Category: Stock Market

  • Double your money with these high quality ASX shares

    Money

    If you are looking for market-beating returns over the next decade, then the three growth shares listed below could be the ones to buy.

    I think their strong growth prospects means that investors could at least double their money with them over the next 10 years.

    Here’s why I would buy them:

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU)

    I think Altium has the potential to deliver very strong returns for investors over the next decade. This is due to its high quality electronic design software, its massive market opportunity, and its exposure to the rapidly growing Internet of Things (IoT) market. This year Altium expects to achieve 50,000 subscribers. After which, it is aiming for 100,000 subscribers by FY 2025. Combined with its other growing businesses such as NEXUS and Octopart, I feel Altium is well-placed to grow its earnings at a rapid rate for many years to come.

    Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP)

    Another great option could be Domino’s Pizza. Its growth other the last few years as been a little up and down, but I remain confident the long term trajectory is upwards. Especially given its same store sales and store expansion goals. Over the next five years the pizza chain operator is aiming to deliver annual same store sales growth of 3% to 6% and annual organic new store additions of 7% to 9%. If it can at least maintain its margins, this should support strong earnings growth over the next decade.

    Pushpay Holdings Ltd (ASX: PPH)

    A final growth share to buy for market-beating returns is Pushpay. The donor management system provider has just released its full year results and revealed a stunning ~1,500% increase in EBITDAF in FY 2020, The good news is that more strong growth is expected over the next 12 months, with management aiming to double its EBITDAF in FY 2021. But it isn’t about to rest on its laurels any time soon. The company has set itself a target of winning a 50% share of the medium and large church market. This represents a US$1 billion revenue opportunity for Pushpay. This compares to the operating revenue of US$127.5 million it recorded in FY 2020.

    And here is a fourth share which you could potentially double your money with this decade. No wonder this leading analyst is urging investors to go all in with it.

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

    What it offers is an utterly unique strategy to position yourself to potentially profit alongside some of the world’s biggest and most powerful tech companies.

    Potential returns of 1X, 2X and even 3X are all in play. Best of all, you could hold onto this little-known equity for DECADES to come

    Simply click here to see how you can find out the name of this ‘all in’ buy alert… before the next stock market rally.

    Find out the name of Scott’s ‘All in’ Buy Alert

    Returns as of 6/5/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended PUSHPAY FPO NZX. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • These ASX 200 shares just crashed to multi-year lows

    On Thursday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) followed the lead of U.S. markets and sank notably lower.

    While the majority of ASX shares tumbled lower with the market, some fell more than most.

    Three ASX 200 shares that hit multi-year lows are listed below. Here’s why they are down in the dumps:

    Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ)

    The Bank of Queensland share price sank to a 20-year low of $4.51 on Thursday. Weakness in the banking sector, a dilutive capital raising, the deferral of its dividend, and a weak half year result have all weighed heavily on Bank of Queensland this year. In respect to its results, the regional bank posted half year cash earnings after tax of $151 million. This was down 10% on the prior corresponding period. Judging by its share price performance, investors appear to believe things will get worse before they get better because of the pandemic.

    Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE)

    The Orocobre share price dropped to a multi-year low of $1.82 yesterday. This lithium miner has been sold off again this year due to weak prices of the battery making ingredient and the forced shutdown of its Argentinian operations during the pandemic. Unfortunately for Orocobre and its peers, many analysts believe that a recovery in the lithium price has been pushed back because of the crisis. This could mean another difficult 12 months for Orocobre.

    Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (ASX: URW)

    The Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield share price tumbled to an all-time low of $3.65 on Thursday. This latest decline means the shopping centre operator’s shares have lost 68% of their value of the last 12 months. Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield’s shares have come under significant pressure during the pandemic because the majority of its shopping centres have been forced to close. In addition to this, it has warned that it is difficult to judge the impact on the contractual obligations of its retailers and to estimate the effect of any case-by-case support measures it may offer tenants.

    Neither of those shares strike me as attractive buys right now, so I would sooner buy these dirt cheap shares instead. They look like true bargain buys after the market crash.

    5 cheap stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes are the 5 cheapest and best stocks to buy right now.

    Courtesy of the crashing stock market, these 5 companies are suddenly trading at significant discounts to their recent highs… creating what could be incredible opportunities for bargain-hungry investors.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares to buy now… before the next stock market rally.

    See the 5 stocks

    Returns as of 7/4/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Forget CBA and buy these top ASX dividend shares

    While I think that Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) would be a good option for income investors, not everyone is keen on the banks right now.

    For those investors, I have picked out three non-bank dividend shares which I think would be good alternatives.

    Here’s why I like them:

    BWP Trust (ASX: BWP)

    The first dividend share to consider buying is BWP. It is a real estate investment trust with a focus on warehouses. Most of its warehouses are leased to hardware giant Bunnings, which is owned by Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES). I think Bunnings is arguably the highest quality retailer in the country and likely to stay in its warehouses for the long term. As a result, I believe BWP’s earnings are very defensive and it is well-placed to grow its distribution in the future. At present I estimate that it offers investors a 5.2% yield.

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

    This supermarket giant could be a great alternative to the banks. Unlike the banks, it appears well-placed to continue its sales growth whatever economic conditions it is facing. In addition to this, with the company aiming to strip out costs materially and embrace new technologies, I expect its margins to improve over the next decade and support solid earnings and dividends growth. In FY 2021 I estimate that its shares will provide investors with a fully franked dividend yield of 4.2%.

    Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD)

    A final option for income investors to consider is Sydney Airport. Although I suspect its dividends may be limited in 2020 due to the material decline in passenger numbers, I believe they will both bounce back in 2021 and 2022. This could make it worth being patient and buying shares with a long term view. A recent note out of Goldman Sachs reveals that it expects Sydney Airport to pay a 27 cents per share distribution in FY 2021 and then a more normal 37 cents per share distribution in FY 2022. This represents a 4.9% and 6.7% yield, respectively.

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all time high and paying a 6.7% grossed up dividend

    The name of this dividend dynamo and the full investment case is revealed in this brand new free report.

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    *Returns as of 7/4/20

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET and Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Xero share price a buy?

    xero share price

    Is the Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price a buy? Investors didn’t think so yesterday as the Xero share price dropped 4.8% in reaction to the FY20 result.

    Xero FY20 result

    I thought the FY20 report was actually good from Xero, it’s just that investors were seemingly expecting even more from the result and outlook.

    Xero reported that free cash flow increased by 320% to NZ$27.1 million. Net profit after tax (NPAT) came in at $3.3 million, an improvement from the NZ$27.1 million loss in FY19. As free cash flow grows it should mean investors are more willing to pay for a higher Xero share price over time.

    Total subscribers rose by 26% to 2.285 million and average revenue per user increased by 2% to NZ$29.93. Operating revenue increased by 30% to NZ$718 million. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) rose by 88% to NZ$137.7 million.

    One of the most attractive parts to me was that the gross margin increased from 83.6% to 85.2%.

    Subscriber number growth was good across the world. North American subscribers grew 24% to 241,000, UK subscribers grew 32% to 613,000, Australian subscribers grew by 26% to 914,000, New Zealand subscribers rose 12% to 392,000 and the rest of the world subscribers rose by 51% to 125,000.

    Is the Xero share price a buy?

    Xero said that whilst FY20 was strong, trading in early FY21 has been impacted by the coronavirus. Uncertainty meant it would be speculative for the company to say anything else about FY21 expectations.

    However, the company did say that it still aims to be a long-term orientated, high-growth business. That’s a good sign, but obviously not surprising. 

    After a share price fall of 5% for Xero, I think it looks a bit better at under $80. The question will be how many businesses will permanently fold as a result of the coronavirus crisis. How many subscribers will Xero lose from its total?

    Keep in mind that the interest rate in Australia and New Zealand is now incredibly low. This should mean that growth is even more valuable. I’d be happy to buy a small parcel of Xero shares at this price, but I’d be wary about buying too much because of the high expectations built in at this level.

    I’d much rather buy these top ASX growth shares for my portfolio.

    5 cheap stocks that look like they could be great buys today

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading 40% off it’s all time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

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    Returns as of 7/4/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

    On Thursday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was out of form and sank notably lower. The benchmark index fell a disappointing 1.7% to 5,328.7 points.

    Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Friday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 set to rebound.

    The ASX 200 looks set to rebound from this decline on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the benchmark index is expected to jump 0.95% or 51 points at the open. This follows a wild night of trade on Wall Street which eventually saw the Dow Jones rise 1.6%, the S&P 500 climb 1.15%, and the Nasdaq push 0.9% higher.

    Big four banks to rise?

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and the rest of the big four banks could be on the rise today after their U.S. counterparts had a strong night of trade. Bank of America and JPMorgan climbed over 4%, whereas Citigroup ended the session 3.6% higher and Wells Fargo rose almost 7%.

    Oil prices rocket.

    It looks set to be a positive finish to the week for energy producers such as Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL). According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 10% to US$27.82 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price has jumped 7.5% to US$31.38 a barrel. A dip in U.S. stockpiles sent oil prices charging higher.

    Gold price jumps higher.

    Australian gold miners including Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) and Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR) could be on the rise today after another positive night for the gold price. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is up 1.4% to US$1,739.90 an ounce. Traders have been buying the precious metal amid concerns over recession and trade war risks.

    National Storage given sell rating.

    The National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR) share price could come under pressure today after Goldman Sachs slapped a sell rating on the storage giant’s shares. The broker expects higher unemployment and softer economic activity to lead to lower revenues in the medium term. Goldman Sachs has a $1.56 price target on the company’s shares.

    NEW! 5 Cheap Stocks With Massive Upside Potential

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer. One is a diversified conglomerate trading 40% off it’s all time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%… Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    YES! SEND ME THE FREE REPORT!

    Returns as of 7/4/2020

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Trump open to more stimulus, but not Democrats’ plan

    Trump open to more stimulus, but not Democrats' planWells Fargo Acting Chief Economist Jay Bryson joins Yahoo Finance’s Seana Smith to discuss how the coronavirus is impacting the economy as another 2.98 million people file for unemployment benefits.

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  • Bank of America’s $1 Billion Virus Bond Breaks New Ground for U.S. Banks

    Bank of America’s $1 Billion Virus Bond Breaks New Ground for U.S. Banks(Bloomberg) — Bank of America Corp. priced a $1 billion bond issue to fund Covid-19 relief efforts. It’s the first sale from a U.S. financial institution that explicitly links all proceeds to tackling the virus, Bloomberg data show.The Charlotte, North Carolina-based lender sold fixed-to-floating rate notes to fund investments addressing social issues related to the pandemic, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The bonds will yield 1.30 percentage points above Treasuries, said the person, who asked not to be identified as the details are private. Bank of America is sole manager of the bond sale.Borrowers globally have raised a record $102.6 billion of debt this year to combat the impact of the coronavirus. Chinese companies have issued the most so-called pandemic bonds, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Paraguay and South Korea’s Kookmin Bank last month sold debt in U.S. dollars for Covid relief.U.S. corporations are catching up. Pharmaceutical giant Pfizer Inc. issued a $1.25 billion sustainability bond to fund social and environmental impact endeavors, some of which may address the Covid-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, USAA Capital Corp. sold an $800 million sustainability bond to fund projects, which may include Covid-19 relief.Social and sustainability bond issuance is expected to nearly double this year to a new record as issuers take advantage of receptive capital markets to respond to the crisis, according to HSBC. Supply jumped 69% in the first quarter compared to the same period last year, according to HSBC, boosted by sales from the African Development Bank and International Finance Corporation.Schroders expects banks to become more active issuers of social bonds given capital relief they are getting from regulators in Europe, as well as incentives to lend to small and medium-sized companies.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Apple Acquires Startup NextVR that Broadcasts VR Content

    Apple Acquires Startup NextVR that Broadcasts VR Content(Bloomberg) — Apple Inc. confirmed it acquired NextVR, a startup that provides sports and other content for virtual-reality headsets.The acquisition may help Apple’s development of VR and AR headsets with accompanying software and content. NextVR supplies content to several existing VR headsets, including Facebook Inc.’s Oculus and devices from Sony Corp., HTC Corp. and Lenovo.NextVR has deals with sports leagues including the National Basketball Association and entertainment networks such as Fox Sports. The startup also has expertise in live streaming in virtual reality, which could also be useful for live concerts and games.The Newport Beach, California-based startup officially shut down this week, saying on its website that it is “heading in a new direction.” Apple said it buys smaller technology companies from time to time, and generally does not discuss its purpose or plans. It didn’t disclose a purchase price, but website 9to5Mac reported in April that Apple was in talks to buy NextVR for about $100 million.The deal is at least the third for Apple this year, following the purchase of Voysis, an Irish startup that focuses on voice technology, and Dark Sky, a popular weather app.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • 3 “Strong Buy” Penny Stocks With Triple-Digit Upside

    3 “Strong Buy” Penny Stocks With Triple-Digit UpsideGiven the troubling state of the U.S. economy, what’s driving the bullish sentiment on Wall Street? Stimulus.Among the bulls is chief investment strategist at CFRA, Sam Stovall, who estimates that the S&P 500 will hit 3,435 within a year. From current levels, this would reflect a double-digit gain, and come in above the 3,393 high-point posted on February 19. Back in March, he even went so far as to call for a new high in the third quarter, but since then he has updated his forecasts.“We’ve had a lot of people compare it with the Crash of ’29, the Depression of the 1930s, etc. But back then, you had the government actually tightening their reins, balancing their budget — you did not have a reactive Federal Reserve,” Stovall stated. He added, “Who’s to say we don’t go for a retest first? That’s a normal situation. However, I don’t think we’re going to get an even lower low because of the stimulus already injected into the system.”To this end, risk-tolerant investors are looking to take advantage of lower share prices, which present more attractive entry points. What’s the advantage of stocks with bargain price tags, specifically those trading for less than $5 per share? Should these names, which are deemed “penny stocks," experience even minor share price appreciation, it can translate to massive percentage gains.Therefore, huge returns are on the table, but penny stocks aren’t everyone’s cup of tea. Some argue that there could be a good reason they are trading at such low levels, and that the risk outweighs the potential rewards. Understanding the risk involved, we wanted to see if we could track down any compelling penny stocks in the healthcare space. Using TipRanks’ database, we pinpointed three that have received enough support from Wall Street analysts to earn a “Strong Buy” consensus rating. The cherry on top? All three of the tickers could double in the next year. Let’s dive in.Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MRNS)Focused on the development of neuropsychiatric therapeutics, Marinus is one of the top players in the orphan epileptic disorder space. Following a first quarter update on the company’s progress, Wall Street believes its long-term growth narrative is strong and that its $2.06 share price reflects the ideal entry point.As part of the update, management announced that the design and dosing for the RSE pivotal Phase 3 trial for its lead development candidate, ganaxolone (GNX), had been confirmed, with it set to begin in the third quarter. The co-primary endpoints for the trial are status cessation within 30 minutes and suppression for at least 24 hours, and it will be powered 90% to hopefully show 30% efficacy for GNX when compared to the placebo. Commenting for Oppenheimer, analyst Jay Olson said, “We view pivotal Phase 3 design as similar to positive Phase 2 trial while benefiting from longer dosing with 12 hours exposure vs. 8 hours prior. MRNS expects top-line data in the first half of 2022.”Additionally, the company finished enrolling participants for its CDD pivotal Phase 3 MARIGOLD trial, with the top-line data also slated for release in the third quarter. Olson argues that the discontinuation rate of less than 10% and high enrollment rate imply that tolerability levels are “favorable." The analyst added, “Pre-commercialization and NDA filing preparations remain on track despite COVID-19. We believe MRNS could have a substantial competitive advantage as a first mover.”If that wasn’t enough, Olson thinks the TSC Phase 2 open-label trial, which should start screening patients in Q2 and could see top-line data published in Q1 2021, could serve as a significant catalyst for shares. While COVID-19's impact on enrollment caused management to downsize the PRE Phase 3 VIOLET trial into a Phase 2 proof-of-concept trial in order to reprioritize resources, MRNS still has plenty going for it.“We view MRNS as well-positioned despite potential COVID-19 disruptions, with $77.8 million cash balance providing runway into 3Q21. We view MRNS's pipeline as attractive with multiple opportunities and several key near-term catalysts. We believe the current share price provides an attractive entry point,” Olson explained.To this end, Olson kept his Outperform call and $6 price target as is. Should this target be met, a twelve-month gain of 191% could be in store. (To watch Olson’s track record, click here) What does the rest of the Street think about Marinus’ long-term growth prospects? It turns out that other analysts also have high hopes. Only Buy ratings have been received in the last three months, so the consensus rating is a Strong Buy. In addition, the $5.50 average price target suggests 168% upside potential. (See Marinus stock analysis on TipRanks)Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS)With a diverse chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) product pipeline including direct antiviral, host targeting and immune-based approaches, Arbutus Biopharma wants to develop a cure for the condition. Currently going for $1.65 apiece, several members of the Street think now is the time to get on board as multiple catalysts are fast-approaching.On May 11, the company revealed that it plans to share further results from the week 12 portion of the 60 mg single-dose cohort evaluating its lead candidate, a GalNAc delivered RNAi compound, AB-729, in the second quarter of 2020.Five-star analyst Mayank Mamtani, of B.Riley FBR, points out that preliminary data from the Phase 1a/1b AB-729 HBV study showed an HBsAg reduction comparable to advanced RNAi peers, even though it enrolled difficult to treat e-antigen negative patients. As HBsAg reduction rose during the study, the analyst argues that this increases the chances of successful follow-up data.On top of this, ABUS has several ongoing preclinical studies that are progressing right on track, enabling it to advance its next-generation oral capsid inhibitor, AB-836, into the clinic in 2021. This goes hand in hand with the company’s research efforts to develop an oral HBV RNA-destabilizer and an oral anti-PD-L1 inhibitor. Expounding on this, Mamtani commented, “Building on learnings from the previously discontinued AB-506, AB-836 offers increased potency and an enhanced resistance profile with ongoing IND-enabling studies inclusive of a new assay to help better characterize the safety profile.” It should also be noted that ABUS is going to start working on a therapy for coronaviruses, specifically targeting RNA-dependent polymerase, nsp12, and viral protease, which play key roles in the replication and transcription cycle of COVID-19. Mamtani thinks this approach is promising as Gilead’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, remdesivir, is a nucleotide analog that binds nsp12, which inhibits viral proliferation and produces clinical benefits.Mamtani added, “Nsp12 has also been implicated in HCV, HIV, and, notably, HBV, areas in which ABUS has extensive antiviral development expertise. In concert with the biotech and pharma COVID-19 consortium, ABUS anticipates pooling resources along with leveraging primary screening and lead optimization capabilities to advance novel candidates against known and unknown targets, which works ideally as a pan coronavirus agent in order to also prepare for future outbreaks.”Based on all of the above, it’s no wonder Mamtani reiterated his bullish call. Given the $6 price target, shares could soar 253% in the next twelve months. (To watch Mamtani’s track record, click here)    Turning now to the rest of the Street, other analysts are on the same page. With 100% Street support, or 3 Buy ratings to be exact, the consensus is unanimous: ABUS is a Strong Buy. The $5 average price target brings the upside potential to 198.5%. (See Arbutus Biopharma stock analysis on TipRanks)Geron Corporation (GERN)Last but not least we have Geron, which is primarily focused on the development of imetelstat, a small molecule telomerase inhibitor active in the treatment of highly transfusion-dependent MDS and r/r myelofibrosis (MF). While it’s very likely that the company will experience some delays as a result of COVID-19, the Street cites its promising technology and bargain $1.36 share price as making it a compelling healthcare play.Some investors have expressed concern regarding GERN’s announcement that it won’t be able to complete enrollment for the Phase 3 IMerge trial by 2020 due to the impact of COVID-19. BTIG analyst Thomas Shrader acknowledges that the delay will push back imetelstat’s approval and launch, which he now thinks will come in 2024 instead of 2023. However, he argued, “Geron’s patients are as desperate as they come in r/r MDS and AML and we expect data to date leave physicians and patients highly motivated to find something to try.”Further explaining the MDS opportunity, Shrader believes the program demonstrates robust levels of durability. Not only does the five-star analyst call the 24-week RBC-TI rate “highly compelling”, but he also highlights the strong safety profile.Shrader said, “Greater than 90% of patients with neutropenias and thrombocytopenias had these AEs resolve prior to the next dose. This reversibility is in contrast to both HMAs and Revlimid where these toxicities result in drug interruptions. A KOL recently commented that the high 68% HI-E response suggests most patients receive some benefit – making any subsequent trials very easy to enroll.”It should be noted that previously, its IMbark trial had a 32% discontinuation rate thanks to lack of efficacy, but Shrader thinks “these discontinuations may have been premature due to the drug’s slow onset of action and its ‘black box nature’ during the trial.” He added, “Based on increased understanding of how imetelstat works and its promise as a therapeutic, this discontinuation rate is likely to be low in subsequent trials. Imetelstat seems likely to be used after luspatercept in RS+ MDS but could be the only drug after ESAs in other forms of the disease (including RS-).”With GERN working out the MF trial design and hoping to discuss the regulatory path forward with the FDA in Q2, the deal is sealed for Shrader. Along with a Buy rating, he did trim the price target from $4 to $3, but this still leaves room for 114% upside potential. (To watch Shrader’s track record, click here)All in all, other analysts echo Shrader’s sentiment. 3 Buys and no Holds or Sells add up to a Strong Buy consensus rating. Based on the $3.50 average price target, the upside potential comes in at 149%. (See Geron stock analysis on TipRanks)To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

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