• Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CSL, CBA shares

    A young woman holds her hand to her ear and leans sideways as if to listen to something that's surprising her as her eyes and her mouth are wide open.

    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) are among the largest players on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) by market capitalisation.

    The trio are major long-standing blue-chip companies and among some of the most dominant businesses on the share market.

    So it’s unsurprising that they’re also among the most popular with investors.

    Let’s find out the latest update from each of these ASX 200 stocks, and which one brokers prefer.

    Sell CBA shares

    CBA shares have fallen further this week. At the close of the ASX on Tuesday afternoon, the banking giant’s shares were down around another 2% to $158.69 per share. 

    The decline means CBA shares have now dropped around 9% since it posted its FY26 results, and is down around 12% from a high in early-August. For the year-to-date the bank stock is now down roughly 1.5%.

    The result was positive overall, but it raised concerns about the bank’s earnings strength and its already-high valuation against a backdrop of a weakening housing market.

    Meanwhile, concerns around inflation, interest rates movements, falling mortgage demand, a weakening housing market, and tight competition have all also acted as strong headwinds for the ASX bank shares.

    The continued share price decline suggests investor sentiment has finally turned south, and brokers expect more correction ahead.

    Market Index data shows all brokers have a strong sell rating on CBA shares. The average $125.10 target price implies a potential downside of around 21% over the next 12 months, at the time of writing.

    Hold BHP shares

    BHP shares have been in the spotlight this week after news that China’s biggest steelmaker is considering buying into one of BHP’s largest iron ore mines.

    China Baowu Steel Group is reportedly looking at taking a 15% to 25% stake in BHP’s Jimblebar operation in the Pilbara.

    Australia’s Federal opposition has already objected. The Coalition has said that Labor must not allow foreign entities to buy one of Western Australia’s top iron ore mines.

    There hasn’t been much material change in BHP’s share price since the news surfaced. At the close of the ASX on Tuesday afternoon, the ASX mining shares were down around 1% to $62.55 a piece.

    BHP shares have enjoyed a strong rally this year, however. For the year-to-date the shares are up around 37%.

    But going forward, the experts are reserved about the outlook for BHP shares over the next 12 months. Market Index data shows the majority of brokers have a hold rating, and the $61.78 average target price now implies a potential 1% downside ahead.

    Buy CSL shares

    CSL shares rebounded strongly in August, and they have continued climbing higher into early September. At the close of the ASX on Tuesday, the shares were up another 1% to $174.80. 

    The rebound means the shares are now up around 2% for the year-to-date, officially recouping losses shed earlier this year.

    The ASX biotech stock has faced several market and company headwinds over the past 18 months, but it looks like investor sentiment has finally turned more positive. 

    ASX healthcare shares came back into favor last month after a significant sell-off. And CSL shares were boosted even higher after it posted an impressive FY26 result in mid-August.

    The result came in way ahead of guidance and CSL management described FY26 as a ‘reset year’, with FY27 marking a return to growth.

    Analysts also have a more positive outlook following the latest results announcement. Market Index data shows a buy rating on CSL shares. But after the latest rally, the $156.09 average target price now implies a potential 11% downside ahead, at the time of writing. 

    The post Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CSL, CBA shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in BHP Group right now?

    Before you buy BHP Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and BHP Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 1 August 2026

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    Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group and CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Rates are rising again. Should you pay down your mortgage or top up your superannuation?

    Happy woman standing in front of a house with a pen and clipboard.

    Deciding between extra mortgage repayments or extra superannuation contributions has always been a tough decision.

    That being said, when mortgage rates sat near 2%, almost any sensible investment in superannuation beat paying down debt.

    However, that is no longer the case.

    All four major banks now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the cash rate again before the end of the year.

    What a rising cash rate does to the mortgage side

    The cash rate already sits at 4.35% after three increases in 2026, and the board next meets on 28 and 29 September.

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) now expects a rise to 4.60% in November, joining ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), while National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) is tipping September as the month that rates rise.

    The Reserve Bank’s housing lending statistics put the average new owner-occupier variable loan at roughly 6.25%.

    That means that every extra dollar that is paid off that loan earns a guaranteed 6.25%, tax free.

    There are very few assets Australia that offers that combination.

    What the tax system does for superannuation

    However, superannuation contributions can be a more tax-efficient way to invest your money.  

    Salary sacrificed contributions are taxed at 15% going in, instead of at your marginal rate.

    Investment earnings inside the fund are taxed at 15% during accumulation and are not taxed at all in pension phase.

    The concessional contributions cap rose to $32,500 from 1 July 2026. That is $2,500 more room than the previous three financial years allowed.

    Why the answer is still not obvious

    On the flipside, two things can make paying down your debt more attractive.

    The first is access.

    Money inside superannuation is locked away until preservation age, which is 60 for anyone born after June 1964.

    A mortgage repayment made through an offset account can be withdrawn tomorrow.

    The second is certainty.

    The mortgage return is guaranteed and the investment return is not.

    To illustrate, the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) is a reasonable proxy for the Australian portion of most balanced superannuation options.

    The fund closed Tuesday at $111.50 and has returned just 0.82% over the past twelve months, which is a useful reminder that share markets do not deliver averages on schedule.

    How I would think about superannuation versus the mortgage

    The soft answer is that it depends on three things.

    Your marginal tax rate decides how large the superannuation head start is.

    Your age decides how painful the preservation rules are.

    And your loan-to-value ratio decides how much you need the security of a smaller debt.

    For someone in their fifties on a high marginal rate, superannuation is very hard to beat.

    For someone in their thirties with a large mortgage and no buffer, the extra repayment usually wins on peace of mind alone.

    Foolish takeaway

    There is no universal right answer.

    What has changed this year is that the savings from paying down mortgage side have become competitive at 6.25%.

    Superannuation still wins on tax over a long enough horizon, and the higher contributions cap makes that easier to use.

    I would make sure the emergency buffer exists first, then let the marginal tax rate decide the split.

    The worst outcome is doing neither and letting the cash sit in a transaction account earning nothing at all.

    The post Rates are rising again. Should you pay down your mortgage or top up your superannuation? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia right now?

    Before you buy Commonwealth Bank Of Australia shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 1 August 2026

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    Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • How much must I invest in VAS ETF shares to earn a $1,000 passive income in 2027?

    ETF on white blocks with a rising arrow on top of coin piles.

    The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) is one of the largest exchange-traded funds (ETF) on the ASX, and it’s known for having a sizeable dividend yield.

    The VAS ETF allows investors to gain exposure to the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO), which is an index of 300 of the largest businesses on the ASX.

    Some of the biggest businesses in the portfolio are BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ), Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS).

    I think it’d be fair to say that every one of the above stocks could be classified as an ASX dividend share with a decent dividend yield.

    The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF simply passes through the dividends it receives onto owners of VAS ETF units. Therefore, it’s beneficial if the holdings provide a good dividend yield.

    Let’s look at what it could take to generate $1,000 of passive income from the fund.

    Targeting $1,000 of passive income from Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF

    Every month, Vanguard tells investors about various statistics regarding the fund.

    For July, Vanguard reported that the VAS ETF had a dividend yield of 3.1%. That’s not a huge yield, but it’s significantly more than what’s on offer from the international share market or US share market.

    It’s not guaranteed to have a 3.1% dividend yield in the coming 12 months, but it’s the best figure we can use for this calculation.

    To generate $1,000 of passive income with a 3.1% dividend yield, you’d need an investment of $32,258, so that’d mean buying 286 or 287 VAS ETF units.

    The VAS ETF is able to provide a high dividend yield because more than 58% of the portfolio is invested in ASX bank shares and ASX mining shares. Those sectors typically have lower price/earnings (P/E) ratios and relatively generous dividend payout ratio, which both affect the dividend yield.

    Other markets, like the international share market or US share market, are focused on other sectors like technology businesses, which usually have a lower dividend payout ratio and a high P/E ratio. That results in a much lower dividend yield.

    The VAS ETF isn’t dominated by growth stocks, so I’m not expecting significant capital growth in the coming years, though the dividend yield could remain pleasing.

    The post How much must I invest in VAS ETF shares to earn a $1,000 passive income in 2027? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF right now?

    Before you buy Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 1 August 2026

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group, Macquarie Group, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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