The Mirvac Group (ASX: MGR) share price has been under pressure since the start of the year. The Aussie real estate investment trust (REIT) has fallen 33.33% lower and is underperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) by quite a margin.

However, coronavirus restrictions are starting to ease around the country and there’s now some hope of an economic uptick. That’s good news for Aussie businesses and individuals generally, but could it also mean the Mirvac share price is about to soar higher?

Is the Mirvac share price about to soar?

Shares in the Aussie REIT have been smashed in the space of a few months. I think the current $2.12 per share valuation reflects the uncertainty we’re seeing in the domestic and global economies.

And, across the sector, it’s not just Mirvac’s share price that has slumped lower in 2020. In fact, most of the Aussie REITs have shed billions in value in the wake of the pandemic.

One of the biggest concerns for investors is rental income. There have been very public stand-offs between retail tenants and their landlords. Mirvac is a major commercial real estate owner and developer which means it could be vulnerable to any changes in rent.

Clearly, COVID-19 restrictions have affected foot traffic in shopping centres. That’s piled pressure on the Aussie retail sector which was already struggling before the pandemic. However, with restrictions starting to be relaxed, there could be light at the end of the tunnel.

Hopefully, this is good news for the Mirvac share price in 2020. The big question is whether or not Aussies will continue to spend despite the tough economic times.

If the answer is yes, Mirvac could be set to benefit from better than expected earnings. The group’s residential real estate business may also benefit from low interest rates and continued demand for housing. Both of these levers could benefit shareholders in the form of sustained dividends.

Foolish takeaway

There’s no doubt the Mirvac share price is under pressure right now. I would say it’s far from certain where the REIT’s value will go from here.

On the one hand, we could see a recovery for Mirvac’s residential and retail assets. However, fewer workers in the city could be bad news for Mirvac’s office and industrial assets, and the economic climate remains uncertain.

The Mirvac share price could be set to soar, but I think it remains a speculative buy until we see the group’s earnings in August.

More reading

• The 5 ASX shares that were last week’s biggest fallers
• ASX 200 up 1.35%: Gold miners and Fortescue rocket higher, big four banks tumble
• Meet the ASX 200 company that just posted a 90% surge in profit
• These 5 ASX shares were last week’s biggest gainers
• 3 ASX 200 shares to watch this week

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post Is the Mirvac share price about to soar? appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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At lunch on Monday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to start the week with a strong gain. The benchmark index is currently up a sizeable 1.35% to 5,477.2 points.

Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

Big four banks drop lower.

The ASX 200 may be charging higher, but the same cannot be said for the big four banks. At lunch all four banks are trading lower and are acting as a drag on the market. The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is the worst performer in the group with a decline of almost 1%. Investors may have concerns that the Reserve Bank could take rates into negative territory in the near future.

Gold miners rocket higher.

One area of the market which is performing particularly strongly is the gold mining industry. Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and the rest of the gold miners are rocketing higher today after the gold price hit a seven-year high on Friday and then continued its ascent on Monday. At the time of writing the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold index is up a massive 5.9%.

Fortescue record high.

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price climbed 7% to a record high of $13.40 this morning. Investors have been buying the iron ore producer’s shares after the price of the steel making ingredient climbed above US$90 a tonne. Solid demand in China and production disruptions in Brazil have supported the iron ore price. Fortescue remains on course to deliver record shipments and profits in FY 2020.

Best and worst ASX 200 performers.

The best performer on the ASX 200 on Monday has been the Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR) share price with a 10% gain. Investors have been buying its shares after the rise in the gold price. The worst performer has been the Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price with a decline of over 3%. A good portion of this decline is attributable to its shares trading ex-dividend this morning.

Returns as of 7/4/2020

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More reading

• The 5 ASX shares that were last week’s biggest fallers
• Is the Mirvac share price about to soar?
• Meet the ASX 200 company that just posted a 90% surge in profit
• These 5 ASX shares were last week’s biggest gainers
• 3 ASX 200 shares to watch this week

The post ASX 200 up 1.35%: Gold miners and Fortescue rocket higher, big four banks tumble appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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The Village Roadshow Ltd (ASX: VRL) share price has soared as much as 18.98% higher this morning after the entertainment company released details of a revised takeover proposal from private equity firm BGH Capital.

Shortly before this announcement, the company also provided further insight into the impact on COVID-19 on its operations, along with an update on its liquidity and funding position.

Takeover proposal

This morning, Village Roadshow announced it has received a revised, non-binding proposal from BGH Capital to acquire all of its shares by way of a scheme of arrangement.

Village Roadshow stated that following careful consideration of the revised proposal, it has entered into a transaction process deed with BGH. Under this deed, BGH will have the opportunity to undertake confirmatory due diligence and negotiate transaction documentation over a 4-week period on an exclusive basis.

BGH Capital’s revised bid is for up to $2.40 per share, representing a 35.98% premium to Friday’s closing price of $1.765. However, this is significantly lower than the $4 per share offer from BGH Capital announced earlier in the year.

The revised $2.40 offer price consists of a base offer of $2.20 per share plus an additional $0.20 per share subject to Movie World, Sea World, and Village’s cinema locations being re-opened by the time shareholders meet to vote on the proposal.

COVID-19 impact

Along with the takeover news, Village Roadshow also provided a trading update to the market this morning.

On 23 March, Village Roadshow made the move to close its Gold Coast theme parks, which include Movie World, Sea World, and Wet’n’Wild. These parks, along with Village Roadshow’s entire cinema circuit, remain closed.

The company’s other businesses, Roadshow Distribution and Marketing Solutions, continue to operate at a reduced capacity. However, these businesses are much smaller in size and would not usually contribute a material portion to earnings.

Village Roadshow stated it is in regular contact with local, state and federal government authorities in regard to the easing of restrictions and social distancing measures.

Liquidity position and funding

As stated in today’s announcement, Village Roadshow is undertaking a number of initiatives to preserve capital and reduce costs. This includes working with landlords and other suppliers to reduce operating expenditure and deferring non-essential capital expenditure where possible.

The company has stood down all employees not performing essential tasks and senior executives have agreed to pay cuts until 30 June 2020. Village Roadshow is participating in the government’s JobKeeper scheme to support the continued employment for eligible staff, including those who have been stood down.

While its key businesses remain closed, the company expects its underlying operating cash costs (inclusive of the JobKeeper subsidy) to be between $10 million to $15 million per month. Operating costs will then accelerate during the ramp-up phase when the company prepares to re-open its locations.

The company stated it is in advanced discussions with lenders to increase its debt financing facilities. As at 30 April 2020, it was in a net debt position of around $284 million, which consisted of $342 million of gross debt and $58 million of readily available cash. Village Roadshow expects its net debt position to increase to $315 million at 30 June 2020.

More reading

• Small-cap ASX telco rockets 23% higher on strong sales momentum
• Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today
• The 5 ASX shares that were last week’s biggest fallers
• Is the Mirvac share price about to soar?
• ASX 200 up 1.35%: Gold miners and Fortescue rocket higher, big four banks tumble

Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post Village Roadshow share price soars 19% higher on revised takeover bid appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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