Category: Stock Market

  • 2 ASX 200 shares with ex-dividend dates next week

    A retiree relaxing in the pool and giving a thumbs up.

    It’s always big news on the Australian share market when an ASX 200 dividend stock trades ex-dividend. For one, a stock going ‘ex-div’ means that any investors who buy shares on that day forward miss out on the upcoming dividend payment that a company has scheduled for investors.

    But whenever a company trades ex-dividend, we also tend to see a big share price drop for the company in question. This drop reflects the loss of that dividend‘s value for any ASX 200 investor who buys shares from that day onwards.

    So ex-dividend dates are clearly events of note on our share market. And next week, we’ll see not one, but two ASX 200 shares go through this process.

    2 ASX 200 shares scheduled to trade ex-dividend next week

    First up, we have ASX 200 building products company CSR Ltd (ASX: CSR). CSR has been making waves in 2024 after the company agreed to a $9 per share takeover offer from the French company Saint-Gobain earlier this year.

    Earlier this month, CSR confirmed that its shares would be removed from the ASX 200 Index (and the Australian share market) next Thursday, 20 June, as a result of this takeover. However, before the stage exit, CSR shares have one more trick up their sleeves.

    The company will be forking out a swansong dividend on 1 July next month. This passive income payment will be worth a fully franked 12 cents per share and will come out of that $9 per share takeover offer. So eligible shareholders will now receive $8.88 in cash for every CSR share owned. That’s in addition to this 12 cents per share dividend payment.

    However, if you want this cash in your bank account, you’ll have to own CSR shares before the company trades ex-dividend for this payment next Friday, 21 June.

    CSR shares are currently trading on a dividend yield of 3.9%.

    A retail share with a 4% dividend yield

    Next, let’s talk about ASX 200 retail share Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV). Premier is the company behind famous Australian retail brands like Smiggle, Dotti and Peter Alexander.

    Premier delivered its last earnings report back in March. As we covered at the time, this report was well-received, thanks in part to the ASX 200 share’s decision to pay an interim dividend of 63 cents per share, fully franked. That was a 16.7% increase over the ordinary interim dividend of 54 cents per share that investors enjoyed in 2023.

    However, this dividend was only set to be paid out on 27 July next month. If ASX 200 investors wish to see this dividend in their bank accounts, they will need to own Premier shares before the ex-dividend date. This has been set for next Tuesday, 18 June.

    Premier Investments stock is currently trading on a dividend yield of 4.24%.

    The post 2 ASX 200 shares with ex-dividend dates next week appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Csr Limited right now?

    Before you buy Csr Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Csr Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Premier Investments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why Bubs, Codan, Life360, and Sayona Mining shares are charging higher

    Happy man working on his laptop.

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a decent gain. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is up 0.5% to 7,755.7 points.

    Four ASX shares that are rising more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are charging higher:

    Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB)

    The Bubs share price is up almost 17% to 14 cents. Investors have been buying the junior infant formula company’s shares following the release of an update on its US operations. Bubs advised that USA weekly scan revenue exceeds US$1 million per week with over 24,000 tins sold. This compares to its third quarter average of US$750,000 revenue per week. Management also notes that it was the number one, best-selling infant formula product on Amazon USA in May 2024. Bubs’ CEO, Reg Weine, commented: “We are continuing to see exceptionally strong demand for our products in the USA, and we have now reached a new weekly scan sales record in the USA with revenue exceeding US$1m.”

    Codan Ltd (ASX: CDA)

    The Codan share price is up 8% to $11.53. This appears to have been driven by a broker note out of UBS this morning. According to the note, the broker has initiated coverage on the metal detector manufacturer’s shares with a buy rating and $13.10 price target. UBS is feeling positive about the company’s outlook and is expecting strong revenue growth and margin expansion to drive even stronger earnings per share growth. The broker also sees scope for value accretive acquisitions given its strong balance sheet and new debt facilities.

    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360)

    The Life360 share price is up over 3% to $14.23. As well as getting a boost from a booming tech sector, this location technology company was the subject of a bullish broker note out of Morgan Stanley this morning. According to the note, the broker has reaffirmed its overweight rating and $17.50 price target on Life360’s shares. It has been looking at the company’s expansion into advertising and sees a very big opportunity based on what it has seen from peers such as ride-sharing apps.

    Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA)

    The Sayona Mining share price is up 1.5% to 3.75 cents. This follows the release of drilling results from the Moblan Lithium Project in Canada. Management highlights that its recent drilling is demonstrating the potential of a single, large continuous orebody. Interim CEO, James Brown, commented: “Moblan continues to present outstanding high-grade drilling results over wide intersections. The deposit now extends over ~2.3km E-W, ~1.2km N-S and to depth of ~450m. Today’s announcement emphasises the continuation of known mineralisation and areas of in-fill between zones, suggesting considerable potential for uncovering additional extensions to this premium lithium deposit.”

    The post Why Bubs, Codan, Life360, and Sayona Mining shares are charging higher appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you buy Life360 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Up 39% in a year, the NAB share price just hit a 9-year high!

    Delighted adult man, working on a company slogan, on his laptop.

    The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is up 1% today, outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which is up 0.5%. The ASX bank share just hit a nine-year high!

    The local share market is getting a boost following news from the US that inflation is headed in the right direction, as reported by my colleague Bernd Struben.

    The US core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile items such as food and energy costs, increased by 0.2% in May 2024. The annual core CPI increase was 3.4%, compared to estimates of 0.3% for the month and 3.5% for the year, according to CNBC.

    Following today’s rise, the NAB share price is up almost 40% in the last year, as we can see on the chart below. The ASX 200 is up more than 8% in the last 12 months.

    Why is this boosting the NAB share price?

    As a major ASX bank share, NAB’s performance is heavily linked to the economy. Interest rates play an important part in NAB’s operations because they affect how much the bank can charge on its loans, how much it pays to savers and how comfortably borrowers can afford their loans.

    With US inflation moving in the right direction, this could suggest that interest rate cuts are getting closer in the world’s biggest economy. This could encourage other central banks, such as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), to cut rates a little sooner.

    Lower interest rates could improve the outlook for NAB’s arrears and bad debts. Additionally, if interest rates are somewhat reduced, investors may be willing to pay a higher price/earnings (P/E) ratio for NAB shares.

    Recent profit performance

    In the FY24 first-half result, NAB reported it generated $3.55 billion of cash earnings, which was down 12.8% year over year. While that represented a sizeable decline, the bank still generated a significant amount of profit.

    The NAB net interest margin (NIM) declined from 1.77% in the HY23 result to 1.72%. This shows that NAB’s profitability reduced when considering its loan rate compared to the cost of its funding (such as savings accounts).

    NAB said the home lending margin competition and term deposit cost headwinds were “moderating”, with the HY24 NIM of 1.72% actually higher than the 1.71% achieved in the second half of FY23.

    However, lower interest rates may not assist NAB’s profitability. The bank is currently generating higher returns on transaction accounts, which don’t pay interest while lending against that cash at a relatively high loan rate. A lower RBA rate would likely mean a reduced return on transaction account balances.

    NAB share price snapshot

    Since the start of 2024, the NAB share price has risen 14%, outperforming the ASX 200, which has only risen by 1.7%.

    The post Up 39% in a year, the NAB share price just hit a 9-year high! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in National Australia Bank Limited right now?

    Before you buy National Australia Bank Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and National Australia Bank Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why ASX, Brazilian Rare Earths, Liontown, and Sigma shares are sinking today

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is back on form on Thursday and pushing higher. In afternoon trade, the benchmark index is up 0.45% to 7,750.1 points.

    Four ASX shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are falling:

    ASX Ltd (ASX: ASX)

    The ASX share price is down over 8% to $57.98. Investors have been hitting the sell button today after the stock exchange operator held its investor forum. At the event, the company provided the market with guidance for cost growth in FY 2025. It is expecting its total expense growth rate to be between 6% and 9% for the year. This is on top of its expected increase of 15% in FY 2024. Management advised that next year’s expense growth rate is primarily being driven by ongoing technology related investment. This includes software licensing, equipment costs, and depreciation and amortisation.

    Brazilian Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: BRE)

    The Brazilian Rare Earths share price is down almost 11% to $3.26. This has been driven by the completion of the company’s institutional placement this morning. Brazilian Rare Earths advised that it has received firm commitments for a placement of 24.24 million of new shares at a price of $3.30 per share. This will raise a total of A$80 million before costs. Proceeds from the placement will be used to accelerate exploration and development at the Monte Alto, Sulista and Pelé rare earth projects. This includes exploration drilling, feasibility studies, permitting, and for general working capital and corporate purposes.

    Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR)

    The Liontown Resources share price is down 4% to $1.09. This is despite there being no news out of the lithium developer today. However, it is worth noting that the majority of ASX lithium stocks are tumbling after a lacklustre night for their peers on Wall Street. Investors continue to sell down lithium shares on concerns over a forecast supply surplus.

    Sigma Healthcare Ltd (ASX: SIG)

    The Sigma Healthcare share price is down 6% to $1.13. This follows news that the ACCC has raised doubts over the company’s proposed merger with Chemist Warehouse. The ACCC stated: “We have identified a range of preliminary competition concerns, including at the retail level and as a result of the proposed integration of the merged firm across the wholesale and retail level. We want to hear from interested parties, including rival pharmacies as we continue this review.”

    The post Why ASX, Brazilian Rare Earths, Liontown, and Sigma shares are sinking today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Asx Limited right now?

    Before you buy Asx Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Asx Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Guess which A2 Milk rival’s shares just rocketed 21% on US news!

    a cute young girl with curly hair sips a glass of milk through a straw with a smile on her face.

    It’s a banner day for the shares of a certain Aussie A2 Milk Co Ltd (ASX: A2M) rival today.

    While A2 Milk shares are up a healthy 1.9% in early afternoon trade on Thursday, shares in this ASX infant formula company just surged 20.8% to trade for 14.5 cents apiece.

    After some likely bargain hunting, shares are up 18.8% at the time of writing.

    For some context, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 0.6% at this same time.

    Any guesses?

    If you said Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB), give yourself a virtual gold star.

    Here’s what’s grabbed ASX investor interest today.

    Bubs gains leave A2 Milk shares wanting today

    The Bubs share price is racing ahead of the benchmark and A2 Milk shares after the company announced that its weekly scan revenues in the United States have topped US$1 million a week, with more than 24,000 tins sold.

    That’s up 25% from the third quarter’s average weekly scan revenue of US$750,000.

    Investor exuberance also appears to have been roused by the company reporting it moved from number six to the number one best-selling infant formula product on Amazon USA in May 2024.

    Bubs also reported on ongoing progress relating to the Food and Drug Administration’s permanent access pathway and clinical trial. As at 7 June, Bubs had more than 300 infant enrolments, representing 75% of its target.

    And the ASX infant formula company said it has commenced the roll-out of new label tins and sizes for the US market.

    Commenting on the results seeing the Bubs share price leaving A2 Milk shares far behind today, Bubs CEO Reg Weine said, “We are continuing to see exceptionally strong demand for our products in the USA, and we have now reached a new weekly scan sales record in the USA with revenue exceeding US$1 million.”

    Atop the strong online sales growth via Amazon, Weine said, “Pleasingly we are seeing sustained demand for our products right across the USA, from more than 5,800 bricks and mortar retail stores stocking Bubs.”

    Looking ahead, Weine added:

    We have recently increased our target inventory levels in the US to meet the rise in demand and following the stock shortages which occurred in late 2023 and believe this strong and sustained consumer driven demand will provide a strong tailwind for growth in FY 2025.

    Closer to home and addressing a potentially even larger market, Weine noted, “Our China business has now rebounded.”

    How have the two ASX dairy stocks been tracking?

    With today’s intraday gains factored in, the Bubs share price is up 8% so far in 2024.

    A2 Milk shares have performed far better, rocketing an eye-watering 65% year to date.

    The post Guess which A2 Milk rival’s shares just rocketed 21% on US news! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in The A2 Milk Company Limited right now?

    Before you buy The A2 Milk Company Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and The A2 Milk Company Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • What is boosting the Treasury Wine share price on Thursday?

    Happy smiling young woman drinking red wine while standing among the grapevines in a vineyard.

    The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price is pushing higher on Thursday.

    At the time of writing, the wine giant’s shares are up over 0.5% to $12.01.

    Why is the Treasury Wine share price lifting?

    As well as getting a boost from a rebounding share market, there has been some news out of the company that may have gone down well with investors.

    According to the release, Treasury Wine is integrating its Global Revenue Growth (GRG) function into its Treasury Premium Brands (TPB) Division.

    Management notes that this is a move to unlock growth opportunities for its priority premium brands, strengthen innovation, deepen engagement with consumers and customer partners, and increase operating efficiencies within the Premium business.

    GRG was established last year under the leadership of Angus Lilley, who is the company’s global chief revenue growth officer. It is responsible for driving enterprise-wide revenue opportunities, including growth plans for current and future global brands, enterprise-wide innovation development, and enhancing consumer understanding across Treasury Wine.

    Treasury Wine’s CEO, Tim Ford, believes that bringing the GRG team together with TPB will unlock future opportunities for the strong consumer brands within the Premium business. He commented:

    When you consider our Premium portfolio, this is a unique offering with an unrivalled global footprint and brands that resonate strongly with consumers. Integrating our GRG capabilities within TPB, will enhance our ability to strengthen these brands, foster cutting-edge innovation and deepen our engagement with consumers and customer partners.

    As part of the change, Peter Neilson, who is managing director of TPB, will leave Treasury Wine after 12 years with the business to pursue new career opportunities. Angus Lilley will assume the position of managing director of TPB. Ford adds:

    We thank Peter for his significant contributions made to TWE during his time. His focused leadership has resulted in a robust portfolio of brands and strong market positions for TWE, and the TPB team to build on.

    Should you invest?

    Analysts at Goldman Sachs think the Treasury Wine share price is good value at current levels.

    Last week, the broker reaffirmed its buy rating and $13.40 price target on the company’s shares. It said:

    Our Buy rating of TWE is premised on accelerating double-digit EPS growth in FY24-26e driven by 1) continued global expansion of Penfolds especially post the removal of China import tariffs on Australian wine; our recent channel checks suggest positive reception to the returning Australian sourced Penfolds and we expect 50pct pre-tariff recovery by 2027; and 2) #1 luxury wine company in the US with recent acquisitions of Frank Family Vineyards and DAOU which have been growth and margin accretive, combined with a stable portfolio of Premium Brands. TWE is trading modestly below 5-year P/E average.

    The post What is boosting the Treasury Wine share price on Thursday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Treasury Wine Estates Limited right now?

    Before you buy Treasury Wine Estates Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Treasury Wine Estates Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Sigma share price dives 6% on Chemist Warehouse merger hurdle

    A female scientist sits at her desk looking stressed out while working in an AnteoTech lab.

    The Sigma Healthcare Ltd (ASX: SIG) share price has plunged more than 6% in morning trade on Thursday following news that the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has raised concerns over its proposed merger with Chemist Warehouse.

    Sigma’s planned merger with the chemist giant — to be structured as a reverse takeover — has been the subject of ongoing debate since it was announced in December last year.

    The Sigma share price has rallied some 50% since then, even with a pullback over the last three months. Here are the details of the ACCC’s response and what it means for investors.

    Sigma Healthcare share price slides as ACCC speaks

    Today, the ACCC announced its “preliminary concerns” over the proposed transaction. Investors have reacted swiftly, sending the Sigma share price down sharply in early trade.

    According to ACCC commissioner Stephen Ridgeway, the merger represents a major structural change for the pharmacy sector.

    He noted the competitive threat to independent pharmacies that might be caused by “the largest pharmacy chain by revenue merging with a key wholesaler”.

    We have identified a range of preliminary competition concerns, including at the retail level and as a result of the proposed integration of the merged firm across the wholesale and retail level. We want to hear from interested parties, including rival pharmacies as we continue this review.

    The ACCC’s other primary concern was that the merged entity would become “uniquely vertically integrated”. That means the new entity would own its entire supply chain.

    This could potentially raise barriers for rivals entering or expanding in the market, leading to higher prices and reduced service quality for consumers.

    Even still, the ACCC said its focus was on the acquisition’s impact on competition rather than the pros or cons of different business models.

    “The key issue is whether or not the proposed acquisition weakens competition in the supply of pharmaceutical products,” the ACCC said.

    What this means for the Sigma share price we will have to wait and see.

    Details of Sigma and Chemist Warehouse merger

    Sigma Healthcare is one of the largest wholesalers of prescription medicines in Australia. It also operates as a franchisor of pharmacies. Brands on its books include Amcal +, Discount Drug Stores, PharmaSave, and Guardian.

    Chemist Warehouse, on the other hand, is a franchisor and wholesaler.

    News of the deal sent the Sigma share price soaring last year.

    The proposed acquisition would see Chemist Warehouse shareholders hold a majority 85.75% stake in the newly-listed ASX entity. Sigma shareholders would hold the remaining 14.25%.

    The ACCC has not yet concluded the potential competitive impact of the merger. But it has called for submissions from interested parties by June 27 to gather further insights.

    The Sigma share price is up nearly 13% this year to date, and has climbed 37% into the green the past 12 months. It reached a 52-week closing high of $1.31 in April.

    The post Sigma share price dives 6% on Chemist Warehouse merger hurdle appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Sigma Healthcare right now?

    Before you buy Sigma Healthcare shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Sigma Healthcare wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why the ASX 200 is rocketing on the latest US inflation and Fed interest rate news

    Woman with a coffee mug in one hand and a tablet in another along with pears on the table, symbolising inflation.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is off to the races today.

    In morning trade on Thursday, the benchmark Aussie index is up 0.7% at 7,772.1 points.

    That sees the ASX 200 up 0.9% so far in June, despite the past two days of losses.

    Australian shares are following in the footsteps of their US counterparts, with the S&P 500 Index (XSP: .INX) closing up 0.9% overnight at 5,421 points. That marked yet another new all-time for the S&P 500 as the US equity bull market entered its 20th month.

    Investor exuberance is running high on the back of some promising US inflation data. This has traders forecasting that we’ll see two interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in 2024. That’s despite the central bank’s own forecast of just one rate cut this year. The Fed now expects more rate cuts for 2025.

    Here’s what’s going on.

    ASX 200 soars as US inflation slows

    First, we turn to the US inflation print that sent the S&P 500 to a new closing high and is seeing the ASX 200 lift off today.

    In a promising sign for investors, the US core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile items like food and energy costs, increased by 0.2% in May. That puts US CPI up 3.4% year on year, the lowest inflationary print in three years.

    “The most recent inflation readings have been more favourable than earlier in the year,” Fed chair Jerome Powell said. Adding that “there has been modest further progress toward our inflation objective.”

    Though that wasn’t enough to move the interest rate needle.

    Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady

    If the Fed had lowered interest rates, we’d likely be seeing an even bigger rally on the ASX 200 today.

    But, in a widely anticipated move, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members were unanimous in their decision to hold the official US interest rate in the 20-year high range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

    “We’ll need to see more good data to bolster our confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%,” Powell said (quoted by Bloomberg).

    According to the Fed, US and ASX 200 investors are now likely to see only one rate cut in 2024, while the central bank now expects to cut rates four times in 2025, up from prior forecasts of three cuts.

    “Rate cuts that might have taken place this year take place next year. There are fewer rate cuts in the median this year, but there’s one more next year,” Powell said.

    “The evidence is pretty clear that policy is restrictive and is having the effects that we would hope for,” he added.

    What are the experts saying?

    Commenting on the latest US inflation data and interest rate outlook that’s spurring the ASX 200 today, Bloomberg’s Economics team said:

    May’s CPI report is encouraging — and the core PCE deflator will likely be even more so. We anticipate a string of similar reports this summer, setting the stage for the Fed to start cutting rates in September.

    Jim Bullard, former president of the St Louis Fed, added:

    I think this was good news for the committee. They’ve been looking for a softer report, they got it here.

    We would need more news going in this direction in order to forge ahead with our easing policy. But it does keep hope alive for those that have been looking for an earlier rate cut.

    And Scott Colyer, CEO at Advisors Asset Management, said:

    The Fed adjusts their dot plots accordingly, so they change all the time and stock traders know that. It’s clear the Fed really wants to cut rates at least one time this year. And those cuts, even if just once, will still be supportive for stock prices.

    With US inflation slowing and significant Fed interest rate easing on the horizon, the ASX 200 could soon be resetting its own 28 March record closing high of 7,896.9 points.

    The post Why the ASX 200 is rocketing on the latest US inflation and Fed interest rate news appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in S&P/ASX 200 right now?

    Before you buy S&P/ASX 200 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and S&P/ASX 200 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Should the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) be the first choice for your superannuation fund?

    A mature age woman with a groovy short haircut and glasses, sits at her computer, pen in hand thinking about information she is seeing on the screen.

    The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) is a popular choice for investors, as it gives exposer to numerous ASX blue-chip shares. Some investors may be wondering if it’s a good option for their superannuation fund.

    Investors are capable of building their own portfolio of ASX shares, but there may be an attraction for investors who want to buy a readymade portfolio that tracks the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO).

    Many people may already invest in ASX shares via an industry superannuation fund (such as AustralianSuper, Australian retirement Trust, REST, and Hostplus) with the Australian shares option, which is likely investing in similar businesses as the VAS ETF.

    It may not be easy to invest in the VAS ETF in an industry superannuation fund, so I’ll look at the fund from the perspective of a retiree.

    Decent dividend yield

    The dividend yield of the VAS ETF is rather high compared to most of the international exchange-traded funds (ETFs). An ETF’s yield is influenced by the yield of the underlying holdings.

    The ASX 300 is weighted towards higher-yield stocks like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), so this helps the overall yield of the VAS ETF.

    According to Vanguard, the VAS ETF has a dividend yield of 3.7%. The bonus of franking credits boosts the grossed-up dividend yield close to 5%.

    That’s a very good yield, in my opinion, considering the adequate level of diversification that the fund can provide. It does have a large weighting to ASX bank shares and ASX mining shares, but the fund’s dividend yield wouldn’t be as high if other industries had bigger allocations within the portfolio.

    For investors just focused on the passive income, I believe VAS ETF is a solid option for a superannuation fund, though there are ASX dividend shares out there which have higher yields.

    Total returns

    For me, what the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF lacks is good capital growth potential. The VAS ETF unit price is almost exactly where it was three years ago.

    Indeed, in the ten years to April 2024, the fund only saw capital growth of an average of 3.2% per annum with total returns of 7.7% per annum. Large banks and miners aren’t known for consistently strong earnings growth, nor are they retaining much profit each year to unlock more growth.

    If investors are looking for decent dividends and a small amount of capital growth over time, then the VAS ETF seems to tick that box.

    However, there could be an opportunity cost of missing out on other, better-performing investments.

    For starters, the Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF (ASX: VGS) could be a good place to allocate funds. It tracks the global share market and owns names like Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, and Alphabet (Google).

    Since its inception in November 2014, the VGS ETF has delivered an average annual return of 12.7%, thanks to a significant majority of the returns being capital growth. Of course, past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

    With a theoretical annual return of, say, 12% per annum, investors would be able to sell 5% of the fund’s value (creating a 5% ‘yield’), and it would see capital growth of 7%.

    While I’d be comfortable owning some VAS ETF units in my superannuation fund, I’d choose to invest most of my money in assets that have a better chance of delivering greater returns, like globally focused ETFs.

    The post Should the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) be the first choice for your superannuation fund? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Vanguard Australian Shares Index Etf right now?

    Before you buy Vanguard Australian Shares Index Etf shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Vanguard Australian Shares Index Etf wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

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    Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Vanguard Msci Index International Shares ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Qantas share price lifts after nabbing remaining TripADeal stake

    Teenager holds model plane in the air against the background of a blue sky.

    The Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price is grabbing headlines today after the airline announced it purchased its remaining 49% of online travel player TripADeal.

    The investment was made on a consideration of $211 million and comes after Qantas purchased its original 51% stake in 2022. This move is set to boost Qantas’s exposure to the $13 billion online holiday packages market, the announcement says.

    Qantas shares opened the session on Thursday at $6.14 apiece and are now trading almost 1% higher at the time of writing. This comes after a 14% rally this year to date. Here is the rundown.

    Qantas share price in focus

    TripADeal is a Byron Bay-based online travel company. Qantas says the acquisition aims to provide cost synergies and enhance the experience for Qantas Frequent Flyers. Cost synergies occur when two businesses with very similar operating lines save on running costs when they combine interests.

    The acquiring company (in this case Qantas) can sell more products to the selling company’s customers at a cheaper cost. It can also use the selling company’s (in this case, TripADeal) technology to grow its network – again, at a cheaper cost.

    With the full stake in TripADeal, Qantas anticipates annual synergies of at least $50 million. Qantas Points would be redeemable on various holiday packages, ranging from “African safaris” to “European getaways”, the company said.

    Qantas Loyalty CEO Andrew Glance said the partnership “turbocharged” TripADeal’s value to customers.

    TripADeal has been building on-trend and well-priced holiday packages for over a decade and has delighted millions of holidaymakers in the process. This success has only been turbocharged by the Qantas partnership, and the opportunity for our members to earn and use their points.

    If only these points were redeemable to increase the Qantas share price as well.

    What does this mean for Qantas investors?

    Under the new terms, TripADeal will continue operating independently, expanding its offerings and maintaining partnerships, including with Qantas and Jetstar.

    TripADeal founders Norm Black and Richard Johnston will step down, with Matt Wolfenden taking over as CEO.

    “We have worked hard to build and grow TripADeal from the ground up and know Qantas will take it into a new era of success,” the pair said in a statement.

    The deal could be a growth lever for the business, in my view. TripADeal’s bookings have surpassed $450 million in the last 12 months, doubling the pre-COVID level, the company says.

    This aligns with Qantas’s strategy to boost its loyalty program, aiming for underlying earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $500-$525 million in FY 2024 and at least 10% growth in FY 2025.

    Glance added, “With TripADeal bookings growing at 70% over the last year and more opportunities to strengthen the offering and realise further synergies, this deal is great news for our customers and the Loyalty business.”

    Qantas share price takeaway

    The Qantas share price has lifted more than 14% into the green this year to date.

    This comes after a difficult 2022–2023 period, where shares traded as low as $4.74 in October last year. Currently, Qantas’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) ratio is 6.7, below many of its regional peers.

    The post Qantas share price lifts after nabbing remaining TripADeal stake appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Qantas Airways Limited right now?

    Before you buy Qantas Airways Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Qantas Airways Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.