• Why the best performing ASX stock might have more room to run higher

    Race

    The Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) share price is rallying for the second day and is topping the charts!

    Shares in the grain handler jumped 8.5% to $3.98 in morning trade. This makes it the best performer on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) with gold miner Silver Lake Resources Limited. (ASX: SLR) a distant second.

    Graincorp’s gains comes on top of yesterday’s near 12% run after it posted a better than expected first half profit result.

    The brightening outlook for agribusinesses is also giving Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD) a lift with the stock jumping 5% to $9.52 at the time of writing. Elders is expected to report its earnings on Monday.

    The question facing investors is whether it’s too late to buy Graincorp shares.

    Bumper growth

    The good news is there is quite a bit of space for the stock to climb before hitting fair value, according to the analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

    Graincorp’s interim net profit from continuing operations of $27 million is well ahead of Macquarie’s estimates of $18 million.

    What’s more, all the group’s divisions, including its processing business, were performing better than the broker expected.

    Firing on all cylinders

    “Processing reported EBITDA of $23m, stronger than our $11m forecast,” said Macquarie.

    “Oilseed crush margins have recovered strongly due to increased ECA canola supply and stronger oil and meal demand/pricing.”

    The good times may continue to roll on into the second half, thanks in no small part to the recent wet weather along the east coast.

    Trade war misses mark

    Even the diplomatic spat between China and Australia doesn’t faze Macquarie. China threatened to buy fewer Australian exports in retaliation to Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s call for an independent investigation on the origins of COVID-19.

    Tensions escalated when China formally threatened to slap a 80% tariff on Australian barley and suspended the import licenses of four of our abattoirs.

    But Graincorp may not be as impacted by the potential barley tariff as some investors might have thought.

    This is because 88% of Aussie barley exports come from Western Australia and Graincorp is an east coast centric business, explained Macquarie.

    Clearer skies ahead

    “GNC is planning for higher grain exports in 2H20 (exports generally higher margin vs domestic),” said the broker.

    “Oilseed crush margins are expected to remain favourable in the second half due to prevailing canola oil and meal values.

    “Favourable soil moisture levels across large parts of eastern Australia have supported widespread planting for the FY21 crop.”

    What’s more, Graincorp is tipped to restart paying dividends in FY21 after a three-year break.

    Macquarie is urging investors to buy the stock and its price target is set at $4.79 a share. This leaves Graincorp with a 23% potential upside over the next 12 months, if forecast dividends are included.

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    Returns as of 6/5/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elders Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why the best performing ASX stock might have more room to run higher appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • ASX 200 up 0.8%: Big four banks push higher but Xero tumbles lower

    ASX share

    At lunch the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has followed the lead of U.S. markets and is pushing higher. The benchmark index is currently up 0.8% to 5,370.2 points.

    Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

    Bank shares push higher.

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and the rest of the big four banks are pushing higher on Friday. This follows a strong night of trade on Wall Street for U.S. banks. The best performer in the group today has been the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price with a 1.1% gain.

    Tech shares dropping lower.

    The tech sector is having another off day on Friday. At lunch the S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology index is down 1.7% and acting as a drag on proceedings. Payments company Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) and cloud-based accounting software provider Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) are amongst the worst performers with 1% and 5% declines, respectively.

    Gold miners charge higher.

    One area of the market performing particularly strongly today has been the gold mining industry. At lunch the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold index is up a solid 3.2% after the gold price hit a three-week high overnight. Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) shares have been positive performers with gains of 4% each.

    Best and worst ASX 200 performers.

    The best performer on the ASX 200 today has been the Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) share price again with an 8% gain. This morning analysts at Macquarie retained their outperform rating and lifted the price target on its shares to $4.79. The worst performer has been Graincorp’s spun off malt business, United Malt Group Ltd (ASX: UMG). Its shares are down 7% after completing a $140 million institutional placement. The new shares were issued at $3.80 per share, representing an 11.4% discount to its last traded price.

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    Returns as of 7/4/2020

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO and Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Kogan, Macquarie, Newcrest, & Santos shares are zooming higher

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to end the week on a positive note. In late morning trade the benchmark index is up 0.7% to 5,365.2 points.

    Four shares that have climbed more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are zooming higher:

    The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price is up 4% to $8.91 after announcing a new acquisition. The ecommerce company has bought the intellectual property and goodwill of replica furniture and homewares retailer Matt Blatt for $4.4 million. Kogan will relaunch the business as an online-only offering. It expects the acquisition of Matt Blatt to give it a springboard from which to expand its reach in the furniture and homewares market.

    The Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price is up 2% to $105.10. The banking sector is on course to end the week on a high after their U.S. counterparts stormed higher overnight. In addition to this, investors may have been buying Macquarie’s shares before they trade ex-dividend on Monday. To be eligible for its upcoming final $1.80 per share dividend, investors need to be on the share registry at the close of play today.

    The Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) share price is up 3% to $29.85. Investors have been buying Newcrest and other gold miners after the price of the precious metal hit a three week high overnight. Traders were buying gold amid concerns that a trade war is brewing between the U.S. and China. The S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold index is up 3.2% at the time of writing.

    The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is up 2% to $4.65. Santos and other energy shares have been performing strongly today after a spike in the oil price overnight. Oil prices pushed higher after data revealed that U.S. inventories had fallen more than expected last week.

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    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd and Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why Kogan, Macquarie, Newcrest, & Santos shares are zooming higher appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Stock market is almost back to where it was before all this coronavirus crap happened! Makes no FUCKING SENSE! How long can the government keep their Brrrrrrrrr infinite fucking money solution going for!?

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