• This is the latest ASX 200 stock to unveil double digit profit growth

    blocks trending up

    The James Hardie Industries plc (ASX: JHX) share price will be in the spotlight this morning after it unveiled a rise in earnings and sales despite the turmoil from the COVID-19 pandemic.

    The building materials group demonstrated again why it’s my top pick of the sector with CSR Limited (ASX: CSR) in second spot after it posted a better than expected result last week.

    Expanding margins

    But today belongs to James Hardie with management announcing a 17% increase in adjusted net operating profit of US$352.8 million for the year ended March 31, 2020.

    Its adjusted earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) expanded by 20% to US$486.8 million while revenue increased 4% to US$2.61 billion.

    This implies a much-improved margin that’s helped by its Lean manufacturing initiative, while its US operations were a standout.

    US driving growth despite COVID-19

    “I am particularly pleased with the outstanding North America performance, as we continued to grow above market while delivering exceptional returns,” said James Hardie chief executive Jack Truong.

    “Underpinning our success in North America was 11% volume growth in the exterior business coupled with sustained volume growth of 5% in the interior business.”

    US construction activity was already showing signs of weakness before the coronavirus outbreak. The pandemic further impacted on the sector with sector peer Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) looking worse for wear from the fallout.

    There’s speculation that Boral may be forced to do a heavily discounted capital raising too, according to the Australian Financial Review.

    Need for capital raising?

    But there’s little worry that James Hardie will need to intrusively tap shareholders on the shoulder. While the group cancelled its final dividend to shore up capital, its liquidity position improved significantly in the fourth quarter.

    Its cash pile increased from US$464 million at 31 December 2019 to US$510 million at 31 March 2020 and US$578 million at the end of last month.

    Off to a good start in FY21

    Interestingly, James Hardie commented that March was a cracker month with double-digit sales growth in all of its regions even though COVID-19 was already creating havoc around the world.

    “In the fourth quarter, our Asia Pacific segment delivered good financial returns with revenue up 2% and Adjusted EBIT growth of 4% in local currency at an Adjusted EBIT margin of 20.5%,” added Dr Truong.

    “Our Europe Building Products segment delivered strong revenue growth of 7% in Euros in the quarter, led by fiber cement growth of 50% and fiber gypsum growth of 3%.”

    Europe is clearly the Achilles’ heel but at least its growing. The only downside to the results is the outlook.

    Forecasting for more uncertainty

    Management declined to offer any earnings guidance due to the volatility and uncertainty created by the global catastrophe.

    James Hardie won’t be alone in not providing any specifics but this will keep investors on their toes as we have not seen the worst of the economic recession.

    The only figures that management were willing to put in the open was its North America segment Adjusted EBIT margin. This is expected to range between 22% and 27% for FY21 compared with 25.3% in the March quarter.

    Given the wide range, that doesn’t say very much in my view.

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of James Hardie Industries plc. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

    The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Are Xero shares a top long-term buy?

    Cyber technology and software image

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) released its FY 2020 annual results last Thursday morning, with the initial market reaction being quite negative. The online accounting software provider for small businesses saw a 10.4% share price drop by the close of trade last Friday. However, Xero regained some of those losses on Monday, with its share price up by 2.4% to close the day at $77.15.

    So, was this unfavourable initial market reaction justified, and does Xero offer a good long-term buying opportunity to investors?

    Before we address theses issues, lets first analyse Xero’s recent top-level results.

    Another strong full year set of numbers

    Xero delivered another strong annual result, with revenue increasing by 30% to NZ$718.2 million for the 12 months ending 31 March 2020, with annualised monthly recurring revenue (AMRR) also growing strongly by 29%. This impressive result was driven by a 2% increase in average revenue per user and a 26% lift in subscribers to 2.285 million.

    Also, pleasingly, Xero’s gross margin market continues to expand due to its increasing economies of scale, increasing by 1.6% to 85.2%. This contributed to Xero achieving its first ever full year net profit, which came in at NZ$3.34 million, compared to a loss of NZ$27.14 million a year earlier. Xero’s earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation result was also impressive, growing strongly by 52% to NZ$139.17 million.

    In terms of geographic performance, its Australian, UK, North American and ‘Rest of the World’ segments all performed strongly. Australia grew its subscriber base by 24%, UK by 32%, North America by 24% and the rest of the world by 51%. Of particular note was the accelerating subscriber growth in the US market, with its US subscriber base now reaching 241,000.

    The impact to Xero’s overall results by the coronavirus was minimal, however as its results only include the period up to 31 March, only the initial impact of the pandemic was reflected in Xero’s financial and subscriber performance. There was with a slight reduction in AMMR during the month of March, and since then there has been further AMMR reduction, as the impact of the pandemic intensified.

    Did the market initially overreact?

    Overall, I believe that this was a very strong result for Xero and I think that the market initially was too harsh on what I see as continued strong growth across all geographic regions. In particular, I was pleased to see a strong and increasing gross margin, and the achievement of positive net profit for the first time, as the benefits of increasing economies of scale are now really starting to kick in.

    Are Xero shares a long-term buy?

    Despite the potential further impact by the coronavirus in the months ahead, and its share price no longer looking cheap, I believe that Xero still has a long runway for growth ahead of it over the next decade. I think it is worthy of consideration for your share portfolio.

    Small businesses are increasingly turning towards Xero to manage their entire business, not just their finances. Although competition could increase over the next few years, especially from US rival Intuit Inc, I believe that there still are strong growth opportunities for Xero to tap into across all of its operating markets, especially in North America and its other operating markets outside of Australia and New Zealand.

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    Phil Harpur owns shares of Xero. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 millionaire-maker ASX internet growth shares

    I have studied internet growth shares very closely ever since 2010. In a stroke of genius, I valued Amazon.com, Inc. as too expensive at that time. The Amazon share price is up 1,675.83% since then.

    Australia’s geographical remoteness, not only from the world but also from each other, is well suited to online commerce. The country is presently seeing a spurt of growth for internet banks, none of which are currently listed on the ASX, as well as a continual smattering of small startups predominantly in the software-as-a-service (SAAS) category.

    Software as a service

    There are several outstanding Australian SaaS companies on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (INDEXASX: XJO). The largest of these is Xero Limited (ASX: XRO). The internet growth share posted its first profit since listing on the ASX last week and saw its share price dip by 8.7% over the week. With ~2 million users, investors are keen to see the company focus on customer acquisition and product development.

    The company has grown its customer offerings. Initially it was a pure play cloud-based accounting package. It has since added a range of related functionality areas. These include bank streaming for reconciliation, payroll and inventory tracking. The platform also includes ~800 add on business apps from other providers, embedding it further as business infrastructure. 

    Xero sees an annual customer churn rate of ~10%. The majority of this is due to companies going out of business, underlining the company’s staying power. That is, most organisations purchase the service and stay with it.

    Internet growth shares in retail

    There are 2 major online service providers in the retail space. The first is the country’s current leading internet growth share, Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT). The second is Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN). Of these 2 shares, I prefer Kogan for a medium- to long-term growth prospect.

    The Afterpay empire is built on foundations of unsecured debt. In times of economic hardship, unsecured debt is the first to see defaults. Additionally, the company has already spawned a range of copycat products. While its integration with providers and functionality is pretty slick, that alone doesn’t constitute a competitive advantage. 

    Kogan, on the other hand, continues to grow steadily. Aided by stay-at-home conditions, Kogan delivered an impressive Q3 result. The company reported increases against the prior corresponding period of 30% gross sales and 23% gross profit. March saw the company record its largest ever increase in active customers since its IPO.

    Additionally, the company announced on Friday the purchase of leading furniture company Matt Blanc for $4.4 million. This adds to its portfolio of companies with strong supply chains. Unlike Amazon, Kogan produces much of its own merchandise, meaning it can not only compete at higher margins, but its products can also be sold on Amazon’s Australian website. The company also has additional services such as insurance, which sets it apart. 

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    John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Amazon. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Xero and recommends the following options: short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon and long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Amazon. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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