• Bitcoin is back below US$77,000. Is this an opportunity for ASX investors?

    A man sits at his computer with his head in his hands while his laptop screen displays a Bitcoin symbol and his desktop computer screen displays a steeply falling graph.

    Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is back below US$77,000.

    Two ASX-listed funds track the cryptocurrency directly. Both have lost roughly 40% of their value over twelve months.

    The question now is whether this opportunity makes Bitcoin a bargain or a falling knife.

    Why Bitcoin fell back below US$77,000

    The trigger was a speech from Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh, who used his Jackson Hole address on 28 August to sharpen his language on inflation.

    Inflation is running above our 2 percent target. So the Fed’s predominant focus right now should be on prices.

    Roughly US$478 million of leveraged positions were liquidated in the hours that followed.

    Rate cuts were the fuel behind the 2025 rally, and traders are now pricing in the possibility of future rate hikes.

    The scale of the drawdown

    Bitcoin reached an all-time high of US$126,210 on 6 October 2025.

    The cryptocurrency then fell to roughly US$60,000 by early February this year.

    This represents a decline of 52% from peak to trough.

    August was actually the best month of 2026 for the asset before Jackson Hole undid a good chunk of it.

    As a result of all of this, anyone buying at today’s level is buying something still nearly 40% below its record.

    How ASX investors can own Bitcoin

    Two ETFs listed on the ASX give investors unique access and exposure to the cryptocurrency.

    The VanEck Bitcoin ETF (ASX: VBTC) listed in June 2024 and now holds around $245 million in net assets.

    Its units have traded between $16.90 and $38.40 over the past year.

    The DigitalX Bitcoin ETF (ASX: BTXX) tracks the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate and has ranged between $18.37 and $42.50.

    VanEck has also cut the fee on its fund as competition has built up.

    Neither product pays an income, which is important if you are used to holding assets that at least generate something while you wait.

    Furthermore, both are priced in Australian dollars, so the currency adds a second variable to an already volatile position.

    The digital gold argument is under strain

    Here is the part that should trouble Bitcoin believers most.

    At the time of writing, gold has risen 1.3% to US$4,386 an ounce and keeps setting fresh records.

    While gold rises, Bitcoin has continued to fall.

    Indeed, Bitcoin tends to sell off when real yields rise and rallies when money is cheap. This is the opposite of what a hedge is supposed to do.

    What would have to change

    Two things could turn this around quickly.

    The first is any softening in the Federal Reserve’s inflation language, because the entire move traces back to rate expectations.

    The second is a reversal in exchange-traded fund flows, since redemptions force real selling into the spot market.

    Neither is visible yet, and the September quarter has been unkind to almost every long-duration asset.

    Foolish takeaway

    Bitcoin below US$77,000 is cheaper than it was, and cheaper is never the same thing as safe.

    I would treat Bitcoin as a small satellite holding instead of a core position.

    The two ASX funds solve the custody problem neatly, and that convenience is worth something to Australian investors.

    What they cannot solve is the volatility of the underlying asset.

    The post Bitcoin is back below US$77,000. Is this an opportunity for ASX investors? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Bitcoin right now?

    Before you buy Bitcoin shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Bitcoin wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 1 August 2026

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    Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why investors should be targeting ASX mid-caps and ASX small-caps after earnings season: Expert

    Hand stacking increasing piles of rocks.

    It is well documented that Australia’s largest blue-chip companies dominate portfolios. However, a new VanEck report suggests stronger ASX mid-caps and ASX small-caps could deliver stronger growth post-earnings season.

    According to Arian Neiron, CEO & Managing Director of Asia Pacific, VanEck, the ASX 200 is seen by investors as the home of Australian equities, by super funds as a source of liquidity, and by regulators as a familiar benchmark. 

    All these perspectives create the illusion that the largest companies receive the largest allocations with conviction. But this is not the case.

    Australia’s largest companies have not become safer because everyone owns them. They have simply become harder not to own. Reporting season is now exposing the potential opportunity cost of this investing reality, with the strongest expected earnings growth emerging among small and mid-sized companies.

    Changing conditions 

    According to the report, for the first seven months of 2026, a bias towards large companies appeared to be a viable strategy.

    Through late July, the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index had fallen approximately 13%, while the S&P/ASX 100 had gained almost 5%. 

    Smaller companies faced legitimate headwinds from rising interest rates, soaring energy prices and lacklustre consumer and business confidence.

    But as the environment has changed, that conclusion has become harder to defend.

    Consensus estimates suggest Australian small companies could deliver earnings per share growth of approximately 28% over the next year and 25% the year after. 

    Mid-sized companies are expected to produce growth of around 13% and 8%, respectively. By contrast, the largest companies have earnings growth estimates of closer to 4% and 2%, respectively.

    Opportunity not evenly spread

    August offered the first evidence that ASX large-caps may already be lagging. 

    Recently, higher rates have exposed the difference between growth funded by a business and growth funded by its shareholders. 

    Markets now expect less additional RBA tightening than they did a few months ago. Since small companies have historically been sensitive to changing rate expectations, that repricing can ease some pressure on valuations.

    However, the opportunity is not evenly spread. 

    August reporting season showed why selectivity matters. Macmahon Holdings Ltd (ASX: MAH) increased earnings per share by 25%, generated more free cash flow and reduced net debt. Superloop Ltd (ASX: SLC) completed its first profitable financial year and increased free cash flow by 50%.

    Both companies were rewarded after reporting. Neither was rewarded simply because it was small. What mattered was the improving financial evidence.

    How to gain exposure to ASX mid-caps and ASX small-caps?

    While recent economic conditions don’t guarantee sector-wide wins, investors can gain exposure to ASX small-caps and ASX mid-caps through ASX exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

    One option for ASX mid-cap exposure is the VanEck S&P/ASX Mid- Cap ETF (ASX: MVE). 

    It tracks 50 mid-sized companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange.

    For ASX small-caps, VanEck Small Companies Masters ETF (ASX: MVS) tracks a diversified portfolio of small-cap Australian companies listed on the ASX. 

    The post Why investors should be targeting ASX mid-caps and ASX small-caps after earnings season: Expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in VanEck S&p/asx MidCap ETF right now?

    Before you buy VanEck S&p/asx MidCap ETF shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and VanEck S&p/asx MidCap ETF wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 1 August 2026

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Five things I’d change about superannuation

    Man working on a laptop from home.

    The superannuation regulator, APRA, released its latest figures this week. And they are, frankly, extraordinary.

    Australians now have almost $4.8 trillion in super.

    That’s trillion, with a ‘t’.

    The system received $236 billion in contributions over the past year, earned an investment return of 8.6% and paid out $148 billion in benefits.

    In a little over three decades, we have built one of the largest pools of retirement savings in the world.

    That money is helping, and will help, millions of Australians enjoy a better retirement. It reduces the burden that would otherwise fall on future taxpayers. And it provides long-term investment capital for businesses, property, infrastructure and other assets.

    For all of its faults – and I’m about to list some of them – I think superannuation is one of the best economic policies of the last four decades.

    We are very fortunate to have it.

    But, of course, ‘excellent’ doesn’t mean ‘perfect’.

    When I posted some of those numbers on social media earlier this week, I said “For all its problems (and I’d fix many), we are very fortunate to have it.”.

    Some followers, very reasonably, asked me what I’d fix. Here’s my answer, in 5 points:

    1. Keep super for retirement – and keep politics out of it

    Super is our money.

    But it is money we are compelled to save because, left entirely to our own devices, many of us wouldn’t put enough aside for retirement.

    That comes with obligations, though.

    We shouldn’t be able to raid our super whenever a politically popular idea comes along. That includes proposals to let people withdraw it to buy a home.

    Yes, helping first-home buyers with their deposits sounds attractive. I understand why people like the idea. But giving buyers more money without increasing the number of homes mostly gives them more money to bid against each other.

    Prices rise. Retirement balances fall. And the underlying housing shortage remains.

    Governments should also resist the temptation to influence where super is invested.

    There may be excellent opportunities in housing, infrastructure, energy or Australian businesses. If a fund independently decides an investment offers an attractive return for the risk involved, wonderful.

    But the decision must be made in the best interest of members’ retirements – not based on the whims of politicians. Super is compulsory retirement saving, not a political piggy bank.

    2. Radically simplify it

    Here’s a phrase I’ve used repeatedly: Super is stupidly complex.

    There are different contribution categories, caps, thresholds, tax treatments, account types, preservation rules and withdrawal rules.

    And those are only the headlines.

    Some complexity is unavoidable. People have different circumstances, and a system covering millions of Australians will always need rules. But this… isn’t that.

    Funds spend members’ money administering the complexity. People pay accountants and advisers to understand it. And those with the most money can afford the most sophisticated help navigating it.

    Meanwhile, millions of ordinary Australians put super in the too-hard basket.

    We need fewer contribution categories, fewer thresholds and a much simpler retirement-account structure.

    Thresholds should be automatically indexed. Rules should be written in plain English. And governments should stop tinkering with the system every few years.

    You shouldn’t need an accountant and a lawyer to understand how to best manage your super – especially contributions and withdrawals.

    3. Break the fee gravy train

    Australians don’t get to choose whether to participate in super. We are compelled to put away 12% of our wages. I’m good with that.

    But it creates a guaranteed and constantly growing pool of money for fund managers, administrators, advisers, insurers, consultants and everyone else taking a clip of the ticket.

    Some provide valuable services. Others? Well, there are an awful lot of comfortable livelihoods being funded by compulsory contributions from Australian workers.

    Even apparently small fees matter when they are charged every year, on a growing balance, over four or five decades (and longer, in retirement). Those costs add up, as anyone who’s seen the ‘compare the pair’ ads knows.

    The solution? I’d create an extraordinarily low-fee default fund, run independently by the Future Fund.

    It would offer a small number of simple, diversified investment options, mostly ETFs, including a low-cost growth option suitable as the default for most working Australians.

    That’s all most people would need.

    Those wanting a different fund, investment strategy, insurance arrangement or self-managed super fund would remain free to choose one.

    But other funds would have to persuade Australians to leave a very good, very cheap default option. They would need to offer better service, genuinely superior performance or some other benefit – and justify the fees they charged.

    That competitive pressure would help everyone. Fees would have to fall, or value would have to rise.

    (And yes, there would need to be a very high wall between the government and the fund’s investment decisions.)

    4. Make sure super is used in retirement

    Super is supposed to provide retirement income.

    It shouldn’t be functioning as a tax-minimisation or an estate-planning vehicle.

    That doesn’t mean retirees should be forced to spend their savings quickly, or sell their growth investments on the day they stop working.

    Someone retiring at 65 might live for another 25, 30 or even 40 years. Their money needs to keep working.

    Retirement day isn’t the end of the investing journey. For many people, it’s not even close.

    But there should be a reasonable expectation that super is progressively used to support someone’s retirement.

    We already have minimum-withdrawal rules for pension accounts. I would apply that broad principle more consistently to money left inside super after retirement.

    Withdrawals should be sensible and age-based, recognising that people need flexibility, don’t know how long they will live and may face significant health or aged-care costs.

    People could still save or invest the money outside super. They could still leave an inheritance.

    But super itself should fund retirement, rather than providing an indefinite tax shelter for the next generation.

    5. Make the tax concessions fairer

    Super should remain concessionally taxed. That is part of the bargain.

    We lock the money away for decades, use it for retirement and receive favourable tax treatment in return.

    But favourable doesn’t have to mean overly generous, or unlimited.

    I would give retirees a substantially higher tax-free income threshold than working Australians. Probably a universal aged pension, too. Above that threshold, retirement income would be taxed at normal marginal rates.

    Most retirees would still pay little or no tax. Those receiving very large retirement incomes would make a reasonable contribution.

    There is also no convincing policy justification for holding tens or hundreds of millions of dollars in concessionally taxed super.

    At some point, the system stops encouraging retirement saving and starts subsidising wealth accumulation.

    Of course, any thresholds should be indexed, so inflation doesn’t gradually capture people the policy was never intended to affect.

    Lastly, tax should apply to actual income and realised gains – not increases in the paper value of assets that haven’t been sold.

    And for the record… any reform should replace complexity, not add another layer to it.

    None of these changes would weaken or destroy Australia’s superannuation system. That’s the last thing I want.

    In sum…

    If Australians are compelled to save part of their income, governments should protect that money, keep politics out of its investment and make the rules understandable.

    Everyone should have access to an extraordinarily low-cost default, while retaining the freedom to choose something else.

    Super should be used to support retirement. And its tax concessions should remain generous without becoming unlimited.

    Seems pretty reasonable to me. Oh sure, those who’d be negatively affected will complain, but that’s just human nature. Policy improvements need to use a broader lens.

    Almost $4.8 trillion is an extraordinary achievement. The system that governs it should be improved.

    Fool on!

    The post Five things I’d change about superannuation appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor Scott Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.