Category: Stock Market

  • Should I buy ASX shares now or wait? See what Lazard says

    Ordinary Australians waiting at the bus stop using their phones to trade ASX 200 shares today

    With the new financial year underway, Australian investors are wondering whether now is the right time to buy ASX shares.

    It was a great year for global stock markets, especially in the technology sector, driven by the race to develop artificial intelligence (AI).

    Investors can gain exposure to ASX and international shares through two highly diversified exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The first is the iShares Global 100 ETF (ASX: IOO) for exposure to international stocks, and the second is the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS).

    The question remains: Is now the right time to buy, or should you hold off? Here’s what the experts think.

    Lazard’s insights: a compass for investors

    Lazard Asset Management’s midyear commentary is a gold mine of investment wisdom.

    In what is sound advice, chief strategist Richard Temple recommends investors maintain a long-term perspective when buying ASX shares despite potential short-term volatility.

    Specifically, Temple highlights the technology sector’s resilience and growth potential, which are driven by large tailwinds from AI.

    However, Temple also cautions that the AI industry’s rapid growth may not be sustained without producing strong returns on investment.

    In my view, the tech-AI juggernaut can only be sustained if the customers buying these goods and services realise a return on investment.

    Put simply, CEOs and CFOs of large companies will not just continue to pour money into AI investments if there is no evidence that the capital deployment is paying off.

    Lazard further suggests that, while the U.S. markets might face limited upside due to high valuation levels, international and Australian markets – where IOO and VAS are significant players â€“ could see more robust growth.

    Non-US markets are trading on much less demanding valuation multiples and are likely to benefit from accelerating growth while US growth decelerates. Moreover, non-US companies typically are more exposed to floating-rate debt, which should benefit them disproportionately as the ECB and other non-US central banks ease before the Fed.

    Performance highlights of ASX and global shares

    After a challenging start, the year turned out to be excellent for purchasing ASX shares. This trend was also observed with their global counterparts, especially in the US.

    The performance of the IOO and VAS ETFs highlights this. Below, you can see each’s performance, including a brief explanation of each fund’s advantage. (Keep in mind this is not an endorsement for these ETFs, or to buy any ASX shares in them):

    1. iShares Global 100 ETF:
      • Diversification: IOO offers exposure to top global companies, ensuring participation in global growth dynamics beyond the Australian market.
      • Tech-Heavy Portfolio: With significant stakes in technology, IOO could be positioned to benefit from tech sector growth, which is especially pertinent as digital transformation accelerates.
    2. Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF:
      • Broad Exposure: VAS tracks the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO), offering a comprehensive slice of the Australian market.
      • FY24 Performance: VAS reported a solid 7.4% capital growth and a 3.9% distribution return, culminating in a total return of 11.3% for the year, excluding franking credits.

    Investing in ETFs like IOO and VAS lets you buy ASX shares in one portfolio. For IOO, the tech-heavy focus is a double-edged sword; rapid growth potential exists, but so does volatility in market downturns.

    Meanwhile, VAS provides a stable reflection of the Australian economy, which is valuable for those seeking domestic exposure. However, it’s important to note that the ASX indices are heavily weighted to resources/mining and banking.

    Lazard’s final thoughts: buy now or wait?

    According to Lazard’s market commentary, investors should brace for continued volatility and recognise long-term growth opportunities.

    The emphasis is on staying invested rather than trying to buy ASX shares and time the market, a strategy that aligns with the historical performance of ETFs like IOO and VAS. This also avoids tax issues with rapidly buying and selling ASX shares.

    Strategist Temple says that the market’s view is “shifting to lower short-term interest rates and reduced earnings on cash” and that many investors are hesitant to buy riskier assets “at or near record-high market levels”.

    My view is that the best approach is to allocate capital away from cash to riskier assets while identifying those “risky” assets that are less correlated to the most expensive parts of the global equity market (e.g., tech and AI leaders) and instead invest in areas of the market that have more unrecognised upside going forward.

    Buy ASX shares for the long-term

    The decision to buy ASX shares now or later ultimately hinges on your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and financial goals. ETFs like IOO and VAS could offer robust pathways to growth, albeit with inherent market risks.

    Regardless, considering a long-term investment approach is key if you’re inclined towards long-term gains. As such, Temple says market timing is less important.

    Overall, the lesson of history is that owning equities over time is among the best investment options, but it is important to be fully invested through the cycle and to not try to time the markets. In fact, one recent analysis indicated that over the 20 years from 2003 to 2022, investors who missed the 10 strongest up-days in the US equity market forfeited over half of the total return from the entire investment period.

    As always, remember your own personal risk tolerances and consult professional advice when necessary.

    The post Should I buy ASX shares now or wait? See what Lazard says appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Ishares International Equity Etfs – Ishares Global 100 Etf right now?

    Before you buy Ishares International Equity Etfs – Ishares Global 100 Etf shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Ishares International Equity Etfs – Ishares Global 100 Etf wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • CSL shares: ‘Healthy growth at a reasonable price’

    CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares could be a great option for growth investors right now.

    That’s what one leading broker is saying, describing the biotherapeutics giant as representing “healthy growth at a reasonable price.”

    What is the broker saying about CSL shares?

    According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts believe that the relative underperformance of CSL shares since 2020 has created an attractive buying opportunity for investors.

    This is because it believes CSL has now broken through its COVID headwinds and is about to enter a period of strong and sustainable growth. It said:

    CSL presents an attractive buying opportunity. CSL has been in a holding pattern since 2020, and for good reason. COVID hit the business with higher collection costs for plasma, depressing margins. We anticipate the start of a margin recovery phase for CSL, driving above-market earnings growth over the next few years.

    Despite the above, the broker highlights that its shares are still trading on a lower than normal price to earnings (PE) ratio and at a discount to peers Cochlear Ltd (ASX: COH) and Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (ASX: FPH) on growth-adjusted multiples. Bell Potter explains:

    CSL trades at a 12-month forward PE of ~28x, representing a discount to its 10-year average of ~31x and a substantial discount to its 5 year average of ~35x. With consensus expecting mid-teen earnings growth over the next few years, CSL trades on a PEG ratio of 1.7x, which looks attractive vs large cap peers COH and FPH that trade on PEG ratios of 3.7x and 2.5x respectively. Given the company’s proven quality and growth prospects, we believe significant upside remains.

    More reasons to be positive

    Another reason to be positive according to the broker is CSL’s significant investment in research and development (R&D) each year. It sees scope for its R&D to underpin stronger than expected earnings growth. It adds:

    CSL’s annual investment of US$1.3 billion to US$1.4 billion in R&D fuels a robust pipeline of new products, solidifying its position as a market leader in innovation. Successful launches of these products can drive earnings growth, which is not fully reflected in consensus.

    Finally, Bell Potter also highlights that the company’s margins could be better than many expect in the near future. It feels this could also force consensus earnings upgrades. The broker adds:

    We believe CSL has the potential to improve margins faster than anticipated, suggesting the next few years could be marked by earnings upgrades.

    In light of the above, Bell Potter thinks that now is the time to snap up CSL shares for the long term.

    The post CSL shares: ‘Healthy growth at a reasonable price’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in CSL right now?

    Before you buy CSL shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and CSL wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Cochlear. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL and Cochlear. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Which ASX 200 stock is breaking into battery tech with $50 million?

    A golfer celebrates a good shot at the tee, indicating success.

    As the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) drifts almost 1% lower over the last month of trade, one ASX 200 stock is separating itself from the pack in FY25.

    HMC Capital Ltd (ASX: HMC), an alternative asset manager traditionally known for its holdings in real estate and finance, has announced a strategic acquisition today.

    While the announcement isn’t market-sensitive, it builds on the momentum the ASX 200 stock established in FY24. As discussed in my recent analysis, HMC Capital was one of the top-performing Australian real estate investment trusts (REITs) last financial year.

    Here’s a closer look at the upcoming transaction’s details.

    ASX 200 stock pivoting to energy

    HMC announced on Monday it has committed to an investment of up to $50 million over three years into StorEnergy Pty Ltd, a battery storage company.

    The move extends the ASX 200 stock’s recent entry into the renewable energy market. Traditionally, the company – which manages more than $12.5 billion of client assets – has expertise in real estate assets. As such, this is quite the leap sideways.

    However, as part of its Energy Transition platform, HMC aims to “assemble a 15GW development portfolio across the energy value chain…”

    This includes renewable energies such as wind, solar, battery, and bio-fuels, it says.

    According to the ASX 200 stock, StorEnergy develops and operates “utility-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS)”.

    It currently holds a 1.4GW development portfolio valued at approximately $2 billion. These projects are reportedly near existing grid infrastructure, which HMC thinks could be an advantage.

    The investment includes an initial tranche of an unspecified amount, with additional commitments planned over the next three years depending on various milestones.

    Following the investment, the ASX 200 stock will own a majority stake in StorEnergy. It is expected to close by early July 2024.

    What did management say?

    Looking ahead, HMC says it is preparing a campaign to raise a potential $2 billion for its Energy Transition Platform.

    Regarding this current investment, HMC’s head of Energy Transition, Angela Karl, expressed optimism about the partnership with StorEnerg. Karl highlighted synergies and the asset’s “potential to be scaled significantly” as part of HMC’s growth plans.

    CEO and managing director David Di Pilla highlighted the strategic significance of the investment, noting:

    Our investment in StorEnergy represents an exciting step in the establishment of HMC Capital’s Energy Transition platform, something we have both the ambition and capability to develop into the National Champion for Australia’s decarbonisation.

    HMC share price snapshot

    HMC has started the new year in the green. The ASX 200 stock is up 0.48% at $7.29 at the time of writing and has lifted more than 50% in the past 12 months.

    The post Which ASX 200 stock is breaking into battery tech with $50 million? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Hmc Capital right now?

    Before you buy Hmc Capital shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Hmc Capital wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Are Macquarie or CBA shares a better buy?

    a couple consider the advice from a man with documents laid out on a table and the man holding a tablet in his hand.

    Investors who have owned Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares have enjoyed the benefits of positive long-term investments.

    CBA is known as the biggest bank in Australia, and it has an impressive position in the Australian home lending space.

    Macquarie’s business has four different segments: asset management, investment banking, commodities and global markets (CGM), and a retail bank providing banking and loans.

    But let’s compare the ASX bank shares in three different areas – valuation, dividend yield and potential growth — to find out which is a better buy right now.

    Macquarie and CBA share price valuation

    The price/earnings (P/E) ratio isn’t everything, but the earnings multiple can tell us if one business is trading more expensively than another within the same sector. Or, the change in a company’s own P/E ratio can tell us if it’s cheaper or more expensive than it used to be.

    Using the estimates from the broker UBS, the Macquarie share price is valued at 19x FY25’s estimated earnings and 18x FY26’s estimated earnings.

    In comparison, the CBA share price is valued at close to 22x FY25’s estimated earnings and 21x FY26’s estimated earnings.

    On the above numbers, Macquarie shares are trading more expensively than CBA shares.

    Potential growth

    CBA’s operational activities focus largely on lending to households and businesses in Australia and New Zealand. The bank has been pushing to grow its business lending, which was 1.1x the overall Australian system for the three months to March 2024. However, CBA’s home lending was only 0.7x the system.

    CBA and many of the domestic ASX bank shares are currently suffering from high levels of competition in the sector. This is impacting net interest margin (NIM) and limiting growth. CBA’s quarterly cash net profit was down 5% year over year to around $2.4 billion.

    In contrast, Macquarie is growing its market share and challenging the major players. I’ll also point out that Macquarie makes a significant amount of its earnings internationally. The company has the option to allocate attention and capital to whichever market it thinks it can make the best returns from.

    Macquarie has also been looking to tap into areas like renewable energy, which is a big area of potential investment in the coming years as the world looks to decarbonise.

    According to UBS, Macquarie’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow by 33% between FY25 and FY28. However, CBA’s EPS is only expected to grow by 4% between FY25 and FY28.

    I think Macquarie shares offer much more earnings growth potential, so I’d buy shares of the investment bank over CBA shares.

    Dividend yield

    Capital growth could account for the majority of future returns for both businesses, but the dividend return is also an important part of the picture.

    According to the independent forecasts on Commsec, owners of CBA shares are expected to receive a fully franked dividend yield of just under 3.6% in FY25 and just over 3.6% in FY26.

    Owners of Macquarie shares are projected to receive a partially franked dividend yield of 3.4% in FY25 and 3.7% in FY26. Macquarie’s projected superior earnings growth could lead to a better dividend yield.

    The post Are Macquarie or CBA shares a better buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia right now?

    Before you buy Commonwealth Bank Of Australia shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why is the BHP share price starting the week with a whimper?

    a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

    The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is sliding today.

    Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant closed Friday trading for $44.39. In late morning trade on Monday, shares are changing hands for $43.82 apiece, down 1.3%.

    That sees the big Aussie miner trailing the benchmark, with the ASX 200 down a lesser 0.4% at this same time.

    It’s not just the BHP share price that’s underperforming though. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares are down 1.9%, while Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are down 1.5% at this same time.

    Here’s why the ASX 200 miners are battling headwinds today.

    Why is the BHP share price underperforming on Monday?

    Most of the selling pressure impacting BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue today appears to be due to the 3% decline in the iron ore price over the weekend. After defying bearish expectations and climbing for most of the first week of July, the iron ore price dipped back to just over US$110 per tonne.

    The reason once more looks to be driven by concerns that China’s sluggish, steel-hungry property markets have yet to regain any solid growth traction. Coupled with news of growing iron ore stockpiles at China’s largest ports, iron ore traders have been favouring their sell buttons.

    With iron ore counting as BHP’s biggest revenue earner, the BHP share price is joining in that sell-down today.

    Indeed, over the half-year to 31 December, the miner reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$9.7 billion from its iron ore division alone.

    In its half-year report, released on 20 February, BHP estimated it will produce between 254 million and 264.5 million tonnes of iron ore in FY 2024.

    So any pull back in demand from China, the world’s biggest consumer of iron ore, is going to have an impact on the BHP share price.

    The miner addressed its own cautious outlook for Chinese iron ore and other commodity demand earlier this year, stating:

    The Chinese economy has been volatile since the zero-COVID policy was eased in December 2022…

    Throughout the year authorities have acknowledged that additional policies will be needed to support China’s economic recovery. For the balance of FY24 and into FY25, the key question remains how effective the policy push will be. Until we see greater coherence between the policies and their effective implementation, our outlook will remain cautious and conditional.

    With today’s intraday moves factored in, the BHP share price is down 13% in 2024 but remains up 3% over 12 months.

    The post Why is the BHP share price starting the week with a whimper? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Bhp Group right now?

    Before you buy Bhp Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Bhp Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • This ASX mining share is surging 26% on ‘high-grade’ drilling results

    Encounter Resources Ltd (ASX: ENR) shares are catching the eye of investors on Monday.

    At one stage, the ASX mining share was up as much as 26% to a new high of 92 cents.

    The niobium explorer’s shares have eased back a touch since then but remain up 16% to 85 cents at the time of writing.

    Why is this ASX mining share surging?

    The catalyst for today’s gain has been the release of drilling results from the Aileron project in Western Australia.

    According to the release, aircore drilling has intersected further shallow, high-grade mineralisation at the West Arunta-based project.

    At the Crean target, continuous near-surface carbonatite was intersected across the four aircore drill lines completed to the west of previous drilling. Previously reported assay results from the most western aircore drill line returned shallow high-grade niobium mineralisation.

    Management notes that mineralisation at Crean is strongest on the two western sections. Pleasingly, it remains open to the west. As a result, the aircore drill rig has now returned to Crean to complete 200m spaced drill lines to extend this high-grade, near surface mineralisation further to the west.

    Over at the Emily target, as a reminder, fifteen widely spaced reverse circulation holes were completed by the ASX mining share late last year. Emily is centred on a magnetic low on the Endurance Fault, which is northwest of the world class Luni discovery owned by WA1 Resources Ltd (ASX: WA1).

    Management advised that 10 of the 15 reconnaissance holes intersected carbonatite. The carbonatite at Emily is variably anomalous in niobium and rare earth elements (REE) with shallow, high-grade niobium-REE intersected in two adjacent holes 400m apart.

    Its latest aircore drilling tested the north-south extent mineralisation intersected previously. The good news is the first assays received from Emily returned shallow, high-grade niobium-REE mineralisation north and south of there. Additional aircore drilling at Emily will be completed in July/August to establish strike extent of the high-grade mineralisation identified.

    The ASX mining share’s executive chairman, Will Robinson, commented:

    Aircore drilling is defining new belts of shallow niobium-REE carbonatite hosted mineralisation in the West Arunta. Highly enriched, near surface mineralisation has now been intersected at both the Crean and Emily targets which are located on separate structures at Aileron, over 10km apart. The aircore rig is currently completing further drill sections at the western end of Crean and will then return to Emily and Green.

    The post This ASX mining share is surging 26% on ‘high-grade’ drilling results appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Encounter Resources Limited right now?

    Before you buy Encounter Resources Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Encounter Resources Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Is the FY25 outlook compelling for AMP shares?

    Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.

    AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) shares have not performed well compared to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). In the 12 months to 30 June 2024, AMP shares fell by 2.6%, as shown on the chart below, while the ASX 200 rose by 7.8%. Therefore, the ASX financial share underperformed by over 10%.

    Of course, it’s important to note that AMP’s financial year follows the calendar year, so while the Australian 2024 tax year is over, AMP still has another six months of its FY24 to go.

    AMP has been facing headwinds in recent times from banking competition and a shifting environment in the financial advice space. Analysts are not expecting a spectacular recovery for the company, but have suggested it could see profit slowly climb.

    Before considering the outlook for the next 12 months or so, let’s review the latest financial updates from AMP.

    Earnings recap

    In the FY23 result, which was released in February 2024, AMP said its underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) grew by 6.5% to $196 million. It also paid a 2023 final dividend per share of 2 cents.

    AMP Bank said its underlying NPAT was $93 million, down from $103 million in FY22. The decline was due to a weaker net interest margin (NIM) compression and growth moderation. Its platforms’ underlying NPAT of $90 million was higher than FY22’s $65 million. The advice underlying net loss was $47 million, an improvement of 30.9%.

    In mid-April, the business revealed its quarterly update for the three months to March 2024.

    It said AMP Bank’s total loan book was $23.5 billion at March 2024, down from $24.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023. AMP Bank total deposits grew to $21.4 billion, up from $21.3 billion in the 2024 fourth quarter.

    Platforms net cash flows were $201 million, up 32% year over year. North inflows from independent financial advisers (IFAs) increased 22% year over year to $544 million. Platforms assets under management (AUM) increased to $74.3 billion, up from $71.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023.

    AMP also said its superannuation and investments AUM increased to $54.1 billion, up from $51.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023, with net cash outflows reducing to $371 million (down from $610 million of net cash outflows in the first quarter of 2023).

    Finally, New Zealand wealth management net cash outflows were $5 million, while AUM increased to $11.2 billion.

    Outlook for FY24 and FY25 for AMP shares

    At the time of the 2024 first quarter update, AMP Chief Executive Alexis George said:

    We are navigating the headwinds faced by AMP Bank by carefully managing our loan and deposit books, to help address margin pressures. We are making good progress on the development of our digital small business and consumer bank offer, launching in Q1 25, to lessen funding risks over the medium term by broadening the customer base and introducing a compelling transaction account offer that will help diversify and build deposits.

    Our wealth management businesses, Platforms, Superannuation & Investments and New Zealand, benefited from the positive investment markets, while in Australia pension payments increased as we continue to see the impact of the lifting of minimum drawdown limits that came into effect in July 2023.

    In terms of projections, UBS forecasts AMP to make a net profit of $220 million in FY24 and pay a dividend per share of 5 cents.

    The broker predicts AMP’s net profit can rise by 15% to $253 million in FY25. According to UBS, AMP shareholders are forecast to receive a dividend per share of 7 cents in FY25.

    UBS calls AMP shares a sell, with a price target of 98 cents.

    The post Is the FY25 outlook compelling for AMP shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Amp Limited right now?

    Before you buy Amp Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Amp Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Buy this ASX tech stock with a $600b opportunity

    If you’re wanting to invest in the tech sector, then you may want to consider Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB) shares.

    That’s the view of analysts at Bell Potter, which see value in the investment platform provider’s shares and a huge long-term growth opportunity.

    What is the broker saying about this ASX tech stock?

    Firstly, if you’re not familiar with the company, it is a specialist investment platform provider with over $100 billion in funds under administration (FUA). The vast majority of this relates to custodial services that provide financial intermediaries with a consolidated way to acquire, hold, and administer a broad range of investments.

    Last week, Bell Potter initiated coverage on the ASX tech stock with a buy rating and $53.20 price target.

    Based on its current share price of $46.88, this implies potential upside of approximately 13.5% for investors over the next 12 months.

    Commenting on its initiation, the broker said the following:

    We initiate on HUB with a Buy recommendation and a Target Price of $53.20 p/s. Our favourable investment view is supported by: (1) changes in advice, with investment professionals shifting away from institutionally owned platforms while seeking comprehensive technology solutions; (2) single digit market share and leading capital flows; and (3) increases to the super guarantee contribution and rollovers into self-managed super funds.

    $600 billion opportunity

    Bell Potter highlights that the area of the market that Hub24 operates is suffering from a lack of investment in technology. In light of this, it sees Hub24 as well-positioned to capture an estimated $600 billion in FUA from incumbents on legacy systems. It adds:

    Traditional Dealer Group attrition and a decade of underinvestment in technology has been a tailwind for specialist platform providers. Incumbents with legacy systems have ~$600bn in total FUA that could be redistributed in the medium-term. Adviser ratings recognised HUB as the best functional platform for the second consecutive year and we see this as an opportunity to upsell on capital flows.

    So, with this ASX tech stock having such a bright future and trading at a discount to rival Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL), it feels now is the time for investors to invest. Bell Potter concludes:

    Netwealth is trading on a blended 1 year forward EV/EBITDA of 32.9x with lower forecast FUA and mature EBIT margins. We don’t believe HUB’s trading discount of ~26% is justified and see the potential for it to rerate, predicated on superior technology, recurring revenue growth and operating leverage.

    The post Buy this ASX tech stock with a $600b opportunity appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Hub24 Limited right now?

    Before you buy Hub24 Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Hub24 Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Hub24 and Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Hub24. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Core Lithium share price leaps 9% as results catch short sellers by surprise

    Female miner standing smiling in a mine.

    The Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price is soaring higher today.

    Shares in the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) lithium stock closed Friday trading for 9.1 cents. In morning trade on Monday, shares are swapping hands for 9.9 cents apiece, up 8.8%.

    For some context, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is down 0.2% at this time.

    This outperformance follows the release of the lithium miner’s preliminary results for FY 2024, which caught a raft of short sellers wrong-footed today.

    Here’s what the company just reported.

    Why is the Core Lithium share price surging?

    Investors are bidding up the Core Lithium share price on Monday after the company revealed it had exceeded its FY 2024 production guidance. Over the 12 months, Core produced 95,020 dry metric tonnes (dmt) of spodumene concentrate and shipped 97,423 dmt.

    That tops management’s revised guidance of 90,000dmt-95,000dmt of production. And the spodumene concentrate sales exceeded revised guidance of 80,000dmt-90,000dmt.

    This was aided by the quarter just past, which saw record shipments of spodumene concentrate of 33,027 dmt, atop of 19,771 dmt of lithium fines.

    Lithium fines sales in FY 2024 came in at 66,140 dmt.

    And the balance sheets took a turn for the better, with Core Lithium reporting an unaudited cash balance of $87.6 million at 30 June, up from $80.4 million at the end of March. The company has no debt.

    The miner said it will now pause its Finniss operations, with restart assessments currently underway. It will now prioritise the safe preservation of the Finniss assets in a restart ready state.

    Core is also preparing to commence drilling programs at Shoobridge, Finniss and Napperby. Results of that drilling campaign are expected in the coming months.

    What did management say?

    Commenting on the results sending the Core Lithium share price soaring today, CEO Paul Brown said, “I would like to commend the team on the operational performance in FY24, particularly the safe and orderly cessation of production activities at Finniss while achieving record production and shipments.”

    Brown added:

    Our commitment is to judiciously protect our balance sheet by reducing costs across the organisation and making prudent investments in our assets where we believe it can grow shareholder value.

    Central to this is putting Finniss in a position where operations can rapidly resume with minimal capital. This would only occur when we are confident the lithium market conditions support such a decision.

    Our strategic focus will be on making Finniss a more robust operation in the future, and exploration is a key enabler of this.

    In FY 2025, we will be drill testing priority targets around Finniss, potentially adding meaningful life to future lithium mining operations. We will also be advancing earlier stage, low multi-commodity exploration activities within our Northern Territory landholding to demonstrate the value in these projects.

    Our business will stay agile and prepared for future opportunities, both within the company and externally, as they arise.

    Core Lithium share price snapshot

    Despite today’s bounce, the Core Lithium share price remains down 89% over 12 months.

    The post Core Lithium share price leaps 9% as results catch short sellers by surprise appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Core Lithium Ltd right now?

    Before you buy Core Lithium Ltd shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Core Lithium Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Could this ASX dividend share offer a huge 11% yield in 2026?

    A strong female athlete powers up as she runs and leaps into the air.

    Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1) is a leading shoe retailer, but it’s also usually an impressive ASX dividend share. In 2026, it’s projected to have a very large dividend yield.

    This business acts as the distributor for a number of global shoe brands including Vans, Hoka, Kappa, Skechers, Herschel, Sebago, Merrell, CAT, Saucony, Dr Martens, Palladium, Ugg, Autry, Superga and Timberland.

    It also owns several businesses, including The Athlete’s Foot, Nude Lucy, Article One, Stylerunner, Lulu and Rose, Platypus, Glue Store, and Hype.

    Due to its retail nature, the business usually trades on a relatively low price/earnings (P/E) ratio, which can enable a fairly high dividend yield.

    Huge projected dividend yield

    Accent’s FY24 result may show some disappointing year-over-year profit numbers because of the weak consumer environment at the moment. Households don’t have as much to spend at the moment because of high interest rates, high rent and inflation of other costs.

    However, conditions could start improving in FY25 and rebound in FY26, according to the projections on Commsec.

    The ASX dividend share is predicted to pay an annual dividend per share of 12.2 cents in FY24. That’d be a grossed-up dividend yield of 9.4%.

    In 2025, owners of Accent shares could receive a dividend per share of 13.5 cents. If that projection comes true, it will equate to a grossed-up dividend yield of 10.4%.

    Then, in 2026, the company could pay an annual dividend per share of 15 cents. Incredibly, that implies a possible grossed-up dividend yield of 11.5%. There aren’t many S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) shares that are projected to pay a dividend yield of more than 10% in FY26.

    Can the ASX dividend share’s earnings grow?

    FY24 is likely to be a fairly weak report, but I think there could be positives to focus on regarding the future.

    Australian inflation has reduced compared to last year, which could mean that Accent’s costs, like rent and wages, stop increasing as fast in FY25 and FY26.

    One of the main drivers of Accent’s earnings for the foreseeable future is its ongoing store rollout. It reached 888 stores in the FY24 first half and planned to open at least 20 new stores in the second half of FY24.

    The company sees a continued store rollout opportunity “in both its core banners and new businesses.” The ASX dividend share also believes there is a “significant growth opportunity” with its online sales as well.

    Pleasingly, the underlying gross profit margin continues to improve, which can support the other profit margin levels.

    Another positive for Accent is that its total ‘owned’ sales in the year to date to the end of January were up 1.6%.

    According to the estimate on Commsec, the Accent share price is valued at just 11x FY26’s estimated earnings.

    The post Could this ASX dividend share offer a huge 11% yield in 2026? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Accent Group Limited right now?

    Before you buy Accent Group Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Accent Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Accent Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.