• Risk of Ruin – Doomed to Failure

    I am new to trading, and after some backtest, I was trying to calculate the risk of Ruin. The formula goes like:

    R=[(1-A)/(1+A)]c

    R: probability of Ruin A:The difference between the percentages of wining trades and the percentage of losing trades. c: the number of trades in a account

    Now it seems that by using that formula, if you have a winning percentage below 50% you are always doomed to failure, am I correct? I'm using a trading system with about just 20% winning rate but a R/R of at least 12, sometimes going to 50…

    submitted by /u/Goddamn_Name
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    source https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/ghqmga/risk_of_ruin_doomed_to_failure/

  • Buybacks: A Floor Under the Price of Apple Inc Stock

    Buybacks: A Floor Under the Price of Apple Inc StockIf you own Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock, or you’ve been following it, then you probably already know that the company has been buying back large quantities of its own shares for years. Indeed, the number of shares of Apple Inc. stock outstanding has been declining steadily since 2013. You very likely understand that when fewer […]

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  • Oil Loses Steam as Doubts Surface Over Saudi Production Cuts

    Oil Loses Steam as Doubts Surface Over Saudi Production Cuts(Bloomberg) — Oil’s rally lost steam even after Saudi Arabia said it would slice production by an extra million barrels a day in June as doubts surfaced over whether the producer will fulfill its pledge.Futures in New York and London erased morning gains that followed Saudi Arabia saying it will pump 7.492 million barrels a day next month, about a million barrels below its official OPEC+ output target. That would be the lowest level since mid-2002, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.“While Saudi is undoubtedly the market’s swing supplier, delivering such a volume turnaround in the space of only a couple of months is a tall order,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas SA.The UAE also announced an additional 100,000 barrels per day of cuts for next month. The curtailments have added to the unprecedented output cuts the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies embarked on May 1 in response to the coronavirus pandemic, which has crushed consumption.Still, WTI is holding up better than Brent as the announcement signals “a let up of Saudi crude oil arriving in the U.S.,” said Tchilinguirian.All the while, demand continues to show signs of a fledgling recovery. Indian consumption will be as much as 25% higher in May after falling to its lowest level since 2007 last month. Traffic jams are returning in China and Europe, as easing lockdown measures boost driving, and people avoid public transport, boosting gasoline demand.“If we start to see more news of people going back to work, more cars on the road, then oil markets are going to take their cue from that and prices are going to move higher on the expectation that demand is actually moving up,” said Stewart Glickman, an analyst for CFRA.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Could The Market Be Wrong About Biogen Inc. (NASDAQ:BIIB) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

  • Trade Alert: The Director of Operations & Member of Management Board Of British American Tobacco p.l.c. (LON:BATS), Alan Davy, Has Just Spent UK£2.5k Buying A Few More Shares

  • Are Institutions Heavily Invested In Spirit Airlines, Inc.’s (NYSE:SAVE) Shares?

  • DraftKings Unveils New Pennsylvania Casino App; Analyst Says Buy Now