Category: Stock Market

  • How much could a $10,000 investment in Pilbara Minerals shares be worth in 12 months?

    A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.

    Over the last five years, Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares have been among the best performers on the Australian share market.

    During this time, the lithium miner’s shares have absolutely smashed the market with a stunning gain of 458%.

    This means that if you had invested $10,000 into the company’s shares back then, your investment would be worth over $55,000 today.

    This has been driven by the company’s emergence as one of the leading players in the lithium industry thanks to its 100% owned, world class Pilgangoora Lithium-Tantalum Project, which is located approximately 120 kilometres from Port Hedland in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.

    But those returns have been and gone. What could happen if you were to invest $10,000 into Pilbara Minerals shares today?

    Let’s see what analysts are forecasting for the lithium miner over the next 12 months.

    $10,000 invested in Pilbara Minerals shares

    The company’s shares are currently changing hands for $4.08. This means that with $10,000 (and 8 cents more) to invest, you could pick up 2,451 units.

    Unfortunately, finding an analyst that is bullish on this miner is difficult right now due to the bleak outlook for lithium prices.

    In fact, the most bullish broker out there appears to be Macquarie with its neutral rating and $4.20 price target.

    If the Pilbara Minerals share price were to rise to that level, it would value those 2,451 units at $10,294.20.

    That’s not exactly a compelling return and arguably doesn’t justify the risks involved in investing in the lithium industry.

    But things could be much worse.

    The bear predicting big declines

    According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have a sell rating and $2.80 price target on the company’s shares.

    If Pilbara Minerals’ shares were to fall to that level, your investment would have a market value of $6,862.80. That’s over $3,000 less than you paid.

    Goldman explains that it thinks the company’s shares are expensive based on its lithium price forecasts (which have been very accurate over the last 18 months). It said:

    We see PLS’ net cash declining to ~A$0.8-0.9bn (though still a relatively strong position vs. some peers and defensive into a declining lithium price), where with the stock trading at ~1.2x NAV (peer average ~1.05x), or pricing ~US$1,300/t spodumene (including a nominal value of A$1.1bn for growth) vs. peers at ~US$1,210/t (lithium pure-plays ~US$1,110/t; GSe US$1,150/t LT real), we see PLS as relatively expensive on fundamentals.

    Overall, based on the above, it may be best to sit tight and wait for a better entry point.

    The post How much could a $10,000 investment in Pilbara Minerals shares be worth in 12 months? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Pilbara Minerals Limited right now?

    Before you buy Pilbara Minerals Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Pilbara Minerals Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Here’s the ANZ dividend forecast through to 2026

    Hand with Australian dollar notes handing the money to another hand symbolising ex-dividend date.

    ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares are a popular option for income investors.

    Each year, the banking giant rewards its shareholders with two dividend payments.

    The most recent was announced last week when the big four bank released its half year results.

    As a reminder, ANZ reported cash earnings of $3,552 million for the six months. This represents a 1% decline compared to the second half of FY 2023.

    Management advised that this reflects a difficult half for the Australia Retail business, which reported a 9% decline in cash earnings to $794 million. This offset a strong performance from its key Institutional business, which delivered a 12% jump in cash earnings to $1,522 million.

    Fortunately for shareholders, this modest earnings decline didn’t stop the ANZ board from increasing its dividend. It lifted its 65% franked interim dividend by 2 cents per share year on year to 83 cents per share.

    Unfortunately for non-shareholders, ANZ’s shares traded ex-dividend for this payout on Monday. This means that the rights to this dividend are now settled and so it is too late to receive this on pay day (1 July) if you were not on its share register at Friday’s close.

    But don’t worry, because ANZ will be announcing its next dividend in six months when it releases its full year results.

    But what will be the amount of that dividend? Let’s see what analysts are now predicting from the banking giant after running the rule over last week’s results.

    ANZ dividend forecast

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have boosted their dividend forecasts in response to its results.

    The broker is now expecting ANZ to pay total dividends of $1.66 per share in FY 2024. This is an increase from its previous forecast of $1.62 per share. Based on the latest ANZ share price of $28.21, this will mean a 5.9% partially franked dividend yield for investors.

    In FY 2025, Goldman has also lifted its dividend forecast from $1.62 per share to $1.66 per share. This will mean another attractive partially franked 5.9% dividend yield for shareholders to look forward to receiving.

    And if you’re a fan of consistency (and big yields), you will be pleased to know that Goldman expects a third year in a row of $1.66 per share partially franked dividends in FY 2026. This will mean yet another 5.9% dividend yield for investors.

    Overall, the broker appears to believe that the big yields are here to stay, which is likely to be supportive of the ANZ share price during the forecast period.

    The post Here’s the ANZ dividend forecast through to 2026 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Australia And New Zealand Banking Group right now?

    Before you buy Australia And New Zealand Banking Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Australia And New Zealand Banking Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • BHP shares on watch after new $64b Anglo American takeover offer rejected

    a sad looking engineer or miner wearing a high visibility jacket and a hard hat stands alone with his head bowed and hand to his forehead as he speaks on a mobile telephone out front of what appears to be an on site work shed.

    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares will be in focus on Monday.

    That’s because it has just been revealed that the mining behemoth has made a new takeover offer for Anglo American plc (LSE: AAL).

    As a reminder, late last month the Big Australian tabled a non-binding offer of:

    • 0.7097 BHP shares per Anglo American share,
    • And ordinary shares in Anglo American Platinum and Kumba Iron Ore (which would be distributed by Anglo American to its shareholders in direct proportion to each shareholder’s effective interest in Anglo Platinum and Kumba)

    This was swiftly rejected by its target on the belief that the offer undervalued the company and was opportunistic. Anglo American’s chair, Stuart Chambers, explained:

    The BHP proposal is opportunistic and fails to value Anglo American’s prospects, while significantly diluting the relative value upside participation of Anglo American’s shareholders relative to BHP’s shareholders.

    New offer

    Overnight, Anglo American Mining revealed that it has received another offer from BHP.

    It notes that the structure of the latest proposal is unchanged and comprises an all-share offer.

    What has changed is the amount of BHP shares that are being put on the table. The new offer is as follows:

    • 8132 BHP shares
    • Ordinary shares in each of Anglo American Platinum and Kumba Iron Ore

    This values Anglo American Mining at GBP34 billion or A$64 billion.

    Second rejection

    Unfortunately for BHP, the copper miner has also rejected this latest offer. Once again, its board believes the proposal significantly undervalues its business.

    Chambers commented:

    The latest proposal from BHP again fails to recognise the value inherent in Anglo American. Anglo American shareholders are well positioned to benefit from increasing demand from future enabling products while the increasing capital intensity to bring greenfield supply online makes proven assets with world class resource endowments ever more attractive. The Anglo American team is focused on delivering against its strategic priorities of operational excellence, portfolio simplification and growth and is set to accelerate delivery in order to unlock this inherent value.

    Anglo American also dislikes the structure of the proposal, which was unchanged from the last offer. The chairman adds:

    The BHP proposal also continues to have a highly unattractive structure. This leaves Anglo American, its shareholders and stakeholders disproportionately at risk from the substantial uncertainty and execution risk created by the proposed inter-conditional execution of two demergers and a takeover.

    What’s next?

    BHP has yet to comment on the offer and its rejection.

    Nor has there been any comment on whether the miner will try to make it third time lucky. But given its determination to boost its copper exposure, it wouldn’t be surprising to see BHP return with an improved offer.

    The post BHP shares on watch after new $64b Anglo American takeover offer rejected appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why this ASX 200 stock could generate a 40% 12-month return

    A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today

    If you are on the lookout for big returns to supercharge your investment portfolio, then read on.

    That’s because analysts at Goldman Sachs have just tipped an ASX 200 stock to generate a 12-month total return of over 40%.

    To put that into context, a $10,000 investment in this company’s shares would turn into approximately $14,000 in a year if the broker is on the money with its recommendation.

    Which ASX 200 stock could deliver big returns?

    The ASX 200 stock in question is media and entertainment company Nine Entertainment Co Holdings Ltd (ASX: NEC)

    According to a note that was released this morning, the broker has responded to the company’s strategy day presentation by retaining its buy rating and $2.10 price target.

    Based on the Nine Entertainment share price of $1.53, this implies potential upside of 37% for investors over the next 12 months.

    In addition, Goldman Sachs is forecasting fully franked dividend yields of 5.2% in FY 2024 and then 5.9% in FY 2025. This boosts the total annual potential return to over 42%.

    What did the broker say?

    Goldman was cautiously optimistic about the strategy day update, noting that it demonstrated how the company stands to benefit from its technology, data and artificial intelligence (AI) offerings. The broker said:

    Broadly we were encouraged by the detailed update and remain positive on Nine’s strategy. However although currently being masked by challenging ad markets, we would want to see the c.$100mn p.a. investment being made in product/tech translate into both above market growth (from higher yields), alongside improving efficiency across the business as ad markets ultimately recover. Nine was upbeat on this, reiterating its view that it can grow its Total TV Audience, grow average CPMs given 9Now adoption, and improve efficiency through AI.

    It then adds:

    Supporting this view, a range of examples was provided, including: (1) 9 Ad Manager driving 2X CPMs, with 12% of users currently adopting the Gen AI tool; (2) Nine’s Second Gen data across its 22mn signed in users and 68 Tribes provides powerful targeting in a cookie-less world; (3) Automated captions to save and estimate $3-5mn in cost p.a.; (4) 9 ExPress, which converts scripted TV news content into news articles is improving output c.100%; (5) Gen AI improving journalist productivity 4X at Domain (potential revenue/opex benefits).

    Overall, the broker continues to believe this ASX 200 stock is well positioned to deliver consistent earnings and dividend growth over the coming years. As a result, it thinks it would be a good option for investors at current levels.

    The post Why this ASX 200 stock could generate a 40% 12-month return appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited right now?

    Before you buy Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nine Entertainment. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

    Broker looking at the share price.

    On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fought hard and managed to record the smallest of gains. The benchmark index rose a single point to 7,750 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to edge lower

    The Australian share market is expected to edge lower on Tuesday following a mixed start to the week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 8 points or 0.1% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.2% and the S&P 500 was down a fraction, but the NASDAQ rose 0.3%.

    BHP makes new takeover offer

    The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price will be on watch today after the mining giant made another offer to acquire Anglo American plc (LSE: AAL). BHP has increased its offer to 0.8132 BHP shares and ordinary shares in each of Anglo American Platinum and of Kumba Iron Ore. This compares to its previous offer of 0.7097 BHP shares per share. However, it hasn’t been enough for the Anglo American board, which has rejected the offer.

    Oil prices charge higher

    It could be a good session for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) after oil prices charged higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 1.1% to US$79.14 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 0.75% to US$83.42 a barrel. Oil demand optimism boosted prices overnight.

    Fletcher Building rated neutral

    Fletcher Building Ltd (ASX: FBU) shares are about fair value according to Goldman Sachs. This is despite the building products company’s shares crashing to a multi-year low on Monday following the release of a disappointing market update. In response to the update, Goldman has retained its neutral rating with a $3.05 price target (from $3.70). It said: “We believe the valuation appears undemanding on a through-the-cycle basis. However, we expect leverage to weigh on valuation. Specifically, we estimate that ND:EBITDA will peak at 2.2x in Dec24, which is above management’s target range of 1-2x.”

    Gold price tumbles

    ASX 200 gold shares including Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) could have a tough session on Tuesday after the gold price tumbled overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 1.4% to US$2,342.2 an ounce. Traders appear to have doubts over the outlook for rate cuts in the United States.

    The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 4 founder-led ASX 300 shares that have helped this fund outperform

    Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.

    Beating the market by buying our own portfolio of ASX 300 shares is always a difficult task.

    Most ASX share market index funds have historically delivered some compelling returns over long periods of time. Overcoming the efficiency of an index fund and generating even higher returns is the north star of most ASX investors. But it’s a task that’s far easier said than done.

    So when a fundie manages to do so, it’s always worth taking a look to see how they pulled it off.

    That’s exactly what Airlie Funds Management can boast of today. Airlie’s Australian Share Fund has returned an average of 10.65% per annum (as of 30 April) since its founding in 2018, handily outperforming an ASX index fund by more than 2% per annum.

    Airlie has also managed to hit an average return of 11.85% over the five years to 30 April 2024, beating its benchmark by 3.85% per annum.

    So Airlie clearly knows what it’s doing when it comes to beating the market.

    Luckily, today we get a chance to go through the ASX 300 shares that this successful fundie is eying off for its next investments.

    The ASX 300 shares that Airlie is buying

    As reported in the Australian Financial Review (AFR), Airlie portfolio manager Emma Fisher named Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN), Reece Ltd (ASX: REH), Resmed Inc (ASX: RMD) and Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) as some of Airlie’s most recent successes, helping to drive the fund’s 12.7% return over the 12 months to 30 April.

    These ASX 300 shares are all founder-lead – an attribute that Fisher names as a critical component of Airlie’s success with them. She told the AFR that the meetings with these companies management “stood out”:

    I have always found a lot of value from being in a room with management. Maybe not in every meeting, maybe a lot of them are a wash, but when you meet the real deal, it really stands out for you.

    In terms of the fund’s next winners, Fisher states that blue chips like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) are long-term staples of Airlie’s portfolio.

    But she’s most excited about her next ASX 300 shares, which are “big bets” and include IDP Education Ltd (ASX: IEL).

    IDP is currently going through some regulatory issues, which has resulted in the company’s share price losing significant value in recent months. But Fisher is taking advantage of this as a buying opportunity:

    They’ve got the balance sheet, they’re the leading player, it’s not a capital-intensive industry, and they don’t need much cash to grow, so they’re going to survive a downturn.

    Fisher has also been showing serious interest in the big supermarkets Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) and Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL):

    They’ve fallen so much… If you bought the banks off the back of the royal commission, if you bought Qantas when it was having its own inquiry grilling last year, you’ve done pretty well. So now it’s the supermarkets’ time in the headlights.

    So those are the ASX 300 shares that Airlie is eyeing off as its next potential winners. Let’s see how they do over the next 12 months and beyond.

    The post 4 founder-led ASX 300 shares that have helped this fund outperform appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Idp Education, and ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group and ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL, Idp Education, and Premier Investments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 3 ASX shares at 52-week lows or worse

    A businesswoman gets angry, shaking her fist at her computer.

    The market may be trading close to its record high, but the same cannot be said for the ASX shares in this article.

    Much to the dismay of their shareholders, these shares have just hit 52-week lows or worse. Here’s what you need to know:

    AVITA Medical Inc (ASX: AVH)

    The AVITA Medical share price dropped to a 52-week low of $2.54 on Monday. This means that the regenerative medicine company’s shares have now lost around a third of their value over the last 12 months.

    Almost all of this decline was generated last month when the company released its first-quarter sales update. That update revealed that AVITA Medical expects to report commercial revenue in the range of US$11 million to US$11.3 million for the quarter. This compares to its previous guidance of US$14.8 million to US$15.6 million.

    Management advised that its guidance downgrade is attributable to a slower-than-expected conversion rate of new accounts for its expanded label of full-thickness skin defects.

    Interestingly, its first quarter results are being released on Tuesday. So, watch out for them.

    Fletcher Building Ltd (ASX: FBU)

    The Fletcher Building share price sank to a multi-year low of $2.85 yesterday. This was driven by the release of a disappointing trading update.

    That update revealed that market conditions across the company’s Materials and Distribution divisions have weakened throughout FY 2024. In light of this, management expects to fall short of its EBIT before significant items guidance of NZ$540 million to NZ$640 million.

    It now expects a result in the range of NZ$500 million to NZ$530 million for FY 2024. Management also warned that it expects market conditions to remain challenging in both New Zealand and Australia in the near term.

    Fletcher Building shares are now down approximately 36% since this time last year.

    Omni Bridgeway Ltd (ASX: OBL)

    The Omni Bridgeway share price tumbled to a multi-year low of 77.5 cents on Monday.

    Investors were selling the litigation funder’s shares after the Federal Court of Australia ruled in favour of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) in a shareholder class action.

    This is a big loss for the company. It notes that CBA investment’s pre-judgment fair value represented approximately 5% of the aggregate A$2.5 billion non-IFRS portfolio fair value at 31 December 2023 and approximately 8% of the A$4.4 billion EPV.

    Following this decline, this ASX share is now down by a very disappointing 72% over the last 12 months.

    The post 3 ASX shares at 52-week lows or worse appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Avita Medical. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Avita Medical. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • What are 3 of the safest ASX 200 tech shares in Australia right now?

    a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.

    The global population’s hunger for software and data shows no signs of abating, and the question on many an investor’s mind is, what does this mean for ASX 200 tech shares?

    As recently penned by my colleague Mitch Lawler, the ASX tech sector traded at nosebleed valuations throughout April. In fact, many investors believe tech shares are not a safe place to park their money right now, given such high valuations.

    Let’s also paint the current economic scene for a moment.

    The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expects economic growth to “remain low over the next year”, only picking back up well into 2025. It also predicts inflation won’t return to target levels until the second half of next year, potentially ruling out the chance of a rate cut in 2024.

    Hardly conducive to growth.

    However, returning to the subject of ASX tech shares, I’m of the opinion that tech companies with outstanding projected revenue growth in the face of economic uncertainty have a competitive advantage. That is why, when looking at ASX tech shares, it’s important to gauge what’s behind the optimism.

    One theme that has recently supported surging tech stock prices is artificial intelligence (AI). This has given rise to new growth in data centres.

    For instance, according to consulting giant McKinsey, global demand for data centres is forecast to grow by 10% per year until 2030, driven by advancements in computing and AI.

    So, against this backdrop, here are three ASX 200 tech companies analysts think will hold up well in the current climate, despite high valuations in the sector.

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

    When I think “safety”, I think stability. For many ASX 200 tech stock investors, this means solid annual recurring revenue, or “ARR” for short.

    Top broker Goldman Sachs also takes a keen interest in ARR, as evidenced by its recent note on enterprise software company TechnologyOne.

    In case you weren’t aware, TechnologyOne is one of Australia’s largest public software players. It has operations in six countries. Its share price has grown from $2.52 apiece in May 2014 to $16.47 at Monday’s close, an average 20% return per year.

    Analysts at Goldman believe the company could grow its ARR by $425 million this year, a 35% increase from last year.

    But, it says this growth potential is “not being fully reflected at [TechnologyOne’s] valuation”.

    The broker instead values this ASX 200 tech share at $18.10, around 10% upside potential at the time of writing.

    TechnologyOne has also increased its dividend every year since 2005, and any growth in ARR could potentially support continued dividend hikes.

    Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO)

    After Xero announced it would introduce a number of price increases on its Australian subscription plans, Goldman Sachs flagged the accounting platform as a standout looking forward.

    The announced changes will see an 8% to 14% average price increase across all plans, effective 1 July this year.

    Following the update, Goldman immediately upgraded the company’s FY 2025/2026 revenue projections by 2% to 3%, “reflecting strong ANZ annual revenue per user”.

    “We see Xero as very well-placed to take advantage of the digitisation of SMBs globally”, the broker added in its note.

    Goldman analysts also estimate the ASX tech share’s total addressable market to be around $91 billion, and growing.

    That’s currently around 4.7 times the size of Xero’s market capitalisation of $19.1 billion, illustrating the size of the opportunity.

    As such, Goldman values Xero at $156 apiece, which is around 27% upside potential, as I write.

    Nextdc Ltd (ASX: NXT)

    Shares in regional data centre operator Nextdc have rallied around 27% into the green this year.

    Following this, it’s little surprise to see analysts at Morgans chime in on the company, placing Nextdc in a prominent position on the data centre mantlepiece.

    Morgans projects Nextdc could “comfortably” generate over $300 million in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) in the next 5 years.

    That’s around 50 cents per Nextdc share or roughly 2.8% of the company’s market value.

    Morgans rates Nextdc as a buy with a $19.00 valuation. But, as covered by my Foolish colleague James Mickleboro late last month, the broker is also eyeing a potential $40 price target by 2030.

    Foolish takeaway

    Even with a downturn in the economic cycle, as some are predicting, analysts have projected strong revenue growth for each of these ASX 200 tech shares.

    I believe this should provide investors with a level of confidence moving forward and could even be seen as a competitive advantage.

    The post What are 3 of the safest ASX 200 tech shares in Australia right now? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group, Technology One, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Buy Telstra and these ASX dividend stocks for income

    Are you looking for ASX dividend stocks to buy? If you are, it could be worth looking at the ones in this article.

    That’s because they have all recently been named as buys and tipped to offer attractive dividend yields. Here’s what you need to know about them:

    Aurizon Holdings Ltd (ASX: AZJ)

    The first ASX dividend stock that could be a buy next week is Aurizon.

    Each year, it transports more than 250 million tonnes of Australian commodities, connecting miners, primary producers and industry with international and domestic markets. This includes providing customers with integrated freight and logistics solutions across an extensive national rail and road network that traverses Australia.

    Ord Minnett is positive on the company’s outlook and has an accumulate rating and $4.70 price target on its shares.

    As for dividends, its analysts are forecasting partially franked dividends of 17.8 cents per share in FY 2024 and then 24.3 cents per share in FY 2025. Based on the latest Aurizon share price of $3.78, this will mean yields of 4.7% and 6.4%, respectively.

    Centuria Industrial REIT (ASX: CIP)

    Another ASX dividend stock that could be a buy according to analysts this month is Centuria Industrial.

    It offers investors the opportunity to invest in industrial property via a real estate investment trust. It is also Australia’s largest domestic pure play industrial property investment vehicle with a portfolio of 88 high-quality, fit-for-purpose industrial assets worth a collective $3.8 billion. These assets are situated in key in-fill locations and close to key infrastructure.

    UBS currently rates the company’s shares as a buy and has a $3.71 price target on them.

    As for income, the broker is expecting Centuria Industrial to pay dividends per share of 16 cents in both FY 2024 and in FY 2025. Based on the current Centuria Industrial share price of $3.25, this represents dividend yields of 4.9% for income investors in both years.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    A final ASX dividend stock that could be a buy is Telstra.

    Telstra is of course Australia’s leading telecommunications and technology company. It offers a full range of communications services and currently provides 22.5 million retail mobile services and 3.4 million retail bundle and data services in Australia.

    Goldman Sachs thinks the telco giant would be a top buy right now. It has a buy rating and $4.55 price target on Telstra’s shares.

    In respect to dividends, its analysts are forecasting fully franked dividends of 18 cents per share in FY 2024 and 19 cents per share in FY 2025. Based on the current Telstra share price of $3.67, this represents yields of 4.9% and 5.2%, respectively.

    The post Buy Telstra and these ASX dividend stocks for income appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aurizon. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Where to find value inside the top 50 ASX shares in May

    A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

    Many time-tested quality companies are within the top 50 ASX shares, known as the S&P/ASX 50 Index (ASX: XFL). On the flip side, I’d also argue there’s a fair number of mediocre to poor businesses within the mix that I’d rather not own.

    Sure, I could buy the entire bunch through an exchange-traded fund (ETF) and call it a day. But I believe that a little fundamental analysis goes a long way. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to work out that an extremely indebted business with declining revenue may not have as bright of a future as some of its peers.

    I’ve flipped through the top 50 big dogs of Australian equities. After doing a little digging, two companies are a strong buy this month at the current prices, in my opinion.

    Detecting for top value shares on the ASX

    Being a stock picker is all about ‘finding value’ — discovering the companies with upside where others see none.

    Uncovering a misunderstood business with solid fundamentals is the holy grail of stock picking. Investing in such a stock can grow a person’s wealth well beyond the market average.

    I believe Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL) is one top ASX share that fits the bill this month.

    A pioneer in gaming technology, Aristocrat knows the industry well. Yet, investors have shied away from this top ASX share amid softness in pokie machine sales. Concerns have pushed the Aristocrat Leisure price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to its lowest since 2020, during the pandemic, at around 18 times earnings.

    A net cash position of $845 million, a net income margin of 21%, and an expanding presence in the United States haven’t won over the market. The chart below shows that shares in Aristocrat Leisure are flat versus a year ago.

    In my opinion, Aristocrat Leisure has appealing fundamentals and a hard-to-ignore valuation.

    Moving along, Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) is also catching my attention in May. The largest listed utility company on the Australian market might be up 18.8% over the last 12 months, but I still think there is value to be found.

    First, Origin easily touts the healthiest balance sheet out of the three largest ASX utility companies. Debt-to-equity has been drastically reduced from 80% to 30% over the last decade. Whereas AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) has increased slightly (41% to 45%), and APA Group (ASX: APA) has ballooned (117% to 364%).

    My two cents are that Origin Energy appears to be skillfully positioning itself for the energy transition. The combination of gas production, renewable energy assets, and its finger in smart grid technology via its Octopus Energy stake is a future-proof mix.

    I think it’s an undervalued combination of assets, even at a market capitalisation of $17.1 billion.

    Honourable mention goes to

    I won’t be calling the bottom for Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) just yet. Still, the most shorted stock on the ASX could be starting to show signs of value for anyone brave enough to face the ocean of short sellers.

    Sitting on nearly $1.7 billion of net cash, the top ASX lithium share is positioned to ride out subdued lithium demand. Given the quality of its resources and low cost of production, Pilbara Minerals is one miner that can make it through the lull.

    While I won’t be rushing out to buy shares in this lithium company, it’s certainly a top 50 ASX share I’ll watch closely.

    The post Where to find value inside the top 50 ASX shares in May appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.