Tag: Motley Fool Australia

  • Why the Saracen share price has soared over 80% higher in the first half of 2020

    stacks of gold coins growing higher

    The Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR) share price is having a pretty good day today. Saracen shares closed at $6.24, after making a new all-time high of $6.31 earlier in the day. The Saracen share price is now more than 87% higher since the start of the year and up an astonishing 1,318% since July 2015.

    Why has the Saracen share price taken off in 2020?

    Saracen is a mid-tier ASX gold miner and has been caught in a powerful tailwind in 2020. At its core, Saracen’s profitability is influenced by 3 factors: how much gold it can mine, the price it can sell said gold for, and how much it costs the company to extract the gold.

    The powerful tailwind I referenced earlier is the gold price. Since the start of 2020, the yellow metal has gone from being priced at around US$1,400 an ounce to today’s price of $1,815 an ounce. As my Fool colleague Brendan Lau reported earlier today, gold has appreciated more than 30% in value over the past 12 months, which outpaces the gains that the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has seen over the same period, as well as the US Dow Jones and Nasdaq indices. Gold is now getting very close to the all-time high of US$1,920 we saw back in 2011. I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw this record broken over the coming months.

    In addition to this gold price tailwind, Saracen is also expanding gold production. Just yesterday, the company told the ASX that its gold production for FY20 came in at 520,414 ounces, which exceeded the company’s guidance of 500,000 ounces. Saracen expects to produce more than 600,000 ounces in FY21.

    It’s this ‘double-whammy’ of a rising gold price in conjunction with rising gold production from Saracen that is pushing the Saracen share price into the stratosphere.

    Will gold prices stay at record highs?

    Saracen shareholders will be pleased to know that I think record-high gold prices are here to stay, at least in the short to medium-term. Gold is viewed by many investors as the ultimate ‘safe haven’ asset and an effective portfolio hedge against economic uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and currency debasement.

    There’s no doubt that 2020 has brought global economic uncertainty in spades, for obvious reasons. Geopolitical risks, especially those between China and the rest of the world, have also been climbing in recent months. On top of this, there are growing fears over inflation as central banks around the world increase their balance sheets at unprecedented rates.

    The convergence of the above trends leads me to believe we are witnessing a massive bull run in the gold market, one that I see playing out over many more months, if not years. As such, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Saracen share price climb even further from where we see it today, despite its already substantial gains.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The embattled ASX 200 stocks that could deliver a dividend surprise

    Happy young man and woman throwing dividend cash into air in front of orange background

    There’s a sector that could deliver an unexpected dividend surprise at the upcoming profit reporting season.

    This isn’t the mighty miners like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX:RIO) – even though their strong balance sheets certainly puts them in a good position to be generous with they payouts.

    The unlikely dividend heroes I am referring to are the ASX big banks. They include the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price, Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price, the Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price and National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price.

    ASX banks falling off a cliff

    That may sound surprising given that banks are hard hit by the COVID-19 turmoil and are facing the so-called dreaded “fiscal cliff”.

    The cliff refers to the September expiry of the government’s wage and other fiscal support programs that are keeping consumers and small businesses on their feet.

    The fear is that ASX banks will suffer a wave of loan delinquencies in the next few months, which is why the banks are extending their loan repayment holiday for a further four months after September.

    Impact of new loan holiday on banks

    On the face of it, the loan extension may be seen as a negative for bank profits and dividends. But a number of brokers, including Citigroup, are believe this is more positive than negative.

    The repayment reprieve extension won’t be applied carte blanche like the original support program. Borrowers needing further relief will need to show that they will be able to repay their debts in the post COVID-19 economy.

    The extension will allow the banks to manage a number of key risks, according to Citigroup. This includes the second lockdown of the greater Melbourne region and Mitchell Shire, the winddown of fiscal stimulus and ongoing disruptions to vulnerable sectors like tourism and hospitality.

    Capital ratio relief

    Further, the banking regulator APRA is providing regulatory relief on the capital requirement for loans. This means banks won’t need to hold extra cash to buffer themselves against underperforming loans like they would normally have to.

    This capital relief will last till end of March next year and not having cash tied up in a safety net will pad the banks’ bottom line.

    “Loans that are restructured prior to 31 March will also be treated as performing for capital and reporting purposes, which we view as a favorable [sic] outcome for the sector,” added Citi.

    ASX bank stocks to buy

    The broker believes that the market’s worry about the sector’s bad debts are overblown and that the milder than expected loan losses will drive higher than expected dividends out to FY22.

    Citi is recommending all the big bank stocks as “buy”, but prefers NAB followed by Westpac then ANZ bank and CBA.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Limited, BHP Billiton Limited, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank Limited, Rio Tinto Ltd., and Westpac Banking. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

    The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Telstra share price a buy?

    Telstra

    The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price saw a welcome 2.63% boost today, but is still down around 10% this past year. Telstra’s yearly return is close in terms of performance to that of the S&P/ASX200 Index (ASX: XJO), which is down around 11% at the time of writing.

    Here are 3 reasons why I believe the Telstra share price has been under pressure this past year.

    Reason 1: An incredibly competitive environment

    The merger of Vodafone and TPG, listed on the ASX as TPG Telecom Limited (ASX: TPM) creates a tougher environment for Telstra to operate in, as the merged entity can leverage their scale to offer more competitive solutions to customers.

    In addition, Telstra’s once-held monopoly on the fixed line network has been eroded by the National Broadband Network (NBN).

    In terms of customer satisfaction, Telstra continues to lag competition based off surveys and product reviews. A good measure of future performance of a company is customer satisfaction, and while Telstra is the most popular ISP in Australia according to Choice, it ranks below average for customer satisfaction. 

    Reason 2: Foxtel impairment

    On 8 May 2020, Telstra announced a $300 million impairment of its 35% stake in Foxtel. This reduces the carrying amount from $750 million to $450 million. While it is a non-cash expense (as it points out in the ASX announcement), it still decreases the value of the asset in the company’s accounts.

    Unfortunately, I believe further impairments are to come because of cord cutting and the rise of streaming services. However, the return of sport should help Foxtel somewhat as this has been a major attraction of having the cable company in the home.

    Reason 3: Belong 

    Belong is owned by Telstra and offers cheaper prices and less services than the main brand. Belong offers internet and mobile services only. 

    According to Telstra’s half year report for the period ended 31 December 2019, Belong is having an impact on the growth of its postpaid handheld retail customer services. While these services increased by 137,000 for the half, 91,000 of those customers were from Belong. Telstra stated in the report that a contributor to the decrease in revenue of postpaid handheld was due to a “modest dilution due to an increase in the Belong customer mix…”

    This will decrease the amount of potential revenue Telstra could have received. However, it needs to compete with other telecommunication providers that are offering cheaper services.

    What is there to like?

    Telstra’s 5G network offering high internet speeds could attract people who are on the move and need fast mobile speeds. It still has a wider coverage than competitors, which widens its customer pool potential.

    In mobile plans, sport offers a point of difference with mobile rights to AFL and NRL content (just to name a couple) included data-free.

    Free cash flows remain strong to enable the continuation of dividend payments, at least in the short term to the medium term.

    Foolish takeaway

    Telecommunications is an incredibly tough industry to operate in. Competitive pressures are intense and has resulted in declining revenue for Telstra. Since 2017, dividends have been trending downwards as competitive pressures begin to manifest.

    Additionally, its investment in Foxtel appears to be rapidly declining in value. I believe this is because of the rise of cord cutting as streaming providers are gaining immense popularity.

    The Belong company offers a more competitive offering and is helping the growth in customers, but total income is still on the decline for the Telstra group.

    Its 5G network and widespread coverage is an edge that its competition does not have, however, with so much of the population in city areas, I am not convinced it is a significant enough competitive advantage.

    On balance, I think there could be better ASX shares rewarding investors with capital growth and income at the present time.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

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    Motley Fool contributor Matthew Donald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 top ASX 200 shares for any portfolio

    piggy bank wearing crown

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX:XJO) shares can generate good returns for investors if they pick the right businesses.

    ASX 200 shares are amongst the best in their industry, if not the best outright. That means they have strong market positions, better access to capital than competitors and probably better margins than their peers.

    The below three businesses have the long-term potential for good profit growth and perhaps market-beating share price gains. They are also known for being good dividend payers. It’s that combination of growth and income which makes me think they could be good ASX 200 share buys for the years ahead:

    Share 1: Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP)

    Bapcor is the leading auto parts business in Australia and New Zealand.

    Despite recently announcing solid revenue growth in the last couple of months, the Bapcor share price is actually down 14% since 20 February 2020.

    As a reminder, Autobarn same store sales increased by more than 45% in May and June compared to the prior year. On a full year basis to the end of June 2020, Bapcor estimated that Autobarn same store sales will increase by approximately 8%.

    The ASX share said Burson Trade also experienced strong demand in May and June with same store sales growth up approximately 10%. On a full year basis, Burson same store sales growth is expected to be around 5%.

    I think these are solid numbers for a company that is only trading at 19x FY21’s estimated earnings.

    Over the longer-term I’m excited by the company’s growth trajectory in Asia.

    If Bapcor were to pay an annual dividend of $0.15 per share in FY21, it’s trading on a forward grossed-up dividend yield of 3.7%.

    Share 2: InvoCare Limited (ASX: IVC)

    InvoCare is the leading funeral business in Australia and New Zealand.

    You’d think a funeral business would benefit from a global pandemic, but that hasn’t happened with COVID-19. The social distancing and funeral attendance limits caused a reduction of InvoCare earnings in the first quarter of 2020 despite case volumes remaining flat.

    A greater impact is forecast in the second quarter driven by lower revenue per funeral. The case average for the ASX share in April 2020 was down 13.3% on the prior corresponding period. In the first quarter of 2020 InvoCare reported that earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) fell 10.7% to $24.7 million.

    However, apart from Victoria, Australia appears to have COVID-19 under control. That means that InvoCare’s earnings should mostly be able to return to normal. In New Zealand COVID-19 seems to have been eradicated entirely. 

    This ASX share is leveraged to ultra-long-term ageing tailwinds. Death volumes are expected to grow by 1.4% per annum between 2016 to 2025 and then increase by 2.2% per annum from 2025 to 2050.

    Sooner or later this COVID-19 period will pass and InvoCare’s operating conditions will return to normal. Right now it’s trading at under 21x FY21’s estimated earnings.

    Share 3: Brickworks Limited (ASX: BKW)

    Brickworks is a diversified property business. In Australia it produces a variety of different building products including bricks, precast, masonry and roofing.

    The ASX share recently announced another impressive win for its industrial property trust that it owns 50% of, along with Goodman Group (ASX: GMG). Amazon is going to lease a 26-metre high facility which will have a floor area of 53,500 square metres. Coles Group Limited (ASX: COL) will also take up a high-tech warehouse at the Oakdale site. Brickworks is building a reputation as a high-tech landlord. 

    There is still sufficient land in the property trust for several more years of development. Once the Coles and Amazon buildings are completed it should increase the gross assets of the trust to above $3 billion.

    COVID-19 had a tough impact on the company and share price a few months ago, but things are looking up now that restrictions are lifting across most of Australia and the US, though the new outbreak in Victoria puts a bit of a dampener on things. The Homebuilder scheme should indirectly benefit Brickworks.

    The Brickworks dividend is supported just by the cashflow from its property trust and the dividends from Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (ASX: SOL). At the current Brickworks share price it offers a grossed-up dividend yield of 5.3%.

    Foolish takeaway

    Each of these ASX shares look good value to me with a multi-year outlook. At the current prices I’d probably go for Brickworks first – it’s trading cheaply compared to its net asset value and the property trust has a compelling future over the next five years.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bapcor, Brickworks, and Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended InvoCare Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Afterpay share price jumps 14% to new record high

    Payment Technology

    The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price was on form again on Thursday and stormed notably higher.

    The payments company’s shares were up as much as 14% to a new record high of $75.26 at one stage before closing the day 11% higher at $73.50.

    This latest gain means the Afterpay share price is now up a remarkable 817% from its March low of $8.01.

    Why did the Afterpay share price rocket higher?

    Investors were fighting to buy the company’s shares on Thursday after it was the subject of a very positive broker note out of Morgan Stanley.

    According to the note, the broker has upgraded the buy now pay later provider’s shares to an overweight rating and lifted the price target on them by a massive 180% from $36.00 to a lofty $101.00.

    Even after today’s strong gain, this price target implies potential upside of over 37% for Afterpay’s shares over the next 12 months.

    Why did Morgan Stanley upgrade Afterpay’s shares?

    Morgan Stanley made the move in response to Afterpay’s better than expected credit quality and the acceleration in its sales growth.

    The broker is expecting the company’s revenue to grow by a compound annual growth rate of 60% through to FY 2022, with a stable net transaction margin of ~2%.

    This is expected to be driven by its diversification away from fashion thanks partly to its agreement with eBay, its impending launch into Canada, and its in-store roll out in the United States. The broker expects the latter to strengthen its first mover advantage in the key market.

    In addition to this, its analysts note that the company’s capital raising now gives it the opportunity to consider M&A activities and further geographic expansion.

    Should you invest?

    While it shares are certainly high risk, I continue to believe that Afterpay would be a quality buy and hold investment. This is due to its leading position in a rapidly growing market which is benefiting from structural tailwinds.

    All in all, even though its shares are up over 800% from their March low, I don’t believe it is too late to invest.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How did the Qantas share price perform in June?

    plane flying across share markey graph, asx 200 travel shares, qantas share price

    Shares in airline behemoth Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) fell 5.7% across the month of June, finishing the month at $3.78 after the share price reached highs of $5 during the month. It was a disappointing finish, which saw the company give up almost 24% from the month’s highs.

    Since the end of June, the Qantas share price has continued its downward trend to sit at $3.64 at the time of writing. Over the past year, Qantas shares are down just over 37%, with the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) only losing around 10% in comparison. 

    What moved the Qantas share price in June?

    The Qantas share price downturn has been well documented, with the travel industry cratering during COVID-19 as people are forced to stay at home. Qantas’ 2020 share price performance (to date) shows a sharp decline on the impressive 26% and 16% increases that the airline posted in 2019 and 2018, respectively.

    In June, a mixture of positive and negative news put pressure on the Qantas share price. Notably, on 25 June Qantas announced a post-COVID-19 recovery plan and plans to raise $2 billion to accelerate recovery and position itself for opportunities.

    In the announcement, Qantas also confirmed it would be grounding 100 aircraft for up to 12 months and that it had reduced costs by $15 billion over the next 3-year period of lower activity. It also revealed there would be $1 billion in ongoing cost savings per annum from FY23. The airline also announced plans to further cut its workforce by 6,000 along with the continuation of stand downs for 15,000 other employees. 

    The next day, Qantas confirmed it had completed its $1,360 million institutional placement with strong support from investors, with the roughly 370 million new shares being issued at $3.65 per share.

    Commenting on the share placement, Qantas CEO Alan Joyce stated: “That there was significant demand for this offer shows clear support for our recovery plan and confidence in the fundamentals of this business.”

    What’s next for the Qantas share price?

    With the Qantas share price continuing to drop over the first few days of July to be wavering around the $3.60 per share mark, the airline will be hoping to turn things around. However, news that Victoria is now entering a 6-week lockdown as Australia tries to avoid a ‘second wave’ of the coronavirus pandemic will no doubt hamper any recovery for Qantas shares.

    In better news, Qantas recently partnered with Afterpay in a new partnership that will allow Qantas flyers to earn Qantas points on Afterpay’s buy now, pay later platform. 

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Daniel Ewing has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why the Kogan share price soared 38% in June

    Miniature shopping trolley filled with parcels next to laptop computer

    Shares in online retailer Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) have exploded since the beginning of the pandemic, hitting a record high of $15.51 in June. This included a whopping 38% increase in that month alone. Even more impressive was the fact that Kogan’s new June high was up more than 309% from its low of $3.79 in March.

    Since the end of June, the Kogan share price has continued to storm ever higher, sitting at $16.87 at the time of writing. Shares of Kogan are now up more than 120% for the year. These are impressive gains but even more so when compared with the 10.5% drop in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) year to date.

    Why did the Kogan share price rally in June?

    The increases in the Kogan share price throughout the pandemic have been well documented, with online sales surging during COVID-19 lockdowns. But since the initial glut of consumers rushing to kit out their home offices and entertainment spaces had somewhat abated by June, what was going on to keep the Kogan share price surging? Essentially, a fairly consistent stream of good news is what:

    On 5 June, Kogan announced a business update that advised its active customer base had continued on a strong growth trajectory, with an additional 126,000 active customers added in May. The release also noted that gross profit had risen 130% in the fourth quarter. Even more impressive, was the monster increase in adjusted EBITDA that grew by more than 200%. Unsurprisingly, the Kogan share price surged 8.6% in the two days following the announcement.

    Five days later, Kogan announced plans for a $100 million placement and $15 million share purchase plan. The share purchase plan was later increased to $20 million as a result of a massive oversubscription totalling more than $115 million. The shares were on offer at $11.45 which represented a 7.5% discount on the share price at the time. That $11.45 price point certainly looks to be great value in hindsight given the shares since soared to an all-time record of $17.67.

    The funds from the capital raise were to be used to provide Kogan with the financial flexibility to act quickly on future opportunities. The company has already demonstrated its willingness to decisively capitalise on market conditions in the past with its acquisition of Matt Blatt in May.

    What’s next for the Kogan share price?

    The strong growth of the ASX retailer in June have continued into July with the Kogan share price increasing nearly 15% so far this month. Investors didn’t seem particularly impressed by yesterday’s announcement that Kogan’s share purchase plan had been significantly oversubscribed as its shares actually shed value on Wednesday. But today, it was back in the black with the Kogan share price climbing 2.5% to $16.87 at the time of writing. Perhaps investors feel renewed lockdown restrictions put in place in Victoria will result in an even greater swing towards online shopping. Watch this space…

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Daniel Ewing has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Broker tips on how to invest for the August ASX reporting season

    Next month’s reporting season will be an inflection point for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) and those looking for tips on how to best position for this event should read on.

    For the first time since the COVID-19 outbreak, investors will get a chance to look under the hood of ASX shares.

    The profit season will help determine the direction the market takes as the top 200 index remain stuck in a trading range.

    ASX stock guidance will be rare

    But if you are hoping for more clarity over the earnings outlook for the market, you might be disappointed. The ever-changing impact of the coronavirus pandemic will leave many ASX companies reluctant to stick their necks out.

    In fact, the analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) are only expecting half the normal number of ASX stocks to give guidance in August. Those that do might only quantify their outlook for specific variables and segments instead of for the whole business.

    “We count 80% of the ASX 100 as providing forward looking comments before Covid19,” said the broker.

    “During the peak of the pandemic, 38% of the ASX 100 withdrew their guidance, while another 18% reduced guidance.”

    Guidance givers set to outperform

    Here’s an interesting fact. Stocks that provided guidance outperformed those that didn’t through the COVID-19 bear market. This is true even for ASX stocks that cut their guidance during the pandemic.

    “The worst performing stocks since the [February] high have been those that withdrew guidance, followed by those that do not issue guidance,” said Macquarie.

    “In both cases, investors are faced with higher earnings uncertainty, which may lead to a discounted valuation.”

    ASX stocks to target during the reporting season

    So, what this suggests for the upcoming reporting season is that stocks that provide guidance will likely outperform those that don’t – even if they downgrade their forecasts later.

    The other takeaway for investors is to not fret about poor earnings reports as a big fall is already anticipated by the market.

    Macquarie also believes that investors will be in a forgiving sort of mood given the unprecedented crisis that we are going through.

    This provides an opportunity for ASX companies to get all the bad news out of the way and rebase market expectations for the year ahead.

    If they are successful in doing so, FY21 could prove to be a good year for ASX investors.

    ASX stocks to buy

    The stocks that Macquarie deems to be the best buy ideas for the reporting season include the Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price, Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price and the Charter Hall Group (ASX: CHC) share price.

    Also making the cut are the Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price, AMCOR PLC/IDR UNRESTR (ASX: AMC) share price, Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price and Baby Bunting Group Ltd (ASX: BBN) share price.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Macquarie Group Limited. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

    The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Amcor Limited and Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd and COLESGROUP DEF SET. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Broker tips on how to invest for the August ASX reporting season appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • 3 strong ASX 100 shares for retirees to buy today

    Man poses with muscular shadow to show big share growth

    If you’re a retiree looking to invest in the share market, then I think the ASX 100 shares named below would be worth considering.

    Despite the uncertain times we are living in, these companies look well-placed to deliver solid full year results in FY 2020 and beyond.

    Here’s why I think they are great options for retirees:

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

    The first ASX 100 share I would consider buying is Coles. I think the supermarket giant is a great option for retirees due to its defensive earnings, strong market position, and the refreshed strategy unveiled last year. This strategy aims to make $1 billion in cumulative savings by FY 2023 through the use of technology to automate manual tasks and simplifying above-store roles. Combined, I believe Coles is well-positioned to achieve solid earnings and dividend growth over the next decade.

    Goodman Group (ASX: GMG)

    Another strong share for retirees to consider buying is Goodman Group. It is an integrated commercial and industrial property group which owns, develops, and manages industrial real estate in 17 countries. Its warehouses and logistics facilities are the assets that attract me to the company the most. These appear to have positioned Goodman perfectly for growth by giving it exposure to the structural tailwinds of the ecommerce market thanks to its relationships with the likes of Amazon and Walmart.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    A final strong ASX share to consider buying is Telstra. I think the telco giant is a great option for retirees because of its generous yield and defensive qualities. The latter has been evident this year with Telstra one of only a small number of ASX 100 companies that have been able to reaffirm guidance. Looking ahead, I believe a return to growth isn’t too far away thanks to the easing NBN headwind. This could make it an opportune time to make a patient investment.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why I would buy a2 Milk Company and these ASX growth shares right now

    asx growth shares

    Looking to buy some ASX growth shares in the new financial year? Then take a look at the three listed below.

    I believe all three are well-positioned to deliver strong earnings growth over the next decade. Here’s why I would buy them:

    a2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M)

    I think this fast-growing infant formula and fresh milk company could be a growth share to buy. Traditional cow’s milk contains two main types of beta casein proteins, A2 protein and A1 protein. Whereas a2 Milk Company’s milk comes only from cows selected to naturally produce the A2 protein type. The company believes this makes its products better for people who experience challenges drinking conventional cow’s milk. This point of difference has gone down well with consumers (particularly in the China market) and has helped drive strong earnings growth over the last few years. I expect more of the same in the coming years from a2 Milk Company which, combined with the growing footprint of its fresh milk business and potential acquisitions or new product launches, bodes well for the a2 Milk share price.

    Appen Ltd (ASX: APX)

    Another growth share to consider buying is Appen. It is a global leader in the development of high-quality, human annotated datasets for machine learning and artificial intelligence. Strong demand for its services from many of the world’s biggest tech companies has led to it delivering explosive earnings growth in recent years. This looks set to be the case again in FY 2020, with the company guiding to underlying EBITDA in the range $125 million to $130 million. This represents a 23.8% to 28.7% increase on FY 2019’s underlying EBITDA of $101 million. Due to the expected strong growth of the AI and machine learning market, I believe it can continue this strong form long into the future.

    SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK)

    Another growth share that I think could generate strong returns for investors is SEEK. I believe the job listings company is well-positioned for growth over the 2020s thanks to its market-leading position in the ANZ market, its growing China business, and its high level of investment in growth opportunities. Management certainly agrees with this view. It has set itself an aspirational revenue target of $5 billion later this decade. This will be a significant increase on the revenue of $1,575 million it expects to report in FY 2020.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk and Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended SEEK Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why I would buy a2 Milk Company and these ASX growth shares right now appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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