Silver tests the $17.50 level but news about a potential vaccine for COVID-19 cause a sell-off.
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On Monday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week on a very positive note. The benchmark index climbed 1% to 5,460.5 points.
Will the market be able to build on this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:
It looks set to be fantastic day for the ASX 200. According to the latest SPI futures, the benchmark index is expected to jump 105 points or 1.9% higher at the open. This follows a great start to the week on Wall Street which saw the Dow Jones rise 3.85%, the S&P 500 climb 3.15%, and the Nasdaq index storm 2.45% higher.
The catalyst for the strong night of trade on Wall Street (and Europe) was a very successful phase one trial of a coronavirus vaccine by Moderna. According to the pharmaceutical giant’s release, the early-stage human trial for a coronavirus vaccine produced COVID-19 antibodies in all 45 participants. This has sparked hopes that an effective vaccine could be ready in the near future.
Energy producers such as Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could storm higher today after oil prices rocketed higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price jumped 11.8% to US$32.89 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price stormed 9.5% to US$35.58 a barrel.
After a strong day on Monday, gold miners including Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) could give back some of their gains on Tuesday. Overnight the gold price sank lower after investors sold off risk off assets due to the vaccine news. According to CNBC, the spot gold price fell 1.35% to US$1,732.90 an ounce.
The TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) share price will be on watch today when the enterprise software company releases its half year results. With its shares changing hands at 50x estimated forward earnings, investors clearly are expecting a strong update. All eyes will be on its SaaS business which has been driving strong profit growth.
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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.
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(Bloomberg Opinion) — Throughout the pandemic, euro zone governments have lagged behind the European Central Bank in charting a path out of the economic crisis. Germany and France have suddenly decided they want to lead the way.Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Emmanuel Macron have tabled a joint plan that includes, among other items, a shared 500 billion-euro ($543 billion) “recovery fund” for the EU. Berlin and Paris are front-running the European Commission, which is meant to present its own proposal for the fund next week. The two leaders are sending a clear signal to the more hawkish euro area members — such as the Netherlands and Austria — that the worst-affected nations need more than financial wizardry to get through this emergency.The Franco-German proposal would see the Commission raising the money on the financial markets and then distributing it in the form of grants. This would be a remarkable change for the EU, whose response so far has been that each country should take on more debt individually. In Merkel’s and Macron’s plan, each member of the bloc will contribute depending on its share of the EU budget, which in turn hinges on the relative size of national incomes. But the Commission would disburse the money as it saw fit. Essentially, this clears the way for fiscal transfers from financially secure countries to those less fortunate — and is a tacit admission that Europe needs to make a statement about all being in it together on Covid-19.The difference with the continent’s other emergency instruments is striking. The European Stability Mechanism, the euro zone’s rescue fund, has offered loans in the past to countries in crisis in exchange for a package of austerity and structural reforms. The pandemic has pushed Europe’s leaders to vastly improve the ESM’s lending terms and to let it offer money for the strengthening of national health systems without the usual conditions. However, these are still loans, meaning they’ll have to be paid back eventually.With their new proposal, Germany and France appear to have crossed the Rubicon on sharing the financial pain from the pandemic. The shift by the Germans from their usually conservative position is all the more noteworthy, and the financial markets certainly see it that way. Italy would be a clear beneficiary of the fund. Its 10-year bond yields dropped by nearly 20 basis points on the news, to 1.67%.There are many details that still need to be ironed out. For a start, while Germany and France are the EU’s dominant members, they still need to bring everyone else on board. The Dutch and the Austrians are traditionally opposed to the idea of grants, since they fear the money would be misspent. The inevitable negotiations may reduce the size and scope of these transfers, or demand stricter conditions from recipients. However, if the EU does accept this plan without watering it down too much, the proposal would have significant long-term implications. The “recovery fund” is being presented as an extraordinary, one-off facility. However, it could be the seed for a larger EU budget, based not just on individual contributions from member states but also on new EU-wide taxes. If that happened, the euro zone would move somewhat closer to a “fiscal union,” which is needed to put it on a more solid footing.The onus will ultimately be on the weaker member states such as Italy and Spain, and on how they use any money. Throughout the pandemic, they have made the case for more European help, arguing that the virus was no one’s fault. As France and Germany promote the cause of more grants, individual governments must show they can allocate their funds intelligently, helping those most in need while boosting the growth potential of their economies. Solidarity won’t last long without responsibility.This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Ferdinando Giugliano writes columns on European economics for Bloomberg Opinion. He is also an economics columnist for La Repubblica and was a member of the editorial board of the Financial Times.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinionSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.
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Shares of Square Inc (NYSE: SQ) have gained around 28% year to date.Although the gradual reopening of the U.S. economy may be an incremental positive for brick-and-mortar merchants, small- and mid-sized companies have yet to witness a trough in churn, according to BofA Securities.The Square Analyst Jason Kupferberg downgraded Square from Buy to Underperform with an unchanged $84 price target. The Square Thesis While stimulus funds may provide temporary relief, a significant number of small- and mid-sized businesses may struggle to remain afloat, especially if the economy reopens only partially, Kupferberg said in the Monday downgrade note. (See his track record here.)Around 75% of Square's payment volume comes from merchants with less than $500,000 in annual card volume, the analyst said. Despite this backdrop, the stock has outperformed the S&P500 by around 4,000 basis points so far this year, he said. Although the consumer-facing Cash App business is performing well, the Seller segment represents around 70% of the company, Kupferberg said.The reopening of the US economy is uneven, creating uncertainty around a recovery in Square's gross payment volume, which the analyst said "will likely vary significantly across a range of spending categories."While expressing optimism over Square's competitive positioning in the long-term, BofA said wrote the stock "has moved too far and too fast relative to its near-term fundamental prospects."SQ Price Action Shares of Square were down 2.18% at $78.51 at the time of publication. Related Links: Along With Dramatic Jobs Data, Investors Scrutinize Recent Earnings From Uber, Square10 Biggest Price Target Changes For FridayPhoto courtesy of Square. Latest Ratings for SQ DateFirmActionFromTo May 2020Stephens & Co.DowngradesOverweightEqual-Weight May 2020B of A SecuritiesDowngradesBuyUnderperform May 2020BarclaysMaintainsOverweight View More Analyst Ratings for SQ View the Latest Analyst Ratings See more from Benzinga * Coca-Cola CFO Says Trough Will Come In Q2, Says Bullish Credit Suisse * BofA Downgrades Canada Goose On Projected Revenue Decline * Cantor Cuts Canopy Growth Target After Warrants Exercise(C) 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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(Bloomberg) — Moderna Inc. got a new Wall Street-high price target from Goldman Sachs as its shares traded at a record after the biotech company revealed positive early results from its experimental vaccine for Covid-19.An initial look at mRNA-1273, as the inoculation is known, “hits the mark,” analyst Salveen Richter said, raising her price target to $105 from $63, or 27% above the prior Street high of $83. Richter rates Moderna a buy. Piper Sandler analysts soon followed raising their price target to $102 from $57 saying Moderna could have “potential blockbuster vaccine sales next year.”The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index rose as much as 2.8% and is on track to close at a record high after Moderna’s test results. Moderna shares rose as much as 30%. The entire U.S. stock market rose as the first look at a potential vaccine for the disease responsible for the pandemic kindles hope for an end to the shutdowns hobbling economic growth across the globe.Investors are excited “the vaccine was able to elicit an antibody response at just two weeks post-dose,” Richter wrote in a client note. She was also positive on the activity seen in lower doses, which should bode well for Moderna’s ability to extend its capacity to provide more vaccine. Moderna is now seen having a 75% chance of success, whereas Goldman had previously modeled 70% odds.Goldman was the lead manager on Moderna’s most recent stock offering in mid-February, which raised cash at $19 a share. The stock has surged nearly four-fold since then. Only one of 12 analysts tracked by Bloomberg rates Moderna a hold, while the rest rate it the equivalent of a buy.Piper Sandler’s Edward Tenthoff said mRNA-1273 could be a $10 billion a year drug if approved. Former GlaxoSmithKline Plc executive Moncef Slaoui, who is set to become the chief scientist for Operation Warp Speed and is on Moderna’s board, has said that getting a vaccine by January is a “credible objective.”(Updates to add Piper Sandler price target raise)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.
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