japan, Australia, and the U.K., and it recently entered Ireland, Spain, and France. That means Block has a long runway for growth, and with shares trading at 2.3 times sales — near the cheapest valuation in the past five years — now is a great time to buy this growth stock.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Nasdaq bear market: 2 stellar growth stocks I’d buy hand over fist appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Trevor Jennewine has positions in Block, Inc. and Roku. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc., Netflix, and Roku. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.



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