• Oil Loses Steam as Doubts Surface Over Saudi Production Cuts

    Oil Loses Steam as Doubts Surface Over Saudi Production Cuts(Bloomberg) — Oil’s rally lost steam even after Saudi Arabia said it would slice production by an extra million barrels a day in June as doubts surfaced over whether the producer will fulfill its pledge.Futures in New York and London erased morning gains that followed Saudi Arabia saying it will pump 7.492 million barrels a day next month, about a million barrels below its official OPEC+ output target. That would be the lowest level since mid-2002, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.“While Saudi is undoubtedly the market’s swing supplier, delivering such a volume turnaround in the space of only a couple of months is a tall order,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas SA.The UAE also announced an additional 100,000 barrels per day of cuts for next month. The curtailments have added to the unprecedented output cuts the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies embarked on May 1 in response to the coronavirus pandemic, which has crushed consumption.Still, WTI is holding up better than Brent as the announcement signals “a let up of Saudi crude oil arriving in the U.S.,” said Tchilinguirian.All the while, demand continues to show signs of a fledgling recovery. Indian consumption will be as much as 25% higher in May after falling to its lowest level since 2007 last month. Traffic jams are returning in China and Europe, as easing lockdown measures boost driving, and people avoid public transport, boosting gasoline demand.“If we start to see more news of people going back to work, more cars on the road, then oil markets are going to take their cue from that and prices are going to move higher on the expectation that demand is actually moving up,” said Stewart Glickman, an analyst for CFRA.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Retail companies will look to emerge stronger with ‘radically different’ plans: Analyst

    Retail companies will look to emerge stronger with 'radically different' plans: AnalystUnder Armour reported a 23% decline in sales in the first quarter. BMO Managing Director Simeon Siegel weighs in on the company’s earnings report and how retail is faring amid the coronavirus pandemic.

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  • Hedge Fund Billionaire Michael Platt

    In 2015, Michael Platt decided to go it alone and close his hedge fund BlueCrest Capital Management to clients.

    BlueCrest had been one of the biggest hedge funds in Europe, with $37 billion of assets under management.

    However, after a few years of disappointing returns, investors became less enamoured with Platt.

    One issue they focused on was a proprietary BlueCrest fund that only managed Platt’s capital and money belonging to other BlueCrest partners and employees.

    As well as this, institutional investors were pushing for lower fees.

    Hedge funds typically follow a “2 and 20” model: Investors pay an annual management fee of 2 percent of assets under management and 20 percent of profits.

    According to Platt, "It's much more profitable to have 0 and 100 rather than 2 and 20,"

    This refers to the fact that they don't need to share profits with outside investors.

    So in 2015 Platt returned the $7 billion BlueCrest managed for outside clients and decided to turn BlueCrest into a private investment partnership and focus on managing his own wealth and that of his partners and employees.

    This decision has certainly paid off handsomely for Platt and BlueCrest.

    Since 2015 he has more than doubled his net worth – which currently sits at $8 billion.

    In 2019, BlueCrest returned 53.5% net after expenses and Platt made about $2 billion.

    With a much smaller asset base, Platt has increased leverage, took on more risk, and enjoyed strong returns.

    The majority of BlueCrest’s returns did not come from trading equities, which surged last year, but from significant long fixed income positions early in 2019.

    Platt first became involved in the markets through his grandmother.

    "She was a long-term investor and did very well at it. She was a very strong woman. She wasn't interested in baking cake for me; she was interested in what stock I wanted to buy or sell."

    Platt states that he has had a very easy life because he never had to think about what he wanted to do:

    He wanted to be a trader from the age of 12 and started when he was 13, successfully trading stocks through high school and university with one major exception – the infamous Black Monday Crash of 1987, when his stock account lost half its value in a single day.

    Platt has no tolerance for trading losses:

    "I hate losing money more than anything. Losing money is what kills you. It is not the actual loss. It's the fact that it messes up your psychology."

    Platt believes in aggressive stop losses and effectively structures his traders like they are options

    He will cut trader's allocations by half if lose 3% of their capital and remove their capital allocation if they lose more than 6%.

    However, he will also lift allocations to winning trades – therefore the downside is limited, but the upside is unlimited.

    "We want people to scale down if they are getting it wrong and scale up if they are getting it right. If a guy has a $100 million allocation and makes $20 million, he then has $23 million to his stop point."

    But what does Platt looks for in his traders?

    Someone who has an edge:

    "I look for the type of guy in London who gets up at seven o'clock on Sunday morning when his kids are still in bed, and logs onto a poker site so that he can pick off the U.S. drunks coming home on Saturday night. I hired a guy like that. He usually clears 5 or 10 grand every Sunday morning before breakfast taking out the drunks playing poker because they're not very good at it, but their confidence has gone up a lot."

    Paranoia:

    "I want guys who when they put on a good trade immediately start thinking about what they could put on against it. They just have the paranoia."

    The market is always right:

    "Market makers know that the market is always right. They know value is irrelevant in times of market stress; it's all about positions. They understand that markets will trade against positions. They get it."

    Someone who admits they are wrong:

    "Both the ex-market makers who blew up became way too invested in their positions. Their ego got in the way. They just didn't want to be wrong, and they stayed in their positions."

    Recently, it was reported that BlueCrest cut at least 10 portfolio managers as the firm suffered losses in its fixed-income relative value strategy.

    It also cut risk across the firm by about $1 billion.

    Relative-value trades involve trying to profit from small differences in the prices of similar assets, such as two different Treasury bonds or a bond versus a future.

    To boost profitability, portfolio mangers tend to employ substantial leverage.

    Therefore, they rely on the steady availability of financing and a relatively stable relationship between the securities in the portfolio. This means that, when volatility increases sharply, losses can mount very quickly.

    While BlueCrest suffered some losses since the sell-off, they are apparently still up for the year.

    Over the 15 years that BlueCrest managed client money, they produced more than $22 billion in trading profits for investors.

    It's not quite the insane returns of the GOAT hedge fund, Renaissance Technologies' Medallion fund, but nonetheless still pretty good.

    Since becoming a private investment partnership in 2015, the returns have been sensational.

    2016: 50%

    2017: 54%

    2018: 25%

    2019: 53.5%

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KCD1egPq170

    submitted by /u/financeoptimum
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    source https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/ghpv6n/hedge_fund_billionaire_michael_platt/

  • Which markets or industries do you see perform best in the next decades (geographic vs. industry focus vs. cap size)? How do you build this into a strategy and portfolio to maximize expected risk-adjusted future returns?

  • Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

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