Category: Stock Market

  • Why Cardano might be one of the safest cryptos to hold in a bear market

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA) has consistently ranked as one of the Top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, yet it has rarely been sexy or splashy. Some have even called it “really boring.” Even during the peak of the crypto craze, Cardano reached a high of just over $3. Time after time, it seems like Cardano has been late to the party whenever a rival blockchain such as Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has introduced a new innovation. 

    But Cardano could finally be on the cusp of delivering on its early promise and rewarding investors who take a long-term view. The big catalyst could be a tech upgrade (known as Hydra) coming in 3Q 2022 that will make the Cardano blockchain faster, more interoperable and more secure.  This upgrade will also open up more opportunities for developers to build on top of the Cardano blockchain with new decentralized applications known as dApps.

    What the new upgrade means for Cardano

    Cardano refers to the Hydra update as a “layer 2 scalability solution,” and what that means in layperson’s terms is that Cardano will be able to add more users, more developers and more applications in the future without any loss of speed or performance. As Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson — who also helped co-found Ethereum — has pointed out, the new update is all about scalability and improving performance for the more than 3 million unique wallets holding ADA. If everything goes according to plan, says Hoskinson, Cardano will theoretically be able to process more than 1 million transactions per second.  By way of comparison, the fastest blockchain today – Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) – can handle about 65,000 to 70,000 transactions per second.

    This increased capacity could open a world of new possibilities for Cardano. For example, while blockchains such as Ethereum and Solana get all the attention when it comes to non-fungible tokens (NFTs), Cardano now seems to be making a strong play to get in on more of the action. According to Hoskinson, NFTs now account for approximately 40% of all new activity happening on the Cardano blockchain. The latest high-profile launch is a new, much-anticipated NFT collection from comedian and actor Martin Lawrence.

    Slow and steady wins the race

    To be sure, Cardano has absorbed its share of criticism for a pace of development that has seemed too slow for some in the tech space who prefer to break things first, ask questions later. In part, this is due to the way that Cardano makes updates to its blockchain. At the heart of the Cardano approach is an evidence-based software development process that is similar to an academic, peer-reviewed process. In fact, Cardano prides itself on having the first blockchain protocol based on peer-reviewed research. This approach makes the development process slower, but also ensures that new software upgrades actually work as planned.

    In the end, slow and steady might win the race. While Cardano has seemingly lagged behind in some developments, it seems to be building momentum now. For example, Cardano adopted smart contract functionality last September as part of its Alonzo upgrade.

    Staying level-headed and grounded at a time when others are not

    Cardano’s Charles Hoskinson has seen it all, having been through a handful of bear markets in the crypto space over the past decade. “Bear markets are actually quite comfortable,” he recently said in an interview, because they let you focus on getting the fundamentals right and building for the future.

    Those are comforting words to hear in a market downturn. Once its new tech upgrade is complete, Cardano might just end up being one of the safest cryptos to hold in a bear market.      

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Why Cardano might be one of the safest cryptos to hold in a bear market appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Fool contributor Dominic Basulto holds ETH and ADA. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Ethereum and Solana. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Ethereum and Solana. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • What’s going on with the Westpac share price this week?

    Young investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment planYoung investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment plan

    The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is trailing that of its competitors this week, as ASX bank stocks rebound at more than twice the rate of the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

    Since Friday’s closing bell, the Westpac share price is up 2.2%. National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares are up 4.5%. Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares have gained 3.7% and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are up 2.8%.

    This compares to an 0.8% boost for the ASX 200.

    What’s the latest news from Westpac?

    Westpac hasn’t released any price-sensitive news to the ASX since 26 May when it announced a deal with BT Funds Management Limited.

    They plan to merge BT’s personal and corporate superannuation funds with Mercer Super Trust. Westpac also plans to sell its Advance Asset Management business to Mercer Australia.

    However, this week Westpac has announced some female-friendly changes to its lending criteria.

    In a press release, Westpac says it wants to “help women into home ownership” and make it easier for childcare operators to expand.

    Westpac noted these changes were “supporting Government plans to grow the childcare sector”.

    During the election campaign, Labor described improving childcare as a “fundamental economic reform”. The government plans to introduce a range of measures that it says will reduce childcare costs for 96% of families.

    Labor argues that increasing women’s job participation rate will enable households to increase their incomes while also boosting the economy.

    Home loans made easier for women and health workers

    Westpac has a lenders’ mortgage insurance (LMI) waiver program that makes it easier for male and female borrowers in the medical profession to get a home loan.

    Under the program, Westpac will issue loans at a 90% loan-to-value (LVR) ratio, instead of the usual 80%, without asking the borrower to pay LMI.

    Now, the bank is adding eight allied health professions that “have a strong female workforce representation” to the waiver program. The professions are osteopaths, podiatrists, audiologists, occupational therapists, psychologists, speech pathologists, radiographers, and sonographers.

    What is LMI?

    LMI is a one-off cost paid by borrowers when they have less than a 20% deposit. The insurance protects the bank if the borrower can’t make their repayments.

    LMI on a typical family home purchased for $650,000 would cost the borrower about $8,000, according to Westpac.

    Applicants still have to meet other criteria, such as minimum income thresholds.

    Government and corporate priorities align, says Westpac

    Westpac chief executive of consumer and business banking Chris de Bruin said:

    … saving the traditional 20 per cent of the value of a property purchase price can take prospective buyers years to achieve. We have recently expanded our LMI Waiver to include additional health professions … where women make-up most of the workforce. This will enable more women to purchase their home sooner with a reduced deposit and without the expense of mortgage insurance.

    Westpac is also introducing flexible lending criteria and priority servicing for childcare centre operators. This includes reduced equity requirements and cheaper lending rates and establishment fees.

    De Bruin said:

    The New South Wales Government recently announced a $5 billion childcare growth plan and other Governments are pursuing similar policy objectives.

    When Government policy and corporate sector commitment are aligned, change can be driven quickly. We know that access to finance is a key barrier to expansion, so we’re making it easier for childcare businesses to get the funding they need to grow.

    Westpac also says it will introduce a training program to encourage more women into home and business lending roles. Up to 100 new jobs will be made available to internal and external applicants.

    Westpac share price snapshot

    In 2022 so far, Westpac shares have tumbled by 9.5%. This compares to a fall of 8.2% for NAB, 12.15% for CBA and 21.7% for ANZ.

    As my Foolish colleague Sebastian reported yesterday, Westpac offers a dividend yield of approximately 6.2%.

    The post What’s going on with the Westpac share price this week? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Limited, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, and Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the Novonix share price plunging 6% on Wednesday?

    An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks as he reads about the Crown share price and anticipated AUSTRAC fines on his laptopAn older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks as he reads about the Crown share price and anticipated AUSTRAC fines on his laptop

    The Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX) share price is sliding lower on Wednesday despite no news from the battery technology company.

    However, the broader S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) is also suffering, sliding 1.9% so far today.

    At the time of writing, the Novonix share price is $2.29, 6.15% lower than its previous close.

    Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is recording a 0.35% slump and the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) has slipped 0.36%.

    Let’s take a closer look at what might be going on with the ASX 200 battery materials and tech stock today.

    Novonix share price plummeting 6%

    The Novonix share price is dumping yesterday’s 4% gain, sinking more than 6% lower on Wednesday.

    That leaves the stock 8% lower than it was at the end of last week and a whopping 44% lower than it ended May.

    Interestingly, there’s been no price-sensitive news out of the ASX 200 share since late last month when it announced a notable change to its board.

    Also interesting is the performance of ASX technology stocks today. The ASX 200 tech sector and S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) are both tumbling despite a strong performance from the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite overnight.

    The US-based index gained 2.51% in Tuesday’s session overseas and the tech sector generally performs relatively in line with its performance.

    The Novonix share price is joined by that of its ASX 200 peer Life360 Inc (ASX: 360). They’re both down around 6% right now.

    Meanwhile, shares in TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE), Computershare Limited (ASX: CPU), and EML Payments Ltd (ASX: EML) have each fallen around 4%.

    It’s not all doom and gloom, however. ASX 200 tech share Iress Ltd (ASX: IRE) is recording a 3.45% gain today.

    Today’s dip is just the latest faced by the Novonix share price this year.

    It’s currently down 75% year to date. Though, it has gained 8% since this time last year.

    The post Why is the Novonix share price plunging 6% on Wednesday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended EML Payments. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended EML Payments. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended TechnologyOne Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Down 28% this year, is the Wesfarmers share price at a turning point?

    A woman sits at her computer in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin and seriously considering information she is receiving from the screen of her laptop regarding the Xero share priceA woman sits at her computer in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin and seriously considering information she is receiving from the screen of her laptop regarding the Xero share price

    The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price has tumbled over the last month of trade, extending losses to more than 28% this year to date.

    After a series of downward moves, the Wesfarmers share price fell to its 52-week closing low of $41.16 on 17 June, as illustrated on the chart below.

    However, it’s since bounced from that level, currently trading at $42.32 at the time of writing.

    TradingView Chart

    Is Wesfarmers reversing course?

    The share is still bottom-heavy and has some way to go before clawing back to its May 2022 levels.

    Despite this, it still has five buy calls and five hold calls from brokers, according to Bloomberg data.

    Balancing the picture is that six brokers also say to sell Wesfarmers shares.

    In a note today, analyst Mohsen Crofts, from Bloomberg Intelligence, wrote that Bunnings and Kmart are Wesfarmers’ key assets in its long-term growth.

    Crofts wrote:

    Wesfarmers-owned hardware chain Bunnings’ brand and operational strength could increase its revenue and market share from 2023 once Australian housing stabilises with interest rates.

    Earnings performance at Kmart, Wesfarmers’ discount department store brand, should improve this year as Covid-19 related costs and restrictions ease.

    Meanwhile, analysts at JP Morgan echoed the sentiment in a May note. The broker said, “Wesfarmers is a beneficiary of the retail and housing cycle, with three industry leading retailers.”

    “Following the downsizing of Target, acquisitions of Catch and Kidman, as well as a de-rating post capital return, the share price outlook is favourable.”

    Wesfarmers share price snapshot

    In the last 12 months, the Wesfarmers share price has slipped more than 28% into the red, dropping almost 10% in the last month alone.

    The conglomerate has a market capitalisation of around $48 billion based on the current share price.

    The post Down 28% this year, is the Wesfarmers share price at a turning point? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Wesfarmers Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Wesfarmers Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Wesfarmers Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ‘Price makers’: 3 ASX 200 shares that can pass on rising costs in an inflationary environment

    a young boy dressed in a business suit and wearing thick black glasses peers straight ahead while sitting at a heavy wooden desk with an old-fashioned calculator and adding machine while holding a pen over a large ledger book.

    a young boy dressed in a business suit and wearing thick black glasses peers straight ahead while sitting at a heavy wooden desk with an old-fashioned calculator and adding machine while holding a pen over a large ledger book.

    Inflation is an economic challenge that many S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares — and households — are facing.

    We’ve seen rises in commodity prices, transportation costs, supply chain challenges, faster-growing wages, and so on. Some businesses aren’t able to pass on the higher costs, resulting in profit margins being hurt.

    Investment group Blackstone has indicated that it’s going to avoid businesses that aren’t able to pass on rising costs in the form of higher prices.

    According to reporting by The Australian, Blackstone’s senior managing director Michael Blickstead said that inflation is the group’s main concern. Within its own investment portfolio, and potential investments, Blackstone is looking at what it can do to mitigate the issues.

    Some ASX 200 shares may not be able to pass on the higher costs and they will simply have to deal with lower profitability. That’s tough luck for them, which may explain some of the declines we’ve seen in the last few months, along with interest rate rises.

    But, there are a few names that are able to pass on increases to their customers or clients, such as the three below, which can be called ‘price makers’. That’s where the companies get to decide their prices.

    National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB)

    NAB is one of the big four ASX banks along with Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ).

    It’s no secret the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is increasing interest rates with more rises expected to follow. The RBA’s latest move was a 50 basis point increase.

    If NAB (and the ASX 200 big bank shares) didn’t increase the interest rates charged on loans then it would hurt the bank’s net interest margin (NIM). The NIM is an important measure of bank profitability.

    But, NAB did pass on the 50 basis point increase to borrowers. In fact, it passed on the whole rate rise very soon after the RBA’s announcement.

    Brokers like Morgans and Morgan Stanley think the bank NIMs will rise as interest rates increase. However, there’s also a question of how much the rate increases hurt loan books and increase arrears.

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO)

    Xero is one of the largest ASX tech shares, but it’s now a fair bit smaller this year after a plunge of the Xero share price of around 50%.

    While Xero doesn’t focus on commodities or supply chains, it still has a cost base.

    The ASX 200 share has recently announced that it’s going to increase its subscription prices in some of its important markets including the UK, Australia, and New Zealand, with some subscriber levels seeing high single-digit price increases.

    APA Group (ASX: APA)

    APA is one of the largest infrastructure businesses in Australia. It owns a national network of gas pipelines that transport half of Australia’s natural gas usage.

    It also owns investments in renewable energy generation, gas storage, and gas power generation.

    The ASX 200 share says that it’s “favourably exposed to rising inflation with almost 100% of contracted revenues linked to inflation indices”.

    The post ‘Price makers’: 3 ASX 200 shares that can pass on rising costs in an inflationary environment appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended APA Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Medibank share price climbs amid ‘cash give back’

    high, climbing, record highhigh, climbing, record high

    The Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL) share price is edging slightly higher today following the company’s latest cash give back.

    At the time of writing, the private health insurance giant’s shares are fetching at $3.18, up 0.32%.

    Medibank returns COVID-19 savings

    Investors are sending the Medibank shares into positive territory despite the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) reversing its gains today.

    For context, the ASX 200 Index is 0.07% lower to 6,519.2 points.

    In its release, Medibank advised it is returning an additional $205 million in COVID-19 permanent net claims savings to customers. This brings the total amount of support provided by the business since the start of the pandemic to $682 million.

    The cash back funds will be deposited into the customer’s bank accounts at a confirmed date in September this year.

    The financial package includes up to $145 for extras only policies and up to $620 for hospital and extras policies.

    In addition, Medibank and Ahm will also defer the 2022 premium increase for a further month to 1 November 2022.

    The premium increase deferral and cash give back are being funded from additional COVID-19 permanent net claims savings.

    Medibank CEO, David Koczkar commented:

    We said right from the start that we would not profit from COVID-19. We’ve stuck by that promise with our broader package now reaching a record $682 million.

    The cash give back will be welcomed by our customers as they grapple with pressures on household budgets due to rising inflation, interest rates, fuel prices and home energy costs.

    We’ve also put premium increases on hold for another month, taking the premium increase deferral to 7 months until 1 November 2022.

    Our focus remains on delivering value for our customers and supporting them through the ongoing impacts of COVID-19.

    Medibank share price summary

    Over the last 12 months, the Medibank share price has travelled around 1% higher despite the recent market volatility.

    In comparison, the benchmark ASX 200 index has fallen by 11% over the same time frame.

    Based on today’s price, Medibank presides a market capitalisation of roughly $8.54 billion.

    The post Medibank share price climbs amid ‘cash give back’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Ampol, Downer, Fletcher Building, and REA shares are pushing higher

    A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today

    A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price todayIn afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has given back its morning gains and dropped into the red. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.3% to 6,506 points.

    Four ASX shares that are not letting that hold them back are listed below. Here’s why they are pushing higher:

    Ampol Ltd (ASX: ALD)

    The Ampol share price is up 5% to $34.77. This appears to have been driven by a broker note out of Morgan Stanley. According to the note, the broker has retained its overweight rating and lifted its price target to $39.00. It is bullish due to improving refining margins and increasing fuel volumes.

    Downer EDI Limited (ASX: DOW)

    The Downer share price is up 2% to $5.07. Investors have been buying this engineering company’s shares after it announced two major contract wins. Downer has been awarded two road maintenance contracts by Auckland Transport, valued at approximately $800 million over a maximum term of 10 years. Management notes that these contracts expand Downer’s strong working relationship with Auckland Transport.

    Fletcher Building Limited (ASX: FBU)

    The Fletcher Building share price is up 5% to $4.68. The catalyst for this was the release of the building products company’s investor day update. That update reveals that management has reiterated its earnings before interest and tax guidance for FY 2022. It expects EBIT before significant items to come in at ~NZ$750 million.

    REA Group Limited (ASX: REA)

    The REA share price is up 2% to $101.15. This morning analysts at Citi reiterated their buy rating and $153.50 price target on this property company’s shares. This implies potential upside of ~50% for investors over the next 12 months. Citi sees NSW stamp duty changes as a positive for REA.

    The post Why Ampol, Downer, Fletcher Building, and REA shares are pushing higher appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

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    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Volatility index spikes: Should you buy stocks now or wait?

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    A man analyses stockmarket graph on his computer.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    In calm markets, the volatility index generally sits somewhere around 10. In the recent market upheaval, it has touched the 30s. The volatility index measures how quickly the market expects stock prices to change.  The higher the index, the wilder the anticipated swings in price. 

    That spike in the volatility index raises a key question: Should you buy stocks now, or wait? As simple as that question is to ask, the answer depends as heavily on you as an investor as it does on stocks themselves.

    You need to be able to have a long-term focus

    High volatility means stocks are expected to move aggressively — sometimes up, sometimes down. When that volatility is combined with the bear market we’re in, there’s very real risk that there will be more aggressive moves downward. As a result, it’s critically important that you have a long-term focus with any money you’re willing and able to invest in the market.

    After all, if you buy and the stocks you purchase later go down, you will have less in total net worth than you would have if you had just held cash. It can be a very frustrating feeling, as if you’re throwing good money after bad.

    With a long-term focus, however, you can better recognize that when you buy shares and they go down, you still have the same number of shares — and thus ownership stake — as you did before. In addition, it gets easier to see how investing the same number of dollars after the stock crashes buys more shares than it did before the crash, helping new money go that much further.

    A reasonable valuation estimate helps, too

    Speaking of converting dollars to shares, investing when volatility spikes gets much easier if you have a good valuation tool, such as the discounted cash flow model, at your side. With the discounted cash flow model, you estimate the amount of cash the company will generate in the future. Then, you dial back (or discount) that cash flow based on how far in the future you expect the company to earn it. Add up those discounted cash flows and the total is your estimate of what the company is worth.

    You’ll never get it perfect — you are predicting the future, after all — but if you do your homework and seek to really understand the business, you can often get reasonably close. The power of getting reasonably close, though, is that sometimes, severe market volatility in a bear market drives a company’s stock well below your estimate of its fair value. When that happens, you can swoop in and buy shares for less than you think they’re worth.

    Turning a volatility-driven market crash into a bargain hunting expedition is an opportunity to take advantage of a very choppy market, and it’s one you usually only get when the volatility index is high.

    Diversification reduces the impact when you get it wrong

    Of course, there’s usually a good reason for a crashing market and spiking volatility index. In this case, it’s the combination of stagflation risks and rising interest rates. That combination can make it very difficult for weaker companies to survive. It can also radically throw off your otherwise reasonable valuation estimates, as rapidly rising costs can seriously mess with a business’s ability to generate cash.

    As a result, it is incredibly important to spread your investments out across multiple companies in different industries. That way when (not if) one of your investments fails, the loss of that investment will have far less of an impact on your overall portfolio than it would have had if that company had been the only one you owned.

    Put it all together and you have a path to buy even when volatility spikes

    It’s scary to invest when the market is down and volatility is high. With a combination of a long-term focus, a decent valuation estimate, and diversification on your side, you’ve at least got a chance to turn it to your advantage. It’s not easy to invest in times like these, but history suggests that if you’re able to, you’re likely to come out successful on the other side. So make today the day you get these tools in your arsenal and are well prepared to invest despite spiking volatility. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Volatility index spikes: Should you buy stocks now or wait? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Chuck Saletta has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • What’s dragging on the Qantas share price today?

    a woman sits next to her wheel along suitcase with the handle raised in a desserted airport with her arms folded and a frustrated, sad expression on her face.a woman sits next to her wheel along suitcase with the handle raised in a desserted airport with her arms folded and a frustrated, sad expression on her face.

    The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price is in the red on Wednesday.

    Its slump comes amid findings that passengers of the airline and its subsidiary Jetstar suffered more delays and cancellations in May than those of competing airlines.

    At the time of writing, the Qantas share price is $4.525, 0.55% lower than its previous close.

    For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is also recording a 0.21% fall.

    Let’s take a closer look at what’s going on with Australia’s national airline on Wednesday.

    Qantas share price slips amid unfavourable findings

    The Qantas share price is sinking amid the release of data from the Bureau of Infrastructure and Transport Research Economics.

    The data found Qantas cancelled more flights last month than both Virgin Australia and Regional Express Holdings Ltd (ASX: REX). Qantas’ subsidiary Jetstar also saw more late take-offs and delayed landings than its competitors did.

    Here are some of the key figures:

    • 38.5% of Qantas’ May flights departed late,
    • 39.3% landed late, and
    • 7.1% were cancelled

    Meanwhile, its subsidiary Jetstar saw 42.3% of flights leave late, 39.4% land late, and 5.7% cancelled.

    Rex performed best in terms of delays and cancellations last month. Just 1.4% of its flights were cancelled while 21.5% departed late, and 24.5% landed late.

    Meanwhile, 5% of Virgin flights were cancelled, 35.6% took off late, and 34.3% landed late.

    However, the news is unlikely to have dinted the ASX 200 airline’s stock today. It’s slipping alongside its home sector – the S&P/ASX 200 Industrials Index (ASX: XNJ). The sector is currently down 0.57%.

    The company’s fellow ASX 200 travel stocks are also struggling. The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price is down 3.1% right now, the Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price has slipped 2.65%, and the Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) share price has fallen 4.64%.

    Finally, the share price of Qantas’ ASX-listed competitor Rex is currently up 2.45%.

    The post What’s dragging on the Qantas share price today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Qantas Airways Limited right now?

    Before you consider Qantas Airways Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Qantas Airways Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Corporate Travel Management Limited, Flight Centre Travel Group Limited, and Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Down 33% in a month, is the Megaport share price in ‘value’ territory?

    person thinking, contemplating, consideringperson thinking, contemplating, considering

    The Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) share price has sunk another 2.17% on Wednesday. At the time of writing, it’s sitting at $4.96 on no news.

    This brings Megaport’s losses to 33% for the month, or 74% this year to date.

    In wider market moves, the S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) has crept 50 basis points lower today. It too is down, 39% this year to date.

    TradingView Chart

    Is the Megaport share price in value territory?

    Megaport shares are being punished in 2022. Now, with the market sell-off, losses have extended and the share is deep in the red.

    Despite the pressure, analysts at Goldman Sachs remain constructive on its outlook and price Megaport at $13.10 per share.

    At the current market price of $4.96, some might suggest it is trading at a deep discount to Goldman’s price objective.

    Structural tailwinds in the cloud-usage and networking-as-a-service (NaaS) space are key drivers of Megaport’s growth, Goldman says.

    The total market could reach $129 billion for these areas, the broker reckons. Certainly optimistic projections that could bode well for Megaport.

    Further, whilst the market has been unkind to Megaport, if it is considered a value share, this could play in well to the case.

    That’s because value stocks are likely to outperform growth after a slumped period, according to Cliff Asness, CIO at AQR Capital.

    Speaking to Goldman Sachs’ June macroeconomic research paper Top of Mind, Asness said:

    Looking ahead, I’m confident that Value can continue to outperform over a medium-term, say, three year, horizon precisely because the valuation spread between Value and Growth remains incredibly stretched, which would represent a stark break from the post-GFC cycle where Value delivered somewhere between subpar and dismal returns.

    Irrespective, the Megaport share price has a long way to run to reach its former closing high of $21.88 reached on 17 November 2021.

    The post Down 33% in a month, is the Megaport share price in ‘value’ territory? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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