Category: Stock Market

  • How many Australians receive dividend income in retirement?

    Woman holding $50 notes with a delighted face.

    More than two million Australians are receiving dividend income in retirement, new data suggests.

    This dividend income comes from either their superannuation or directly held ASX shares or international equities like US shares.

    The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) recently published its Retirement and Retirement Intentions report, which documents all of the income sources for Australia’s 4.2 million retirees in FY23.

    Let’s take a look at the numbers.

    Superannuation is the second biggest source of income for retirees overall, behind the age pension.

    The ABS report found that superannuation was a source of income for 1,655,500 retirees or 39.6% of the retired population.

    It was the main source of income for a large percentage of this group at 1,119,400 retirees, or 26.8%.

    The ABS data does not delineate how many retirees’ superannuation funds are invested in dividend shares. But it’s a fair bet many of those super funds have at least some monies allocated to shares.

    Apart from the 100% cash option, the most conservative superannuation strategy offered by most funds still allocates about 30% of monies to shares and property, according to moneysmart.gov.au.

    ASX dividend shares, which are typically large, well-established companies like the major banks, are popular investments for retirees not only because they deliver reliable passive income but also because of our unique franking credits regime in Australia.

    Franking credits can be used by any investor — retired or not — to offset their tax liabilities. But if the value of your franking credits exceeds your tax liability, you can receive a cash refund.

    This is a common scenario for retirees because the taxable component of their incomes is typically low.

    This is because income streams from superannuation are usually tax-free, and as the ABS data shows, a large portion of retirees rely on superannuation for at least part of their retirement income.

    Thus, the tax retirees have to pay on their other investment income, such as property rent, may be less than the value of their franking credits. So, they get a refund.

    The ABS data also showed that many retirees receive dividend income from directly owned shares investments outside superannuation.

    The ABS groups this dividend income together with interest from cash savings.

    It found that dividends or interest were a source of income for 347,300 people or 8.3% of retirees.

    Dividends or interest were the main source of income for 123,500 retirees, or 3% of retirees.

    According to Super Guide, the most popular ASX stock held by Australia’s 616,400 self-managed superannuation funds (SMSFs) is BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), which is a renowned dividend payer. Other popular holdings include National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC).

    The ABS data also looked at how many retirees receive rental income from an investment property.

    Rent was a source of income for 189,900 retirees or 4.4% of the retired community.

    It was the main source of income for 100,800 retirees or 2.4%.

    The post How many Australians receive dividend income in retirement? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Maximise Your Super before June 30: Uncover 5 Strategies Most Aussies Overlook!

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 3 under the radar ASX shares to buy this month

    A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.

    Sometimes there can be great investment opportunities hidden in plain sight.

    Three such examples could be the ASX shares in this article.

    They may not get much attention from investors, but they could generate good returns for them according to analysts at Bell Potter.

    Here’s what the broker is saying about these under the radar shares:

    Australian Foundation Investment Co Ltd (ASX: AFI)

    Bell Potter thinks that this investment company could be a great option for investors.

    It has recently spoken very highly about the company’s investment strategy and appears to believe it will underpin great returns for investors. It said:

    Australian Foundation Investment Co is a closed end fund investing predominantly in Australian and New Zealand equities. The investment philosophy seeks to identify well-priced priced companies by considering: (1) the uniqueness of assets, brands and footprints; (2) long-term sustainability characteristics, return on invested capital and the ability to grow or maintain market share; (3) recurring revenues and the likelihood of consistent earnings for shareholders; (4) confidence in the pedigree of the Board and management team; and (5) lowly geared balance sheets. The long-term buy-and-hold approach results in a low level of capital gains tax payable, and the provision of internal investment resourcing keeps the cost base low with scale (0.14% MER).

    Bell Potter has a buy rating and $7.72 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 7.2%. A 3.2% dividend yield is also expected by the broker.

    IPD Group Ltd (ASX: IPG)

    Another under the radar ASX share for investors to look at buying is IPD Group. It is a leading distributor of electrical equipment and industrial digital technologies.

    Bell Potter believes that the company is well-placed to benefit from the electrification trend. It explains:

    We view IPG as a high-quality play on the electrification growth trend which is emerging as a dominant market narrative. Our favourable investment thesis is based on three key points: (1) product volumes being driven by refurbishment/ upgrade of existing infrastructure and by virtue of relatively low demand risk; (2) IPD’s large turnaround opportunity with a globally leading manufacturer in ABB (market share in Australia of 5-10% compares to Europe of 20-30%); and (3) IPD’s electric vehicle charging opportunity reaching a tipping point in FY24e. Australia is set for a $650m public fast charging investment cycle by 2027 and IPD is engaged with a number of players who we expect to lead this transition (e.g. service station chains and network operators).

    Bell Potter has a buy rating and $5.60 price target on its shares. This suggests that upside of 31% is possible over the next 12 months.

    Regal Partners Ltd (ASX: RPL)

    A third ASX share that could be flying under the radar is Regal Partners. It was formed in 2022 following the merger of Regal Funds Management and VGI Partners.

    Regal Partners manages a broad range of investment strategies covering long/short equities, private markets, real and natural assets, and credit and royalties on behalf of institutions, family offices, charitable groups, and private investors.

    Bell Potter believes the company’s positive performance and outlook is not reflected in its share price. It said:

    In recent years the firm has expanded rapidly through strong investment performance, net flows into its funds, launches of new funds, and the acquisition or merger with VGI Partners, PM Capital and Taurus. We continue to favour RPL, given its strong organic & inorganic growth potential, and entrepreneurial culture. In the last six months, and following the recent acquisition of PM Capital and Taurus (50%), the firm has shown an acceleration of inflows, strong investment performance (which will give rise to performance fees) and success in marketing new funds. We feel this strong performance is not reflected in the share price and see considerable upside.

    The broker has a buy rating and $4.02 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 11% for investors. It is also forecasting a ~4.7% dividend yield.

    The post 3 under the radar ASX shares to buy this month appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Australian Foundation Investment Company Limited right now?

    Before you buy Australian Foundation Investment Company Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Australian Foundation Investment Company Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Ipd Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Ipd Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Where could the Pilbara Minerals share price be in 12 months?

    A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.

    The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has just endured another red day.

    The lithium miner’s shares ended the session 2.5% lower at $3.32.

    This latest decline means that that lithium giant’s shares are now down 30% over the last 12 months.

    It also leaves them trading within sight of their 52-week low of $3.10 and a long way from their 52-week high of $5.43.

    But what about the next 12 months? Could things be better for the Pilbara Minerals’ share price and its shareholders? Let’s find out.

    Where could the Pilbara Minerals share price be in 12 months?

    Firstly, the main driver of the company’s share price performance from here will be the lithium price.

    If the price of the white metal rebounds strongly, then its shares could hurtle higher. However, the general consensus is that lithium will be staying lower for the foreseeable future.

    As a result, the broker community is feeling reasonably apathetic about the Pilbara Minerals share price right now.

    For example, in the bear corner, Goldman Sachs is currently tipping its shares as a sell with a $2.80 price target. This implies potential downside of almost 16% for investors from current levels.

    UBS is feeling a touch more bearish and has a sell rating and $2.70 price target on its shares, which suggests that they could fall almost 19%.

    But there’s reason for optimism.

    Value could be emerging

    The Pilbara Minerals share price has fallen so much recently that some neutral brokers are now seeing a lot of value emerging. This could be good news for its shares over the next 12 months.

    One of those brokers is Macquarie. Last month, its analysts reaffirmed their neutral rating and $4.20 price target on the company’s shares.

    This price target implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors from current levels. That’s better than the potential returns on offer with some buy-rated shares!

    It is a similar story at Morgans. Although the broker downgraded the Pilbara Minerals share price to a hold rating in April, its price target of $4.10 is now materially higher than where its shares trade. So much so, investors would generate a 23% return if its shares were to rise to that level.

    Unfortunately, it is impossible to say with certainty where the lithium giant’s share price will be in 12 months. But there’s certainly potential for it to be meaningfully higher than where it trades today. But conversely, as you can see above, it could also be materially lower. Time will ultimately tell which brokers have made the right call.

    The post Where could the Pilbara Minerals share price be in 12 months? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Pilbara Minerals Limited right now?

    Before you buy Pilbara Minerals Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Pilbara Minerals Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

    Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) seemed to turn a corner this Thursday, ending the brutal two-day losing streak that the Australian share market had been on this short trading week.

    By the close of trading today, the ASX 200 had added a healthy 0.44%. That leaves the index at 7,749.7 points.

    This much-needed recovery for the ASX comes after a decent session over on the US markets overnight.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: DJI) had a stingy session, slipping by 0.091%.

    However, the Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) was in fine form, galloping 1.53% higher.

    But time now to return to the ASX and have a gander at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Thursday.

    Winners and losers

    It was almost all smiles on the stock market today, with only two sectors recording a red session.

    The worst of those was the energy sector. The S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) was left out in the cold, shedding 0.64% of its value.

    Mining shares also had a rough time. The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) was sent down by 0.48% by the time trading wrapped up.

    But all other sectors had a great time of it.

    Most of all, tech stocks. The S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) was on fire, surging by 2.14%.

    Healthcare shares were high in demand as well, with the S&P/ASX 200 Healthcare Index (ASX: XHJ) soaring 1.6%.

    Real estate investment trusts (REITs) weren’t too far off that. The S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index (ASX: XPJ) sprinted 1.28% higher this Thursday.

    Communications stocks performed similarly, with the S&P/ASX 200 Communication Services Index (ASX: XTJ) banked a gain of 1.03%.

    Consumer discretionary shares were running hot too, as you can see from the S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index (ASX: XDJ)’s 0.94% rise

    Utilities stocks had a fantastic time of it as well. The S&P/ASX 200 Utilities Index (ASX: XUJ) received a 0.66% upgrade from the markets.

    The same could be said of industrial shares, going off the S&P/ASX 200 Industrials Index (ASX: XNJ)’s 0.51% lift.

    Financial stocks weren’t left out. The S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) enjoyed a bounce worth 0.37%.

    Gold shares recovered slightly from Tuesday’s carnage, with the All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) eking out a 0.34% improvement.

    Finally, consumer staples stocks also counted themselves lucky. The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples Index (ASX: XSJ) ended up inching 0.33% higher.

    Top 10 ASX 200 shares countdown

    Today’s top stock was healthcare company Nanosonics Ltd (ASX: NAN). Nanosonics shares were bid up by a compelling 4.56% today, up to $2.98 each.

    That was despite no clear catalysts, news, or announcements from Nanosonics that might explain this move.

    Here’s how today’s other winners pulled up:

    ASX-listed company Share price Price change
    Nanosonics Ltd (ASX: NAN) $2.98 4.56%
    Polynovo Ltd (ASX: PNV) $2.36 3.96%
    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) $14.29 3.70%
    NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) $18.34 3.56%
    A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) $7.10 3.35%
    Nine Entertainment Co Holdings Ltd (ASX: NEC) $1.40 3.32%
    James Hardie Industries plc (ASX: JHX) $48.22 3.19%
    REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA) $192.11 3.17%
    National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR) $2.30 3.14%
    JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH) $62.69 3.02%

    Our top 10 shares countdown is a recurring end-of-day summary to let you know which companies were making big moves on the day. Check in at Fool.com.au after the weekday market closes to see which stocks make the countdown.

    The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you buy Life360 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Nanosonics, PolyNovo, and REA Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Nanosonics. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk, Jb Hi-Fi, Nine Entertainment, PolyNovo, and REA Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Guess which ASX 200 stock crashed 8% on Thursday

    a group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.

    Whilst the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) spent all day in the green today before closing 4.4% higher, one ASX 200 stock has been sold off sharply.

    ASX Ltd (ASX: ASX) shares took a significant hit, plummeting 8% to $58.14 at the close of trading.

    This sharp decline follows the company’s investor forum held on Thursday, where it outlined its financial guidance for FY 2025. Investors appeared less than impressed with some of the projections. Here’s a look.

    Why did this ASX 200 stock drop 8%?

    At its investor forum, the company revealed that it expected its total expense growth rate to be between 6% and 9% for FY 2025. This comes on top of an anticipated 15% increase in FY 2024.

    The primary driver for this cost escalation is ongoing investment in technology, including software licensing, equipment costs, and depreciation and amortisation.

    Depreciation and amortisation are said to be ‘non-cash expenses’ in finance, related to business assets. While this is technically true – we don’t physically pay depreciation, for example – they do represent the implied cost of maintaining these assets. The ‘wear and tear’, so to speak.

    ASX managing director and CEO Helen Lofthouse provided an update on the company’s five-year strategy, focusing on technology modernisation and regulatory commitments.

    “Our five-year strategy builds on a high-quality portfolio of businesses that deliver resilient revenue performance throughout market cycles,” Lofthouse said.

    She added that data demand and Australia’s pension system – the fifth largest in the world – were two structural tailwinds behind the ASX 200 stock.

    But Lofthouse was less optimistic about the expenditure side. ASX is projecting an “expense growth rate” of 6–9%, which is not something many were expecting. She had this to say:

    This growth is primarily driven by ongoing technology related costs related to Horizon One of our five year strategy including software licencing and equipment costs.

    Operating expense growth is partially offset by the annualised saving of $11m as a result of the targeted restructure announced at our interim results in February, and the expected further reduction in one-off regulatory costs following the completion of special reports and other activities last year.

    It’s also worth noting the ASX 200 stock is making strides with its CHESS replacement project, partnering with Tata Consultancy Services for a product-based solution.

    What else did ASX mention?

    Other highlights from the investor day include the launch of the first ASX corporate bond, raising $275 million, and exploratory work with the Clean Energy Regulator to develop an Australian Carbon Exchange.

    However, these ambitious projects have come at a cost. The company forecasts capital expenditure for FY 2024 to be around $135 million, with FY 2025 technology capital expenditure expected to be between $160 million and $180 million.

    These are up from $50 million in the second half of FY 2024. Lofthouse added:

    [W]e expect our capex spend to remain elevated through to FY27 to support our technology roadmap, before starting to reduce beyond this period.

    We also expect the average depreciation and amortisation schedule of seven to ten years for these major projects, once they go live.

    How will this affect ASX shareholders?

    The projected expense growth and capital expenditure might have caused concern among investors of this ASX 200 stock today, leading to today’s 8% drop in the share price. Despite this, the company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 80% to 90% of underlying net profit after tax (NPAT).

    ASX’s significant investment in technology and regulatory commitments are also crucial for its long-term strategy. Investors would be wise to keep a close eye on how these investments play out over the coming years.

    The post Guess which ASX 200 stock crashed 8% on Thursday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Asx Limited right now?

    Before you buy Asx Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Asx Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why these 2 ASX 200 shares just scored broker upgrades

    Happy man working on his laptop.

    Two well-known S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares were just upgraded by leading brokers.

    Both stand to potentially benefit from the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI). And both have already handed their shareholders some sizeable one-year gains.

    Which ASX 200 shares are we talking about?

    Read on!

    (Broker data courtesy of The Australian.)

    Two ASX 200 shares earning broker upgrades

    The first ASX 200 share earning a broker upgrade is WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC).

    Shares in the logistics software provider are up 2.3% at the time of writing, trading for $99.12 apiece. That sees shares in the tech stock up more than 24% in a year.

    WiseTech shares also trade on a slender, fully franked dividend yield of 0.2%.

    And Bell Potter foresees some modest further gains ahead.

    The broker raised its price target for WiseTech by 8% to $100.00 a share.

    WiseTech shares could get a boost during the final week of the month. On 24 June the company joins the acclaimed S&P/ASX 50 Index. That’s part of  the S&P Dow Jones Indices June quarterly rebalance.

    Which brings us to the second ASX 200 share getting a broker upgrade today, Seek Ltd (ASX: SEK), which owns and operates Australia’s biggest online jobs classified website.

    The Seek share price is up 3.0% at the time of writing, with shares trading for $23.51 apiece. That puts the Seek share price up 8% in a year.

    Seek shares also trade on a fully franked trailing dividend yield of 1.8%.

    And JP Morgan expects some sizeable potential gains over the year ahead.

    The broker raised Seek to an overweight rating with a $26.50 share price target. That’s almost 13% above current levels.

    Last week, 5 June, the ASX 200 share grabbed investors’ attention when management announced the company had entered into a binding agreement to sell 98.2% of its stake in OCC Mexico and all of its stake in Catho Online to Red Arbor Holding.

    Seek will receive US$85 million (AU$128 million) for these assets. The company expects the transaction to be complete by the end of the month and intends to use the funds to pay down some debt.

    The Seek share price closed up 4.9% on the day, despite the company forecasting a $15 million to $35 million net loss on sale after tax from the divestment.

    That’s likely because the ASX 200 share reported it does not expect the sale of OCC Mexico and Catho Online will result in any material changes to its FY 2024 earnings guidance.

    The post Why these 2 ASX 200 shares just scored broker upgrades appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Seek Limited right now?

    Before you buy Seek Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Seek Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended JPMorgan Chase and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Seek. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Is this ASX small-cap stock an overlooked beneficiary of the AI boom?

    woman consoles robot

    Artificial intelligence (AI) is no longer just for tech behemoths — it’s sprinkling its magic dust across a myriad of industries, creating unexpected winners in the stock market.

    Just as we need to eat to survive and function, advanced AI systems require substantial electricity to operate. From this background, the reliability of the electricity supply is increasingly highlighted as a critical vulnerability within the AI ecosystem.

    One ASX-listed company that could benefit from this trend is IPD Group Ltd (ASX: IPG), a distributor of electronic and automation systems and solutions across Australia.

    Could this under-the-radar ASX small-cap stock be the surprise superstar of the AI revolution? Let’s dive into the potential of IPD Group.

    Power shortages

    We often hear about semiconductor chip shortages driven by the AI boom and how it is benefitting the likes of Nvidia Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd, and equipment maker ASML Holding NV.

    However, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) boss Elon Musk believes power shortages are likely to be the next wave ahead of us. In an interview in March 2024, as part of the Bosch Connected World conference, he said:

    The constraints on AI compute are very predictable… A year ago, the shortage was chips, neural net chips. Then, it was very easy to predict that the next shortage will be voltage step-down transformers.

    Then, the next shortage will be electricity. They won’t be able to find enough electricity to run all the chips. I think next year, you’ll see they just can’t find enough electricity to run all the chips.

    To make things worse, the developed world is already suffering from an inadequate supply of electricity due to ever-increasing energy demand and a slow transition to environmentally friendly energy sources.

    The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) warned of the potential risk of blackouts in NSW and Victoria in its May 2024 report, as highlighted by The Australian.

    How is IPD Group’s business going?

    IPD Group — founded more than 70 years ago — specialises in distributing electrical and automation solutions in Australia. It leverages renowned global brands like ABB Ltd and General Electric Co.

    Its services encompass power distribution, industrial control, renewable energy solutions, and testing. More recently, the company expanded into solar energy, aiming to become a one-stop shop for all photovoltaic (PV) system needs ranging from PV equipment and services through the acquisition of Addelec.

    In May, IPD Group provided a bright outlook for FY24, as summarised by my colleague James.

    The company expects to report earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) between $39 million and $39.5 million, implying a 42% growth from a year ago at the midpoint. These projections exclude costs from the acquisitions of EX engineering and CMI Operations.

    IPD Group CEO Michael Sainsbury believes FY24 has been a transformative year for the company, including major acquisitions. He said:

    It has been a transformative year for IPD with the completion of two strategic acquisitions, EX Engineering and CMI Operations.

    Merging our Addelec and Gemtek businesses has significantly enhanced our EV infrastructure team and we are capitalising on the growth in the market by securing a number of major projects during the year, including the electrification of Australia’s largest bus depot.

    How cheap is this ASX small-cap stock today?

    The IPD Group share price dropped by approximately 20% from the 52-week high of $5.42 in February this year. As the chart below shows, the IPG Group share price has been hovering between $4 and $5 for the last 12 months after more than quadrupling since its initial public offering in December 2021.

    IPD Group shares are trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21x based on its reported earnings for the last 12 months to December 2023.

    I think IPD Group has the potential to benefit from anticipated power shortages caused by the ongoing AI revolution, as well as electric vehicles and green energy initiatives.

    The post Is this ASX small-cap stock an overlooked beneficiary of the AI boom? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Ipd Group Limited right now?

    Before you buy Ipd Group Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Ipd Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Kate Lee has positions in ASML and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ASML, Ipd Group, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Ipd Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ASML and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Should you pay down your mortgage or add to superannuation?

    A young couple sits at their kitchen table looking at documents with a laptop open in front of them while they consider the state of their investments.

    This is a common question among homeowners, and according to Damien Klassen from Nucleus Wealth, the answer depends on your income level, age, and mortgage interest rates at the time of your decision.

    In a blog, Klassen offers advice for people considering what’s best to do with a spare $10,000 in income.

    Let’s look into his findings.

    Superannuation or the home loan?

    Let’s look at some obvious factors first.

    The biggest benefit of using a spare $10,000 in income to pay down your home loan is the guaranteed annual interest savings. The downside is you’ll have to pay full tax on that income if you use it in this way.

    The biggest benefit of contributing a spare $10,000 in income into superannuation is the substantial tax saving on the way in (as long as you’re under the concessional contributions cap) and the ongoing earnings on your investments (bearing in mind that investments sometimes result in losses, too).

    Just to remind you, concessional superannuation contributions are taxed at 15%, which is lower than most individual income tax rates.

    A case study…

    Klassen has run the numbers using a fictitious case study of an Australian earning $100,000 per year.

    They have a mortgage with an annual home loan interest rate of 6%. They also have a superannuation fund returning an average of 6% per year.

    He looks at the different outcomes over a 10-year period of using that spare $10,000 to either pay down the home loan or bump up superannuation this year.

    Here’s what he finds:

    At $100k, your marginal tax rate (in 2025) is 30% + Medicare levy = 32%.

    So, your $10k becomes $6,800 off your mortgage after tax or $8,500 invested in super. i.e., you are $1,700 better off on day 1 in super.

    If you save 6% on your $6,800 mortgage reduction over 10 years = $5,378 in interest avoided, tax-free.

    If you made 6% in your $8,500 in superannuation and then paid tax on it = $5,155 after tax = $223 worse off in superannuation.

    Net effect = $1,477 better off in super.

    Klassen emphasises that the outcomes can be different depending on income levels and interest rates.

    He says higher interest rates make using the money to pay off your home loan more attractive. Conversely, lower interest rates may make investing the money into superannuation a better option.

    Klassen says people on higher incomes will “almost always” come out in front by contributing to superannuation.

    Those earning less than $50,000 would likely be worse off if they put their spare $10,000 into superannuation vs. paying down their property loan, he says.

    A few caveats…

    While putting money into superannuation makes sense for a lot of people, they generally can’t access the funds until they reach preservation age.

    Klassen says having inaccessible savings helps some Australians keep their spending in check.

    However, there is some risk involved because once your superannuation money is invested, there is no guarantee of positive returns every year.

    Klassen comments:

    Investment returns within super can fluctuate with market conditions.

    While younger individuals have time to recover from downturns, older individuals, such as those around 65, face more immediate risks.

    The post Should you pay down your mortgage or add to superannuation? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Prediction: This will be Nvidia’s next big move

    A woman holds a soldering tool as she sits in front of a computer screen while working on the manufacturing of technology equipment in a laboratory environment.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Nvidia‘s (NASDAQ: NVDA) performance has been nothing short of remarkable of late. I’m talking about Nvidia the stock and Nvidia the company. The stock’s performance speaks for itself. Shares have exploded higher by about 725% since January 2023. 

    But that surge in price wasn’t just driven by overexuberant investors. Nvidia’s business itself has exploded — and its data center business, in particular. Revenue from that segment has more than quintupled in the past year, helping to drive Nvidia’s net income up by more than 600%. Growth from sales of the company’s artificial intelligence (AI) chips to data centers hasn’t yet peaked, but there are already indications of what could drive Nvidia stock’s next big move higher.

    Explosive growth in data center sales

    Nvidia’s recent good fortune didn’t come by chance. Many years of research and development allowed it to create the most technologically advanced graphics processing units (GPUs) in the industry, and have them available for customers just when the need for that type of computing power skyrocketed. Now, even as it works to accelerate its manufacturing to catch up with current demand, Nvidia already has its next-generation Blackwell chip series in production.

    Beyond that, CEO Jensen Huang has also unveiled a new AI chip that it intends to bring to market in 2026. The Rubin platform will succeed the Blackwell, and will include GPUs as well as a new central processing unit (CPU). That will offer customers a more complete data center server system. The already-massive volume of data center spending is reflected in Nvidia’s quarterly segment revenue.

    line graph of Nvidia quarterly revenue by segment from fiscal Q121 through Q125.

    Data source: Nvidia.

    But while data center revenue has gone parabolic, another Nvidia business segment is operating under investors’ radar right now. After all, it wasn’t just Nvidia’s R&D advancements that led to the growing uses of generative AI and other artificial intelligence applications.

    There are now multiple companies that are working to put self-driving cars on the road or use computing power to improve existing vehicles’ performance. And there are signs that Nvidia’s automotive business could be its next big revenue driver.

    Nvidia’s next major catalyst

    While its auto segment numbers pale in comparison to data center sales right now, there’s a trending increase in revenue there as well. Sales growth is already coming as automakers work to improve their vehicles’ performance. Electric vehicle (EV) maker Rivian Automotive just announced it would be using Nvidia chips to enhance computing power and improve the range and performance of its R1 platform vehicles.

    Line graph of Nvidia's auto segment revenue since fiscal Q121.

    Data source: Nvidia.

    Rivian says it will have 10 times more computing power using Nvidia’s DRIVE Orin processors. Nvidia calls its Orin system on a chip the central computer for intelligent vehicles. Other automotive companies partnering with Nvidia include Chinese EV makers BYD, Nio, and XPeng. In addition, Volvo, its subsidiary Polestar, and Mercedes-Benz are among the global automakers that use Nvidia’s autonomous driving system.

    Nvidia’s DRIVE Orin system on a chip is being used by more and more automakers.

    Self-driving cars could be Nvidia’s next bonanza

    That helps explain the recent sales growth for Nvidia’s automotive segment. However, consider what might come next as more and more self-driving vehicles are being launched. Much attention is given to Tesla and its plans for robotaxi fleets. It has said it will update investors in August on the progress of its self-driving vehicle efforts. But other companies are a step ahead of the EV leader in autonomous driving, and already have vehicles on the road.

    Alphabet‘s Waymo is expanding its operations as it trains its systems. In May, the company said it was performing 50,000 rides per week in San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Phoenix. Amazon owns self-driving car company Zoox, and it has plans to test vehicles in Austin and Miami.

    To be sure, regulatory hurdles remain, and data will be needed to prove that the technology is safe and advantageous for consumers. But investors who can be patient for that data collection and process to play out could do well by being in Nvidia stock before that sector takes off. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Prediction: This will be Nvidia’s next big move appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Howard Smith has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, BYD Company, Nio, Nvidia, Rivian Automotive, Tesla, and XPeng. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, BYD Company, Nio, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • ASX 200 gives back some heady intraday gains amid Aussie jobs data

    a line of job applicants sit on stools against a brick wall in an office environment, various holding laptops , devices and paper, as though waiting to be interviewed for a position.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.5% at the time of writing, down from early morning gains of more than 0.7%.

    The benchmark Aussie index is enjoying a strong run on the back of the latest US inflation figures and Federal Reserve meeting.

    ASX investors also initially reacted positively to the latest unemployment data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) at 11.30am AEST.

    But the ASX 200 has since slipped more than 0.1% since that announcement.

    Here’s what we know.

    ASX 200 dips on strong labour figures

    In a classic case of good news for the economy equating to potentially bad news for stocks, the ASX 200 has retraced since the ABS reported that Australia’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate decreased by 0.1% to 4.0% in May.

    Investors may be feeling jittery as the strong labour market could usher in further pay rises, adding to inflationary pressures. This, in turn, could pressure the Reserve Bank of Australia to keep interest rates on hold for longer.

    Commenting on the latest figures, Bjorn Jarvis, ABS head of labour statistics, said, “With employment rising by around 40,000 people and the number of unemployed falling by 9,000 people, the unemployment rate fell to 4.0%”

    That’s an impressive feat, considering the rapid rate of immigration Australia is currently witnessing.

    Jarvis noted that May’s decline wasn’t enough to offset the big unemployment spike in April.

    In April, more unemployed people than usual were waiting to start work. Some of the fall in unemployment and rise in employment in May reflect these people starting or returning to their jobs.

    While the total number of unemployed people fell by 9,000 in May, this followed a 33,000 increase in April. Unemployment was around 24,000 people more than in March, an average increase of around 12,000 people each month.

    But in a sign of just how strong the Aussie economy is, Jarvis pointed out that, “There are now almost 600,000 unemployed people, however, that is still nearly 110,000 fewer people than in March 2020, just before the pandemic.”

    The rather muted reaction to the strong labour data on the ASX 200 today comes as a number of analysts have been forecasting a dip in unemployment for May.

    Among them was the economics team at National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) which had forecast the unemployment rate would fall to 4.0%.

    According to NAB (quoted by The Australian Financial Review):

    The driver is that the prior month had an unusual amount of people who were classified as unemployed, but were waiting to start a new job, which we assessed then was worth around a 10th on the unemployment rate.

    The post ASX 200 gives back some heady intraday gains amid Aussie jobs data appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.