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Investors in ASX defence stocks are buzzing as the AML3D Ltd (ASX: AL3) share price surged another 37.7% to close at 14 cents apiece on Wednesday. This follows an enormous run for the ASX small-cap stock, which has rallied more than 125% in a month.

It is up almost 70% this week alone.

Comparatively, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index (ASX: XJO) has lifted 6.8% over the past 12 months.

Let’s dive into what’s driving this performance and whether it’s a trend that could continue.

Why is the AML3D share price soaring?

The impressive rally in the ALM3D share price is most likely attributed to several positive developments for the company.

This week, AML3D announced a $1.1 million sale of its 2600 Edition ARCEMY system to Laser Welding Solutions, a supplier to the US Navy.

This system will support Laser’s alloy qualification program, which has been operational under a lease agreement since September 2023. The deal includes a one-year service and maintenance contract, adding to AML3D’s recurring revenue stream.

Earlier in the year, back in February, AML3D reported a 936% increase in half-year revenues to $1.51 million, compared to $146,115 in the prior corresponding period.

In May, the company secured a $350,000 contract with the Australian Government, alongside a $1.54 million order from the US Department of Defence.

AML3D then received a $1.12 million grant from the South Australian Economic Recovery Fund to develop its proprietary metal 3D printing technology.

These achievements have positioned the AML3D share price front and centre of the ASX aerospace and defence basket at the start of FY25.

What’s next for AML3D?

While AML3D has been making headlines, it’s worth noting that other ASX defence-related stocks, like DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO), have also seen significant gains.

DroneShield shares, for instance, have posted a 617% increase over the past year and more than 410% return year-to-date in 2024. It, too, had a number of recent contract wins with the US Government.

The question is, will AML3D’s contract wins and rapid revenue growth suggest its share price has a similar potential for future outsized returns as well?

AML3D is focused on getting its advanced manufacturing technology in with the US Navy supply chain. Its announcement on the ARCEMY sale to the Navy on Tuesday made a detailed note of this.

The company’s CEO, Sean Ebert, expressed confidence in AML3D’s ability to capitalise on opportunities within the US Defence sector, saying:

The continuing momentum within our US scale-up strategy underpins the investment we are making in our US manufacturing hub and headquarters at Ohio. We are looking to maximize the opportunities we have across the US Defence sector, especially the Navy’s submarine industrial base, but also across US-based, global Tier 1 Oil & Gas, Marine and Aerospace companies.

Foolish takeaway

AML3D’s recent performance and promising outlook could make it an exciting prospect for investors.

However, as with any high-growth stocks, potential investors should remain mindful of the risks and volatility involved. Keep an eye on AML3D’s future announcements to gauge whether this upward momentum can be sustained.

The post AML3D share price surges another 38% today! What’s going on? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Move over DroneShield: This ASX defence stock is up 67% in a month!

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

If you’re currently building a retirement portfolio then you may be on the lookout for some ASX shares to add to it.

The good news is there is no shortage of quality options to choose from on the Australian share market.

But which ones could be buys right now? Let’s take a look at three that analysts rate as buys:

CSL Limited (ASX: CSL)

The first ASX retirement share to look at is CSL. It is one of the world’s leading biotechnology companies.

CSL has been growing at a solid rate for years thanks to its in-demand product portfolio, investment in research and development, and acquisitions. The former includes therapies such as Privigen, Hizentra, Idelvion, and Afstyla.

And while its shares don’t provide any meaningful income, they could provide strong returns over the coming years. That’s because Macquarie has an outperform rating and $330.00 price target on them. The broker also sees potential for its shares to rise beyond $500 in the next three years thanks to its positive outlook.

Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS)

A second ASX retirement share that could be a buy is telco giant Telstra.

It arguably ticks a lot of boxes when it comes to retirement portfolio holdings. That’s because it has defensive qualities, a good dividend yield, and a positive growth outlook.

In respect to the latter, Goldman Sachs highlights that its “low risk earnings (and dividend) growth” across FY 2022 to FY 2025 is “attractive.”

Speaking of dividends, Goldman Sachs is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 18 cents in FY 2024 and 18.5 cents in FY 2025. Based on the current Telstra share price of $3.62, this will mean yields of 5% and 5.1%, respectively.

The broker also sees decent upside for its shares with its buy rating and $4.25 price target.

Transurban Group (ASX: TCL)

A third ASX retirement share to consider is Transurban. It is the toll road giant with a portfolio of roads across Australia and North America. In addition, it has a significant project pipeline that should support its long-term growth.

As with Telstra, Transurban has defensive qualities. After all, these roads are always in need, particularly given population growth and urbanisation. It also has positive exposure to inflation, which is a good thing in the current environment.

Citi currently has a buy rating and $15.50 price target on its shares. It also expects 5%+ dividend yields in the coming years.

The post 3 top ASX retirement shares to buy for FY25 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Why the CSL share price could be ‘undervalued’ at $293
• How come the Telstra share price crashed 16% in FY 2024?
• What is the outlook for ASX 200 dividend shares in FY25?
• Buy these ASX income shares in July: Analysts
• 3 ASX dividend shares to buy with 5%+ yields

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Goldman Sachs Group, Macquarie Group, and Transurban Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) shares had a difficult end to FY24 and are down 27% in the past 12 months. They are currently swapping hands at $35.02 per share.

Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is around 2% higher over the same time.

Investors were quick to unload their stock in the company after it released a trading update in January, advising its H1 FY24 profit numbers were lower than expected.

The forewarning – whilst polite – was not received well by the market. The stock fell from above $57 to $39.50 in just one session.

I’m not sure the FY24 listing of Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX: GYG) made things any easier for the stock either.

As we look ahead to FY25, investors are keen to understand what the future might hold for Domino’s Pizza shares. Here’s what the experts are saying.

Could Domino’s Pizza shares rebound in FY25?

Analysts are optimistic about the potential for a rebound in Domino’s Pizza shares. According to investment bank Citi, based on its target price of $44.50 per share, Domino’s could see a 22% increase.

This bullish outlook follows the company’s investor tour in France, where Citi analyst Sam Teeger noted the potential for “better days ahead” despite recent struggles.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs also attended the tour. In a May note, the broker highlighted a positive shift in management’s focus towards improving store profitability.

We view more positively a higher management commitment to store unit profitability via lifting Average Weekly Unit Sales (AWUS) largely via Average Weekly Order Count (AWOC) with a combination of higher aggregator contribution, fixing carry-out, new product development as well as higher brand marketing.

It also notes the pizza chain’s new third-party partnerships, such as Uber Eats in France, as another potential driver of growth.

What are the other drivers for Domino’s Pizza shares?

Citi isn’t alone in its optimism. Ord Minnett also sees significant upside potential, rating Domino’s Pizza shares a buy with a price target of $44.40.

Otherwise, the stock is rated a buy from the consensus of analyst estimates, per CommSec.

This confidence stems from expected growth in sales and earnings as the company adapts to changing consumer preferences and market conditions.

Domino’s long-term expansion strategy is a critical factor in this. According to my colleague Tristan, the company aims to approximately double its total store count by 2033.

It is specifically targeting growth in Europe and Asia Pacific, but in Australia and New Zealand, it plans to reach 1,200 stores by 2027/2028. This growth may or may not positively affect Domino’s Pizza shares.

Goldman Sachs explained that Domino’s management is focused on improving the company’s unit economics. Efforts include reducing food and delivery costs, increasing digital spending to attract new customers, and enhancing product quality and delivery times.

The broker noted that “management will also lean further into digital initiatives, including Germany stepping up loyalty rewards in CY24, rolling out digital kiosks…”. Digital kiosks – what a time to be alive.

Challenges and risks ahead

Despite the optimistic projections, there still could be risks to consider. Morgan Stanley’s analysis into GLP-1 weightloss drugs highlights the potential impact of labels such as Ozempic.

The thinking is that widespread use of the compound could reduce the consumption of high-calorie foods, including pizza. If correct, this could pose a challenge for Domino’s Pizza shares.

Goldman Sachs also points out that while there is a positive shift towards improving store profitability, “current franchisee payback periods at ~4-5 years for Germany and Netherlands and ~4.5-6 years for France vs target of ~3 years” indicate that there is still work to be done.

Foolish takeaway

If Citi and Ord Minnett’s positive forecasts hold true, Domino’s shares could see a significant rebound in FY25. The company is positioned for potential growth with ambitious expansion plans and efforts to improve profitability. As always, it is crucial to weigh the risks and stay informed before investing.

The post Down 22% in FY24, what’s in store for Domino’s Pizza shares in FY25? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How does the Guzman Y Gomez ASX valuation compare to Domino’s?
• It’s only a day until ASX investors can buy Guzman y Gomez shares
• 5 top ASX growth shares to buy in June
• Is Guzman y Gomez stock too expensive?
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

It’s been a fairly happy Wednesday for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) and many ASX 200 shares so far today. At the time of writing, the ASX 200 is up a decent 0.25%, trading at 7,737.30 points. But the CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) share price is doing even better this hump day.

CSL shares closed at $292.08 each yesterday evening. But today, the ASX 200 healthcare giant is up an enthusiastic 0.42% to $293.30.

Now while that gain would obviously be a welcome one for CSL investors, it still leaves this company down by more than 4% from its February 52-week high of $306.42.

But CSL owners would be used to a bit of stagnation by now.

After all, this is a company that last saw an all-time high (over $340 a share) back in early 2020. since then, CSL has pretty much treaded water, barring an unfortunate episode last year that saw the company get down to under $230 a share. 

Check that all out for yourself below:

However, this CSL share price stagnation has caught the eyes of a few ASX experts.

ASX experts rate CSL share price as a buy

One such expert is Toby Grimm of Baker Young. Speaking to The Bull this week, Grimm gave CSL a ‘buy rating. Here’s what he said in full:

This blood products company continues to screen as undervalued relative to its historic multiples and peers. New products and improving margins are expected to drive compound annual net profit growth of about 21 per cent over the next three years.

No doubt CSL investors will find that view comforting.

But Grimm isn’t the only one eyeing off CSL right now. As my Fool colleague James covered last month, ASX brokers Morgans and Macquarie both see value in the CSL share price at present.

Morgans gave CSL an ‘add’ rating, as well as a 12-month share price target of $315.35:

While shares have struggled of late, we continue to view CSL as a key portfolio holding and sector pick, offering double-digit recovery in earnings growth as plasma collections increase, new products get approved and influenza vaccine uptake increases around ongoing concerns about respiratory viruses, with shares trading at 25x, a substantial discount (20%) to its long-term average.

Macquarie was even more bullish. It slapped the company with an ‘outperform’ rating, alongside a share price target of $330. Going even further, Macquarie also stated that it believes CSL might even be worth $500 a share by 2027, thanks to the strength of its Behring division.

So, it seems that more than a couple of ASX experts see substantial value in CSL shares today. But let’s see what the next 12 months and beyond hold in store for this ASX 200 healthcare stock.

The post Why the CSL share price could be ‘undervalued’ at $293 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• 3 top ASX retirement shares to buy for FY25
• What’s the outlook for ASX healthcare shares in FY25?
• Which ASX shares to buy if interest rates rise (and which to avoid)
• Will CSL shares rise in value over the next 12 months? Here’s what the experts say
• 3 ASX shares that could create lasting generational wealth

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

ASX coal shares had a volatile year in FY24. The price of coal sank to lows of around US$115 per tonne in February, before rebounding sharply and peaking at around US$147/tonne by May.

They have since settled lower at US$132/tonne.

This hasn’t stopped investors from lifting the bid on two Aussie coal giants on Wednesday.

Whitehaven Coal Ltd (ASX: WHC) and Yancoal Australia Ltd (ASX: YAL) both touched new 52-week highs around lunchtime on Wednesday.

Whitehaven shares hit highs of $8.95 shortly after midday, while Yancoal soared to $7.18 around the same time. Both have since cooled off slightly.

Here’s a closer look at what may be behind the surge in these ASX coal shares.

ASX coal shares hitting new highs

We can likely attribute today’s rally to a combination of strong demand for coal, attractive dividends, and positive market sentiment.

Despite no market-sensitive news since May, Yancoal shares have been on an upward ascent. On 1 May, they were trading at $5.54 apiece and are now at $7.14 — a 28.3% increase.

According to my colleague Bernd, the recent forced halt in production at Anglo American‘s Grosvenor coking coal mine in Queensland due to an underground fire has also boosted investor interest.

Production is expected to be down for several months, which has created a bullish sentiment for other ASX coal shares like Yancoal.

Yancoal shares are up more than 50% over the past 12 months, outpacing the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) by more than 43%.

Whitehaven Coal (ASX: WHC)

Whitehaven shares have also seen significant gains in recent weeks. The stock closed out trading in June at $7.65 per share before exploding to its yearly high on Wednesday.

It has whipsawed around 29% into the green over the past 12 months.

While the company has not released any market-sensitive news today, the rise also looks to be linked to strength in the basket of ASX coal shares, supported by strong global demand and favourable coal prices.

Global demand for coal is expected to grow, particularly from major importers like India and China. China plans to add 70 gigawatts of coal capacity this year, while India’s coal imports increased by 25% in 2023.

This robust demand could support higher coal prices and benefit Australian coal producers, which would be positive for ASX coal shares.

The company’s robust performance over the past year, along with attractive dividends, has made it a standout performer on the ASX.

Foolish takeaway

Both Whitehaven Coal and Yancoal have hit new 52-week highs as ASX coal shares catch a bid today. Even at the yearly highs, Yancoal trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5, while Whitehaven has a P/E ratio of 5.50.

The post 2 ASX coal shares smashing new 52-week highs on Wednesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
• Why Arafura Rare Earths, Ora Banda, Superloop, and Whitehaven Coal shares are rising today
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
• The Yancoal share price just rocketed to new 52-week highs. Here’s why
• Why are ASX 200 coal shares smashing the market today?

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Now that we’ve entered FY25, it’s time to think about where the general direction of the market is heading. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has drifted less than 2% into the green this year to date.

Meanwhile, AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) shares have caught a bid this year and have held gains of 17.5%, despite trending lower since June.

The firm remains optimistic about the continued rally in share markets in FY25.

According to Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Investments, the past financial year saw robust returns for investors.

These were driven by falling inflation, central banks cutting rates, and better-than-expected economic conditions.

“There has been a wall of worry for investors over the last year, but as is often the case, share markets climbed it,” Oliver noted.

Here’s the outlook for ASX shares in FY25 according to the AMP economist.

AMP sees continued market optimism

AMP identifies several key themes influencing the Aussie markets going forward. Firstly, inflation has been on a downward trend globally, which has supported global market rallies. Australian inflation meanwhile has lagged, but is expected to follow trend, Oliver says.

Central bank policies are also playing a significant role. After slowing the pace of interest rate hikes, central banks worldwide – including in Europe and North America – have begun cutting rates, a trend that’s expected to continue and support market performance.

AMP, therefore, expects more volatility in stocks but believes that markets will continue to rise amid improving economic data.

As Dr Oliver explains:

Central banks in Switzerland, Sweden, Canada and the Eurozone have now started to cut with the US and UK expected to start around September…

…Our base case is that share markets can continue to rally as more central banks join in cutting rates as inflation continues to fall towards central bank targets, including the Fed from around September and the RBA from around February enabling bond yields to fall and investors to focus on stronger growth in 2025. 

Also noting:

Our base case is for more constrained returns in the current financial year of 6-7% down from the 9% or so seen over the last year. However, the risk of another correction in shares is high and investors should allow for a more volatile ride than seen over the last year.

Global economic growth is also seen to be resilient, particularly in the US. This is despite regions like Europe and Japan “flirting with recession”. Additionally, AI developments have boosted tech stocks, particularly in the US, contributing to the market’s strength.

We saw this very early in the year and then once again around the end of the first quarter when large tech and artificial intelligence (AI) shares – such as NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) – reported bumper earnings.

Oliver says that despite these positive trends, geopolitical risks remain high. The war in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East, and the upcoming elections in France and the US all pose potential threats.

Forecast for balanced growth super funds

AMP suggests balanced growth superannuation funds could also return around 6%-7% in the coming year. This is around 3 percentage points lower than the previous year.

This more conservative outlook considers the potential for market corrections and increased volatility.

Many investors hold shares like AMP in their super funds.

With short-term volatility, one might be tempted to hit the “sell” button on their brokerage accounts. Or, change investment strategy in their super.

But critically, Oliver – like all the investing greats: Buffet, Munger, Dalio, and so on – advises investors to maintain a long-term view and not be swayed by short-term market movements.

“The key is to adopt a long-term strategy and turn down the noise”, Dr Oliver said.

“Short term forecasting and market timing is fraught with difficulty and it’s best to stick to sound long term investment principles.”

The post Why AMP says share markets ‘can continue to rally’ in FY25 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Almost all of us have a superannuation fund. After all, in Australia almost all workers must have 11.5% of their paycheques diverted into a super account, quarantined for our retirements.

Most Australians who don’t have a self-managed super fund (SMSF) will probably find that their super is going into something known as a ‘balanced’ fund.

Super providers offer a range of different investment options for our super, graded by the risk and reward spectrum. You can opt to have your cash invested in purely growth assets like ASX shares, or else conservative options like cash and government bonds.

Most super providers offer a happy medium though – the balanced fund. This option aims to balance the aim of achieving the best returns on investment possible with the desire of most Australians to limit volatility within their super funds.

As such, your typical balanced fund will invest your money in a range of assets, including aggressive and conservative investments. This means a balanced fund will normally have a mix of ASX shares, international shares, bonds, and cash, amongst other assets within its portfolio.

But how much does your typical balanced super fund return to you each year? That’s what we’ll be diving into today.

Thanks to some analysis by superannuation research firm Chant West, we have a pretty good idea.

What is the average return of a ‘balanced’ superannuation fund?

According to Chant West, the average Australian balanced fund (41%-60% of growth assets) returned 9.4% over the 12 months to 31 May 2024.

The average return over the three years to 31 May was 5.3% per annum. That grew to 6.7% per annum over five years and 7.2% over ten.

The numbers do show though, that choosing a balanced fund and chasing a less volatile portfolio does have a cost. The same data shows that an ‘all-growth’ fund delivered a 13.7% return over the 12 months to 31 May. This fund type also delivered an average of 6.9% per annum over three years, 8.8% over five, and 8.7% over ten.

That extra point or two can make a big difference over a working lifetime.

In contrast, your typical conservative super fund returned just 5% over the year to 31 May and averaged 4.3% per annum over the prior ten years.

Deciding on the type of super fund to go with should be a decision you and your financial advisor make, taking into account your individual circumstances. For example, if you are only a few years away from retirement, it is generally wise to take a conservative approach.

But even so, this data makes for some interesting reading.

The post What are the average returns for balanced superannuation funds? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Why AMP says share markets ‘can continue to rally’ in FY25
• Which ASX lithium shares are financially primed to survive this rut?
• Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today
• Own NAB shares? Here’s how much you’re about to get paid in dividends
• ASX 200 stock slips on $145 million impairment

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Two years ago, ASX lithium shares were a hotbed for incredible returns. Today, the once dazzling sector is ground zero for some of the poorest performances on the Australian share market over the past year.

The electrifying commodity lithium has experienced an unceremonious price collapse. From its peak in November 2022, the price of lithium carbonate is down roughly 85%, bringing it back in line with prices witnessed in 2021 — a change undoubtedly challenging the economic viability of many recent lithium developments.

Booms and busts are common among commodities. However, the companies involved need to survive if investors are to benefit from lithium prices rising again.

So, how financially insulated are some of the most popular lithium names?

Financial fitness of ASX lithium shares

There is no better position than being a company with positive free cash flows during distressing times — that is, more cash coming in than going out. Realistically, such companies can benefit from weak conditions by making strategic acquisitions while competitors struggle.

Conversely, hard times are the enemy if a company is short on cash and has low cash flows. It can pay to understand which businesses are financially sound and which are possibly limping along.

The table below briefly summarises the financial standing of several popular ASX lithium shares.

ASX-listed company	Cash and equivalents (millions)	Free cash flow (millions)	Cash runway (months)	Debt-to-equity ratio
Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN)	$1,383.0	-$1,528.0	11	113.9%
Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS)	$2,144.0	$677.4	∞	14.1%
IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO)	$353.3	$1,047.0	∞	0.0%
Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR)	$516.9	-$519.1	12	38.4%
Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd (ASX: VUL)	$79.7	-$117.0	8	0.0%
Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO)	$125.4	-$98.1	15	0.0%
Patriot Battery Metals Inc (ASX: PMT)	$73.0	-$107.8	8	0.0%

Western Australian mining giant Mineral Resources may look to be in a precarious financial position based on the above. As of 31 December 2023, the iron ore and lithium miner showed a highly indebted balance sheet and negative free cash flows, producing a forecast cash runway of 11 months.

Since then, Mineral Resources has taken action by ceasing operations at its Yilgarn Hub and selling 49% interest in its Onslow Iron project for $1.3 billion. Core Lithium took a similar course of action in January, suspending mining at its Finnis mine to conserve capital.

In comparison, Pilbara Minerals and IGO are still cash flow positive with little or no debt. This may suggest these two ASX lithium shares are better placed to weather extended weakness. However, it’s worth noting that even these miners are experiencing declines in their free cash flows.

This year, companies like Liontown Resources, Vulcan Energy Resources, and Patriot Battery Metals have turned to debt and equity markets to shore up their balance sheets. In doing so, they have likely extended their cash runways beyond the figures above.

Is the worst yet to come?

If we can roughly estimate how long a company can sustain itself, the next question to consider is how long the tough times will last.

Unfortunately, none of us are fortune tellers. Nevertheless, analysts have crunched the numbers to obtain a best guess, and the general consensus is bleak.

Analysts from Citi, UBS, and Wood Mackenzie all expect lower lithium prices to come. For example, Wood Mackenzie thinks spodumene could hit rock bottom at around US$1,000 per tonne and stay suppressed until 2028.

If true, even ASX lithium shares with the most fortified financials may face pressure.

However, if the International Energy Agency’s estimates are accurate, the ones that survive could flourish. According to its Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2024 report, a lithium supply deficit is expected by 2030 as demand for electric vehicles takes hold, as shown above.

The post Which ASX lithium shares are financially primed to survive this rut? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today
• This ASX stock just announced a special dividend with a 20% yield
• Should you buy Liontown shares after its update?
• Top broker says Pilbara Minerals shares are ‘a super buy at these levels’
• Is it time to buy FY24’s worst-performing ASX shares?

Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Many of Australia’s top brokers have been busy adjusting their financial models and recommendations again. This has led to the release of a number of broker notes this week.

Three ASX shares that brokers have named as buys this week are listed below. Here’s why their analysts are feeling bullish on them right now:

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their buy rating and $48.40 price target on this mining giant’s shares. The broker believes the Big Australian’s shares are attractively priced even though they trade at a premium to rival Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO). Goldman thinks this premium is justified due to its ongoing superior margins and operating performance, particularly in Pilbara iron ore where it maintains superior free cash flow per tonne compared to peers. In addition, the broker remains very positive on copper and met coal and likes the optionality of BHP’s US$20 billion+ copper pipeline. The BHP share price is trading at $43.41 today.

Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX: GYG)

A note out of Morgans reveals that its analysts have initiated coverage on this quick service restaurant operator’s shares with an add rating and $30.80 price target. The broker is feeling positive about Guzman Y Gomez due to its strong long term growth potential and operating leverage. In respect to the former, the broker believes the company can achieve its aspirational target of 1,000 restaurants in Australia. This is by opening 30-40 restaurants each year. Though, it is worth noting that Guzman Y Gomez’s shares are trading at approximately 400x estimated FY 2025 earnings based on Morgans’ estimates. The Guzman Y Gomez share price is fetching $25.10 on Wednesday afternoon.

Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR)

Analysts at Bell Potter have retained their speculative buy rating and $1.85 price target on this lithium developer’s shares. This follows news that the company has secured funding through a five-year US$250 million convertible note to LG Energy Solution. The broker believes the funding is a sensible solution to remove the onerous terms associated with traditional bank debt. In light of this, it thinks the company is fully funded to free cash flow. Outside this news, Bell Potter is very positive on the 100% owned Kathleen Valley lithium project. It notes that it remains highly strategic with initial production imminent, a long mine life, and tier-one location. The Liontown share price is trading at 93 cents this afternoon.

The post Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Why APA Group, Chalice Mining, Guzman Y Gomez, and Monadelphous shares are falling
• I’d buy BHP shares to generate $1,000 of monthly passive income
• Down 18% since listing, should you buy Guzman Y Gomez shares now?
• Should you buy Liontown shares after its update?
• Is it time to buy FY24’s worst-performing ASX shares?

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Investors who own ASX bank shares, like National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB), look forward to two dates on the financial calendar more than most. Bank stocks like NAB are well known for paying some of the largest, fattest, and most consistent dividends on the ASX.

So it makes sense that bank shareholders would hold a special affinity for the day that they receive these fat, and usually fully franked, dividends.

Well, luckily for NAB shareholders, today is one of the two days this year that they will receive a dividend payment.

Back in May, we covered NAB’s latest earnings report, covering the half-year ended 31 March. As we went through at the time, these earnings were well-received, with NAB shares surging as a result. This surge was despite the bank reporting a 0.9% drop in operating income to $10.14 billion for the six months to 31 March. That was alongside a 12.8% decline in cash earnings to $3.55 billion.

Despite these sobering metrics, NAB still announced an additional $1.5 billion share buyback program. As well as an increase to its interim dividend for 2024.

How much is the latest NAB dividend worth?

The bank revealed that its latest dividend would be worth 84 cents per share, fully franked. That’s a 1.3% rise over last year’s interim dividend, which was worth 83 cents per share. It’s also the same value as NAB’s last dividend. That was the final payment of 84 cents per share that we saw doled out back in December. Both of these payments came fully franked as well.

As we warned back in May, the ex-dividend date for this latest NAB dividend was set for 7 May. So if you didn’t own NAB shares as of 6 May’s market close, you’ll miss out on this shareholder paycheque.

But for eligible investors, the long wait for this dividend is finally over. Today is dividend payday. Yep, shareholders will be getting the proverbial cheque in the mail sometime this Wednesday. If someone owned 500 NAB shares right now (worth approximately $17,810 at current pricing), they can expect to receive $420 in dividend cash today.

If shareholders instead selected the optional dividend reinvestment plan (DRP) by 9 May, they will receive additional NAB shares in lieu of the traditional cash payment.

At the time of writing, NAB shares are down 0.17% at $35.63 each. At this pricing, NAB is currently trading on a dividend yield of 4.72%.

The post Own NAB shares? Here’s how much you’re about to get paid in dividends appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Own NAB shares? You just got a 44% return in FY24
• What is the outlook for ASX 200 dividend shares in FY25?
• These were the five best ASX bank shares to own in FY24
• Retirement planning guide: 710,000 Aussies to retire over next 5 years
• Which ASX shares to buy if interest rates rise (and which to avoid)

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in National Australia Bank. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.