• Tencent Weathers China Slowdown But a Deeper Threat Looms

    Tencent Weathers China Slowdown But a Deeper Threat Looms(Bloomberg) — The Covid-19 pandemic likely barely dented Tencent Holdings Ltd.’s growth, thanks to its dominance of online spheres from gaming to social media. Now that China’s industries are emerging from the worst of the outbreak, the bigger long-term threat may be the growing posse of challengers to its internet leadership.The WeChat operator is expected to unveil 18% revenue rise when it reports earnings Wednesday, offering investors the earliest glimpse into how China Internet Inc. fared in the coronavirus-stricken first quarter. That’s down a tad from 20%-plus in prior quarters but still decent, thanks to its burgeoning cloud and finance services and a billion-plus entertainment-starved players confined to home. It’s why Tencent’s market value has surged more than $28 billion since Covid-19 first broke out, defying a global market rout and a record Chinese economic contraction.But once the dust settles, Tencent will have to contend with a renewed challenge from giants like Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and ByteDance Ltd., that are increasingly encroaching on its turf. Like in Silicon Valley years ago, when the biggest cash-rich players from Amazon.com Inc. to Facebook Inc. invaded each other’s territories, China’s largest tech corporations can now resume expanding beyond their mainstay businesses and developing services from advertising to gaming and payments in direct competition with Tencent.“These large internet platforms are ambitious and they will try to leverage their scale to go into businesses which are not core to them. Over the years I have seen many of them try to do it, but so far none has succeeded at overtaking the incumbent,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Vey-Sern Ling. “I think large companies will continue to focus on strengthening their core, while engaging in battles with their rivals on the fringe.”TikTok operator ByteDance has been luring users and advertisers away and into its viral social networks. It’s also readying a foray into hardcore gaming. Alibaba-backed Ant Financial is creating its own version of a lite-app universe, taking a leaf from the book of Tencent’s WeChat. And even Pinduoduo Inc. — a Groupon-like platform backed by Tencent itself — has turned to live-streaming and virtual gifts to keep consumers glued to its app.Their efforts coincide with a maturing of Tencent’s gaming business. Tencent’s marquee titles like Honor of Kings and Peacekeeper Elite picked up millions of new players during virus lockdowns — yet not everyone’s a loyal patron. Its mobile game revenue for the first quarter may shrink sequentially due to weak performance from these aging hits, according to Bloomberg Intelligence citing Sensor Tower data. New releases from Alibaba’s gaming unit and Bilibili Inc. jumped in sales in recent weeks, according to the analytics firm, trailing closely behind Tencent’s two offerings.Longer term, ByteDance appears the more significant threat. It’s looking to exploit its social platforms to distribute games where players will splurge on virtual weapons and cosmetics, much as Tencent did more than a decade ago when it first entered the arena. ByteDance has built a gaming division with more than 1,000 people — including hires from Tencent — and is planning to launch two hardcore games this spring, Bloomberg News has reported.Competition at home has spurred Tencent to increasingly look overseas for future growth. It’s taken Honor of King’s global edition to scores of new markets from Russia to the Middle East. International titles contributed 23% of Tencent’s online games revenue in 2019’s final quarter. It’s also planning to launch music app Joox to Africa’s most populous nations.Tencent itself is exploring new markets. Taken together, fintech and cloud services are now Tencent’s fastest-growing division, making up more than a quarter of the company’s revenue in 2019.Its fintech business took a surprising hit in the first quarter, after the brick-and-mortar stores that account for the bulk of WeChat payments shuttered nationwide to contain Covid-19. Ant Financial’s Alipay, meanwhile, is seeking to draw more merchants and transactions partially by replicating the lite-app model WeChat championed. Alipay’s own mini programs — featured more prominently in a recent upgrade and used for everything from hotel booking to tax filing — now have more than 600 million monthly active users, according to Ant Financial.For cloud, the pandemic boosted Tencent’s nascent consumer-facing division as workers stranded at home had to rely on collaborative office software. But enterprise customers — a more significant source of revenue — were forced to delay their projects. Tencent’s cloud service revenues surpassed 17 billion yuan ($2.4 billion) in 2019, versus rival Alibaba’s 35.5 billion yuan. Alibaba said last month it will invest 200 billion yuan on cloud infrastructure such as data centers over the next three years.What Bloomberg Intelligence SaysThe company’s social-ad business could continue to grow strongly, despite challenging industry conditions, on high demand and new inventory released in mid-February, but its fintech and business services segment could deliver slower growth as offline payments declined during the pandemic and some cloud computing projects were delayed.\- Vey-Sern Ling and Tiffany Tam, analystsClick here for the research.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Cochlear share price lower after reporting 60% sales decline in April

    The Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price is edging lower after providing an update this morning.

    At the time of writing the hearing solutions company’s shares are down slightly to $181.22.

    What did Cochlear announce?

    This morning Cochlear released an update on the tough trading conditions it is facing because of the pandemic.

    According to the release, as was forewarned in March, the company has experienced a substantial, temporary negative impact on cochlear implant surgeries in the US and Western Europe as hospitals prioritise their COVID-19 responses.

    During the month of April, sales revenue across the business fell by ~60% on the prior corresponding period. The sales of cochlear and acoustic implants were the most severely affected.

    Cochlear implant unit sales declined by ~80% across developed markets, with most elective surgeries postponed across the US and Western Europe. In addition to this, the company notes that many ear, nose, throat (ENT) surgeons have been diverted to help treat COVID-19 patients.

    Positively, in China things are recovering quickly. Surgeries recommenced in late February and continued to recover throughout April.

    As a result, surgeries are now running close to pre-virus run rates despite Beijing, the largest surgery centre, remaining largely closed to elective surgery. Though, the majority of cochlear implants in China are for children.

    Also being impacted by the pandemic is the Services business, which represents around 30% of business-as-usual revenue. Its sales declined by ~30% during the month of April.

    Management advised that while many recipients have been able to access sound processor upgrades remotely, clinic closures have delayed access for other users.

    In light of these sales declines, Cochlear is currently cash flow negative and expects to continue being so for the coming months.

    However, thanks to its recent capital raising, an increase in its debt facilities, and its cost cutting, management believes its liquidity position is strong enough to navigate these tough times.

    Outlook.

    Management expects the immediate term to be tough for the company but remains very positive on its long term outlook.

    CEO & President, Dig Howitt said, “Longer-term, there remains a significant, unmet and addressable clinical need for cochlear and acoustic implants that is expected to continue to underpin the long-term sustainable growth of the business. Following the capital raising and expansion of debt facilities, we have strengthened our balance sheet and liquidity position, which enables the business to weather the expected temporary decline in demand caused by COVID-19, while continuing to progress the R&D pipeline.”

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • These ASX 200 shares saw the biggest falls last week

    The market closed higher last week on hopes of an imminent easing in coronavirus restrictions. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week up 2.78% as Scott Morrison announced a staged reopening of the economy. 

    Treasury has estimated the coronavirus shutdown is costing the economy $4 billion a week. The economic hit is due to a combination of unemployment, productivity loss, and a drop in consumption. 

    The unemployment rate is predicted to hit 10% by June. But a recovery in GDP growth is expected by the end of the year, limiting the fall in GDP to 6% over 2020. Unemployment is predicted to improve slightly to 9% by the end of the year. 

    Market conditions remain challenging given COVID-19 uncertainty and the unknown speed of recovery. Nonetheless, ASX travel shares soared as Morrison announced “some” interstate travel would be permissible under stage 2 of the 3-step plan to reopen the economy.

    If all goes well under Morrison’s 3-step plan, 850,000 people will be back in work and around $9 billion pumped into the economy in about 8 weeks’ time. As restrictions ease, we take a look at the ASX 200 shares that fell the most last week. 

    Inghams Group Ltd (ASX: ING)

    Shares in Inghams Group fell 6.5% last week to close the week at $3.19. Last Monday, Inghams refused to draw conclusions around FY20 trading results given changes in volume and channel mix.

    COVID-19 restrictions have had an impact on the food supply chain, and there have been volatile conditions in poultry markets. Inghams had to swiftly realign its operations to manage social distancing requirements at its facilities. This has created additional inefficiencies and costs and led to the suspended production of some products. 

    COVID-19 restrictions caused a temporary surge in retail sales in March and early April but since then, store traffic has decreased and shopping behaviours shifted. Out of home consumption of poultry products has been negatively impacted. Customers supplying hospitality and tourism industries have significantly reduced purchases, leading to weaker conditions in wholesale markets. 

    Inghams is closely managing its working capital and inventory, and remains focused on debtors and cashflow collection. In some circumstances where customers have experienced difficulties, Inghams is working to support them. The company is supported by its lenders and has significant headroom in its covenants. 

    Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE)

    Orocobre shares ended last week 6.5% lower at $2.03. Its Olaroz lithium facility stopped production during the March quarter due to Argentinian COVID-19 restrictions. The shutdown, combined with planned maintenance, resulted in 21 days of lost production. 

    Production for the quarter was down 11% on the prior corresponding period due to the shutdown. March quarter product pricing was also below that of the December quarter with continuing weak demand and aggressive competitor behaviour. Sales revenue was down 32% QoQ to US$12.1 million.

    The existing challenges in the lithium market were compounded by the spread of COVID-19 which impacted operations throughout the supply chain. Future demand rests on increased appetite for electric vehicles, with Orocobre confident in its long-term prospects given government emission targets and European carbon emissions penalties. 

    Alumina Limited (ASX: AWC)

    Shares in Alumina lost 6.2% last week, finishing the week at $1.525. The price of aluminium has declined 17.7% since the beginning of 2020, and is expected to decline further over the next 12 months. 

    In the March quarter, Alumina reduced cash costs of production by $1 per tonne. Daily production was in line with that of the previous quarter. The average realised alumina price was also broadly in line with the previous quarter despite a decline in the spot price towards the end of the quarter. 

    To preserve cash in the current environment, Alumina has put growth capital expenditure on hold for the rest of 2020. This will reduce spending by $30 million, with Alumina looking to save a similar amount on non-critical sustaining capital expenditure. 

    Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN)

    Qantas shares closed last week down 6.1% at 3.40. A dispute with Perth airport over alleged unpaid aviation and rental fees has led to the airport issuing Qantas with termination notices. Qantas said the notices amounted to eviction notices and could result in operations at the airport stopping within a fortnight. 

    “We understand Qantas needs to keep trading and that the significant profits it is generating from these lucrative FIFO flights are crucial to them,” Perth Airport Chief Executive Kevin Brown told the Sydney Morning Herald. “But paying nothing while using all of the airport’s services is no longer an option.”

    Qantas has struck deals with most airports around Australia and is in negotiations with others. Perth Airport is the exception. Qantas is currently operating around 350 services a week through Perth airport, most headed to Western Australian resource projects. 

    National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR)

    The National Storage REIT finished last week down 5.9% at $1.59. National Storage announced a $330 million equity raising during the week. A $300 million placement was conducted at $1.57 per stapled security, which was a 7.1% discount to the last closing price. A further $30 million will be raised under a security purchase plan. 

    Proceeds from the raising will be used to strengthen the balance sheet, replenish investment capacity and provide additional funding flexibility. National Storage says it has $120 million of acquisition and development opportunities under active consideration. 

    Self-storage markets in Australia and New Zealand are fragmented. National Storage believes the COVID-19 pandemic may provide additional acquisition opportunities over the next 12 to 18 months. With strengthened liquidity as a result of the capital raising, National Storage says it will be in a strong position to capitalise on these opportunities.

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    Motley Fool contributor Kate O’Brien has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • PFE | Pfizer and German partner BioNTech SE said Tuesday they’ve begun delivering doses of their coronavirus vaccine to US candidates with trials in Germany already underway.

  • PFE | Pfizer and German Parker BioNTech SE have begun delivering doses of their coronavirus vaccine for human testing US, trials in Germany already underway.

  • The performance outlook of tech companies.

  • Top broker urging you to buy this ASX 200 retail stock next week