Category: Stock Market

  • AFIC (ASX:AFI) is the biggest LIC on the market. But how does its performance stack up?

    Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.

    Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.The Australian Foundation Investment Co. Ltd (ASX: AFI), or AFIC for short, is not the most well-known ASX share. But it is one of the oldest. A Listed Investment Company (LIC), AFIC opened its doors back in 1928, and has been investing in ASX shares on behalf of its investors ever since.

    Today, it is the largest LIC on the ASX boards, besting rivals like Argo Investments Limited (ASX: ARG) and WAM Capital Limited (ASX: WAM) in terms of market capitalisation. But the modern world of investing is very different to the world upon which AFIC opened its doors to in the 1920s.

    LICs have certainly lost some popularity at the expense of the ever-popular exchange-traded fund (ETF). The increasing desire of passively-minded investors to put their cash in index-tracking and low-cost ETFs instead of the more actively managed LICs like AFIC is a trend that has been growing for years now.

    So how does AFIC measure up in the modern world of investing?

    Well, let’s get straight into the numbers. So, AFIC tells us that as of 31 January, its total return (share price growth plus dividends and franking) was 12.5% for the preceding 12 months. That compares well with the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index. It has returned 10.9% over the same period (also including dividends and franking).

    Over the past five years on average, AFIC’s total return has come in at 10.6% per annum against the index’s 10%. But over the past ten years, AFIC and its benchmark are dead-even at 11.1% per annum on average each.

    So that effectively means an investment in AFIC shares has bested investing in an ASX 200 ETF over both the past year and the past five years.

    How does AFIC’s performance measure up against the ASX 200 and other LICs?

    But how does this compare to Argo and WAM Capital?

    Argo tells us that its total return performance, as of 31 December, was 25.5%. We can’t take too much stock in that when comparing to AFIC though. That’s because January was such a negative month for the ASX 200 Index. But over five years, Argo’s total return has averaged 10.5% per annum, just under AFIC’s. In saying that, it doesn’t appear that those returns factor in franking, which could give Argo an extra boost. Over ten years, Argo’s total return averages at 11.5% per annum.

    Unfortunately, WAM Capital is not as transparent with its performance data. It only releases the performance of that LIC’s underlying investment portfolio, rather than the total return shareholders have enjoyed. Still, let’s check it out for comparison’s sake. So, as of 31 January, WAM Capital’s underlying portfolio enjoyed a gain of 7.5% over the preceding 12 months, including dividend returns (again, franking doesn’t seem to factor in here). Over the past five years, it has averaged a return of 9% per annum. And over ten years, it’s 13.7% per annum.

    Those metrics don’t factor in WAM Capital’s management fee either, which, at 1% per annum, is far higher than AFIC and Argo’s 0.14%. AFIC and Argo’s performance figures account for their fees.

    So that’s how AFIC’s performance stacks up against its rival ASX LICs, as well as the ASX 200 Index. It appears AFIC comes out on top for the five year period, but Argo and WAM Capital best it over ten years, if only slightly.

    At the current AFIC share price, this ASX LIC has a market capitalisation of $9.94 billion, with a trailing dividend yield of 2.96%. 

    The post AFIC (ASX:AFI) is the biggest LIC on the market. But how does its performance stack up? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in AFIC right now?

    Before you consider AFIC, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and AFIC wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to sell today

    Business man marking Sell on board and underlining it

    Business man marking Sell on board and underlining itBusiness man marking Sell on board and underlining it

    Yesterday we looked at three ASX shares brokers have given buy ratings to this week.

    Unfortunately, not all shares are in favour with brokers right now. Three that have just been given sell ratings are listed below. Here’s why these brokers are bearish on these ASX shares:

    Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT)

    According to a note out of Macquarie, its analysts have downgraded this energy producer’s shares to an underperform rating with an improved price target of $1.50. This follows the release of a half year result that fell short of the broker’s expectations. And while it has upgraded its earnings forecasts and price target to reflect production growth, it believes investors would be better off with other cheaper options in the sector. The Beach share price has fallen heavily today and is now trading at $1.46.

    Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG)

    A note out of Morgan Stanley reveals that its analysts have retained their underweight rating but lifted their price target on this insurance giant’s shares to $3.90. While IAG surprised to the upside with its half year results, this isn’t enough for a more positive rating. Morgan Stanley believes there are risks that are not being accurately priced in by the market. This is particularly the case with claims inflation. The IAG share price is fetching $4.74 today.

    Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG)

    Analysts at UBS have retained their sell rating and $7.00 price target on this fund manager’s shares. The broker continues to believe that the risks are to the downside for Magellan. This is due to fund outflows, staff retention concerns, and its belief that Magellan may need to cut its fees to reduce retail fund outflows. This could put pressure on the company’s margins. The Magellan share price is trading at $18.12 currently.

    The post Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to sell today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Insurance Australia Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • 2 ASX shares that this top fund manager rates as a buy

    Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.

    Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.

    Leading fund manager Wilson Asset Management (WAM) has revealed two ASX shares that it rates as buys within the WAM Research Limited (ASX: WAX) portfolio.

    WAM operates several listed investment companies (LICs). Two of those LICs are WAM Capital Limited (ASX: WAM) and WAM Leaders Ltd (ASX: WLE).

    One of the LICs is called WAM Research, which looks at smaller businesses on the ASX.

    WAM describes WAM Research as a LIC that invests in the most compelling undervalued growth opportunities in the Australian market.

    The WAM Research portfolio has delivered gross returns (that’s before fees, expenses, and taxes) of 15.4% per annum since the strategy changed in July 2010, which is superior to the All Ordinaries Total Accumulation Index (ASX: XAOA) return of 8.9% per annum.

    These are the two ASX shares that WAM outlined in its most recent monthly update:

    Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX: CCP)

    Credit Corp was described as a business that provides debt purchase and collection, and consumer lending services in Australia, New Zealand and the US.

    The Credit Corp share price outperformed during January 2022 in the lead-up to the FY22 interim result, which was released at the start of February.

    WAM said that investor expectations were growing ahead of a positive result. That result delivered, according to the fund manager. There was an 8% increase in the underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) in the half-year report thanks to strong collections activity.

    The period included record investment driven by the US purchased debt ledger (PDL) acquisitions alongside the acquisition of Radio Rentals in Australia.

    Credit Corp’s consumer lending demand accelerated to record levels over the three months to 31 December 2021. Key markets emerged from COVID lockdowns whilst pilot projects continued to demonstrate “promising results”.

    WAM liked the confidence that the ASX share’s management showed by increasing the FY22 guidance, with PDL investment increasing to a range of between $300 million to $320 million and net profit between $92 million to $97 million.

    The fund manager believes there is still upside to the given guidance and remains positive on the medium-term outlook as unsecured credit balances are “set to accelerate” as consumer stimulus fades and the impacts of COVID eases.

    The above-mentioned impacts are expected to underpin organic growth, while a strong balance sheet positions the company to capitalise on further acquisitions that would add to earnings with a range of opportunities currently in the market.

    BWX Ltd (ASX: BWX)

    WAM describes BWX as an Australian-based company that is engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing beauty and personal care products.

    The company’s expansion into the US and UK is gaining traction. When coupled with new products and a larger distribution network, this is driving growth of the market share.

    It was announced in January 2022 that CEO Dave Fenlon had resigned. Mr Fenlon is going to change to be a non-executive director position on the BWX board.

    WAM wasn’t too concerned because the appointment of his successor is Rory Gration. Mr Gration was the chief operating officer. This demonstrated the continuity of the ASX share’s management team.

    BWX recently expanded its portfolio with the acquisition of a 50.1% majority stake of Go-To Skincare for $89 million. In FY21, this business generated $36.8 million of revenue and $11.6 million of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA).

    The post 2 ASX shares that this top fund manager rates as a buy appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Credit Corp right now?

    Before you consider Credit Corp, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Credit Corp wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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  • Is it a buy in 2022? Why this top broker tips 15% upside in Woolworths (ASX:WOW) shares

    a woman smiles widely as she leans on her trolley while making her way down a supermarket grocery aisle while holding her mobile telephone.a woman smiles widely as she leans on her trolley while making her way down a supermarket grocery aisle while holding her mobile telephone.a woman smiles widely as she leans on her trolley while making her way down a supermarket grocery aisle while holding her mobile telephone.

    The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price closed higher today at $34.36, up 1.33% on yesterday’s close.

    Shares in the retail conglomerate have levelled off in 2022 after the company’s share price plunge at the end of last year. Investors have seen their holdings come off 52-week highs of around $52 dollars to now trade near 52-week lows.

    But not everyone is downbeat on Woolworths with one broker retaining its overweight stance on the retail giant. Let’s take a look.

    Is Woolworths a buy in 2022?

    According to analysts at JP Morgan, Woolworths looks attractively priced and offers long-term upside potential. The broker says that makes it a buy right now.

    After some readjustments, analysts now value Woolworths at $39.60 per share, suggesting an upside potential of more than 15%.

    The broker reckons that Food LFL [like-for-like] sales growth is supported by “local, online and ongoing execution capabilities, as Woolworths continues to execute across its strategy of convenience, fresh and range”.

    JP Morgan analysts also like Woolworths’ operating leverage and that falling COVID-19 costs, and not lower labour costs, are supporting lifting operating margins.

    But the broker also likes each of the other segments in Woolworths’ portfolio, especially given the changing landscape of the sector.

    “[The] Big W turnaround has been a positive with further opportunity due to DC [distribution centre] and store network optimisation,” the broker said in a recent note.

    However, analysts say visible challenges remain, particularly from ongoing cost pressures due to supply chain disruption, COVID-19 costs in early 2022, and higher wages from FY23 onwards.

    Nevertheless, there are plenty of bullish signals that offset these headwinds in the broker’s view.

    “The Everyday Needs ecosystem leverages and extends the competitive advantages of the Food business, while adding to WOW earnings growth,” analysts said.

    The team also views Woolworths’ “market-leading online platform favourably and see[s] sustained levels of high online penetration post-COVID”.

    With this in mind, analysts at JP Morgan forecast revenue of $60.5 billion in FY22, leading to a free cash flow conversion of $3.1 billion – both down on FY21.

    The broker also sees return on equity (ROE), alongside other profitability measures, declining substantially over the coming periods. However, analysts say this is likely to return Woolworths’ figures in line with long-term averages after the company’s period of hyper-growth.

    “After a period of normalisation, we expect online penetration to continue to grow to approximately 14% over the next five years,” the broker said.

    TradingView Chart

    Woolworths share price snapshot

    In the last 12 months, the Woolworths share price has fallen more than 6% and is down more than 10% since 2022 trading began on January 4.

    The company has a market capitalisation of around $41.4 billion dollars at its current share price.

    The post Is it a buy in 2022? Why this top broker tips 15% upside in Woolworths (ASX:WOW) shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Woolworths Group right now?

    Before you consider Woolworths Group, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Woolworths Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why Adore Beauty, Beach, Fortescue, and Praemium shares are falling

    Red arrow going down with share prices in red symbolising a falling share price

    Red arrow going down with share prices in red symbolising a falling share priceRed arrow going down with share prices in red symbolising a falling share price

    In late trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is heading for a disappointing decline. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.4% to 7,212.5 points.

    Four ASX shares that are falling more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping:

    Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ASX: ABY)

    The Adore Beauty share price is down 7% to $2.51. This is quite a turnaround for the online beauty retailer’s shares, which were up 7% in morning trade. Although Adore Beauty delivered strong revenue growth during the first half, investors may have concerns over its slender margins.

    Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT)

    The Beach share price is down 10% to $1.46. Investors have been selling this energy producer’s shares following a pullback in oil prices and a broker note out of Macquarie. In respect to the latter, this morning the broker downgraded Beach’s shares to an underperform rating with a $1.50 price target.

    Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG)

    The Fortescue share price has fallen 5% to $21.64. This may have been driven by weakness in the iron ore price overnight. This appears to have been caused by China seeking to cool the rallying price of the steel making ingredient. One action that was taken was increasing transaction fees for iron ore futures on China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange.

    Praemium Ltd (ASX: PPS)

    The Praemium share price is falling again and is down 6% to 99.2 cents today. Investors have been selling this investment platform provider’s shares after its half year results on Monday disappointed. In addition, while Ord Minnett remains positive on the company, it has cut its price target on its shares down by 12% to $1.50.

    The post Why Adore Beauty, Beach, Fortescue, and Praemium shares are falling appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Praemium Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Adore Beauty Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Adore Beauty Group Limited and Praemium Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Border drama: Qantas (ASX:QAN) faces continued challenges on ‘kangaroo route’

    pset man traveler with a medical mask on face sitting in airport or train station after delayed, missed or canceled departure.pset man traveler with a medical mask on face sitting in airport or train station after delayed, missed or canceled departure.pset man traveler with a medical mask on face sitting in airport or train station after delayed, missed or canceled departure.

    The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price is in the red today amid news the airline will continue to operate its iconic ‘kangaroo route’ via Darwin rather than Perth.

    The direct service between Australia and London will fly from Darwin until at least mid-June as Western Australia’s border uncertainty continues.

    At the time of writing, the Qantas share price is $5.23, 1.51% lower than its previous close.

    For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is currently down 0.28%.

    Qantas delays Perth to London flight

    The Qantas share price is slipping amid news the airline has opted against restarting its direct Perth to London route.

    The landmark flight — one of the longest in the world — was meant to revert to taking off from Australia’s westernmost capital in April.

    However, the airline will instead continue to operate the flight from Darwin until at least June, as it has been doing since international travel recommenced last November.

    The airline broke news of the delayed re-start hours before Western Australia premier Mark McGowan stated he will be making an announcement regarding the state’s borders later this month, according to the ABC.

    It follows the premier’s earlier decision to delay the state’s reopening – originally scheduled for 5 February – indefinitely earlier this month.

    As readers might have heard, Qantas boss Alan Joyce reportedly recently compared Western Australia’s border policy to that of North Korea.

    Qantas is also choosing to stop over in the Top End to “streamline transit arrangement” for travellers from Sydney, rather than using traditional stopover destination, Singapore.

    Joyce today said:

    This extension through to at least mid-June means the Top End has several months to properly leverage the opening up of Australia’s borders to all tourists. It’s a great opportunity to encourage thousands of visitors to stop off in Darwin to see what the NT has to offer.

    Qantas to build jet base in Darwin

    In more Top End tourism news, Qantas has announced it will be building a new jet base in the territory’s capital.

    The base will service at least 4 E190 jets servicing QantasLink routes and a new commercial route between Darwin and Dili, made possible by Qantas’ deal with Alliance Aviation Services Ltd (ASX: AQZ).

    The planes will also see Qantas able to open routes that would be unserviceable with larger aircraft. These include flights between Darwin and Canberra, Cairns, and Townsville.

    On the new jet base, Joyce commented:

    Basing these aircraft in Darwin means securing more jobs and a stronger local aviation industry.

    As we prepare to welcome back international visitors, the E190s will make it easier to fly directly between Darwin and other popular tourist destinations including Alice Springs for central Australia, encouraging travellers to see more of Australia.

    In other airline news, new budget carrier Bonza today revealed it will fly 25 routes to 16 destinations around Australia. Bonza is due to begin flying in October.

    Qantas share price snapshot

    The Qantas share price has often been turbulent throughout the pandemic. However, it’s outperforming the ASX 200 in 2022.

    The airline’s stock has gained 1.75% year to date. Meanwhile, the index has slipped 4.8%.

    Qantas shares are also currently trading for 14% higher than they were this time last year. For comparison, the ASX 200 is 5.2% higher than it was 12 months ago.

    The post Border drama: Qantas (ASX:QAN) faces continued challenges on ‘kangaroo route’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Qantas right now?

    Before you consider Qantas, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Qantas wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Own CBA (ASX:CBA) shares? Here’s the bank’s hawkish outlook for RBA rate rises

    red percentage sign with man looking up which represents high interest rates

    red percentage sign with man looking up which represents high interest ratesred percentage sign with man looking up which represents high interest rates

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) has a different take on inflation than the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Saying inflation is running hot, the bank foresees the RBA lifting rates sooner than the central bank has forecast.

    CBA shares – alongside the other banks – are among those that could stand to benefit from higher interest rates.

    Though it’s a two-edged sword.

    On one side, higher interest rates can improve banks’ lending margins.

    On the other side, if rates rise quickly, it could impact the banks’ lucrative mortgage lending as new home buyers take a pause. Not to mention the potential of increased bad debts.

    Depending on which force is stronger, rising rates could either help or hinder CBA shares.

    With rate rises in the cards, whether sooner or later, investors should have some greater insight into this balance over the coming year.

    Brace for a June rate rise

    Previously, CommBank had forecast that the RBA would move to raise the cash rate from the current record low of 0.10% in August.

    Now CBA has moved that up to a likely June rate increase.

    As the Australian Financial Review reports, CBA’s economics team estimates trimmed mean inflation to come in at 3.5% by mid-year. That’s above the RBA’s own forecast of a trimmed mean CPI of 3.25%.

    According to CBA’s head of Australian economics, Gareth Aird:

    We are very comfortable with our expectation that the Q1 2022 underlying inflation data will be a lot stronger than the RBA’s forecast. If the Q1 2022 CPI prints in line with our forecast, the RBA will not need an additional CPI to conclude that inflation is ‘sustainably within the target range’. The RBA will simply need to be satisfied that wages growth is moving towards the desired levels.

    On the wages front, CommBank expects that first quarter results will show Aussie wages growing by 3% on an annualised basis.

    If the RBA moves the cash rate higher in accordance to CBA’s forecast, Australians will see a 0.15% increase in the cash rate in June, followed by 3 more increases of 0.25% this year yet, bringing the official rate to 1% by the end of 2022.

    How have CBA shares been performing?

    CBA shares, flat in late afternoon trading today, have outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) in 2022, in that the bank’s losses have been less.

    Since the opening bell on 4 January, CBA shares are down 2.3% compared to a loss of 4.9% posted by the ASX 200.

    The post Own CBA (ASX:CBA) shares? Here’s the bank’s hawkish outlook for RBA rate rises appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank of Australia right now?

    Before you consider Commonwealth Bank of Australia , you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Top broker tips South32 (ASX:S32) to deliver 637% jump in half year earnings

    surprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share price

    surprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share pricesurprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share price

    Later this week, all eyes will be on the South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price when it releases its half year results.

    Ahead of its results release on Thursday, let’s take a look to see what the market is expecting from the mining giant.

    What is expected from South32’s half year results?

    Much like we have seen today from former parent BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), the market is expecting bumper profits from South32 during the first half.

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are forecasting underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) ahead of the market’s expectations.

    Goldman has pencilled in EBITDA of US$1.9 billion for the period, compared to the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of US$1.82 billion.

    Either way, it will be an enormous increase on the prior corresponding period. This time last year, South32 delivered underlying EBITDA of US$633 million. This means that Goldman’s estimate implies a 200% increase year on year. This is being driven by favourable commodity prices and strong production.

    When it comes to its bottom line, Goldman is actually sitting in line with the market consensus estimate with its forecast for a net profit after tax of US$1 billion. This represents a stunning 637% increase over the prior corresponding period.

    What else?

    Given this massive profit increase, South32 shareholders are expected to be rewarded with a generous dividend payment. Goldman is forecasting an 8.6 US cents per share interim dividend, while the market has pencilled in a 9.9 US cents per share dividend.

    Based on current exchange rates and the latest South32 share price of $4.41, this interim dividend equates to a 2.7% yield on Goldman’s numbers and a 3.1% yield on the market’s numbers.

    Goldman summarised: “GSe underlying EBITDA US$1.9bn vs. VA consensus US$1.8bn. NPAT US$1.0bn vs. VA cons US$1.0bn. Interim dividend US8.6cps (40% payout) vs. VA cons US9.9cps. Net cash US$0.9bn vs. VA cons US$0.9bn. S32 may lift FY22 opex and capex guidance due to cost inflation, should extend the on-market buyback program (GSe US$250mn p.a.) and provide an update on the closure timing of the Sierra Gorda, restart of the Alumar smelter in Brazil, re-scoping of the Dendrobium next domain (DND) met coal project.”

    Is the South32 share price in the buy zone?

    Goldman believes the South32 share price offers plenty of upside at current levels.

    It currently has a conviction buy rating and $5.00 price target. This implies 13% upside over the next 12 months before dividends.

    The post Top broker tips South32 (ASX:S32) to deliver 637% jump in half year earnings appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in South32 right now?

    Before you consider South32, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and South32 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Hunger Games? Here’s why more Fortescue (ASX:FMG) execs are calling time out on the miner

    a female archer looking rustic and slightly dishevelled is in extreme close up as she draws back her bow and narrows her eye to aim for a target .a female archer looking rustic and slightly dishevelled is in extreme close up as she draws back her bow and narrows her eye to aim for a target .a female archer looking rustic and slightly dishevelled is in extreme close up as she draws back her bow and narrows her eye to aim for a target .

    The Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) share price is down 5% today amid news the company is facing a staff exodus.

    The Fortescue share price is currently trading at $21.60, a 5.03% fall. In comparison, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 0.29% in the red at the time of writing.

    Let’s take a look at the latest news on the company.

    What’s in the water at Fortescue?

    Fortescue is facing a mass exodus of senior executives and managers, The Australian reported. Communities group manager Heath Nelson is rumoured to be leaving the company along with Fortescue Future Industries global resources manager Nadia Butler. The West Australian also reported these departures.

    In further reports in The Australian, Fortescue Future Industries commercial head Bethwyn Cowcher and funding group manager Penny Stonier are also said to be leaving Fortescue. Based on their LinkedIn profiles, Cowcher started at Fortescue in January 2012 while Stonier has been with the company since June 2009.

    As my Foolish colleague James reported in December, Fortescue’s CEO Elizabeth Gaines has also stepped down as CEO. She will transition to the role of non-executive director and assist with a global search for her replacement.

    The latest exodus follows the departure of several other directors and senior staff over the past 12 months.

    Staff who spoke to The Australian in December have likened the company’s culture to ‘the Hunger Games’. The Hunger Games is a series of dystopian novels and films where competitors are engaged in a brutal fight to the death. The game ends when only one person remains alive.

    But in response to this suggestion, Fortescue chair Andrew ‘Twiggy’ Forrest defended the company. He said:

    Yes, I can see that people can misinterpret that as Hunger Games, but it’s not – it’s efficiency. It’s called strength of selection.

    Fortescue is due to report its earnings tomorrow. On a positive note for the company, JP Morgan analysts are expecting earning results and profit forecasts to land ahead of consensus.

    As my Foolish colleague Zach reported, JP Morgan is looking for an H1 FY22 net profit after tax (NPAT) of $2.77 billion (consensus $2.70 billion) and 86 cents per share dividend.

    Fortescue share price snap shot

    The Fortescue share price has surged 13% year to date but fell more than 11% in the past 12 months.

    For perspective, the benchmark index has returned around 5% over the last year.

    Fortescue has a massive market capitalisation of around $67 billion based on today’s share price.

    The post Hunger Games? Here’s why more Fortescue (ASX:FMG) execs are calling time out on the miner appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortescue Metals right now?

    Before you consider Fortescue Metals, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Fortescue Metals wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • These 3 ASX 200 shares are topping the volume charts this Tuesday

    An office worker and his desk covered in yellow post-it notes

    An office worker and his desk covered in yellow post-it notesAn office worker and his desk covered in yellow post-it notes

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is having a pretty lacklustre day of trading so far this Tuesday. At the time of writing, the ASX 200 has lost 0.21% and is currently sitting at 7,229 points.

    So rather than trying to figure that out, let’s instead check out the ASX 200 shares that are currently at the top of the market’s trading volume charts, according to investing.com.

    The 3 most traded ASX 200 shares by volume so far on Tuesday

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS)

    Pilbara Mienrals once again features on this list of most active ASX 200 shares. This lithium producer has seen a hefty 20.04 million of its shares trade on the markets so far this Tuesday. There has been no major news or announcements out of Pilbara today.

    As such, we can probably put this volume down to the movements of the Pilbara share price itself. This company is currently down by a notable 1.97% at $2.98 a share after going as low as $2.93 this morning, a 2022 low. This drop is the likely reason why we find Pilbara on this list today.

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)

    For the second day in a row, ASX 200 big four bank Westpac makes the cut. Westpac has had a sizeable 20.5 million shares bought and sold on the markets today thus far. We’ve also had no news out of Westpac today. However, this bank did release an impactful announcement yesterday regarding its now-closed $3.5 billion share buyback program.

    That announcement sent Westpac up decisively yesterday, but it appears investors have got cold feet today. The company is now down by 2.66% at the time of writing. This is probably the reason we are seeing Westpac appear on this list today.

    Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT)

    ASX 200 energy company Beach is our final and most traded share of the day so far. A whopping 25.3 million Beach shares have found new owners as it presently stands. What a week Beach has had. The company released its half-year earnings yesterday, which saw the Beach share price leap an extraordinary 10% at one point.

    But again, investors seem to have gotten cold feet. With its nasty 9.7% share price fall today, the company has now given up all of those gains and then some. This large drop is almost certainly why Beach is the ASX 200’s most traded share of the day thus far today.

    The post These 3 ASX 200 shares are topping the volume charts this Tuesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Westpac right now?

    Before you consider Westpac, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Westpac wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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