Category: Stock Market

  • Oil Keeps Rising With Vaccine Test Adding to Demand Optimism

    Oil Keeps Rising With Vaccine Test Adding to Demand Optimism(Bloomberg) — Oil’s rally extended to a fourth day as a combination of recovering demand, production cuts and promising test results for a coronavirus vaccine brightened the outlook for energy prices.Futures in New York rose around 4% to past $33 a barrel after closing at the highest level in almost 10 weeks on Monday. The June contract expires Tuesday but a repeat of last month’s plunge below zero is highly unlikely. There were far higher trading volumes in the July contract, which advanced around 3%.Crude got an extra boost on Monday after American biotechnology company Moderna Inc. said its vaccine showed signs it can create an immune-system response to the virus, helping to spur broad financial market gains. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate’s front-month contract settled above the July contract for the first time since January, moving into a market structure known as backwardation that signals concerns over storage capacity have eased.Chinese oil use is almost back to pre-virus levels, while a jump in Indian fuel sales shows the worst may be over there as lockdown restrictions are eased. Italians were allowed to go back to restaurants and New York is set to open a sixth region as some of the hardest-hit areas in Europe and North America move ahead with restarting their economies.On the supply side, shale oil output from the U.S., the world’s biggest producer, is forecast to fall to the lowest since late 2018 next month, according to the Energy Information Administration. There’s also been a “stunning reversal” in OPEC+ shipments so far in May, data intelligence firm Kpler said, after the alliance’s deal to curb production kicked in at the beginning of the month.WTI for June delivery rose 4.1% to $33.12 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 8:27 a.m. in Singapore after closing up 8.1% on Monday. The more active July contract climbed 3.1% to $32.63. Brent for July settlement advanced 2.4% to $35.65 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.Chinese oil demand has recovered to about 13 million barrels a day, according to executives and traders who monitor the country’s consumption. That’s just shy of the 13.4 million barrels a day in May 2019 and 13.7 million barrels a day in December. The overall number would be higher were it not for jet-fuel demand, which is still running well below a year’s ago level, they said.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • This ASX 200 tech share is sinking 5% lower after its half year update

    red arrow pointing down, falling share price

    The TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) share price has come under pressure today following the release of its half year update.

    At the time of writing the enterprise software company’s shares are down 5% to $9.34.

    This compares to a strong 2% gain by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) this morning.

    How did TechnologyOne perform in the first half?

    For the six months ended March 31, TechnologyOne reported a 6% increase in revenue to $138.4 million and a 6% lift in profit after tax to $19.1 million. This result was underpinned by continuing strong demand for its SaaS ERP Solution.

    Speaking of which. At the end of March the company’s SaaS Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) stood at $110.2 million, up 33% on the prior corresponding period.

    This ARR growth was driven largely by an increase in the number of large-scale enterprise SaaS customers. They have increased 22% over the last 12 months to 475. Pleasingly, management advised that the SaaS business continues to grow during the current pandemic.

    Growing at an even quicker rate was its cash flow generation. TechnologyOne more than doubled its cash flow to $9.9 million during the half. This led to its cash and cash equivalents lifting 23% to $84 million.

    In light of this and its confidence in its near term outlook, the company’s board has declared an interim dividend of 3.47 cents per share. This represents a 10% increase on last year’s interim dividend.

    Outlook.

    Unlike countless other companies, TechnologyOne has been able to provide guidance for the full year.

    TechnologyOne’s CEO, Edward Chung, revealed that it has a strong pipeline and a high proportion of locked in recurring revenues. As a result, he is confident the company is well positioned to deliver continuing strong growth over the full year.

    He commented: “TechnologyOne is well positioned, as the markets we serve are generally resilient. Our global SaaS ERP solution is mission critical to the markets we serve, and also enables any device, any time access from anywhere around the world.”

    In light of this, the chief executive expects the company’s FY 2020 net profit before tax to increase 8% to 12% year on year.

    Foolish Takeaway.

    While growth in the current environment is clearly a big positive, I suspect the market was looking for stronger guidance given the premium its shares trade at. Based on its last close price, its shares were trading at 52x trailing earnings this morning.

    Instead of TechnologyOne, these dirt cheap shares might be the ones to buy right now…

    5 cheap stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes are the 5 cheapest and best stocks to buy right now.

    Courtesy of the crashing stock market, these 5 companies are suddenly trading at significant discounts to their recent highs… creating what could be incredible opportunities for bargain-hungry investors.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 ASX 200 dividend shares I’d buy today

    business men digging up dollar sign

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dividend shares can be great sources of income. Share prices are a lot lower at the moment because of the coronavirus, which is boosting the potential dividend yields on offer.

    If you’re after income there’s not much point having cash in the bank or bonds these days. It’s probably earning less than 1%.

    But ASX 200 dividend shares could be the answer. They’re large enough to be able to get through a difficult period, but small enough to have plenty of growth potential.

    ASX 200 dividend share 1: Brickworks Limited (ASX: BKW)

    Brickworks has a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.3%. The diversified property business has maintained or grown its dividend every year for over 40 years. That’s a great ASX 200 dividend share record.

    Australia has had a strong economy for a few decades, so obviously a construction company was going to do well during that period too. The current times are difficult for Brickworks’ building products divisions in Australia and the US, but construction will return to normal in the future.

    In the meantime it’s Brickworks’ other assets that can continue to fund the dividend and hold up Brickworks’ valuation. Those assets are an ‘investments’ division and a 50% stake of an industrial property trust. Very defensive with reliable pretty cashflow. 

    Share 2: Tassal Group Ltd (ASX: TGR)

    Tassal has a trailing grossed-up dividend yield of 6.8%. The diversified fish business has both salmon farms and prawn farms under its belt now. The company is always trying to improve how it farms, improve its biomass and increase consumption of fish by the public.

    Its operating earnings have been steadily growing in previous years which has supported a solid dividend.

    Healthy food will continue to be important during this period, so I think Tassal is a solid alternative ASX 200 dividend share candidate to provide reliable income during this.

    Share 3: Amcor Plc (ASX: AMC)

    The global packaging business is one of the limited ASX 200 businesses to expect profit to increase during this coronavirus period.

    Amcor has already been one of the best ASX 200 dividend shares over the best decade with regular dividend growth. It’s expected to increase its dividend again this year. It has an (analyst) projected 2021 dividend yield of just over 5%.

    Foolish takeaway

    All three of these ASX 200 dividend shares have promising long-term potential for growth and income. At the current prices I’d probably go for Brickworks. If you take the non-construction assets at book value, you get the construction side of the business for free essentially. That sounds good to me.

    But there are other top ASX dividend shares out there. I’d want to get onto the below share for income.

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed-up dividend.

    The name of this dividend dynamo and the full investment case is revealed in this brand new free report.

    But you will have to hurry — history has shown it can pay dividends to get in early to some of Edward’s stock picks, and this dividend stock is already on the move.

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Amcor Limited and Brickworks. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How you can get very rich with ASX 200 shares

    Wealthy man with money raining down

    I believe that buying shares and holding onto them for the long term is one of the most efficient ways of building wealth.

    This is because buy and hold investing allows investors to benefit from compound interest. This is essentially interest on top of interest or returns on top of returns when it comes to shares.

    A $1,000 investment earning a 10% return will be worth $1,100 after one year, but almost $2,600 after 10 years.

    And then if we look even further into the future, this single investment becomes almost $120,000 in 50 years if you continue to earn the same level of return.

    With that in mind, here are a few top shares which I think would make great buy and hold investments. They are as follows:

    Appen Ltd (ASX: APX)

    The first share to consider buying and holding is Appen. It is a leading developer of high-quality, human annotated datasets for the machine learning and artificial intelligence markets. Due to the growing importance of machine learning and artificial intelligence, these markets are expected to continue growing materially in the future. I expect this to underpin strong earnings growth over the next 10 years.

    Nanosonics Ltd (ASX: NAN)

    This pandemic has shown us just how important infection control is. I believe this bodes well for Nanosonics’ industry-leading trophon EPR disinfection system for ultrasound probes. In addition to this, the company is planning to launch several new products in the near future which have similar addressable markets. All in all, I feel Nanosonics is well-positioned to be a market beater over the next decade and beyond.

    SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK)

    Another share to consider buying with a long term view is this job listings giant. The pandemic will certainly put a lot of pressure on job listings in the near term, but I expect listings to recover once the crisis passes. Looking ahead, SEEK is aiming to grow its revenues to $5 billion later this decade. This will be a big increase on the revenue of $1,537.3 million it recorded in FY 2019.

    And here are five dirt cheap ASX shares which analysts expect to rebound very strongly when the crisis passes…

    NEW! 5 Cheap Stocks With Massive Upside Potential

    Our experts at The Motley Fool have just released a FREE report detailing 5 shares you can buy now to take advantage of the much cheaper share prices on offer.

    One is a diversified conglomerate trading 40% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a <strong>significant discount</strong> to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

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    James Mickleboro owns shares of SEEK Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Nanosonics Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nanosonics Limited and SEEK Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How to invest $10,000 in ASX 200 shares today

    hand reaching out to bullseye target, invest in shares, asx 200 shares

    ASX 200 shares have had a rocky start to the year. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 16.17% in 2020 with the coronavirus pandemic and an oil price war hitting share prices hard.

    However, we could be at a turning point in global markets. OPEC+ have slashed their daily oil production by around 10%, while US markets stormed higher overnight on the back of optimism surrounding a possible conronavirus vaccine.

    So, what’s a good way to invest some spare cash in the market right now?

    How to invest $10,000 in ASX 200 shares today

    I think it’s important to invest in high-quality companies for the long-term. However, I get that it’s not easy to just ignore all the short-term share price movements in the meantime. 

    I believe CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) could be a smart, long-term choice for investing $10,000 today. It’s the largest ASX 200 share by market capitalisation and is worth $139 billion right now. The biotech giant is looking to develop a potentially lifesaving plasma-derived treatment for people with COVID-19. Other than these short-term efforts, I also think CSL has a great business model overall.

    It’s a leader in blood plasma treatment and biotechnology with a strong business moat. The CSL share price is trading at over $300 per share which is a testament to its long-term success since listing in 1994 at a stock-split-adjusted $0.766 per share. It’s hard to bet against the ASX 200 healthcare share given its track record and strong research and development pipeline.

    CSL aside, I also like another Aussie large-cap share right now. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares have crashed lower in 2020 with investors selling off ASX bank shares in droves. 

    The CBA share price is down 24.97% since the start of the year thanks to the COVID-19 shutdown. There are fears for what the economic impact of the pandemic will be for Aussie businesses and their lenders. We’ve seen ASX 200 bank shares fall after announcing billions of dollars of impairments this year despite unprecedented government stimulus measures.

    However, I think the CBA share price could be another way to successfully invest $10,000 today. The bank is a key pillar of the Aussie economy and could emerge with a refined business model and strong risk measures. This means CBA could be a leaner, stronger ASX 200 bank share that can churn out consistent profits in the decades ahead.

    If you’re after another strong dividend share like CBA, check out this top income pick for a great price today!

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed-up dividend.

    The name of this dividend dynamo and the full investment case is revealed in this brand new free report.

    But you will have to hurry — history has shown it can pay dividends to get in early to some of Edward’s stock picks, and this dividend stock is already on the move.

    See the top dividend stock for 2020

    More reading

    Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Should you invest $1,000 in Woodside Petroleum shares?

    oil price increase

    Woodside Petroleum Ltd (ASX: WPL) shares have been smashed in 2020. The ASX 200 oil share is down 37% in 2020 (at the time of writing) amid an oil price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.

    But is Woodside going to keep falling lower or is it a good place to invest $1,000 right now?

    Why are Woodside Petroleum shares falling lower?

    The coronavirus pandemic has hit ASX 200 shares hard, but ASX energy shares have had something else to worry about. Tensions have been heightened between OPEC+ and Russia in 2020. The ongoing stand-off between the world’s largest oil producers has led to oversupply and even sent the oil price negative in May.

    Woodside Petroleum shares have been smashed in response and Australia’s largest oil and gas producer has shed billions in value. However, there could be light at the end of the tunnel for Woodside and its shareholders.

    There are signs of slowing oil supply in the world. OPEC+ has delivered oil production cuts which could help support global crude oil prices. The global alliance will trim supply by 9.7 million barrels per day or roughly a 10% cut to current levels.

    That’s good news for the Woodside Petroleum share price. Higher oil prices are good for producers as they realise a higher average sale price. For shareholders, that could mean higher earnings and strong dividends.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Woodside?

    ASX energy shares are struggling right now. Woodside is being hit particularly hard despite slashing jobs to try and conserve cash amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

    If you want to invest $1,000 in Woodside Petroleum shares, it could turn out to be a great investment. However, I think it would have to be part of a highly diversified ASX share portfolio. ASX energy shares like Woodside are volatile at the moment and no one knows how geopolitics will play out in the current environment.

    That means Woodside Petroleum shares could fall lower before they recover in the long-term. I don’t think I’m willing to buy just yet, but a 37% share price decline is certainly tempting to any value investor.

    If you’re after another ASX share with strong growth prospects, check out this top pick with an all-in buy alert today!

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

    What it offers is an utterly unique strategy to position yourself to potentially profit alongside some of the world’s biggest and most powerful tech companies.

    Potential returns of 1X, 2X and even 3X are all in play. Best of all, you could hold onto this little-known equity for DECADES to come.

    Simply click here to see how you can find out the name of this ‘all in’ buy alert… before the next stock market rally.

    Find out the name of Scott’s ‘All in’ Buy Alert

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Fed Chair Powell testifies, Walmart, Home Depot, Kohl’s report earnings: What to know in markets Tuesday

    Fed Chair Powell testifies, Walmart, Home Depot, Kohl's report earnings: What to know in markets TuesdayThe spotlight Tuesday will be on earnings from retail heavyweights Walmart, Home Depot and Kohl’s and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill.

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  • Strategist Expects Gold, Silver To Gain As Pandemic Panic Subsides

    Strategist Expects Gold, Silver To Gain As Pandemic Panic SubsidesGold and silver prices rallied Monday amid market strength as news from a Moderna Inc (NASDAQ: MRNA) trial stoked optimism about a potential coronavirus vaccine. On Monday, June gold futures were trading at $1,733 and July Comex silver prices were at $17.39 per ounce."Gold and gold stocks had a strong month, recovering all of their March losses and moving to long-term highs," Joe Foster, portfolio manager and strategist at VanEck, said in a note.Hedging With Gold As the pandemic market panic subsides, investors are trying to gauge the risks and opportunities in a world that carries a level of uncertainty that only those with memories of the Great Depression and World War II have experienced, the VanEck strategist said. "Continued strong inflows to bullion exchange traded products along with strong demand for retail coins indicates both institutions and individuals are turning to gold as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty," Foster said. On April 9, gold jumped $40 per ounce when the U.S. Federal Reserve unveiled its $2.3-trillion program to aid local governments and small- and mid-sized businesses."It [gold] went on to a new seven-year high of $1,747 per ounce on 14 April, then consolidated its gains around the $1,700 level. Gold ended the month at $1,686 per ounce for a $109 (6.9%) gain," he said. Banks 'Can't Arbitrarily Print' Gold The trillions being injected into the economy via quantitative easing alongside monetary and fiscal stimuli devalues and debases paper currency, said Bryan Slusarchuk, CEO of Fosterville South Exploration. "Gold is the only currency that central banks can't arbitrarily print more of, and as such it is the only currency that acts with stability during a time of crisis," he said. With more and more paper currency in circulation, the currencies become inherently worth less and less, the CEO said. Price Action The SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) was down 0.57% at $163 at the time of publication Monday, while the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) was down 1.56% at $36.Related Links:Barrick Gold Reports Q2 Earnings BeatMining Sector Hit By Coronavirus Lockdowns, Silver Production WallopedLatest Ratings for GLD DateFirmActionFromTo Apr 2013Oracle Investment ResearchInitiates Coverage onStrong Buy Apr 2013Oracle Investment ResearchInitiates Coverage onStrong Buy View More Analyst Ratings for GLD View the Latest Analyst Ratings See more from Benzinga * Gold Analyst Says Rally Is Short-Term, Prices Will Recede To ,600 By Year's End(C) 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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  • This is the latest ASX 200 stock to unveil double digit profit growth

    blocks trending up

    The James Hardie Industries plc (ASX: JHX) share price will be in the spotlight this morning after it unveiled a rise in earnings and sales despite the turmoil from the COVID-19 pandemic.

    The building materials group demonstrated again why it’s my top pick of the sector with CSR Limited (ASX: CSR) in second spot after it posted a better than expected result last week.

    Expanding margins

    But today belongs to James Hardie with management announcing a 17% increase in adjusted net operating profit of US$352.8 million for the year ended March 31, 2020.

    Its adjusted earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) expanded by 20% to US$486.8 million while revenue increased 4% to US$2.61 billion.

    This implies a much-improved margin that’s helped by its Lean manufacturing initiative, while its US operations were a standout.

    US driving growth despite COVID-19

    “I am particularly pleased with the outstanding North America performance, as we continued to grow above market while delivering exceptional returns,” said James Hardie chief executive Jack Truong.

    “Underpinning our success in North America was 11% volume growth in the exterior business coupled with sustained volume growth of 5% in the interior business.”

    US construction activity was already showing signs of weakness before the coronavirus outbreak. The pandemic further impacted on the sector with sector peer Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) looking worse for wear from the fallout.

    There’s speculation that Boral may be forced to do a heavily discounted capital raising too, according to the Australian Financial Review.

    Need for capital raising?

    But there’s little worry that James Hardie will need to intrusively tap shareholders on the shoulder. While the group cancelled its final dividend to shore up capital, its liquidity position improved significantly in the fourth quarter.

    Its cash pile increased from US$464 million at 31 December 2019 to US$510 million at 31 March 2020 and US$578 million at the end of last month.

    Off to a good start in FY21

    Interestingly, James Hardie commented that March was a cracker month with double-digit sales growth in all of its regions even though COVID-19 was already creating havoc around the world.

    “In the fourth quarter, our Asia Pacific segment delivered good financial returns with revenue up 2% and Adjusted EBIT growth of 4% in local currency at an Adjusted EBIT margin of 20.5%,” added Dr Truong.

    “Our Europe Building Products segment delivered strong revenue growth of 7% in Euros in the quarter, led by fiber cement growth of 50% and fiber gypsum growth of 3%.”

    Europe is clearly the Achilles’ heel but at least its growing. The only downside to the results is the outlook.

    Forecasting for more uncertainty

    Management declined to offer any earnings guidance due to the volatility and uncertainty created by the global catastrophe.

    James Hardie won’t be alone in not providing any specifics but this will keep investors on their toes as we have not seen the worst of the economic recession.

    The only figures that management were willing to put in the open was its North America segment Adjusted EBIT margin. This is expected to range between 22% and 27% for FY21 compared with 25.3% in the March quarter.

    Given the wide range, that doesn’t say very much in my view.

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

    What it offers is an utterly unique strategy to position yourself to potentially profit alongside some of the world’s biggest and most powerful tech companies.

    Potential returns of 1X, 2X and even 3X are all in play. Best of all, you could hold onto this little-known equity for DECADES to come.

    Simply click here to see how you can find out the name of this ‘all in’ buy alert… before the next stock market rally.

    Find out the name of Scott’s ‘All in’ Buy Alert

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of James Hardie Industries plc. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

    The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Are Xero shares a top long-term buy?

    Cyber technology and software image

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) released its FY 2020 annual results last Thursday morning, with the initial market reaction being quite negative. The online accounting software provider for small businesses saw a 10.4% share price drop by the close of trade last Friday. However, Xero regained some of those losses on Monday, with its share price up by 2.4% to close the day at $77.15.

    So, was this unfavourable initial market reaction justified, and does Xero offer a good long-term buying opportunity to investors?

    Before we address theses issues, lets first analyse Xero’s recent top-level results.

    Another strong full year set of numbers

    Xero delivered another strong annual result, with revenue increasing by 30% to NZ$718.2 million for the 12 months ending 31 March 2020, with annualised monthly recurring revenue (AMRR) also growing strongly by 29%. This impressive result was driven by a 2% increase in average revenue per user and a 26% lift in subscribers to 2.285 million.

    Also, pleasingly, Xero’s gross margin market continues to expand due to its increasing economies of scale, increasing by 1.6% to 85.2%. This contributed to Xero achieving its first ever full year net profit, which came in at NZ$3.34 million, compared to a loss of NZ$27.14 million a year earlier. Xero’s earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation result was also impressive, growing strongly by 52% to NZ$139.17 million.

    In terms of geographic performance, its Australian, UK, North American and ‘Rest of the World’ segments all performed strongly. Australia grew its subscriber base by 24%, UK by 32%, North America by 24% and the rest of the world by 51%. Of particular note was the accelerating subscriber growth in the US market, with its US subscriber base now reaching 241,000.

    The impact to Xero’s overall results by the coronavirus was minimal, however as its results only include the period up to 31 March, only the initial impact of the pandemic was reflected in Xero’s financial and subscriber performance. There was with a slight reduction in AMMR during the month of March, and since then there has been further AMMR reduction, as the impact of the pandemic intensified.

    Did the market initially overreact?

    Overall, I believe that this was a very strong result for Xero and I think that the market initially was too harsh on what I see as continued strong growth across all geographic regions. In particular, I was pleased to see a strong and increasing gross margin, and the achievement of positive net profit for the first time, as the benefits of increasing economies of scale are now really starting to kick in.

    Are Xero shares a long-term buy?

    Despite the potential further impact by the coronavirus in the months ahead, and its share price no longer looking cheap, I believe that Xero still has a long runway for growth ahead of it over the next decade. I think it is worthy of consideration for your share portfolio.

    Small businesses are increasingly turning towards Xero to manage their entire business, not just their finances. Although competition could increase over the next few years, especially from US rival Intuit Inc, I believe that there still are strong growth opportunities for Xero to tap into across all of its operating markets, especially in North America and its other operating markets outside of Australia and New Zealand.

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    Phil Harpur owns shares of Xero. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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